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2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · JMA Wireless Dome
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for reference
Projected score
LOU31
SYR24
LOU by 7 · market LOU by 14.5
Win chance
LOU75%
LOU 75%SYR 25%
Projected total
55pts
Market total 55.75
Explore the range of outcomes
57%
chance Louisville wins by 7 or more
43% Louisville wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← SYR winsLOU wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
50% of outcomes
Even to LOU by 21
80% of outcomes
SYR by 11 to LOU by 36
90% of outcomes
SYR by 16 to LOU by 36
Median
LOU by 9
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake

Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.

The teams playingNowWith a
win
With a
loss
Louisville2%2%<1%

2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds

YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com