2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreWAKE score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:18 · (06:18) #90 C.Calvert field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour), clock 06:18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 7:32: Lincoln Kienholz 6 Yd Run (Carson Hilbert Kick) — LOU win probability +4.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
- TD · Q2 5:49: G. Lopez pass to C. Hernandez for 77 yds, for a TD (C. Calvert KICK) — WAKE win probability +8.7 pts (now 33%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
- TD · Q2 1:19: (01:20) #4 T.Clark rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:19 #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour) — WAKE win probability +9.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
- TD · Q2 0:57: (01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete deep left to #88 J.Skinner caught at WFU40, for 61 yards to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:57, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL UPHELD #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead) — LOU win probability +13.0 pts (now 66%) (top driver: One-score game).
- FG · Q4 6:20: (06:21) #90 C.Calvert field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour), clock 06:20 — WAKE win probability +15.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
- Q1 13:43LOU 4th & 9 at LOU 26, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snapGo for it77.6%−0.130% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call77.7%average punt
- Q1 10:31WAKE 4th & 1 at LOU 30, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call23.3%71% to convertField goal23.1%−0.256% to makePunt23.0%−0.3average punt
- Q1 8:51LOU 4th & 15 at LOU 25, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snapGo for it75.9%−0.316% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call76.2%average punt
- Q1 6:18WAKE 4th & 5 at LOU 21, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.6% before the snapGo for it24.5%−<0.140% to convertField goalTheir call24.5%74% to makePunt23.6%−0.9average punt
- Q2 0:31WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 26, up 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snapGo for it33.0%−2.430% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call35.4%average punt
- Q3 13:36WAKE 4th & 16 at WAKE 19, up 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snapGo for it34.4%−3.014% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call37.4%average punt
- Q3 9:37LOU 4th & 9 at WAKE 24, down 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.1% before the snapGo for it59.7%−1.131% to convertField goalTheir call60.8%68% to makePunt52.4%−8.5average punt
- Q3 4:58WAKE 4th & 17 at LOU 17, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.8% before the snapGo for it32.4%−4.113% to convertField goalTheir call36.5%80% to makePunt25.3%−11.2average punt
- Q3 0:42LOU 4th & 14 at WAKE 37, down 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snapGo for it51.0%−1.719% to convertField goalTheir call52.7%40% to makePunt52.1%−0.6average punt
- Q4 12:55LOU 4th & 4 at WAKE 38, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call65.6%48% to convertField goal62.4%−3.338% to makePunt62.3%−3.3average punt
- Q4 6:20WAKE 4th & 2 at LOU 14, tiedNumbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.0% before the snapGo for it48.2%56% to convertField goalTheir call44.5%−3.684% to makePunt21.4%−26.7average punt
- Q4 2:29LOU 4th & 22 at WAKE 25, down 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snapGo for it23.9%−16.37% to convertField goalTheir call40.2%66% to makePunt19.4%−20.8average punt
- Q4 1:54WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 32, up 3Close callPunted · 82.1% before the snapGo for it82.5%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call82.1%−0.4average punt
- Q4 0:15LOU 4th & 20 at WAKE 40, down 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.5% before the snapGo for it14.7%−10.310% to convertField goalTheir call25.0%34% to makePunt12.7%−12.3average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
- Q1 0:21LOU Touchdown, up 3 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call75.8%97% to makeGo for two75.7%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 13:34WAKE Touchdown, up 2 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call28.3%97% to makeGo for two28.2%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 7:32LOU Touchdown, up 3 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call74.8%97% to makeGo for two74.7%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 5:49WAKE Touchdown, up 2 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call32.7%97% to makeGo for two32.6%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 1:19WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call47.6%97% to makeGo for two47.4%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 0:57LOU Touchdown, down 4 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call62.9%97% to makeGo for two62.8%−0.145% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartLOUDrive 1PUNT5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1080% → 79%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.5%
(14:58) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush left for 0 yards to the LOU25 (#43 F.Cusano)Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.4%
(14:28) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #88 J.Skinner caught at LOU23, for 1 yard to the LOU26 (#8 B.Johnson)Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
79.2%
(13:53) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short left thrown to LOU32 QB hurried by #11 L.HardySimilar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
79.1%
(13:44) #91 N.Hayes punt 39 yards to the WFU35 fair catch by #8 C.Hernandez at WFU35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2DOWNS7 plays · 35 yds · 3:0321% → 22%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
79.1%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WFU39, for 7 yards to the WFU42 (#25 B.Scott)Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+7
79.0%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WFU49 (#29 B.Ruffin; #2 D.Kennedy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
78.8%
(12:47) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush left for 12 yards gain to the LOU39 (#90 D.Russell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
78.6%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LOU33 (#6 S.Clark; #11 T.Capers)Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+2
78.5%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU31 (#11 T.Capers; #6 S.Clark)Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+1
78.2%
(11:19) Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LOU30 (#11 T.Capers; #29 B.Ruffin)Similar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
78.2%
(10:35) Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 0 yards to the LOU30 (#6 S.Clark; #99 J.Smith II), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3PUNT4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3378% → 78%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
78.4%
(10:29) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush right for 1 yard loss to the LOU29 (#11 L.Hardy)Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 11
OWN 29
-9
78.2%
(09:53) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz sacked for loss of 9 yards to the LOU20 (#10 G.Kirschke)Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 20
OWN 20
+5
77.8%
(09:17) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #2 T.Hurry caught at LOU20, for 5 yards to the LOU25 (#23 V.Firenze)Similar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
77.5%
(08:51) #91 N.Hayes punt 34 yards to the WFU41, out of bounds at WFU41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4FG7 plays · 38 yds · 2:2323% → 24%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
77.4%
(08:50) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #18 D.Dickmann caught at WFU43, for 6 yards to the WFU47 (#25 B.Scott)Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+12
77.3%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 12 yards gain to the LOU41 (#10 K.Beasley; #6 S.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
77.0%
(07:50) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep left to #8 C.Hernandez thrown to LOU00 QB hurried by #23 B.Perry PENALTY LOU Holding declined LOU Roughing The Passer (#23 B.Perry) 15 yards from LOU41 to LOU26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
76.6%
(07:42) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short right to #4 T.Clark thrown to LOU24Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
76.7%
(07:38) Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU24 (#50 C.Lubin)Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+3
76.7%
(06:58) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #8 C.Hernandez caught at LOU21, for 3 yards to the LOU21 (#11 T.Capers)Similar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+39
76.5%
(06:18) #90 C.Calvert field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour), clock 06:18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5TD12 plays · 75 yds · 5:4976% → 78%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.4%
(06:16) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete deep right to #7 L.McCoy thrown to WFU31Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.1%
(06:06) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU28 (#14 T.Walton; #21 A.Hall)Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+18
75.6%
(05:33) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #2 T.Hurry caught at LOU32, for 18 yards to the LOU46 (#6 R.Tongue), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
76.4%
(04:57) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WFU48 (#22 M.Turpin; #21 A.Hall)Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+7
76.4%
(04:19) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush right for 7 yards gain to the WFU41 (#52 D.Afalava), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
76.2%
(03:41) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #0 T.Richardson caught at WFU27, for 21 yards to the WFU20 (#13 A.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
76.4%
(03:03) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush right for 1 yard loss to the WFU21 (#55 K.Dembele)Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+15
76.1%
(02:28) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #7 L.McCoy caught at WFU09, for 15 yards to the WFU06 (#23 V.Firenze), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
75.9%
(01:47) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU05 (#43 F.Cusano; #5 D.Patterson)Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.7%
(01:05) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush middle for 0 yards to the WFU05, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
77.6%
(00:21) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush right for 5 yards gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:21 #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6TD13 plays · 75 yds · 1:4423% → 29%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
76.8%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #12 K.Johnson caught at WFU34, for 17 yards to the WFU42 (#12 D.Waller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
75.9%
(14:59) PENALTY WFU False Start 5 yards from WFU42 to WFU37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+5
76.6%
PENALTY WFU False Start (#12 K.Johnson) 5 yards from WFU37 to WFU32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 20
OWN 32
0
76.7%
(14:59) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep middle to #8 C.Hernandez thrown to LOU44 broken up by #12 D.WallerSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+15
76.8%
(14:55) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short middle to #4 T.Clark thrown to WFU27 QB hurried by #50 C.Lubin PENALTY LOU Roughing The Passer (#50 C.Lubin) 15 yards from WFU32 to WFU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
75.6%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #10 J.Foley thrown to LOU40Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
75.8%
(14:47) PENALTY WFU False Start (#78 J.Hines) 5 yards from WFU47 to WFU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 15
OWN 42
0
76.4%
(14:47) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short middle to #10 J.Foley thrown to WFU45 broken up by #11 T.CapersSimilar
Q2 14:32
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+48
76.6%
(14:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete deep left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at LOU20, for 48 yards to the LOU10 (#10 K.Beasley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
74.7%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at LOU12, for 4 yards to the LOU06 (#10 K.Beasley; #13 T.Holloway)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7TD12 plays · 75 yds · 5:5573% → 77%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.9%
(13:31) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush right for 1 yard gain to the LOU26 (#10 G.Kirschke; #21 A.Hall)Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
72.6%
(13:08) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #88 J.Skinner caught at LOU39, for 13 yards to the LOU39 (#2 B.Blades II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
73.0%
(12:19) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush left for 3 yards gain to the LOU42 (#5 D.Patterson), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+11
73.5%
(11:45) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #2 T.Hurry caught at WFU48, for 11 yards to the WFU47 (#23 V.Firenze; #38 S.Eaddy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
73.6%
(11:05) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush left for 11 yards gain to the WFU36 (#43 F.Cusano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
73.4%
(10:30) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #2 T.Hurry caught at WFU27, for 9 yards to the WFU27 (#38 S.Eaddy)Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+2
73.6%
(09:59) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU25 (#22 M.Turpin; #94 Z.Lohavichan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
73.4%
(09:25) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #0 T.Richardson caught at WFU18, for 12 yards to the WFU13 (#17 Z.Stevenson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
73.2%
(08:51) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush left for 6 yards gain to the WFU07 (#43 F.Cusano; #6 R.Tongue)Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+1
72.2%
(08:15) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU06 (#21 A.Hall; #5 D.Patterson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8TD5 plays · 88 yds · 1:2825% → 33%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
75.4%
(07:24) Shotgun #29 J.Searcy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WFU15 (#4 T.Banks)Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
75.3%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #5 K.Shanks thrown to WFU18Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+8
76.1%
(06:44) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush left for 8 yards gain to the WFU23 (#13 T.Holloway), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
67.4%
G. Lopez pass to C. Hernandez for 77 yds, for a TD (C. Calvert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9INT6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4370% → 70%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
69.6%
(05:36) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #1 I.Brown caught at LOU40, for 2 yards loss to the LOU41 (#38 S.Eaddy)Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+2
68.4%
(05:12) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU43 (#52 D.Afalava)Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+10
67.4%
(04:34) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #7 L.McCoy caught at WFU42, for 17 yards to the WFU40 (#21 A.Hall; #2 B.Blades II) PENALTY LOU Holding (#71 C.Henry) 10 yards from LOU43 to LOU33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 20
OWN 33
+7
65.9%
(04:06) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #1 I.Brown caught at LOU28, for 7 yards to the LOU40 (#2 B.Blades II) PENALTY WFU Personal Foul (#52 D.Afalava) 15 yards from LOU40 to WFU45, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
69.8%
(03:54) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass intercepted by #38 S.Eaddy at WFU34 #38 S.Eaddy return 1 yard to the WFU35 (#7 L.McCoy)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10TD6 plays · 65 yds · 2:2734% → 49%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
65.7%
PENALTY WFU False Start (#70 W.Way) 5 yards from WFU35 to WFU30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+3
66.2%
(03:43) Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WFU33 (#11 T.Capers)Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+31
65.7%
(02:58) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WFU32, for 31 yards to the LOU36 (#13 T.Holloway), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
62.2%
(02:07) Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 10 yards gain to the LOU26 (#4 T.Banks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+20
60.3%
(01:57) Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 20 yards gain to the LOU06 (#19 M.Carter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
50.8%
(01:20) #4 T.Clark rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:19 #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11TD4 plays · 75 yds · 0:1752% → 66%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
52.3%
(01:18) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #0 T.Richardson caught at LOU28, for 7 yards to the LOU32 (#2 B.Blades II), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
53.2%
(01:11) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #2 T.Hurry caught at LOU39, for 7 yards to the LOU39 (#5 D.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
66.2%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete deep left to #88 J.Skinner caught at WFU40, for 61 yards to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:57, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL UPHELD #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12PUNT9 plays · 1 yds · 0:2237% → 35%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.5%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #84 D.Barry thrown to WFU28Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
63.6%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez sacked for loss of 7 yards to the WFU18 (#99 J.Smith II)Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+5
64.1%
PENALTY LOU Delay Of Game (#29 B.Ruffin) 5 yards from WFU18 to WFU23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+8
64.0%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WFU31 (#29 B.Ruffin; #11 T.Capers)Similar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
63.8%
PENALTY WFU False Start (#50 J.Kennedy) 5 yards from WFU31 to WFU26. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13END OF HALF6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0663% → 62%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
62.5%
(00:28) No Huddle #24 M.Davis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU06 (#2 B.Blades II)Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+3
62.3%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 B.Jennings rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU09 (#97 M.Herron; #11 L.Hardy)Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+6
62.1%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush right for 6 yards gain to the LOU15 (#6 R.Tongue), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT6 plays · -6 yds · 1:1837% → 35%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.9%
(14:58) Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU26 (#52 K.Perry; #95 J.Donald)Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
62.7%
(14:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep left to #8 C.Hernandez thrown to LOU45Similar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
64.2%
(14:29) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez sacked for loss of 7 yards to the WFU19 (#50 C.Lubin)Similar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 16
OWN 19
-3
65.1%
(13:44) #45 E.Hyams punt 44 yards to the LOU37 #14 J.Voth return for loss of 3 yards to the LOU34 (#50 J.Kennedy)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15FG8 plays · 42 yds · 3:5065% → 70%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
64.8%
(13:33) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #7 L.McCoy caught at LOU37, for 3 yards to the LOU37 (#38 S.Eaddy)Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+8
65.9%
(12:59) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #2 T.Hurry caught at LOU40, for 8 yards to the LOU45 (#21 A.Hall; #43 F.Cusano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
66.1%
(12:23) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush right for 4 yards gain to the LOU49 (#21 A.Hall)Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+26
66.2%
(11:45) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #0 T.Richardson caught at WFU32, for 26 yards to the WFU25 (#6 R.Tongue), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
68.1%
(11:09) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU24 (#8 B.Johnson; #5 D.Patterson)Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
67.8%
(10:30) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #7 L.McCoy caught at WFU19, for 5 yards to the WFU19 (#38 S.Eaddy)Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-5
65.9%
(09:46) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz sacked for loss of 5 yards to the WFU24 (#10 G.Kirschke) PENALTY LOU Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
70.4%
(09:40) #35 C.Hilbert field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead), clock 09:37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16FG13 plays · 58 yds · 4:3734% → 44%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
65.7%
(09:35) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #18 D.Dickmann caught at WFU33, for 8 yards to the WFU33, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (09:35) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #18 D.Dickmann thrown to WFU33)Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
63.8%
(09:22) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WFU33, for 4 yards to the WFU37 (#29 B.Ruffin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
64.5%
(09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU39 (#11 T.Capers; #6 S.Clark)Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+9
63.0%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush right for 9 yards gain to the WFU48 (#11 T.Capers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
61.7%
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU49 (#50 C.Lubin)Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+1
61.5%
(07:17) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU50 (#6 S.Clark; #19 M.Carter) PENALTY LOU Personal Foul (#6 S.Clark) 15 yards from WFU50 to LOU35, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
59.5%
(07:08) Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LOU28 (#6 S.Clark)Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+21
59.2%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush left for 21 yards gain to the LOU07 (#13 T.Holloway), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
59.0%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU04 (#95 J.Donald)Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
58.6%
(05:57) #4 T.Clark rush right for 3 yards gain to the LOU01 (#29 B.Ruffin; #4 T.Banks)Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
59.8%
(05:21) #4 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard loss to the LOU02 (#6 S.Clark; #11 T.Capers) PENALTY WFU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#70 W.Way) 15 yards from LOU02 to LOU17Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
56.5%
(05:02) #90 C.Calvert field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour), clock 04:58Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17FG11 plays · 38 yds · 4:0859% → 65%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.0%
(04:56) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #88 J.Skinner caught at LOU30, for 7 yards to the LOU32 (#21 A.Hall; #46 D.Dyce)Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
61.5%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU34 (#14 T.Walton)Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
59.8%
(03:55) No Huddle #3 L.Kienholz rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU36 (#21 A.Hall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
59.4%
(03:21) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass intercepted by #22 M.Turpin at WFU31, End Of Play PENALTY WFU Pass Interference (#38 S.Eaddy) 15 yards from LOU36 to WFU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
62.2%
(03:05) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush left for 4 yards gain to the WFU45 (#5 D.Patterson), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+12
62.3%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #7 L.McCoy caught at WFU40, for 12 yards to the WFU33 (#8 B.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
64.7%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush left for 4 yards gain to the WFU29 (#2 B.Blades II; #22 M.Turpin), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
64.2%
(01:15) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the WFU29 (#97 M.Herron)Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-8
61.4%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short left to #7 L.McCoy thrown to WFU30 QB hurried by #11 L.Hardy PENALTY LOU Intentional Grounding (#3 L.Kienholz)Similar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 14
OPP 37
+54
64.5%
(00:42) #35 C.Hilbert field goal attempt from 54 yards GOOD (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead), clock 00:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18FUMBLE5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3839% → 38%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.0%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU26 (#4 T.Banks)Similar
Q3 0:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
60.9%
PENALTY WFU False Start (#12 K.Johnson) 5 yards from WFU26 to WFU21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+8
61.6%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WFU18, for 8 yards to the WFU29 fumbled by #8 C.Hernandez at WFU29 forced by #23 B.Perry recovered by LOU #99 J.Smith II at WFU29, End Of Play PENALTY LOU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#6 S.Clark) 15 yards from WFU29 to WFU44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19DOWNS5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4270% → 65%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
70.0%
(14:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Richardson rush left for 4 yards gain to the WFU40 (#43 F.Cusano)Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-2
70.1%
(14:20) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush middle for 2 yards loss to the WFU42 (#94 Z.Lohavichan)Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+4
68.4%
(13:45) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #2 T.Hurry caught at WFU38, for 4 yards to the WFU38, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
65.3%
(12:57) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short middle to #7 L.McCoy thrown to WFU25 broken up by #2 B.Blades II, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20FG13 plays · 48 yds · 6:2944% → 67%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
56.2%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WFU47 (#10 K.Beasley)Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+2
53.2%
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU49 (#95 J.Donald; #6 S.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
53.3%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush right for 6 yards gain to the LOU45 (#6 S.Clark)Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+12
51.7%
(11:26) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WFU49, for 12 yards to the LOU33 (#11 T.Capers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
50.1%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU31 (#6 S.Clark)Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-1
49.8%
(10:06) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez sacked for loss of 1 yard to the LOU32 (#23 B.Perry)Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+5
52.8%
(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 J.Searcy rush left for 5 yards gain to the LOU27 (#13 T.Holloway; #19 M.Carter)Similar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+5
56.1%
PENALTY LOU Offside (#50 C.Lubin) 5 yards from LOU27 to LOU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
48.9%
(08:20) Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 8 yards gain to the LOU14 (#13 T.Holloway; #50 C.Lubin)Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+1
48.5%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LOU13 (#23 B.Perry)Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-1
49.2%
(06:59) #4 T.Clark rush right for 1 yard loss to the LOU14 (#6 S.Clark; #99 J.Smith II)Similar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+32
33.4%
(06:21) #90 C.Calvert field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour), clock 06:20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21MISSED FG11 plays · 50 yds · 3:4244% → 34%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.5%
(06:17) #0 T.Richardson rush left for 4 yards gain to the LOU29 (#6 R.Tongue)Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
43.8%
(05:45) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Hurry thrown to LOU45Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+23
41.3%
(05:39) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #7 L.McCoy caught at LOU43, for 23 yards to the WFU48 (#21 A.Hall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
47.7%
(05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WFU42 (#8 B.Johnson; #23 V.Firenze)Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+12
47.9%
(04:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 12 yards gain to the WFU30 (#8 B.Johnson; #21 A.Hall), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
51.0%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #7 L.McCoy caught at WFU25, for 17 yards to the WFU13 (#22 M.Turpin), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
50.7%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short left to #0 T.Richardson thrown to WFU00 broken up by #38 S.EaddySimilar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-1
50.6%
(03:56) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush right for 1 yard loss to the WFU14 (#43 F.Cusano)Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 11
OPP 14
-11
45.5%
(03:12) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz sacked for loss of 11 yards to the WFU25 (#94 Z.Lohavichan)Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 22
OPP 25
+42
34.0%
(02:29) #35 C.Hilbert field goal attempt from 42 yards NO GOOD (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead), clock 02:29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22PUNT6 plays · 7 yds · 0:3077% → 85%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.4%
(02:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WFU29 (#23 B.Perry)Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
20.9%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WFU32 (#23 B.Perry; #10 K.Beasley)Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
20.9%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush right for 0 yards to the WFU32 (#4 T.Banks)Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
15.5%
(01:58) #45 E.Hyams punt 37 yards to the LOU31 fair catch by #14 J.Voth at LOU31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23MISSED FG11 plays · 29 yds · 1:2929% → 15%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
28.5%
(01:52) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #2 T.Hurry caught at LOU39, for 9 yards to the LOU40 (#38 S.Eaddy)Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+5
31.9%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush left for 5 yards gain to the LOU45 (#38 S.Eaddy), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
28.7%
(01:27) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #1 I.Brown caught at LOU38, for 6 yards to the WFU49 (#21 A.Hall)Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
30.4%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #1 I.Brown caught at LOU47, for 0 yards to the WFU49 (#2 B.Blades II), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+19
25.6%
(00:58) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #0 T.Richardson caught at WFU30, for 19 yards to the WFU30 (#8 B.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
32.2%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WFU26 (#5 D.Patterson) PENALTY LOU Holding (#66 J.Brown III) 10 yards from WFU30 to WFU40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 20
OPP 40
0
23.7%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete deep right to #2 T.Hurry thrown to WFU20 QB hurried by #94 Z.LohavichanSimilar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 20
OPP 40
0
21.7%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete deep right to #7 L.McCoy thrown to WFU20 QB hurried by #52 D.AfalavaSimilar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 20
OPP 40
0
18.3%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short middle to #7 L.McCoy thrown to WFU22 broken up by #2 B.Blades IISimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 20
OPP 40
+57
14.9%
(00:18) #98 N.Keller field goal attempt from 57 yards NO GOOD blocked by #10 G.Kirschke (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead), clock 00:15 recovered by WFU #15 D.Cook at LOU46, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24END OF GAME2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 6:20
(06:21) #90 C.Calvert field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour), clock 06:20
-15.8
TD · Q2 0:57
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete deep left to #88 J.Skinner caught at WFU40, for 61 yards to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:57, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL UPHELD #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead)
+13
TD · Q2 1:19
(01:20) #4 T.Clark rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:19 #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour)
-9.5