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2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for reference
Projected score
PITT28
BC17
PITT by 11 · market PITT by 6.5
Win chance
PITT79%
PITT 79%BC 21%
Projected total
45pts
Market total 43.75
Explore the range of outcomes
64%
chance Pittsburgh wins by 7 or more
36% Pittsburgh wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← BC winsPITT wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
50% of outcomes
PITT by 2 to 28
80% of outcomes
BC by 7 to PITT by 32
90% of outcomes
BC by 17 to PITT by 37
Median
PITT by 12
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake

Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.

The teams playingNowWith a
win
With a
loss
Pittsburgh4%5%1%

2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds

YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com