2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · California Memorial Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
WAKE31
CAL22
WAKE by 9 · market WAKE by 9.75
Win chance
WAKE68%
WAKE 68%CAL 32%
Projected total
53pts
Market total 53.5
Explore the range of outcomes
55%
chance Wake Forest wins by 7 or more
45% Wake Forest wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← CAL winsWAKE wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- CAL by 3 to WAKE by 25
- 80% of outcomes
- CAL by 12 to WAKE by 31
- 90% of outcomes
- CAL by 17 to WAKE by 37
- Median
- WAKE by 9
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | 30% | 40% | 9% |
| Also riding on it | Now | WAKE wins (68%)If Wake Forest wins (68%) | CAL wins (32%)If California wins (32%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | 42% | 42% | 44% |
| USC | 20% | 20% | 21% |
| James Madison | 49% | 48% | 50% |
and 9 more teams whose odds move a little
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds