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STAN

Stanford 7 at Notre Dame 58

ND
2026 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:55: (02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #1 J.Greathouse caught at STAN00, for 3 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:55, 1ST DOWN #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci) — ND win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:48: J. Walton run for 97 yds, for a TD (S. Porath KICK) (S. Porath PAT MISSED) — ND win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 12:27: (12:29) #35 S.Porath field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci), clock 12:27 — STAN win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:05: (07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush middle for 31 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:05, 1ST DOWN #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci) — ND win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:43: (02:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #88 B.Blackburn caught at UND00, for 3 yards to the UND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:43 #13 E.Kenney kick attempt good (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #47 A.Chavez) — STAN win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 3STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:07STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:43ND 4th & 10 at ND 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:41STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 23, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:47STAN 4th & 10 at ND 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:27ND 4th & 6 at STAN 15, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:20STAN 4th & 18 at STAN 28, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:22STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 30, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:06STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 32, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:44ND 4th & 3 at STAN 42, up 37
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:48STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 18, down 37
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:46STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 43, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 8 of 8STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:06ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:55ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:48ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:05ND Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:26ND Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:37ND Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:43STAN Touchdown, down 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:47ND Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:00ND Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.0%
(14:52) Shotgun #8 D.Warren sacked for loss of 2 yards to the STAN18 (#5 B.Traore), fumble by #8 D.Warren recovered by UND #4 J.Ausberry at STAN18, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2TD
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:3699% → 99%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.0%
(14:48) Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the STAN15 (#0 J.Galvan)Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+10
98.9%
(14:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #14 M.Gilbert caught at STAN08, for 10 yards to the STAN05 (#4 L.Bryant; #0 J.Galvan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.9%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STAN02 (#10 S.Mattingly)Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:06 #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:471% → 1%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
98.9%
(12:59) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 4 yards gain to the STAN23 (#34 D.Bowen)Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
98.8%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short right to #23 N.Brown thrown to STAN25Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
98.8%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short middle to #23 N.Brown thrown to STAN28 broken up by #12 J.SandersSimilar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
98.8%
(12:12) #37 A.Flintoft punt 35 yards to the UND42 fair catch by #6 J.Faison at UND42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1899% → 99%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.8%
(12:07) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete deep right to #14 M.Gilbert thrown to STAN27 broken up by #14 D.PollardSimilar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
98.8%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short middle to #1 J.Greathouse thrown to UND44 broken up by #10 S.MattinglySimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
98.8%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short right to #2 N.James Jr. thrown to UND44Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
98.8%
(11:50) #39 J.Scaife punt 44 yards to the STAN14 fair catch by #13 L.Thorpe at STAN14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:531% → 1%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
98.8%
(11:43) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #23 N.Brown caught at STAN12, for 3 yards to the STAN17 (#2 D.McKinney)Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+2
98.7%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN19 (#10 L.Thomas)Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+4
98.7%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren rush left for 4 yards gain to the STAN23 (#2 D.McKinney), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
98.7%
(09:47) #37 A.Flintoft punt 47 yards to the UND30 fair catch by #6 J.Faison at UND30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 6:4299% → 99%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
98.7%
(09:41) Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UND35 (#5 J.Green)Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+1
98.6%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush left for 1 yard gain to the UND36 (#0 J.Galvan)Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+9
98.6%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UND45 (#49 G.Kaminski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.6%
(07:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 0 yards to the UND45 (#10 S.Mattingly; #44 E.Cooper)Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
98.5%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #1 J.Greathouse caught at UND50, for 11 yards to the STAN44 (#4 L.Bryant), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
98.5%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 1 yard loss to the STAN45 (#10 S.Mattingly)Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+5
98.4%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STAN40 (#5 J.Green; #0 J.Galvan)Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+9
