Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
UVA27
DUKE24
UVA by 3 · market UVA by 6.5
Win chance
UVA57%
DUKE 43%UVA 57%
Projected total
52pts
Market total 53.5
Explore the range of outcomes
57%
chance Virginia wins
43% Duke wins
← DUKE winsUVA wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- DUKE by 6 to UVA by 13
- 80% of outcomes
- DUKE by 19 to UVA by 23
- 90% of outcomes
- DUKE by 23 to UVA by 30
- Median
- UVA by 2
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.