2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · Hard Rock Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
MIA39
FSU19
MIA by 20 · market MIA by 21
Win chance
MIA95%
FSU 5%MIA 95%
Projected total
58pts
Market total 55.75
Explore the range of outcomes
67%
chance Miami wins by 14 or more
33% Miami wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← FSU winsMIA wins →
-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- MIA by 11 to 30
- 80% of outcomes
- MIA by 3 to 39
- 90% of outcomes
- Even to MIA by 44
- Median
- MIA by 19
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 95% | 96% | 80% |
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds