Try the model
EIU

Eastern Illinois 7 at Minnesota 59

MINN
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2026 · Huntington Bank Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.1MINN 99.8%(13:42) #46 C.Cox punt 48 yards to theMINN31 #11 J.Tracy return 69 yards tothe EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:26 #36D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)AWAY 7 - HOME 42 · Q3 13:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:26 · (13:42) #46 C.Cox punt 48 yards to the MINN31 #11 J.Tracy return 69 yards to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:26 #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior+35.7Home team on offense+29.3Score differential+22.4Blowout margin+11.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.2Garbage-time factor+7.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:29: (04:29) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush left for 1 yard gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:29 #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup) — MINN win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:20: (14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 27 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:20, 1ST DOWN #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup) — MINN win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:00: (09:00) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass complete short left to #22 T.Buggs caught at MINN08, for 8 yards to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:00, 1ST DOWN #47 D.Schiller kick attempt good (H: #46 C.Cox, LS: #38 M.Toledo) — EIU win probability +1.0 pts (now 2%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:15: (03:18) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:15. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was not down by contact". CALL UPHELD #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup) — MINN win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:06: (00:07) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #19 P.Walsh caught at EIU00, for 1 yard to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:06 #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup) — MINN win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4EIU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 11:51MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:15EIU 4th & 8 at EIU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:14EIU 4th & 3 at EIU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:31EIU 4th & 11 at EIU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:43EIU 4th & 19 at EIU 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:26EIU 4th & 8 at EIU 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:56EIU 4th & 9 at EIU 26, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:06EIU 4th & 3 at EIU 11, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:17MINN 4th & 8 at EIU 12, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:13EIU 4th & 16 at EIU 19, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:56EIU 4th & 5 at EIU 23, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:19MINN 4th & 5 at EIU 36, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:11EIU 4th & 5 at EIU 8, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:25MINN 4th & 1 at EIU 1, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8EIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:29MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:14MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:20MINN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:00EIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:15MINN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:06MINN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:26MINN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:29MINN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:25MINN Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:0199% → 99%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.0%
(14:59) No Huddle #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MINN31 (#4 D.Conway)Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.0%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #11 J.Tracy caught at MINN34, for 3 yards to the MINN34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.9%
(13:51) No Huddle #5 D.Lindsey rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MINN36 (#55 J.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
98.9%
(13:15) #1 D.Taylor rush right for 6 yards gain to the MINN42 (#34 J.Stewart)Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
98.9%
(12:39) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short left to #11 J.Tracy thrown to MINN40Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-1
98.8%
(12:37) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MINN41 (#42 I.Engle)Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
98.8%
(11:55) #42 T.Weston punt 37 yards to the EIU22 fair catch by #2 D.Whitlock at EIU22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
98.8%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Whitlock rush left for 2 yards loss to the EIU20 (#99 T.Randle; #6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 12
OWN 20
-3
98.7%
(11:15) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue sacked for loss of 3 yards to the EIU17 (#3 T.Bush Jr.)Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 15
OWN 17
+7
98.7%
(10:31) Shotgun #4 C.Kellom rush middle for 7 yards gain to the EIU24 (#3 T.Bush Jr.)Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
98.7%
(10:21) #46 C.Cox punt 27 yards to the MINN49, out of bounds at MINN49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3TD
12 plays · 51 yds · 5:3899% → 98%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
98.7%
