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UAB

UAB 23 at Illinois 42

ILL
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2026 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:18: (00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #2 R.Robinson II caught at ILL02, for 10 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:18, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop) — UAB win probability +5.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: UAB down 3 timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 0:00: Ty Robinson 54 Yd pass from Katin Houser (Ethan Moczulski Kick) — ILL win probability +10.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:15: (10:17) Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at UAB03, for 14 yards to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:15, 1ST DOWN #37 E.Moczulski kick attempt good (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III) — ILL win probability +3.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:58: (04:00) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 03:58 — UAB win probability +2.1 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:48: Ismael Kante 59 Yd Interception Return (Ethan Moczulski Kick) — ILL win probability +2.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 8:58UAB 4th & 23 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:24UAB 4th & 8 at ILL 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:29UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:13ILL 4th & 4 at ILL 8, up 11
    Close callPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:50UAB 4th & 4 at ILL 4, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.6%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:03ILL 4th & 1 at midfield, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.7%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:57UAB 4th & 1 at ILL 41, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%−1.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:17UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 47, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:58UAB 4th & 6 at ILL 17, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:32ILL 4th & 1 at UAB 49, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.9%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:48UAB 4th & 7 at ILL 31, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:09UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 34, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:55ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:18ILL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:18UAB Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:00ILL Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:15ILL Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:25ILL Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:48ILL Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:09UAB Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 25 yds · 5:546% → 7%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
94.4%
(14:59) Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush left for 13 yards gain to the UAB38 (#0 M.Resetich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
94.3%
(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB42 (#18 M.Muragin; #43 J.Barna)Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+8
94.1%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush left for 8 yards gain to the UAB50 (#7 M.Bailey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
50
0
93.9%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short right to #85 A.Ferguson thrown to ILL40 QB hurried by #24 W.HolmesSimilar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 10
50
+9
93.9%
(13:02) No Huddle #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ILL41 (#7 M.Bailey; #24 W.Holmes)Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
93.7%
(12:20) No Huddle #5 R.Burton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ILL37 (#10 J.Kreutz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
93.6%
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ILL33 (#90 C.Janki; #24 W.Holmes)Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+1
93.3%
(10:56) Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ILL32 (#52 P.Farrell)Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+12
93.2%
(10:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush right for 20 yards gain (2) to the ILL12 (#1 X.Scott) PENALTY UAB Holding (#44 S.Isacks) 10 yards from ILL30 to ILL40Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 13
OPP 40
-10
93.1%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton sacked for loss of 10 yards to the ILL50 (#40 E.Rhea)Similar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 23
50
+65
93.0%
(09:14) #20 B.Hargett punt 45 yards to the ILL05 #0 M.Resetich return 65 yards to the UAB30 (#21 D.Fullbright)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:5793% → 94%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
93.3%
(08:58) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UAB23 (#3 I.Esonwune; #35 M.Byard)Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+5
93.2%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #13 H.Clement caught at UAB19, for 5 yards to the UAB18 (#5 D.Gulley), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
93.7%
(07:57) Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at UAB00, for 18 yards to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:55, 1ST DOWN #37 E.Moczulski kick attempt good (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:237% → 8%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.4%
(07:55) Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB27 (#54 D.John)Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
93.3%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #0 T.Mims caught at UAB32, for 11 yards to the UAB38 (#32 T.Cox), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
93.1%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush left for 5 yards gain to the UAB43 (#24 W.Holmes)Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
92.9%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB44 (#18 M.Muragin)Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+8
92.7%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #4 E.Reid caught at ILL48, for 8 yards to the ILL48 (#32 T.Cox), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
92.5%
(04:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush right for 3 yards gain to the ILL45 (#10 J.Kreutz; #26 I.Kante)Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
92.4%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Brown thrown to ILL30 broken up by #7 M.Bailey. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Brown thrown to ILL35, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (#6 J.Clarke) 13 yards from ILL45 to ILL32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY)Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+42
92.3%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete deep right to #1 C.Smith caught at ILL02, for 42 yards to the ILL03, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
92.0%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ILL04 (#43 J.Barna; #10 J.Kreutz)Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+5
92.0%
(03:00) PENALTY UAB False Start (#55 B.Maddox) 5 yards from ILL04 to ILL09. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
91.9%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short right to #85 A.Ferguson thrown to ILL08Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
92.2%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush right for 1 yard gain to the ILL08 (#96 D.Prater), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 2:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
91.7%
(02:24) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 02:24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5792% → 93%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
91.6%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush left for 17 yards gain to the ILL42 (#11 A.McKenzie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
91.7%
(01:56) #4 K.Houser rush right for 7 yards gain to the ILL49 (#11 A.McKenzie)Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+51
93.2%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 51 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:18, 1ST DOWN #37 E.Moczulski kick attempt good (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
14 plays · 21 yds · 4:387% → 7%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.9%
(01:18) Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush left for 4 yards gain to the UAB29 (#7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
92.8%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush left for 7 yards gain to the UAB36 (#0 M.Resetich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
92.7%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UAB33 (#33 G.Beerman)Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+7
92.8%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UAB40 (#33 G.Beerman)Similar
Q2 14:29
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+6
92.6%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UAB46 (#7 M.Bailey), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB45 (#7 M.Bailey))Similar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
92.5%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short right to #44 S.Isacks thrown to UAB45 PENALTY UAB Holding (#66 D.Lawrence) 10 yards from UAB46 to UAB36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+1
92.7%
(13:40) Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB37 (#7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+7
92.7%
(12:57) Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UAB44 (#40 E.Rhea; #26 I.Kante)Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+7
92.6%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ILL49 (#40 E.Rhea). #51 P.Kirkland injured on the playSimilar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+5
92.8%
PENALTY UAB False Start (#68 A.Lepkowski) 5 yards from ILL49 to UAB46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
93.1%
(11:35) #20 B.Hargett punt 52 yards to the ILL02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0893% → 93%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
92.9%
(11:27) No Huddle #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ILL03 (#52 S.Sanders)Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 9
OWN 3
-1
92.8%
(10:54) #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ILL02 (#35 M.Byard)Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+6
92.8%
(10:10) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ILL08 (#10 K.Wokomah; #35 M.Byard)Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 4
OWN 8
+19
92.5%
(09:13) #81 L.Rau punt 42 yards to the ILL50 #0 T.Mims return 19 yards to the ILL31 (#83 K.Feagin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:128% → 9%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
92.0%
(09:12) Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #3 B.McReynolds caught at ILL31, for 17 yards to the ILL14 (#5 J.Morris), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
91.9%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ILL07 (#18 M.Muragin; #43 J.Barna)Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+4
91.7%
(07:47) PENALTY ILL Delay Of Game (#96 D.Prater) 4 yards from ILL07 to ILL03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 3
OPP 4
+5
91.7%
PENALTY UAB False Start (#85 A.Ferguson) 5 yards from ILL04 to ILL08. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 8
OPP 9
+3
91.6%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ILL05 (#52 P.Farrell)Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
91.5%
(06:30) #2 R.Robinson II rush left for 1 yard gain to the ILL04 (#1 X.Scott). #1 X.Scott injured on the playSimilar
Q2 5:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
91.8%
(06:00) Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short right to #3 B.McReynolds thrown to ILL10 QB hurried by #18 M.MuraginSimilar
Q2 5:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+23
91.2%
(05:50) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 05:50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:4191% → 91%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short right to #13 H.Clement thrown to ILL34 QB hurried by #3 I.EsonwuneSimilar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.2%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #5 C.Valentine caught at ILL29, for 4 yards to the ILL29 (#3 I.Esonwune; #5 D.Gulley)Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
91.2%
(05:03) Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete deep right to #17 C.Dixon thrown to UAB36, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (#5 D.Gulley) 12 yards from ILL29 to ILL41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
91.8%
(04:31) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 0 yards to the ILL41 (#4 M.Dean)Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
91.5%
(04:02) Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at ILL47, for 7 yards to the ILL48 (#1 D.Sweeting; #13 J.Jordan)Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
91.5%
(03:41) #21 A.Laughery rush left for 2 yards gain to the ILL50 (#1 D.Sweeting), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 1
50
0
91.1%
(03:05) #23 J.Anderson rush middle for 0 yards to the ILL50 (#35 M.Byard), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
13 plays · 50 yds · 2:3910% → 19%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
50
0
90.3%
(03:02) Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete deep right to #1 C.Smith thrown to ILL05Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 10
50
+2
90.6%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush left for 2 yards gain to the ILL48 (#22 D.Fillmore; #26 I.Kante)Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+7
90.6%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #8 K.Brown caught at ILL42, for 7 yards to the ILL41 (#22 D.Fillmore)Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+3
89.8%
(01:57) No Huddle #7 J.Simpkins rush right for 3 yards gain to the ILL38 (#22 D.Fillmore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
89.5%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ILL30 (#32 T.Cox)Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+6
88.8%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ILL24 (#7 M.Bailey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
86.2%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Brown thrown to ILL01 QB hurried by #7 M.BaileySimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
86.3%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short right to #1 C.Smith thrown to ILL18Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+14
87.0%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush middle for 14 yards gain to the ILL10 (#32 T.Cox), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
81.1%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #2 R.Robinson II caught at ILL02, for 10 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:18, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 0:0785% → 94%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
85.4%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #13 H.Clement caught at ILL46, for 12 yards to the ILL46 (#1 D.Sweeting), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.3%
(00:05) Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short right to #11 B.Trimble thrown to ILL50Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+54
93.6%
Ty Robinson 54 Yd pass from Katin Houser (Ethan Moczulski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3991% → 94%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
90.8%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ILL24 (#1 D.Sweeting; #35 M.Byard)Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
90.6%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at ILL30, for 15 yards to the ILL39 (#3 I.Esonwune), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
91.3%
(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short right to #13 H.Clement thrown to UAB46Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
91.1%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #13 H.Clement caught at ILL45, for 9 yards to the ILL48 (#24 D.Wilkinson), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
91.0%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ILL50 (#13 J.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
50
+4
91.0%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Anderson rush left for 4 yards gain to the UAB46 (#24 D.Wilkinson)Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+16
90.9%
(12:04) Shotgun #4 K.Houser rush right for 16 yards gain to the UAB30 (#24 D.Wilkinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
91.0%
(11:28) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush left for 2 yards gain to the UAB28 (#35 M.Byard; #11 A.McKenzie)Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+7
91.0%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UAB21 (#29 C.Cunningham)Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+7
90.4%
(10:40) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush left for 7 yards gain to the UAB14 (#13 J.Jordan), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (10:40) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush left for 21 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:32, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
93.5%
(10:17) Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at UAB03, for 14 yards to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:15, 1ST DOWN #37 E.Moczulski kick attempt good (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 6:077% → 10%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
93.0%
(10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #8 K.Brown caught at UAB32, for 13 yards to the UAB38 (#26 I.Kante), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
92.4%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB41 (#96 D.Prater)Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
92.4%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush right for 5 yards gain to the UAB46 (#43 J.Barna)Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
92.2%
(08:17) No Huddle #5 R.Burton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB47 (#24 W.Holmes; #26 I.Kante)Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+6
92.5%
(07:25) #3 B.McReynolds rush right for 6 yards gain to the ILL47 (#5 J.Morris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
92.3%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ILL45 (#43 J.Barna; #90 C.Janki)Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+24
92.2%
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Brown rush left for 24 yards gain to the ILL21 (#7 M.Bailey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
91.4%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete deep right to #1 C.Smith thrown to ILL00 broken up by #5 J.MorrisSimilar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-1
91.6%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ILL22 (#24 W.Holmes; #96 D.Prater)Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+5
92.5%
(04:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush right for 5 yards gain to the ILL17 (#1 X.Scott)Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
90.4%
(04:00) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 03:58Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:2592% → 100%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.3%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ILL26 (#11 A.McKenzie; #52 S.Sanders)Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
92.6%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at ILL32, for 7 yards to the ILL33 (#1 D.Sweeting)Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
92.5%
(02:48) Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #17 C.Dixon caught at ILL39, for 9 yards to the ILL42 (#5 D.Gulley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
93.4%
(02:20) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ILL48 (#11 A.McKenzie)Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
93.4%
(01:57) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB49 (#3 I.Esonwune)Similar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
93.3%
(01:13) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB49 (#6 Q.Billingsley)Similar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+1
93.4%
(00:32) Shotgun #23 J.Anderson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB48 (#52 S.Sanders), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
94.2%
(14:59) Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #11 B.Trimble caught at UAB50, for 11 yards to the UAB37 (#17 T.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
94.1%
(14:22) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB33 (#3 I.Esonwune). #75 B.Henderson, #29 C.Cunningham injured on the playSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+17
95.4%
(14:01) Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #21 A.Laughery caught at UAB34, for 17 yards to the UAB16 (#35 M.Byard), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
96.7%
(13:20) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB13 (#13 J.Jordan)Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
97.5%
(12:37) Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short right thrown to UAB00 QB hurried by #3 I.EsonwuneSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+7
97.4%
(12:34) Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Valentine thrown to UAB05 PENALTY UAB Personal Foul (#9 N.Nelson) 7 yards from UAB13 to UAB06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.5%
(12:30) Shotgun #4 K.Houser rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:25 #37 E.Moczulski kick attempt good (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14INT TD
16 plays · 44 yds · 6:373% → 0%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.3%
(12:25) Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete deep right to #0 T.Mims thrown to UAB46 broken up by #0 M.Resetich PENALTY UAB Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#66 D.Lawrence) 5 yards from UAB25 to UAB20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
97.3%
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short left to #0 T.Mims thrown to UAB25 broken up by #32 T.Cox PENALTY UAB Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
97.4%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short left to #2 R.Robinson II caught at UAB15, for 4 yards to the UAB24 (#7 M.Bailey), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+12
97.4%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #0 T.Mims caught at UAB36, for 12 yards to the UAB36 (#6 J.Clarke), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.2%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short left to #19 G.Cline caught at UAB40, for 5 yards to the UAB41 (#33 G.Beerman)Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
97.2%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short middle to #0 T.Mims thrown to UAB45 broken up by #33 G.Beerman QB hurried by #33 G.Beerman and #24 W.HolmesSimilar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+15
97.2%
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #1 C.Smith caught at ILL44, for 15 yards to the ILL44 (#0 M.Resetich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.0%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete deep middle to #8 K.Brown thrown to ILL05Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
97.0%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #3 B.McReynolds caught at ILL44, for 8 yards to the ILL36 (#38 J.Paris)Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+2
96.9%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ILL34 (#38 J.Paris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
96.7%
(07:56) Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ILL26 (#26 I.Kante)Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+10
96.6%
(07:06) Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush left for 10 yards gain to the ILL16 (#38 J.Paris; #43 J.Barna) PENALTY UAB Holding (#77 K.Cox) 10 yards from ILL26 to ILL36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
97.1%
(06:42) Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short left to #44 S.Isacks thrown to ILL33Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+5
97.4%
(06:37) Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #7 J.Simpkins caught at ILL33, for 5 yards to the ILL31 (#0 M.Resetich)Similar
Q4 5:48
4TH & 7
OPP 31
-59
99.8%
Ismael Kante 59 Yd Interception Return (Ethan Moczulski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:280% → 2%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short left to #0 T.Mims caught at UAB29, for 5 yards to the UAB30 (#3 N.Hankins Jr.)Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short left to #4 E.Reid caught at UAB34, for 4 yards to the UAB34 (#3 N.Hankins Jr.)Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB34 (#98 J.Davis)Similar
Q4 4:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush left for 3 yards gain to the UAB37 (#3 N.Hankins Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush right for 3 yards gain to the UAB40 (#20 A.Thomas), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush left for 4 yards gain to the UAB44 (#52 P.Farrell)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+15
99.9%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #44 S.Isacks caught at ILL46, for 15 yards to the ILL41 (#21 B.Clawson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
99.9%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #4 E.Reid caught at ILL43, for 14 yards to the ILL27 (#40 E.Rhea), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+24
99.9%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #0 T.Mims caught at ILL11, for 24 yards to the ILL03 (#22 D.Fillmore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.9%
(01:20) Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ILL04 (#8 C.Thomas)Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
99.9%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush right for 1 yard loss to the ILL05 (#40 E.Rhea)Similar
Q4 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.8%
Ryder Burton 5 Yd Run (Jonah Delange Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16END OF GAME
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
(00:09) Kneel down by Illinois at ILL24 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:00
Ty Robinson 54 Yd pass from Katin Houser (Ethan Moczulski Kick)
+10.1
TD · Q2 0:18
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #2 R.Robinson II caught at ILL02, for 10 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:18, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop)
-5.8
TD · Q3 10:15
(10:17) Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at UAB03, for 14 yards to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:15, 1ST DOWN #37 E.Moczulski kick attempt good (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com