2026 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2026 · Acrisure Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
PITT29
FSU24
PITT by 5
Win chance
PITT66%
FSU 34%PITT 66%
Projected total
54pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
57%
chance Pittsburgh wins by 3 or more
43% Pittsburgh wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← FSU winsPITT wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- FSU by 3 to PITT by 17
- 80% of outcomes
- FSU by 13 to PITT by 25
- 90% of outcomes
- FSU by 18 to PITT by 33
- Median
- PITT by 5
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.