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2026 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026 · Notre Dame Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for reference
Projected score
ND30
MIA23
ND by 7 · market ND by 6.5
Win chance
ND67%
MIA 33%ND 67%
Projected total
53pts
Market total 54.5
Explore the range of outcomes
61%
chance Notre Dame wins by 3 or more
39% Notre Dame wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← MIA winsND wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
50% of outcomes
MIA by 3 to ND by 18
80% of outcomes
MIA by 14 to ND by 28
90% of outcomes
MIA by 23 to ND by 34
Median
ND by 7
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com