Try the model
MASS

Massachusetts 37 at Rutgers 21

RUTG
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2026 · SHI Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:03 · (01:07) #94 J.Anderson punt 41 yards to the UMASS06
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+33.8Home team on offense−14.4Score differential−7.5Garbage-time factor−4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:43: (09:44) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete deep left to #1 J.Griffin Jr. caught at RU00, for 31 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:43, 1ST DOWN #99 D.Morris kick attempt good (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills) — MASS win probability +4.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:42: (03:42) #99 D.Morris field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills), clock 03:42 — MASS win probability +4.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:22: #99 D.Morris field goal attempt from 52 yards GOOD (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills), clock 08:22 — MASS win probability +35.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:09: (07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete deep left to #8 K.Duff caught at UMASS45, for 78 yards to the UMASS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:09, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +7.6 pts (now 10%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:27: (04:27) Shotgun #14 C.Kimmons IV rush middle for 17 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:27, 1ST DOWN #99 D.Morris kick attempt good (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills) — MASS win probability +3.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 7 of 8MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 4:14RUTG 4th & 17 at RUTG 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:59MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:03RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:42MASS 4th & 1 at RUTG 11, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.9%−2.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−8.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:03RUTG 4th & 19 at MASS 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:22MASS 4th & 7 at RUTG 34, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.0%−0.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:10RUTG 4th & 1 at MASS 23, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%−5.0
    70% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−19.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:35RUTG 4th & 1 at MASS 12, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.7%−5.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    -3.2%−22.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:28MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 18, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:11RUTG 4th & 2 at MASS 37, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%−3.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:14MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 40, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:54MASS 4th & 13 at RUTG 13, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:09RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 22, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:43MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 28, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:22RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 33, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:20RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:26MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:46MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:43MASS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:09RUTG Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:27MASS Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:57RUTG Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:1898% → 97%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
97.5%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at RU40, for 20 yards to the RU45 (#7 T.Magee; #3 K.Bournes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
97.5%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #11 L.Blake caught at RU48, for 7 yards to the UMASS48 (#44 T.Hinspeter)Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+5
97.4%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMASS43 (#98 W.DePaepe; #55 Z.Morris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
97.4%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #3 A.Raymond caught at UMASS39, for 4 yards to the UMASS39 (#38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
97.3%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMASS34 (#38 Z.Daniel; #44 T.Hinspeter)Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+5
97.2%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMASS29 (#5 T.Martin; #44 T.Hinspeter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
97.1%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #4 J.Houston caught at UMASS25, for 5 yards to the UMASS24 (#38 Z.Daniel), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+5
97.0%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMASS19 (#3 K.Bournes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
96.9%
(10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at UMASS15, for 10 yards to the UMASS09 (#38 Z.Daniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
96.8%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMASS06 (#44 T.Hinspeter; #3 K.Bournes)Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
96.8%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMASS04 (#44 T.Hinspeter)Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.9%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at UMASS00, for 4 yards to the UMASS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:20 #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:453% → 4%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.8%
(08:15) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMASS29 (#10 T.Morris; #5 B.Jones)Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
96.8%
(07:49) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Harding thrown to UMASS32 broken up by #16 J.OfurieSimilar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
