Try the model
CAL

California 31 at UNLV 39

UNLV
2026 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026 · Allegiant Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:16 · (01:24) #29 A.Davies punt 52 yards to the UNLV23 #82 P.Zachary return 12 yards to the UNLV35 (#60 R.Vanderhoef), out of bounds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Home team on offense+7.4Garbage-time factor+0.3Score differential+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Pregame prior+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:40: (04:44) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #17 C.Perry-Smith caught at UNLV40, for 53 yards to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:40, 1ST DOWN #10 C.Perry pass attempt Successful #10 C.Perry pass attempt Successful PENALTY #10 C.Perry pass attempt Successful PENALTY UNLV Holding (#25 B.DeFries) #10 C.Perry pass attempt Successful PENALTY UNLV Holding declined — CAL win probability +11.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 3:36: (03:38) #33 T.McGough field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke), clock 03:36 — CAL win probability +8.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:38: (11:39) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:38 #91 C.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke) — CAL win probability +25.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:31: Keyan Burnett 10 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Jackson Arnold Run for Two-Point Conversion) — UNLV win probability +30.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:28: Ian Strong 10 Yd pass from Jackson Brousseau (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — CAL win probability +8.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 9CAL made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 12:20CAL 4th & 2 at UNLV 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    43.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:30UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:27CAL 4th & 27 at CAL 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:16CAL 4th & 6 at CAL 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:06UNLV 4th & 16 at UNLV 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:42CAL 4th & 12 at CAL 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:56CAL 4th & 14 at UNLV 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:22UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 38, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:52UNLV 4th & 5 at CAL 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−5.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:16CAL 4th & 2 at CAL 25, down 10
    Close callPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:08CAL 4th & 12 at CAL 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:38CAL 4th & 2 at UNLV 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−1.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−8.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:42UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 45, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:41CAL 4th & 6 at CAL 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:06UNLV 4th & 19 at UNLV 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−3.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:36CAL 4th & 14 at UNLV 20, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−3.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−10.2
    average punt
  18. Q3 1:38UNLV 4th & 12 at UNLV 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−4.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  19. Q3 0:24CAL 4th & 12 at CAL 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−4.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 13:29UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 20, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−3.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:39CAL 4th & 5 at UNLV 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.5%−1.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:07CAL 4th & 12 at UNLV 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 4CAL made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 11:30CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:31UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:18UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:40CAL Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    18.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:38CAL Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−1.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:31UNLV Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    72.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:25UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:28CAL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:3148% → 48%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
51.7%
PENALTY CAL Delay Of Game 5 yards from CAL17 to CAL12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 14:39
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+3
51.7%
(14:48) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #81 T.Sams caught at CAL15, for 3 yards to the CAL15 (#10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+8
51.8%
(14:17) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at CAL21, for 8 yards to the CAL23 (#1 M.Bin-Wahad)Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+20
51.9%
(13:32) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete deep left to #9 I.Strong caught at CAL43, for 20 yards to the CAL43, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (13:32) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete deep left to #9 I.Strong caught at CAL43, for 20 yards to the CAL43, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
51.7%
(13:13) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short left to #85 M.Mini thrown to CAL45 broken up by #8 K.Ka'aihueSimilar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
51.8%
(13:07) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at CAL39, for 8 yards to the UNLV49 (#1 M.Bin-Wahad; #7 J.Pope)Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
51.8%
(12:25) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short right to #85 M.Mini thrown to UNLV47 broken up by #42 A.PorterSimilar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+1
51.9%
(12:25) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #81 T.Sams caught at UNLV48, for 1 yard to the UNLV48 (#10 T.Fulton), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3552% → 52%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
