2026 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
LOU41
STAN15
LOU by 26
Win chance
LOU93%
STAN 7%LOU 93%
Projected total
57pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
58%
chance Louisville wins by 21 or more
42% Louisville wins by 20 or fewer, or loses
← STAN winsLOU wins →
-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- LOU by 14 to 36
- 80% of outcomes
- LOU by 6 to 41
- 90% of outcomes
- STAN by 3 to LOU by 46
- Median
- LOU by 24
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.