96.8%
(07:45) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UMASS39 (#41 S.Allison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
96.7%
(07:12) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMASS43 (#11 M.Davis)Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+30
96.5%
(06:34) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete deep right to #1 J.Griffin Jr. caught at RU27, for 30 yards to the RU27, out of bounds at RU27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
96.3%
(06:01) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RU21 (#2 M.Walker)Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+21
95.7%
(05:26) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short right to #23 E.Faulkner caught at RU06, for 21 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:26, 1ST DOWN #99 D.Morris kick attempt good (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:0396% → 96%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.9%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard loss to the RU24 (#4 C.Stanley; #6 J.Iseah)Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
95.8%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 1 yard loss to the RU23 (#98 W.DePaepe; #42 A.DePaepe)Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
95.6%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Duff thrown to UMASS35 broken up by #0 I.ReedSimilar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+5
95.6%
PENALTY RU Delay Of Game 5 yards from RU23 to RU18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
95.5%
(04:16) #94 J.Anderson punt 50 yards to the UMASS32 fair catch by #2 T.Harding at UMASS32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
16 plays · 68 yds · 7:015% → 9%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
95.5%
(04:06) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short right to #17 D.Elliott caught at UMASS36, for 4 yards to the UMASS36, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+1
95.3%
(03:26) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush left for 1 yard gain to the UMASS37 (#16 J.Ofurie; #8 S.Kromah)Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+4
95.1%
(02:44) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short left to #11 M.Dowling caught at UMASS40, for 4 yards to the UMASS41 (#20 C.Joines)Similar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
95.0%
(02:05) #83 R.Adkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMASS43 (#41 S.Allison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
94.6%
(01:23) #5 W.Watson III rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMASS45 (#10 T.Morris; #94 J.Burnett)Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+14
94.2%
(00:34) #5 W.Watson III pass complete short right to #2 T.Harding caught at RU47, for 14 yards to the RU41 (#20 C.Joines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
94.1%
(00:02) #5 W.Watson III pass complete short right to #14 C.Kimmons IV caught at RU32, for 9 yards to the RU32 (#96 K.Griffin)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+4
94.0%
#23 E.Faulkner rush left for 4 yards gain to the RU28 (#41 S.Allison; #96 K.Griffin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
94.0%
Shotgun #5 W.Watson III rush middle for 9 yards gain to the RU19 (#3 L.Noel)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+2
94.0%
Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush right for 2 yards gain to the RU17 (#2 M.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
94.0%
#5 W.Watson III pass complete short left to #17 D.Elliott caught at RU10, for 14 yards to the RU03 (#16 J.Ofurie), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
93.0%
(12:15) #14 C.Kimmons IV rush left for 1 yard loss to the RU04 (#9 D.Gilley; #10 T.Morris)Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
92.8%
(11:50) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Griffin Jr. thrown to RU00 PENALTY RU Illegal Substitution 2 yards from RU04 to RU02. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.9%
(11:46) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short right to #23 E.Faulkner caught at RU00, for 2 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:46 #99 D.Morris kick attempt good (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:0392% → 91%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.6%
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU28 (#5 T.Martin)Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
91.4%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU29 (#44 T.Hinspeter)Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
90.9%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass intercepted by #38 Z.Daniel at RU44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UMASS Pass Interference (#22 J.Harmon) 12 yards from RU29 to RU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
91.3%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan sacked for loss of 5 yards to the RU36 (#92 R.Johnson), fumble by #12 D.Lonergan recovered by UMASS #92 R.Johnson at RU36, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:2410% → 15%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
89.9%
(10:10) Shotgun #14 C.Kimmons IV rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RU31 (#2 M.Walker; #20 C.Joines)Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+31
85.4%
(09:44) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete deep left to #1 J.Griffin Jr. caught at RU00, for 31 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:43, 1ST DOWN #99 D.Morris kick attempt good (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2486% → 84%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.4%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU28 (#3 K.Bournes; #6 J.Iseah)Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-9
86.0%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right thrown to RU33 QB hurried by #10 A.Melvin PENALTY RU Intentional Grounding (#12 D.Lonergan)Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+4
84.9%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #3 A.Raymond caught at RU23, for 4 yards to the RU23 (#3 K.Bournes; #98 W.DePaepe)Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
84.2%