52.4%
(12:17) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short middle to #2 T.Reddicks caught at UNLV48, for 0 yards to the UNLV48 (#0 S.Williams)Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
52.4%
(11:57) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Thomas thrown to UNLV45Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
52.2%
(11:53) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short left to #9 J.Thomas thrown to UNLV50Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
52.1%
(11:47) #26 M.Choules punt 43 yards to the CAL09, out of bounds at CAL09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3TD
1 play · 91 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+91
50.9%
(11:42) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #22 T.Purcell caught at CAL25, for 91 yards to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:30, 1ST DOWN #91 C.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4551% → 50%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
51.1%
Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNLV44 (#14 A.Manutai)Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
51.0%
(10:48) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Reddicks thrown to CAL43Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
50.7%
(10:43) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short middle to #2 T.Reddicks thrown to CAL48 broken up by #24 Q.ShemwellSimilar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
50.4%
(10:35) #26 M.Choules punt 43 yards to the CAL13 fair catch by #81 T.Sams at CAL13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:5650% → 50%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
50.5%
(10:26) #20 A.Emory rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL14 (#3 D.Crayton; #10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+5
50.5%
(10:05) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short middle to #22 T.Purcell caught at CAL18, for 5 yards to the CAL19 (#2 D.Harris)Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+6
50.4%
(09:22) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at CAL25, for 6 yards to the CAL25 (#10 T.Fulton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
49.7%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #85 M.Mini caught at CAL31, for 12 yards to the CAL37 (#10 T.Fulton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
49.4%
(08:14) #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete deep right to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to UNLV30Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
49.5%
(08:08) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #10 C.Perry caught at CAL33, for 4 yards to the CAL41 (#2 D.Harris; #7 J.Pope) PENALTY CAL Holding (#22 T.Purcell) 10 yards from CAL37 to CAL27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+2
49.6%
(07:48) Shotgun #81 T.Sams rush left for 2 yards gain to the CAL29 (#91 E.Rudolph)Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 18
OWN 29
-9
49.6%
(07:14) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele sacked for loss of 9 yards to the CAL20 (#1 M.Bin-Wahad)Similar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 27
OWN 20
0
49.8%
(06:32) #29 A.Davies punt 52 yards to the UNLV28, out of bounds at UNLV28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:5150% → 52%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
49.5%
(06:23) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short right to #81 V.Carner thrown to UNLV35 broken up by #23 I.CrosbySimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
49.3%
(06:17) #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNLV30 (#3 K.Mothudi; #7 D.Harris)Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+70
52.4%
(05:40) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete deep right to #6 K.McGee caught at CAL35, for 70 yards to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:31, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 2:0247% → 47%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
52.7%
(05:25) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CAL30 (#7 J.Pope; #9 L.Thomas)Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
52.2%
(05:05) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush right for 0 yards to the CAL30 (#16 M.Altayeb; #36 J.Flowe)Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
52.6%
(04:39) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #20 A.Emory caught at CAL30, for 3 yards to the CAL33 (#7 J.Pope; #8 K.Ka'aihue), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
52.5%
(04:21) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short right to #22 T.Purcell thrown to CAL46Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
52.7%
(04:18) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete deep left to #5 Q.Adams thrown to UNLV40Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+5
53.2%
(04:07) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short middle to #81 T.Sams caught at CAL38, for 7 yards to the CAL40 (#1 M.Bin-Wahad; #23 C.Santee) PENALTY UNLV Offside (#99 J.Covington) 5 yards from CAL33 to CAL38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+5
52.3%
PENALTY CAL False Start (#71 S.Vatikani) 5 yards from CAL38 to CAL33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+4
53.2%
(03:48) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at CAL30, for 4 yards to the CAL37 (#10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
53.4%
(03:17) #29 A.Davies punt 40 yards to the UNLV23 fair catch by #82 P.Zachary at UNLV23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:1053% → 53%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
53.1%
(03:16) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 9 yards gain (7) to the UNLV32 (#7 D.Harris), out of bounds PENALTY UNLV Holding (#5 T.McNair) 10 yards from UNLV30 to UNLV20Similar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 13
OWN 20
+3
53.1%
(02:59) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNLV23 (#23 I.Crosby)Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-6
53.4%
(02:31) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UNLV17 (#9 A.Tuitele)Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 16
OWN 17
0
52.8%
(01:50) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 0 yards to the UNLV17 (#0 S.Williams; #19 O.Okaka)Similar
Q1 1:06
4TH & 16
OWN 17
0
52.5%
(01:06) #26 M.Choules punt 16 yards to the UNLV33 blocked by #21 A.Hampton, out of bounds at UNLV33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2049% → 49%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
50.8%
(01:04) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNLV30 (#44 K.Togafau)Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-44
50.7%
(00:39) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass intercepted by #5 Q.Keyes at UNLV28 #5 Q.Keyes return 44 yards to the CAL28 (#81 T.Sams)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3256% → 55%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
55.7%
(00:32) Shotgun #6 K.McGee rush left for 0 yards to the CAL28 (#23 I.Crosby)Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
55.7%
(00:00) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 3 yards gain to the CAL25 (#3 K.Mothudi; #7 D.Harris)Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
55.3%
Shotgun #85 M.Byrnes pass intercepted by #14 A.Manutai at CAL00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:1847% → 46%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
52.7%
Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CAL24 (#94 L.Conti; #15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
52.6%
Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele rush left for 0 yards to the CAL24 (#91 E.Rudolph)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-3
53.3%
Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele sacked for loss of 6 yards to the CAL18 (#3 D.Crayton, #10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+9
54.3%
#29 A.Davies punt 53 yards to the UNLV29 #82 P.Zachary return 9 yards to the UNLV38 (#17 J.Sanford; #26 N.Davis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 1:1455% → 62%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
54.9%
(12:42) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush right for 2 yards loss to the UNLV36 (#1 R.Fletcher)Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+9
54.3%
(12:08) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short left to #81 V.Carner caught at UNLV45, for 9 yards to the UNLV45 (#7 D.Harris)Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+55
61.7%
(11:27) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 55 yards gain to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:18, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13MISSED FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:0940% → 36%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
60.5%
(11:16) Shotgun #81 T.Sams rush middle for 21 yards gain to the CAL46 (#23 C.Santee; #24 A.Helm), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
59.1%
(10:49) Shotgun #81 T.Sams rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNLV49 (#10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+7
58.9%
(10:14) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at UNLV44, for 7 yards to the UNLV42 (#4 T.Nkuba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
59.4%
(09:42) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #81 T.Sams caught at UNLV35, for 13 yards to the UNLV29 (#1 M.Bin-Wahad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
58.4%
(09:10) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at UNLV32, for 2 yards loss to the UNLV31 (#7 J.Pope)Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+3
59.0%
(08:32) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #81 T.Sams caught at UNLV34, for 3 yards to the UNLV28 (#7 J.Pope)Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+3
60.8%
(07:52) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at UNLV30, for 28 yards to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 07:47 PENALTY CAL Holding (#81 T.Sams) 10 yards from UNLV25 to UNLV35Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 16
OPP 35
+2
62.4%
(07:45) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at UNLV38, for 2 yards to the UNLV33 (#23 C.Santee)Similar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+51
64.2%
(06:56) #33 T.McGough field goal attempt from 51 yards NO GOOD (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke), clock 06:56, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:4065% → 70%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
64.6%
Shotgun #24 D.Jones rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNLV36 (#44 J.Johnson; #9 A.Tuitele)Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+2
65.6%
(06:21) Shotgun #24 D.Jones rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNLV38 (#4 J.Beadles; #3 K.Mothudi)Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
65.5%
(05:39) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short left to #24 D.Jones thrown to UNLV38Similar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+13
64.0%
(05:32) #26 M.Choules rush left for 13 yards gain to the CAL49 (#17 J.Sanford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
67.2%
(04:53) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short middle to #10 T.Stellato caught at CAL33, for 16 yards to the CAL33, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
67.8%
(04:25) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short middle to #6 K.McGee caught at CAL31, for 4 yards to the CAL29 (#14 A.Manutai)Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+10
68.1%
(03:52) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 10 yards gain to the CAL19 (#32 T.Jernigan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
68.4%
(03:16) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL18 (#32 T.Jernigan; #14 A.Manutai)Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+4
68.5%
(02:37) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short left to #9 J.Thomas caught at CAL18, for 4 yards to the CAL14 (#7 D.Harris)Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
67.9%
(01:58) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short right to #5 T.McNair thrown to CAL15Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
69.8%
(01:52) #32 R.Villela field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson), clock 01:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:2431% → 30%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
69.4%
(01:43) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short left to #9 I.Strong thrown to CAL35Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
69.9%
(01:38) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #85 M.Mini caught at CAL20, for 6 yards to the CAL23 (#7 J.Pope)Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+2
70.4%
(01:32) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at CAL20, for 2 yards to the CAL25 (#1 M.Bin-Wahad; #7 J.Pope)Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 2
OWN 25
+12
70.1%
(01:24) #29 A.Davies punt 52 yards to the UNLV23 #82 P.Zachary return 12 yards to the UNLV35 (#60 R.Vanderhoef), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:2383% → 83%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+19
82.6%
(01:14) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short left to #84 K.Burnett caught at UNLV49, for 19 yards to the CAL46 (#14 A.Manutai), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CAL Illegal Use Of Hands 10 yards from CAL46 to CAL36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
81.5%
(01:14) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short left to #84 K.Burnett caught at UNLV49, for 14 yards to the UNLV49 (#14 A.Manutai), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CAL Illegal Use Of Hands (#51 J.Williams) 15 yards from UNLV49 to CAL36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
82.7%
(00:55) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete deep middle to #2 T.Reddicks caught at CAL02, for 36 yards to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:51, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 0:3521% → 14%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.5%
(00:51) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short right to #15 M.Hamper thrown to CAL35 QB hurried by #91 E.RudolphSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
80.0%
(00:41) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short right to #15 M.Hamper caught at CAL42, for 21 yards to the CAL46 (#1 M.Bin-Wahad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
78.2%
(00:37) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #81 T.Sams caught at CAL44, for 4 yards to the CAL50 (#1 M.Bin-Wahad; #23 C.Santee) PENALTY CAL Holding (#9 I.Strong) 10 yards from UNLV50 to CAL40Similar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 16
OWN 40
+8
80.1%
(00:28) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at CAL44, for 8 yards to the CAL48 (#24 A.Helm)Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-4
79.2%
(00:21) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 4 yards loss to the CAL44 (#42 A.Porter)Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
86.2%
(00:16) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short left to #10 C.Perry thrown to UNLV44Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
86.5%
(00:09) #29 A.Davies punt 35 yards to the UNLV21 fair catch by #82 P.Zachary at UNLV21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
83.1%
(00:04) Kneel down by UNLV at UNLV19 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:1120% → 18%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
79.8%
(14:57) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush right for 20 yards gain to the UNLV31 (#8 K.Ka'aihue), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
79.1%
(14:31) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNLV26 (#42 A.Porter; #44 K.Togafau)Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+1
79.1%
(14:00) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #25 A.League caught at UNLV31, for 1 yard to the UNLV25 (#7 J.Pope; #10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+2
80.6%
(13:23) Shotgun #25 A.League rush left for 2 yards gain to the UNLV23 (#24 A.Helm)Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 2
OPP 23
-1
81.9%
(12:38) #20 A.Emory rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UNLV24 (#94 L.Conti; #44 K.Togafau), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:5084% → 89%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
84.4%
(12:32) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short left to #5 T.McNair thrown to UNLV26 broken up by #7 D.Harris PENALTY CAL Holding (#24 Q.Shemwell) 10 yards from UNLV24 to UNLV34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
84.6%
(12:25) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete deep right to #2 T.Reddicks thrown to CAL25Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
84.8%
(12:17) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNLV39 (#9 A.Tuitele; #14 A.Manutai)Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+7
85.2%
(11:38) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush right for 7 yards gain to the UNLV46, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
88.2%
(10:53) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNLV48 (#44 J.Johnson)Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-1
88.6%
(10:15) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 1 yard loss to the UNLV47 (#4 J.Beadles; #96 D.Wilkins)Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 9
OWN 47
-2
89.1%
(09:32) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short right to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV45, for 2 yards loss to the UNLV45 (#25 K.Hudson)Similar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
88.7%
(08:47) #26 M.Choules punt 31 yards to the CAL24 fair catch by #81 T.Sams at CAL24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5613% → 12%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
86.6%
(08:41) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short right to #6 K.Grayes thrown to CAL24Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
87.0%
(08:39) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short right to #10 C.Perry caught at CAL27, for 4 yards to the CAL28 (#23 C.Santee)Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
87.2%
(07:55) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short right to #85 M.Mini thrown to CAL38 broken up by #2 D.HarrisSimilar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
87.6%
(07:46) #29 A.Davies punt 50 yards to the UNLV22 fair catch by #82 P.Zachary at UNLV22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:3090% → 90%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
90.0%
(07:40) #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short right to #81 V.Carner thrown to UNLV33Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
90.0%
(07:32) #9 J.Thomas rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNLV27 (#9 A.Tuitele; #96 D.Wilkins)Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 5
OWN 27
-14
90.3%
(06:53) #11 J.Arnold sacked for loss of 14 yards to the UNLV13 (#33 J.McKinley)Similar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 19
OWN 13
+10
89.7%
(06:09) #26 M.Choules punt 55 yards to the CAL32 #81 T.Sams return 10 yards to the CAL42 (#13 J.Allen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 23TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:1911% → 23%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
88.8%
(06:04) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CAL50 (#8 K.Ka'aihue; #15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu)Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 2
50
-3
88.3%
(05:28) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 3 yards loss to the CAL47 (#36 J.Flowe)Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+53
76.8%
(04:44) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #17 C.Perry-Smith caught at UNLV40, for 53 yards to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:40, 1ST DOWN #10 C.Perry pass attempt Successful #10 C.Perry pass attempt Successful PENALTY #10 C.Perry pass attempt Successful PENALTY UNLV Holding (#25 B.DeFries) #10 C.Perry pass attempt Successful PENALTY UNLV Holding declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24FG
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:4926% → 31%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
74.0%
Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short left to #6 K.Grayes thrown to UNLV05 QB hurried by #92 H.GraySimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-12
74.0%
(04:23) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short middle to #9 I.Strong thrown to UNLV14 QB hurried by #44 K.Togafau PENALTY CAL Intentional Grounding (#11 J.Brousseau)Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 22
OPP 28
+8
77.6%
(04:20) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short middle to #20 A.Emory caught at UNLV25, for 8 yards to the UNLV20 (#23 C.Santee; #10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 14
OPP 20
+38
68.9%
(03:38) #33 T.McGough field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke), clock 03:36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:4671% → 72%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.2%
(03:33) #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNLV29 (#16 M.Hurst)Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
73.5%
(02:55) #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short middle to #43 J.Beasley thrown to UNLV36Similar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
72.3%
(02:52) #11 J.Arnold pass complete short middle to #84 K.Burnett caught at UNLV32, for 5 yards to the UNLV34 (#23 I.Crosby) PENALTY UNLV Pass Interference (#10 T.Stellato) 10 yards from UNLV29 to UNLV19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+4
71.8%
(02:28) #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNLV23 (#9 A.Tuitele)Similar
Q3 1:38
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+9
72.3%
(01:44) #26 M.Choules punt 47 yards to the CAL30 #81 T.Sams return 9 yards to the CAL39 (#23 C.Santee) PENALTY CAL Holding (#26 N.Davis) 10 yards from CAL30 to CAL20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:1232% → 29%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
68.1%
(01:36) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short right to #85 M.Mini thrown to CAL25Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
68.5%
(01:32) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short right to #6 K.Grayes thrown to CAL26 PENALTY UNLV UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#2 D.Harris) 15 yards from CAL20 to CAL35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.2%
(01:24) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete deep middle to #9 I.Strong thrown to UNLV20Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
67.9%
(01:17) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #6 K.Grayes caught at CAL32, for 2 yards loss to the CAL33 (#13 J.Allen)Similar
Q3 0:33
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
70.1%
(00:35) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short right to #20 A.Emory thrown to CAL35 QB hurried by #1 M.Bin-WahadSimilar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
71.0%
(00:29) #29 A.Davies punt 44 yards to the UNLV23 fair catch by #82 P.Zachary at UNLV23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:5476% → 73%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
75.8%
(00:23) #9 J.Thomas rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNLV26 (#23 I.Crosby)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
76.0%
Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNLV31 (#16 M.Hurst; #51 J.Williams)Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 2
OWN 31
-11
75.2%
(14:18) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold sacked for loss of 11 yards to the UNLV20 (#9 A.Tuitele)Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 13
OWN 20
0
72.9%
(13:29) #26 M.Choules punt 26 yards to the UNLV46, out of bounds at UNLV46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 28TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:4037% → 62%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
63.4%
(13:27) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNLV44 (#9 L.Thomas; #54 P.Purcell)Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
63.8%
PENALTY CAL False Start (#72 B.Howard) 5 yards from UNLV44 to UNLV49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+21
66.5%
(12:39) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #10 C.Perry caught at UNLV32, for 21 yards to the UNLV28, out of bounds at UNLV28, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
62.8%
(12:17) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #22 T.Purcell caught at UNLV23, for 6 yards to the UNLV22 (#13 J.Allen)Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+15
62.9%
(11:44) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short right to #9 I.Strong thrown to UNLV10, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNLV Pass Interference (#2 D.Harris) 15 yards from UNLV22 to UNLV07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
37.8%
(11:39) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:38 #91 C.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 29TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:5648% → 86%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
47.5%
(11:33) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short middle to #6 K.McGee caught at UNLV31, for 11 yards to the UNLV31 (#7 D.Harris), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CAL Targeting (#7 D.Harris) 15 yards from UNLV31 to UNLV46, 1ST DOWN. California #7 D.Harris has been disqualifiedSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+42
52.9%
(11:14) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 42 yards gain to the CAL12, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
55.9%
(10:25) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short left to #84 K.Burnett thrown to CAL00 QB hurried by #33 J.McKinleySimilar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
