Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
MIA43
DUKE13
MIA by 30 · market MIA by 21
Win chance
MIA96%
DUKE 4%MIA 96%
Projected total
56pts
Market total 55.5
Explore the range of outcomes
36%
chance Miami wins by 28 or more
64% Miami wins by 27 or fewer, or loses
← DUKE winsMIA wins →
-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- MIA by 15 to 31
- 80% of outcomes
- MIA by 4 to 42
- 90% of outcomes
- MIA by 1 to 46
- Median
- MIA by 23
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.