(10:13) No Huddle #23 T.Thomas rush right for 3 yards gain to the EIU48 (#45 E.Hehl; #34 J.Stewart)Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
98.6%
(09:40) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short right to #13 N.Jennings thrown to EIU30Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+19
98.6%
(09:35) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #1 D.Taylor caught at EIU41, for 19 yards to the EIU29 (#25 C.Sharp; #11 N.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
98.5%
(08:53) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EIU24 (#0 N.Maryland; #45 E.Hehl)Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+12
98.5%
(08:06) #23 T.Thomas rush left for 12 yards gain to the EIU12 (#15 B.Worsley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
98.4%
(07:16) #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #8 J.Smith caught at EIU08, for 4 yards to the EIU08 (#6 J.Addo-Boateng; #16 M.Valenzuela)Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+5
98.3%
PENALTY MINN False Start (#87 K.Helms) 5 yards from EIU08 to EIU13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+5
98.3%
(06:15) #1 D.Taylor rush left for 5 yards gain to the EIU08 (#0 N.Maryland)Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+5
98.2%
(05:30) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #1 D.Taylor caught at EIU10, for 5 yards to the EIU03 (#1 S.Maiava Jr)Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+2
98.0%
(04:47) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU02 (#16 M.Valenzuela) PENALTY EIU Illegal Substitution 2 yards from EIU03 to EIU01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
(04:29) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush left for 1 yard gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:29 #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:092% → 2%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.2%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Kellom rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EIU28 (#19 J.Gerlach)Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
98.2%
PENALTY EIU False Start (#82 W.Weems) 5 yards from EIU28 to EIU23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
98.1%
(03:28) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EIU29 (#4 Z.Harden)Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
98.1%
(02:45) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass complete short left to #4 C.Kellom caught at EIU23, for 3 yards to the EIU32 (#17 J.Nestor) PENALTY EIU Holding declinedSimilar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+87
98.4%
(02:29) #46 C.Cox punt 55 yards to the MINN13 #11 J.Tracy return 87 yards to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:14 PENALTY EIU Illegal Formation declined #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:412% → 2%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.4%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass incomplete short right to #2 D.Whitlock thrown to EIU31 PENALTY EIU Personal Foul (#57 P.Mihalopoulos) 12 yards from EIU25 to EIU13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+3
98.4%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Whitlock rush right for 3 yards gain to the EIU16 (#49 M.Kingsbury), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
98.4%
(01:26) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass incomplete short right thrown to EIU10 QB hurried by #49 M.KingsburySimilar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+8
98.4%
(01:19) Shotgun #1 J.Fleming-Page rush middle for 8 yards gain to the EIU24 (#11 K.Menz)Similar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
98.3%
(00:35) #46 C.Cox punt 42 yards to the MINN34, out of bounds at MINN34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 0:5998% → 99%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
98.4%
(00:30) No Huddle #5 D.Lindsey pass complete deep middle to #13 N.Jennings caught at EIU45, for 28 yards to the EIU38 (#25 C.Sharp; #21 K.Lyons), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
98.4%
(14:58) No Huddle #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #13 N.Jennings caught at EIU30, for 11 yards to the EIU27 (#25 C.Sharp), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.0%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 27 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:20, 1ST DOWN #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:151% → 2%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Kellom rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU26 (#6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
98.9%
(13:42) Shotgun #4 C.Kellom rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EIU30 (#11 K.Menz; #6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
98.9%
(13:06) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass complete short left to #4 C.Kellom caught at EIU31, for 5 yards to the EIU35, out of bounds at EIU35, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.9%
(12:32) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue rush middle for 0 yards to the EIU35 (#55 J.Hicks)Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.9%
(11:44) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass complete short middle to #2 D.Whitlock caught at EIU35, for 6 yards to the EIU41 (#14 K.Brown)Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+30
98.8%
(10:59) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass complete short left to #22 T.Buggs caught at EIU37, for 30 yards to the MINN29 (#22 M.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.7%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass incomplete short middle to #3 S.Gonzalez thrown to MINN21 broken up by #49 M.Kingsbury. #49 M.Kingsbury injured on the playSimilar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