55.9%
(10:16) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 2 yards gain to the CAL10 (#32 T.Jernigan; #33 J.McKinley)Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
86.4%
Keyan Burnett 10 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Jackson Arnold Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 30DOWNS
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:2324% → 17%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
76.5%
(09:18) Shotgun #17 C.Perry-Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CAL49 (#23 C.Santee; #42 A.Porter)Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
76.1%
(08:31) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #6 K.Grayes caught at CAL47, for 3 yards to the UNLV48 (#23 C.Santee)Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
77.4%
(07:46) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short right to #6 K.Grayes thrown to UNLV48Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
83.4%
(07:40) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short middle to #10 C.Perry thrown to UNLV50 QB hurried by #7 J.Pope, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 31TD
14 plays · 52 yds · 4:1189% → 99%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.6%
(07:36) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 0 yards to the UNLV48 (#16 M.Hurst) PENALTY UNLV Holding 10 yards from UNLV48 to UNLV38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 20
OWN 38
0
89.1%
(07:13) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 0 yards to the UNLV38 (#0 S.Williams)Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+15
89.2%
(06:32) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete deep left to #81 V.Carner thrown to CAL35 PENALTY CAL Pass Interference (#25 K.Hudson) 15 yards from UNLV38 to CAL47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
90.6%
(06:26) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CAL35 (#16 M.Hurst), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
90.8%
(05:40) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete deep middle to #6 K.McGee thrown to CAL10 PENALTY CAL Roughing The Passer (#51 J.Williams) 15 yards from CAL35 to CAL20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
90.8%
(05:34) Shotgun #6 K.McGee rush left for 3 yards gain to the CAL17 (#23 I.Crosby), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+3
91.0%
(05:04) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CAL14 (#32 T.Jernigan; #99 A.Shepphard)Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+7
92.3%
(04:23) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CAL07 (#9 A.Tuitele), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
93.9%
(04:12) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL06 (#44 J.Johnson; #96 D.Wilkins)Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
94.6%
(04:06) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CAL02 (#33 J.McKinley; #99 A.Shepphard)Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.0%
(03:25) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush right for 2 yards gain to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:25 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 32TD
14 plays · 86 yds · 2:412% → 10%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
98.5%
(03:15) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at CAL17, for 3 yards to the CAL17 (#4 T.Nkuba)Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+8
98.6%
(02:57) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short right to #6 K.Grayes caught at CAL20, for 8 yards to the CAL25 (#4 T.Nkuba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
(02:39) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at CAL30, for 5 yards to the CAL30 (#2 D.Harris)Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+24
98.4%
(02:18) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short middle to #85 M.Mini caught at CAL45, for 24 yards to the UNLV46 (#2 D.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.3%
(01:58) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short left to #85 M.Mini thrown to UNLV44Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-1
98.4%
(01:55) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau sacked for loss of 1 yard to the UNLV47 (#42 A.Porter)Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 11
OPP 47
-1
98.5%
(01:31) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #6 K.Grayes caught at UNLV47, for 1 yard loss to the UNLV48 (#2 D.Harris)Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 12
OPP 48
+14
98.6%
(01:07) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #6 K.Grayes caught at UNLV34, for 14 yards to the UNLV34, out of bounds at UNLV34, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.1%
(01:02) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short left to #85 M.Mini thrown to UNLV30Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
98.1%
(00:59) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete short right to #10 C.Perry thrown to UNLV25Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+10
98.3%
(00:54) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #10 C.Perry caught at UNLV24, for 10 yards to the UNLV24, out of bounds at UNLV24, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.0%
(00:45) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass incomplete deep left to #9 I.Strong thrown to UNLV01Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+14
98.2%
(00:44) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau rush left for 14 yards gain to the UNLV10 (#91 E.Rudolph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
89.7%
Ian Strong 10 Yd pass from Jackson Brousseau (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 33END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
97.6%
(00:19) Kneel down by UNLV at UNLV47 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:31
Keyan Burnett 10 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Jackson Arnold Run for Two-Point Conversion)
+30.4
TD · Q4 11:38
(11:39) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:38 #91 C.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke)
-25.1
TD · Q3 4:40
(04:44) Shotgun #11 J.Brousseau pass complete short left to #17 C.Perry-Smith caught at UNLV40, for 53 yards to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:40, 1ST DOWN #10 C.Perry pass attempt Successful #10 C.Perry pass attempt Successful PENALTY #10 C.Perry pass attempt Successful PENALTY UNLV Holding (#25 B.DeFries) #10 C.Perry pass attempt Successful PENALTY UNLV Holding declined
-11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com