98.4%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush left for 9 yards gain to the STAN31 (#10 S.Mattingly), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
98.3%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #6 J.Faison caught at STAN32, for 3 yards to the STAN28 (#5 J.Green; #0 J.Galvan)Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+16
98.3%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #1 J.Greathouse caught at STAN12, for 16 yards to the STAN12, out of bounds at STAN12, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
98.2%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 9 yards gain to the STAN03 (#0 J.Galvan)Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
98.5%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #1 J.Greathouse caught at STAN00, for 3 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:55, 1ST DOWN #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 1:522% → 2%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
98.4%
(02:49) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #4 J.Onovughe caught at STAN31, for 10 yards to the STAN37 (#28 L.Talich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.3%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 6 yards gain to the STAN43 (#28 L.Talich)Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+10
98.2%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short left to #0 C.High thrown to UND38 broken up by #12 J.Sanders QB hurried by #44 R.Dunham PENALTY UND Holding (#2 D.McKinney) 10 yards from STAN43 to UND47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.2%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short right to #84 C.Holt thrown to UND45 QB hurried by #5 B.TraoreSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
98.3%
(01:44) No Huddle #20 M.Ford rush middle for 0 yards to the UND47 (#88 A.Mukam)Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
98.2%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short middle to #88 B.Blackburn thrown to UND38 broken up by #12 J.SandersSimilar
Q1 0:47
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
98.2%
(00:56) #37 A.Flintoft punt 46 yards to the UND01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8TD
2 plays · 99 yds · 0:5798% → 99%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
98.3%
(00:45) #13 C.Carr rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UND03 (#10 S.Mattingly)Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+97
99.0%
J. Walton run for 97 yds, for a TD (S. Porath KICK) (S. Porath PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9INT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:471% → 1%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
(14:48) Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN27 (#7 F.Brewu)Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.9%
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short right thrown to STAN31 QB hurried by #3 J.Sneed. #7 F.Brewu injured on the playSimilar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-18
99.2%
(14:07) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass intercepted by #5 B.Traore at STAN37 #5 B.Traore return 18 yards to the STAN19 (#0 C.High), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2299% → 99%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.2%
(13:52) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short left to #1 J.Greathouse thrown to STAN00Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+8
99.2%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush middle for 8 yards gain to the STAN11 (#5 J.Green)Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-4
99.2%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush left for 4 yards loss to the STAN15 (#0 J.Galvan)Similar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
99.1%
(12:29) #35 S.Porath field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci), clock 12:27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 3 yds · 4:021% → 1%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.9%
(12:27) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STAN28 (#0 T.Gray; #44 R.Dunham)Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
98.8%
(11:45) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #0 C.High caught at STAN28, for 8 yards to the STAN36 (#3 J.Sneed), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.8%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN38 (#44 R.Dunham)Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
98.7%
(10:12) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #23 N.Brown caught at STAN41, for 3 yards to the STAN41 (#4 J.Ausberry), out of bounds PENALTY STAN Illegal Formation 5 yards from STAN38 to STAN33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+15
98.7%
PENALTY STAN Personal Foul (#0 C.High) 15 yards from STAN33 to STAN18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 28
OWN 18
+9
98.8%
(10:03) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush left for 9 yards gain to the STAN27 (#8 A.Shuler)Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 19
OWN 27
+1
98.7%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #20 M.Ford caught at STAN20, for 1 yard to the STAN28 (#5 B.Traore)Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 18
OWN 28
+37
99.0%
(08:35) #37 A.Flintoft punt 48 yards to the UND24 #6 J.Faison return 37 yards to the STAN39 (#82 T.Kuo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 1:1199% → 100%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.2%
(08:20) Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the STAN35 (#5 J.Green)Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
99.2%
(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the STAN31 (#96 C.Bachhuber)Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+31
99.5%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush middle for 31 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:05, 1ST DOWN #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:390% → 0%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
(07:05) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STAN28 (#34 D.Bowen)Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
(06:21) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 0 yards to the STAN28 (#34 D.Bowen; #95 B.Young)Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.6%
(05:41) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #88 B.Blackburn caught at STAN37, for 14 yards to the STAN42 (#28 L.Talich) PENALTY STAN Holding (#55 S.Pale) 10 yards from STAN28 to STAN18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+12
99.7%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short middle to #88 B.Blackburn caught at STAN29, for 12 yards to the STAN30 (#34 D.Bowen)Similar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.6%
(04:36) #37 A.Flintoft punt 51 yards to the UND19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 0:39100% → 100%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
99.5%
