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2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · California Memorial Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
CAL35
STAN20
CAL by 15
Win chance
CAL79%
STAN 21%CAL 79%
Projected total
54pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
51%
chance California wins by 14 or more
49% California wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← STAN winsCAL wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
50% of outcomes
CAL by 2 to 23
80% of outcomes
STAN by 7 to CAL by 34
90% of outcomes
STAN by 14 to CAL by 37
Median
CAL by 14
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com