2026 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026 · California Memorial Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
PITT28
CAL23
PITT by 5
Win chance
PITT71%
PITT 71%CAL 29%
Projected total
50pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
66%
chance Pittsburgh wins by 3 or more
34% Pittsburgh wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← CAL winsPITT wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- CAL by 2 to PITT by 21
- 80% of outcomes
- CAL by 11 to PITT by 30
- 90% of outcomes
- CAL by 18 to PITT by 35
- Median
- PITT by 11
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.