(08:07) #94 J.Anderson punt 39 yards to the UMASS38 fair catch by #2 T.Harding at UMASS38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 4:1117% → 27%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
83.5%
(07:57) #14 C.Kimmons IV rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UMASS44 (#3 L.Noel; #20 C.Joines)Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+6
82.6%
(07:22) #14 C.Kimmons IV rush right for 6 yards gain to the UMASS50 (#5 B.Jones; #16 J.Ofurie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
50
+11
81.7%
(06:45) #14 C.Kimmons IV rush middle for 11 yards gain to the RU39 (#20 C.Joines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
80.5%
(05:59) #14 C.Kimmons IV rush middle for 19 yards gain to the RU20 (#5 B.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
79.4%
(05:22) #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 8 yards gain to the RU12 (#20 C.Joines)Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+1
78.6%
(04:59) #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU11 (#42 D.Allen; #94 J.Burnett)Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 1
OPP 11
0
78.0%
(04:24) #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 0 yards to the RU11 (#2 M.Walker; #99 R.Porter)Similar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+30
73.4%
(03:42) #99 D.Morris field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills), clock 03:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:3176% → 71%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
76.0%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #2 B.Black III caught at RU43, for 19 yards to the RU44 (#38 Z.Daniel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
76.6%
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #2 B.Black III caught at UMASS41, for 18 yards to the UMASS38 (#7 T.Magee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
75.7%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMASS35 (#42 A.DePaepe; #3 K.Bournes)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
75.9%
PENALTY RU False Start (#8 K.Duff) 5 yards from UMASS35 to UMASS40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 12
OPP 40
-1
73.9%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UMASS42 (#2 J.Nobles, #5 T.Martin)Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 14
OPP 42
0
71.7%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #4 J.Houston thrown to UMASS28Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 14
OPP 42
+5
71.4%
PENALTY RU Delay Of Game 5 yards from UMASS42 to UMASS47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 19
OPP 47
0
71.2%
(01:07) #94 J.Anderson punt 41 yards to the UMASS06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11END OF HALF
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:2237% → 39%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
63.3%
(00:58) #5 W.Watson III pass complete short right to #2 T.Harding caught at UMASS11, for 5 yards to the UMASS11 (#7 K.Levy; #16 J.Ofurie)Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 5
OWN 11
0
62.8%
(00:48) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass incomplete deep left to #1 J.Griffin Jr. thrown to RU50Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+10
63.2%
(00:44) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short right to #2 T.Harding caught at UMASS21, for 10 yards to the UMASS21, out of bounds at UMASS21, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
62.0%
(00:38) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short left to #1 J.Griffin Jr. caught at UMASS27, for 7 yards to the UMASS28 QB hurried by #8 S.Kromah (#16 J.Ofurie), out of bounds PENALTY UMASS Illegal Touch-Pass (#1 J.Griffin Jr.). NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+10
61.8%
(00:33) Shotgun #14 C.Kimmons IV rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UMASS31 (#16 J.Ofurie; #97 R.Callaway III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
61.5%
(00:00) Kneel down by #5 W.Watson III at UMASS29 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12FG
14 plays · 41 yds · 6:3834% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.0%
PENALTY UMASS Illegal Snap 5 yards from UMASS25 to UMASS20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
66.2%
PENALTY UMASS False Start (#69 B.Taylor) 5 yards from UMASS20 to UMASS15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+13
66.2%
Shotgun #2 T.Harding rush right for 13 yards gain to the UMASS28 (#7 K.Levy)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
65.9%
Shotgun #5 W.Watson III rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMASS32 (#42 D.Allen; #55 Z.Angoy)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
66.5%
Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMASS37 (#2 M.Walker; #3 L.Noel) PENALTY UMASS Holding (#64 P.Miller) 10 yards from UMASS32 to UMASS22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+15
66.9%
Shotgun #5 W.Watson III rush middle for 15 yards gain to the UMASS37 (#20 C.Joines; #3 L.Noel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
65.3%
Shotgun #5 W.Watson III sacked for loss of 0 yards to the UMASS37 (#90 F.Gnago)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+14
65.4%
Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short right to #2 T.Harding caught at RU49, for 14 yards to the RU49, out of bounds at RU49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
64.2%
Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short middle to #2 T.Harding caught at RU37, for 12 yards to the RU37 (#2 M.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
64.2%
Shotgun Massachusetts rush middle for 4 yards loss to the RU41 fumbled by Massachusetts at RU41 recovered by UMASS #5 W.Watson III at RU41, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 41
-1
64.5%
Shotgun #14 C.Kimmons IV rush middle for 1 yard loss to the RU42 (#99 R.Porter)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 42
+8
65.0%
Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short right to #17 D.Elliott caught at RU36, for 8 yards to the RU34 (#41 S.Allison)Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+52
29.7%
