2026 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2026 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
SMU31
VT26
SMU by 5
Win chance
SMU63%
VT 37%SMU 63%
Projected total
58pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
57%
chance SMU wins by 3 or more
43% SMU wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← VT winsSMU wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- VT by 4 to SMU by 15
- 80% of outcomes
- VT by 15 to SMU by 28
- 90% of outcomes
- VT by 22 to SMU by 33
- Median
- SMU by 5
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.