98.7%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue rush right for 17 yards gain to the MINN12 (#5 A.West), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.7%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass incomplete short middle to #84 J.Reeves thrown to MINN02 broken up by #49 M.KingsburySimilar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
98.7%
(09:45) Shotgun #22 T.Buggs rush left for 4 yards gain to the MINN08 (#14 K.Brown; #70 N.Crowder)Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
97.7%
(09:00) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass complete short left to #22 T.Buggs caught at MINN08, for 8 yards to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:00, 1ST DOWN #47 D.Schiller kick attempt good (H: #46 C.Cox, LS: #38 M.Toledo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 5:3198% → 99%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
97.9%
(08:54) No Huddle #23 T.Thomas rush left for 2 yards loss to the MINN25 (#5 J.Nickson)Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 12
OWN 25
-1
97.7%
(08:08) #1 D.Taylor rush right for 1 yard loss to the MINN24 (#45 E.Hehl; #43 L.Burt)Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+17
97.6%
(07:28) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #11 J.Tracy caught at MINN28, for 17 yards to the MINN41 (#0 N.Maryland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
97.8%
(06:42) #23 T.Thomas rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MINN46 (#4 D.Conway)Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-3
97.7%
(05:59) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush left for 3 yards loss to the MINN43 (#43 L.Burt)Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+55
97.5%
(05:17) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete deep right to #11 J.Tracy caught at EIU37, for 55 yards to the EIU02 (#1 S.Maiava Jr), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (05:17) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete deep right to #11 J.Tracy caught at EIU37, for 55 yards to the EIU02 (#1 S.Maiava Jr), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q2 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.6%
(04:08) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU01 (#1 S.Maiava Jr; #13 P.Whitley)Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
97.6%
(03:36) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 2 yards loss to the EIU03 (#45 E.Hehl)Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.0%
(03:18) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:15. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was not down by contact". CALL UPHELD #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · -9 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.8%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Whitlock rush middle for 2 yards loss to the EIU23 (#0 A.Smith; #3 T.Bush Jr.)Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
98.8%
(02:35) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass complete short right to #1 J.Fleming-Page caught at EIU24, for 4 yards to the EIU27 (#14 K.Brown) PENALTY EIU Holding (#75 D.Trujillo) 10 yards from EIU23 to EIU13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 22
OWN 13
-1
98.8%
(02:15) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass complete short left to #4 C.Kellom caught at EIU11, for 1 yard loss to the EIU12 (#4 Z.Harden)Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 23
OWN 12
+4
98.8%
(01:58) Shotgun #4 C.Kellom rush right for 4 yards gain to the EIU16 (#6 M.Baranowski; #2 E.Karmo) PENALTY EIU Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+8
98.8%
(01:52) #46 C.Cox punt 45 yards to the MINN39 #11 J.Tracy return 8 yards to the MINN47 (#43 L.Burt), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10TD
12 plays · 53 yds · 1:3099% → 100%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.1%
(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush left for 6 yards gain to the EIU47 (#25 C.Sharp)Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+7
99.1%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #1 D.Taylor caught at EIU44, for 7 yards to the EIU40 (#43 L.Burt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.2%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #8 J.Smith caught at EIU40, for 7 yards to the EIU33 (#15 B.Worsley)Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
99.2%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short middle to #88 J.Simpson thrown to EIU14 QB hurried by #41 A.ArchibaldSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+6
99.1%
(00:37) Shotgun #23 T.Thomas rush right for 6 yards gain to the EIU27 (#41 A.Archibald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.2%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short right to #23 T.Thomas thrown to EIU25Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
99.2%
(00:26) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #11 J.Tracy caught at EIU22, for 6 yards to the EIU21 (#25 C.Sharp). #25 C.Sharp injured on the playSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+17
99.2%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #11 J.Tracy caught at EIU15, for 17 yards to the EIU04, out of bounds at EIU04, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.0%
(00:15) #1 D.Taylor rush right for 3 yards gain to the EIU01 (#6 J.Addo-Boateng; #1 S.Maiava Jr)Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
(00:07) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #19 P.Walsh caught at EIU00, for 1 yard to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:06 #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.7%
(00:04) Kneel down by #7 C.LaCrue at EIU23 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:212% → 0%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
98.2%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue rush right for 2 yards gain to the EIU21 (#49 M.Kingsbury)Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
99.7%
(14:18) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Kellom thrown to EIU14Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
99.7%
(14:14) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass complete short left to #4 C.Kellom caught at EIU20, for 0 yards to the EIU21 QB hurried by #9 G.Monroe (#2 E.Karmo), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+69
99.8%
(13:42) #46 C.Cox punt 48 yards to the MINN31 #11 J.Tracy return 69 yards to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:26 #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Kellom rush middle for 0 yards to the EIU25 (#6 M.Baranowski; #19 J.Gerlach)Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
(12:49) Shotgun #4 C.Kellom rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU26 (#11 K.Menz)Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
(12:08) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass incomplete short right to #87 A.Ginnever thrown to EIU20 QB hurried by #3 T.Bush Jr.Similar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.8%
(12:01) #46 C.Cox punt 53 yards to the MINN21 #11 J.Tracy return 3 yards to the MINN24 (#11 N.Williams)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 72 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
99.8%
(11:54) No Huddle #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #8 J.Smith caught at MINN38, for 15 yards to the MINN39 (#8 N.Vecchiarelli), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+27
99.8%
(11:13) #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #19 P.Walsh caught at EIU44, for 27 yards to the EIU34 (#0 N.Maryland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.8%
(10:27) #5 D.Lindsey rush right for 4 yards gain to the EIU30 (#34 J.Stewart)Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+8
99.8%
(09:51) #23 T.Thomas rush left for 8 yards gain to the EIU22 (#27 J.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+18
99.8%
(09:10) #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #23 T.Thomas caught at EIU22, for 18 yards to the EIU04 fumbled by #23 T.Thomas at EIU08 forced by #19 M.Tupou recovered by EIU #8 N.Vecchiarelli at EIU04, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
99.8%
PENALTY MINN Offside (#98 A.Kissayi) 5 yards from EIU04 to EIU09. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 5
OWN 9
+4
99.8%
(08:55) Shotgun #22 T.Buggs rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EIU13 (#3 T.Bush Jr.; #22 M.Smith)Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 1
OWN 13
0
99.8%
(08:24) Shotgun #22 T.Buggs rush middle for 0 yards to the EIU13 (#22 M.Smith)Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 1
OWN 13
-2
99.8%
(07:48) Shotgun #22 T.Buggs rush middle for 2 yards loss to the EIU11 (#99 T.Randle; #6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q3 7:06
4TH & 3
OWN 11
0
99.9%
(07:11) #46 C.Cox punt 46 yards to the MINN43 fair catch by #11 J.Tracy at MINN43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
99.8%
(07:04) No Huddle #23 T.Thomas rush right for 20 yards gain to the EIU37 (#27 J.Brown), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.8%
(06:15) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #23 T.Thomas caught at EIU32, for 5 yards to the EIU32 (#32 C.Kimbro)Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+18
99.8%
(05:35) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #13 N.Jennings caught at EIU20, for 18 yards to the EIU14 (#27 J.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.9%
(04:48) Shotgun #20 R.Estrada rush left for 1 yard gain to the EIU13 (#42 I.Engle)Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+1
99.9%
(04:04) #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #20 R.Estrada caught at EIU14, for 1 yard to the EIU12 (#6 J.Addo-Boateng)Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
99.9%
(03:20) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short middle to #11 J.Tracy thrown to EIU00Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+31
99.9%
(03:18) #36 D.Jackson field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup), clock 03:17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 T.Buggs rush right for 4 yards loss to the EIU21 (#4 Z.Harden; #46 M.Carrier)Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
99.9%
(02:39) Shotgun #22 T.Buggs rush middle for 0 yards to the EIU21 (#4 Z.Harden; #70 N.Crowder)Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-2
99.9%
(02:00) Shotgun #15 J.Salem pass complete short middle to #2 D.Whitlock caught at EIU21, for 2 yards loss to the EIU19 QB hurried by #4 Z.Harden (#21 N.Parrish)Similar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.9%
(01:17) #46 C.Cox punt 33 yards to the MINN48, out of bounds at MINN48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.9%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Shikenjanski pass complete short left to #25 Z.Steptoe caught at MINN48, for 6 yards to the EIU46 (#13 P.Whitley)Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-1
99.9%
(00:31) #20 R.Estrada rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EIU47 (#43 L.Burt)Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+10
99.9%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Estrada rush left for 10 yards gain to the EIU37 (#4 D.Conway), 1ST DOWN. #4 D.Conway injured on the playSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+33
99.9%
(14:18) No Huddle #6 M.Shikenjanski pass complete short right to #84 H.Moore caught at EIU40, for 33 yards to the EIU04 (#27 J.Brown), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
99.9%
(13:24) Shotgun Minnesota rush middle for 9 yards loss to the EIU13, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+11
99.9%
(12:46) Shotgun #6 M.Shikenjanski pass complete short left to #20 R.Estrada caught at EIU14, for 11 yards to the EIU02 (#11 N.Williams). #20 R.Estrada injured on the playSimilar
Q4 12:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
(12:29) No Huddle #6 M.Shikenjanski rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:29 #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
99.9%
PENALTY EIU False Start (#65 C.Fichtel) 5 yards from EIU18 to EIU13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 15
OWN 13
0
99.9%
(12:24) Shotgun #35 Z.Lewis rush middle for 0 yards to the EIU13 (#98 A.Kissayi; #45 S.Macy)Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+10
99.9%
(11:44) Shotgun #15 J.Salem pass complete short left to #35 Z.Lewis caught at EIU09, for 10 yards to the EIU23 (#21 N.Parrish; #46 M.Carrier)Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
100.0%
(11:05) Shotgun #15 J.Salem pass incomplete short left to #35 Z.Lewis thrown to EIU27 QB hurried by #90 X.ChapmanSimilar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
100.0%
(10:59) #46 C.Cox punt 44 yards to the MINN33 fair catch by #24 B.Stevens at MINN33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:28100% → 100%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
(10:54) No Huddle #9 X.Ford rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MINN37 (#16 M.Valenzuela)Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
(10:07) Shotgun #16 B.Palmer pass complete short left to #7 B.Martino caught at MINN39, for 6 yards to the MINN43 (#30 D.Doss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
(09:24) Shotgun #16 B.Palmer pass complete short middle to #44 G.Rohl caught at MINN47, for 6 yards to the MINN49 (#16 M.Valenzuela)Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+10
99.9%
(08:44) Shotgun #9 X.Ford rush middle for 10 yards gain to the EIU41 (#16 M.Valenzuela; #15 B.Worsley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
(07:59) Shotgun #16 B.Palmer rush middle for 0 yards to the EIU41 (#98 A.Kaminski)Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
(07:16) #22 J.Thomas rush left for 5 yards gain to the EIU36 (#27 J.Brown; #53 D.Viramontes)Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
100.0%
(06:28) Shotgun #16 B.Palmer pass incomplete short left to #9 X.Ford thrown to EIU30Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
99.9%
(06:24) #37 Z.Robbins punt 33 yards to the EIU03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
100.0%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 Z.Lewis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU04 (#92 S.Kaba)Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 9
OWN 4
-1
100.0%
(05:40) Shotgun #35 Z.Lewis rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EIU03 (#2 E.Karmo; #92 S.Kaba)Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+5
100.0%
(05:01) Shotgun #35 Z.Lewis rush right for 5 yards gain to the EIU08 (#48 A.Aytch)Similar
Q4 4:11
4TH & 5
OWN 8
+26
100.0%
(04:22) #46 C.Cox punt 52 yards to the MINN40 #24 B.Stevens return 26 yards to the EIU34 (#39 D.Humphrey)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22TD
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:34100% → 100%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
100.0%
(04:08) #28 N.Castillo rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU33 (#16 M.Valenzuela)Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+8
100.0%
(03:25) Shotgun #16 B.Palmer rush left for 8 yards gain to the EIU25 (#7 C.Henry), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+1
100.0%
(02:42) #28 N.Castillo rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU24 (#19 M.Tupou), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
100.0%
(02:04) Shotgun #16 B.Palmer pass complete short left to #84 H.Moore caught at EIU16, for 9 yards to the EIU15 (#43 L.Burt; #7 C.Henry)Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+13
100.0%
(01:59) #16 B.Palmer pass complete short right to #89 Q.Hendryx caught at EIU16, for 13 yards to the EIU02 (#11 N.Williams), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY EIU Face Mask (#11 N.Williams) 1 yard from EIU02 to EIU01, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
100.0%
(01:53) #28 N.Castillo rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EIU02 (#52 B.Sholl)Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
100.0%
(01:11) #28 N.Castillo rush right for 1 yard gain to the EIU01 (#8 N.Vecchiarelli)Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
(00:31) #16 B.Palmer pass incomplete short right to #84 H.Moore thrown to EIU00 broken up by #2 B.MitchellSimilar
Q4 0:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
(00:29) #9 X.Ford rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:25 #92 B.Sunderland kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #53 J.Lutz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
100.0%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 Z.Lewis rush right for 3 yards loss to the EIU22 fumbled by #35 Z.Lewis at EIU23 forced by #35 N.Cleveland recovered by EIU #35 Z.Lewis at EIU22, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:15
(03:18) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:15. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was not down by contact". CALL UPHELD #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)
+1.4
TD · Q2 9:00
(09:00) Shotgun #7 C.LaCrue pass complete short left to #22 T.Buggs caught at MINN08, for 8 yards to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:00, 1ST DOWN #47 D.Schiller kick attempt good (H: #46 C.Cox, LS: #38 M.Toledo)
-1
TD · Q2 0:06
(00:07) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #19 P.Walsh caught at EIU00, for 1 yard to the EIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:06 #36 D.Jackson kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com