2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
LOU29
PITT24
LOU by 5
Win chance
LOU54%
PITT 46%LOU 54%
Projected total
53pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
48%
chance Louisville wins by 3 or more
52% Louisville wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← PITT winsLOU wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- PITT by 8 to LOU by 13
- 80% of outcomes
- PITT by 16 to LOU by 24
- 90% of outcomes
- PITT by 22 to LOU by 32
- Median
- LOU by 1
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.