(04:24) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #6 J.Faison caught at UND24, for 11 yards to the UND30 (#4 L.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.6%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short right thrown to UND36 QB hurried by #10 S.MattinglySimilar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+70
99.7%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete deep left to #22 A.Williams caught at STAN42, for 70 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:26, 1ST DOWN #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
99.8%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 11 yards gain to the STAN24 (#28 L.Talich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.8%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short middle to #4 J.Onovughe caught at STAN29, for 5 yards to the STAN29 (#12 J.Sanders)Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
99.7%
(02:00) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STAN32 (#10 L.Thomas; #11 K.Keeley)Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
99.8%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short middle to #88 B.Blackburn thrown to STAN37 QB hurried by #29 C.GraySimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 2
OWN 32
+10
99.7%
(01:17) #37 A.Flintoft punt 53 yards to the UND15 #6 J.Faison return 10 yards to the UND25 (#25 B.Tate)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:22100% → 100%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
(01:06) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short middle to #8 J.Bettis Jr. caught at UND30, for 5 yards to the UND30 (#10 S.Mattingly)Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete deep left to #8 J.Bettis Jr. thrown to STAN48 broken up by #4 L.BryantSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.7%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #3 M.Graham caught at UND32, for 4 yards to the UND34 (#21 S.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.8%
(14:58) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #20 J.Walton caught at UND20, for 12 yards to the UND37 (#10 S.Mattingly), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
99.8%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr rush right for 14 yards gain to the STAN49 (#14 D.Pollard), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.8%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #6 J.Faison caught at STAN47, for 2 yards to the STAN47 (#4 L.Bryant), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+5
99.8%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STAN42 (#57 K.Briehler)Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
99.8%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush left for 0 yards to the STAN42 (#49 G.Kaminski)Similar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
99.8%
(11:50) #39 J.Scaife punt 32 yards to the STAN10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.8%
(11:44) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 1 yard gain to the STAN11 (#28 L.Talich)Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
99.8%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete deep right to #89 A.Joseph thrown to STAN38Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+5
99.8%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short middle to #23 N.Brown caught at STAN24, for 25 yards to the STAN36 (#8 A.Shuler; #28 L.Talich) PENALTY STAN Pass Interference (#0 C.High) 5 yards from STAN11 to STAN06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+12
99.8%
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short middle to #88 B.Blackburn caught at STAN11, for 12 yards to the STAN18 (#34 D.Bowen)Similar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
99.8%
(10:10) #37 A.Flintoft punt 53 yards to the UND29 fair catch by #1 D.Golden at UND29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:07100% → 100%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
(09:48) Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UND34 (#6 D.Davis)Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+5
99.8%
PENALTY UND False Start (#70 A.Craig) 5 yards from UND34 to UND29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
99.8%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush right for 8 yards gain to the UND37 (#0 J.Galvan)Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+8
99.8%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush right for 8 yards gain to the UND45 (#10 S.Mattingly), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.8%
(07:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #3 M.Graham caught at UND45, for 1 yard to the UND46 (#24 L.McAllister III), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+7
99.8%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr rush left for 7 yards gain to the STAN47 (#24 L.McAllister III)Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
99.8%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #88 J.Flanigan caught at STAN46, for 3 yards to the STAN44 (#5 J.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
99.9%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr rush middle for 9 yards gain to the STAN35, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the STAN30 (#38 Z.Johnson)Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STAN30 (#5 J.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.9%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete deep left to #17 E.Burress caught at STAN04, for 30 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:37, 1ST DOWN #36 M.Drescher kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
(04:37) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 4 yards gain to the STAN29 (#11 K.Keeley)Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short left to #0 C.High thrown to STAN26 broken up by #11 K.KeeleySimilar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
99.9%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #23 N.Brown caught at STAN29, for 13 yards to the STAN42 (#34 D.Bowen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+52
99.9%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete deep left to #0 C.High caught at UND28, for 52 yards to the UND06 (#28 L.Talich), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UND Roughing The Passer (#3 J.Sneed) 3 yards from UND06 to UND03, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
(02:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #88 B.Blackburn caught at UND00, for 3 yards to the UND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:43 #13 E.Kenney kick attempt good (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #47 A.Chavez)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:50100% → 100%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
(02:41) Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UND31 (#45 O.Staples)Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
99.9%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Grubbs pass complete short left to #85 J.Larsen caught at UND34, for 14 yards to the UND45 (#38 Z.Johnson; #39 C.Eckhardt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