#99 D.Morris field goal attempt from 52 yards GOOD (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills), clock 08:22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:4340% → 22%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.1%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Duff thrown to RU32 broken up by #0 I.ReedSimilar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
38.9%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at RU35, for 19 yards to the RU44 (#38 Z.Daniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
40.2%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU47 (#9 J.Krueger; #90 T.Passmore, Jr.)Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+21
34.5%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #4 J.Houston caught at RU50, for 21 yards to the UMASS32 (#7 T.Magee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
36.3%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #4 J.Houston caught at UMASS29, for 7 yards to the UMASS25 (#22 J.Harmon)Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
36.3%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Duff thrown to UMASS05 broken up by #7 T.Magee. #3 K.Bournes injured on the playSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+2
33.3%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMASS23 (#42 A.DePaepe)Similar
Q3 5:10
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+2
32.5%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMASS21 (#15 K.Bendolph; #9 J.Krueger), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
32.4%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #8 K.Duff thrown to UMASS16Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
31.7%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMASS16 (#44 T.Hinspeter; #7 T.Magee). #2 J.Nobles injured on the playSimilar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+4
23.1%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #0 D.Carter caught at UMASS12, for 4 yards to the UMASS12 (#44 T.Hinspeter)Similar
Q3 3:35
4TH & 1
OPP 12
0
22.1%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan rush middle for 0 yards to the UMASS12 (#98 W.DePaepe; #3 K.Bournes), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0184% → 89%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
15.8%
(03:34) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMASS14 (#92 J.Polk; #11 M.Davis)Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+1
14.7%
(02:55) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMASS15 (#41 S.Allison)Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+3
13.7%
(02:10) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short left to #11 M.Dowling caught at UMASS13, for 3 yards to the UMASS18 (#41 S.Allison)Similar
Q3 1:28
4TH & 4
OWN 18
+14
11.3%
(01:38) #43 E.Phillipson punt 46 yards to the RU36 #18 Q.Redding return 34 yards to the UMASS30 (#43 E.Phillipson) PENALTY RU Holding (#19 D.Fuse) 10 yards from UMASS50 to RU40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:0915% → 14%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
14.5%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #8 K.Duff thrown to RU43Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
14.0%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at RU45, for 15 yards to the UMASS45 (#22 J.Harmon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
14.9%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #4 J.Houston thrown to UMASS41 broken up by #7 T.MageeSimilar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
14.5%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMASS44 (#44 T.Hinspeter; #92 R.Johnson)Similar
Q3 0:11
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+7
13.8%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #0 D.Carter caught at UMASS44, for 7 yards to the UMASS37 (#7 T.Magee), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:11
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+5
14.1%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMASS32 (#0 I.Reed; #23 J.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
13.8%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass intercepted by #0 I.Reed at UMASS15 #0 I.Reed return 1 yard to the UMASS16 (#5 V.Allen III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:2690% → 94%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
10.0%
(14:43) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UMASS24 (#35 M.Munn; #3 L.Noel)Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+4
9.1%
(14:07) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMASS28 (#41 S.Allison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
8.5%
(13:30) Shotgun #8 K.Dia-Johnson rush right for 11 yards gain to the UMASS39 (#35 M.Munn), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
7.7%
(12:55) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass incomplete deep middle to #1 J.Griffin Jr. thrown to RU09. #35 M.Munn injured on the playSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
7.5%
(12:42) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short left to #11 M.Dowling caught at UMASS35, for 0 yards to the UMASS39 (#99 R.Porter; #91 J.Lee)Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+6
7.3%
(12:15) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short right to #83 R.Adkins caught at UMASS43, for 6 yards to the UMASS45 (#41 S.Allison)Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+5
6.7%
(11:54) PENALTY UMASS False Start (#51 G.Mills) 5 yards from UMASS45 to UMASS40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
6.5%
(11:20) #43 E.Phillipson punt 59 yards to the RU01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:056% → 6%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
5.9%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #11 L.Blake thrown to RU13Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 1
-5
5.7%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass intercepted by #22 J.Harmon at RU12 #22 J.Harmon return 5 yards to the RU07 (#2 B.Black III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18FG
6 plays · -6 yds · 3:0295% → 97%
Q4 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
5.2%
(10:56) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:56 PENALTY UMASS Illegal Shift (#2 T.Harding) 5 yards from RU07 to RU12. NO PLAY. #41 S.Allison injured on the playSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
4.9%
(10:51) Shotgun #14 C.Kimmons IV rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU11 (#10 T.Morris; #8 S.Kromah)Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+15
4.6%
(10:17) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU08 (#20 C.Joines) PENALTY UMASS Face Mask (#83 R.Adkins) 15 yards from RU11 to RU26. NO PLAY. #20 C.Joines injured on the playSimilar
Q4 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 26
+6
4.1%
(09:26) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RU20 (#99 R.Porter; #7 K.Levy)Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
+7
3.7%
(08:35) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RU13 (#3 L.Noel)Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
2.8%
(08:07) #99 D.Morris field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills), clock 07:54Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:403% → 10%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.0%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #8 K.Duff thrown to RU35 broken up by #38 Z.DanielSimilar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
2.8%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan sacked for loss of 3 yards to the RU22 (#38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
2.1%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #8 K.Duff thrown to RU37 broken up by #6 J.IseahSimilar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+78
9.7%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete deep left to #8 K.Duff caught at UMASS45, for 78 yards to the UMASS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:09, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1892% → 94%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
8.3%
(07:04) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMASS28 (#90 F.Gnago)Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
7.4%
(06:15) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UMASS26 (#11 M.Davis; #96 K.Griffin)Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
6.2%
(05:32) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short middle to #83 R.Adkins caught at UMASS26, for 2 yards to the UMASS28 (#9 D.Gilley)Similar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
5.6%
(04:43) #43 E.Phillipson punt 67 yards to the RU05 #18 Q.Redding return 11 yards to the RU16 (#44 T.Hinspeter; #6 J.Iseah) PENALTY RU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#19 D.Fuse) 7 yards from RU15 to RU08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-6
5.3%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass intercepted by #22 J.Harmon at RU28 #22 J.Harmon return 6 yards to the RU22 (#3 A.Raymond)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:0496% → 99%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
4.4%
(04:29) Shotgun #14 C.Kimmons IV rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RU17 (#10 T.Morris; #9 D.Gilley)Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
1.0%
(04:27) Shotgun #14 C.Kimmons IV rush middle for 17 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:27, 1ST DOWN #99 D.Morris kick attempt good (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:261% → 4%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.4%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short middle to #9 C.Thevenin thrown to RU25Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.3%
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at RU31, for 8 yards to the RU33 (#19 D.Chiavegato)Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
1.3%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 0 yards to the RU33 (#42 A.DePaepe)Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+8
1.3%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short middle to #0 D.Carter caught at RU41, for 8 yards to the RU41 (#15 K.Bendolph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
1.3%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short middle to #0 D.Carter thrown to RU47Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
1.1%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short middle to #5 V.Allen III caught at RU49, for 10 yards to the UMASS49 (#7 T.Magee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
1.2%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace sacked for loss of 2 yards to the RU49 (#95 H.Dirstine, #15 K.Bendolph)Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+36
1.1%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete deep right to #8 K.Duff caught at UMASS15, for 36 yards to the UMASS15 (#7 T.Magee), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UMASS Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
1.1%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short middle to #4 J.Houston thrown to UMASS11Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
1.1%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short middle to #4 J.Houston caught at UMASS15, for 9 yards to the UMASS06 (#3 K.Bournes)Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
3.6%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at UMASS00, for 6 yards to the UMASS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:57, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24END OF HALF
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:2699% → 99%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
1.5%
(01:49) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 0 yards to the RU41 (#99 R.Porter; #5 B.Jones)Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
1.3%
(01:05) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short left to #86 J.Markovich caught at RU41, for 8 yards to the RU33 (#5 B.Jones)Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
1.2%
(00:19) Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU30 (#5 B.Jones; #10 T.Morris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 8:22
#99 D.Morris field goal attempt from 52 yards GOOD (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills), clock 08:22
-35.3
TD · Q4 7:09
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete deep left to #8 K.Duff caught at UMASS45, for 78 yards to the UMASS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:09, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)
+7.6
FG · Q2 3:42
(03:42) #99 D.Morris field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #43 E.Phillipson, LS: #51 G.Mills), clock 03:42
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com