2026 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
SMU35
CAL20
SMU by 15
Win chance
SMU79%
CAL 21%SMU 79%
Projected total
54pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
48%
chance SMU wins by 14 or more
52% SMU wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← CAL winsSMU wins →
-21-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- SMU by 3 to 28
- 80% of outcomes
- CAL by 7 to SMU by 35
- 90% of outcomes
- CAL by 14 to SMU by 40
- Median
- SMU by 12
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.