99.9%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush right for 2 yards loss to the UND43 (#44 E.Cooper)Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+16
99.9%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Grubbs pass complete short right to #20 J.Walton caught at UND39, for 16 yards to the STAN41 (#11 T.Tafiti), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.9%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STAN38 (#97 Z.Rowell)Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+8
99.9%
(14:58) Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush middle for 8 yards gain to the STAN30 (#49 G.Kaminski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
99.9%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush middle for 1 yard loss to the STAN31 (#10 S.Mattingly) PENALTY UND Holding (#78 O.Strebig) 10 yards from STAN30 to STAN40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 20
OPP 40
0
99.9%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Grubbs pass incomplete deep right to #8 J.Bettis Jr. thrown to STAN10Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+40
99.9%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush right for 40 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:47, 1ST DOWN #36 M.Drescher kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
100.0%
(13:47) #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #11 J.Hall caught at STAN40, for 21 yards to the STAN46, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
100.0%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #0 C.High caught at STAN49, for 4 yards to the STAN50 (#35 T.Rezac)Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 6
50
0
100.0%
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short left to #87 A.Black thrown to UND40Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 6
50
-7
100.0%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun Stanford rush middle for 7 yards loss to the STAN43 fumbled by Stanford at STAN48 recovered by STAN #8 D.Warren at STAN43, End Of Play. #20 M.Ford injured on the playSimilar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
100.0%
(11:58) #37 A.Flintoft punt 47 yards to the UND10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 23TD
16 plays · 90 yds · 8:39100% → 100%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
100.0%
(11:44) Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UND15 (#49 G.Kaminski)Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+7
100.0%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UND22 (#52 S.Howard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
100.0%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Walton rush right for 8 yards gain to the UND30 (#24 L.McAllister III)Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+14
100.0%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Grubbs pass complete short right to #24 I.Premer caught at UND30, for 14 yards to the UND44 (#14 D.Pollard), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
100.0%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Young rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UND48 (#10 S.Mattingly; #49 G.Kaminski)Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
100.0%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Grubbs pass complete short right to #11 D.Fitzgerald caught at STAN47, for 5 yards to the STAN47 (#14 D.Pollard), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
100.0%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Young rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STAN44 (#3 J.Sumlin; #57 K.Briehler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
100.0%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Grubbs pass incomplete short left to #19 L.Saldate thrown to STAN27Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
100.0%
(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Young rush middle for 6 yards gain to the STAN38 (#10 S.Mattingly; #39 C.Eckhardt)Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+7
100.0%
(07:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Grubbs pass complete short middle to #85 J.Larsen caught at STAN35, for 7 yards to the STAN31 (#24 L.McAllister III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
100.0%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Osborne rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STAN28 (#75 B.Marceau-Olayinka)Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+6
100.0%
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Osborne rush middle for 6 yards gain to the STAN22 (#75 B.Marceau-Olayinka)Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
100.0%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Osborne rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN20 (#10 S.Mattingly), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
100.0%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Osborne rush left for 13 yards gain to the STAN07 (#11 T.Tafiti), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
100.0%
(03:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Osborne rush middle for 4 yards gain to the STAN03 (#43 L.McComber)Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Osborne rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:00 #36 M.Drescher kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24INT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
(02:58) Shotgun #17 C.Mirer rush middle for 7 yards gain to the STAN32 (#23 J.Clapper)Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 C.Hampton rush middle for 0 yards to the STAN32 (#14 E.Ewetade)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
(02:00) Shotgun #5 C.Davis Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the STAN36 (#23 J.Clapper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
100.0%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Davis Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the STAN38 (#22 E.Long), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
100.0%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 C.Mirer pass intercepted by #24 M.Zackery IV at UND25, End Of Play. #24 M.Zackery IV injured on the playSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 25END OF HALF
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
(01:26) Kneel down by #9 T.Jarrard at UND23 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
100.0%
(00:47) Kneel down by #9 T.Jarrard at UND21 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-2
100.0%
(00:32) Kneel down by #9 T.Jarrard at UND19 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:48
J. Walton run for 97 yds, for a TD (S. Porath KICK) (S. Porath PAT MISSED)
+0.7
TD · Q1 2:55
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #1 J.Greathouse caught at STAN00, for 3 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:55, 1ST DOWN #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci)
+0.3
TD · Q2 7:05
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.James Jr. rush middle for 31 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:05, 1ST DOWN #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Scaife, LS: #96 J.Vinci)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com