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CMU

Central Michigan 3 at Miami 52

MIA
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:24 · (04:35) #18 D.Duley punt 63 yards to the CANES09 #12 S.Wingo return 42 yards to the CMU49 (#18 D.Duley)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior+27.9Home team on offense+34.1Score differential+27.0Blowout margin+14.0Garbage-time factor+8.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:56: (05:58) #38 C.VanHuis field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis), clock 05:56 — CMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:58: (02:00) Shotgun #21 J.Mallory rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:58 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker) — MIA win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:47: Daylyn Upshaw 11 Yd pass from Darian Mensah (Jake Weinberg Kick) — MIA win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:45: (09:48) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #1 M.Toney caught at CMU00, for 8 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:45, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker) — MIA win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:22: (03:24) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #18 C.Barkate caught at CMU00, for 13 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:22, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker) — MIA win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:23MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:56CMU 4th & 8 at MIA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:54CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:47CMU 4th & 15 at CMU 20, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:36CMU 4th & 13 at midfield, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:06MIA 4th & 5 at CMU 5, up 32
    Close callWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:24CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 28, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:46MIA 4th & 1 at CMU 26, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:17MIA 4th & 13 at CMU 15, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:35CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 27, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 1:58MIA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:47MIA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:45MIA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:22MIA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:00MIA Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 3:2699% → 99%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.0%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #9 E.Lofton caught at CANES28, for 7 yards to the CANES32 (#40 B.McCalla; #12 D.Philord)Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.0%
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Mallory rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CANES34 (#11 X.White)Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
98.9%
PENALTY CANES False Start (#78 M.McCoy) 5 yards from CANES34 to CANES29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
98.9%
(13:54) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #18 C.Barkate caught at CANES32, for 6 yards to the CANES35 (#12 D.Philord), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
98.9%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah sacked for loss of 10 yards to the CANES25 (#92 J.Cherry)Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+5
98.8%
PENALTY CANES False Start (#78 M.McCoy) 5 yards from CANES25 to CANES20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 25
OWN 20
+6
98.8%
(12:47) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #21 J.Mallory caught at CANES25, for 6 yards to the CANES26 (#11 X.White; #35 M.Hitchens)Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+9
98.7%
(12:01) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #2 J.Lyle caught at CANES23, for 9 yards to the CANES35 (#11 X.White)Similar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
98.7%
(11:28) #94 D.Joyce punt 36 yards to the CMU29 fair catch by #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. at CMU29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 5:141% → 2%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
98.7%
(11:22) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #85 M.Peters caught at CMU31, for 3 yards to the CMU32 (#24 E.O'Connor)Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
98.6%
(10:48) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #20 L.Lewis caught at CMU30, for 4 yards to the CMU36 (#9 C.Smith)Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+3
98.6%
(10:02) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush right for 3 yards gain to the CMU39 (#24 E.O'Connor; #9 C.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.5%
(09:28) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete short left to #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. thrown to CMU40Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
98.5%
(09:24) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+1
98.4%
(08:47) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush left for 1 yard gain to the CMU49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
98.3%
(08:11) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #3 N.Williams caught at CANES48, for 3 yards to the CANES48 (#1 M.Toure) PENALTY CANES Roughing The Passer (#10 D.Wilson II) 15 yards from CANES48 to CANES33, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
98.3%
(07:58) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush left for 4 yards gain to the CANES29 (#25 J.Dunnigan)Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-2
98.2%
(07:20) Shotgun #7 A.Flores sacked for loss of 2 yards to the CANES31 (#8 M.Lightfoot)Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
98.1%
(06:36) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 0 yards to the CANES31 (#31 H.Scroggins III; #1 M.Toure)Similar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+49
98.1%
(05:58) #38 C.VanHuis field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis), clock 05:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:4598% → 98%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
98.0%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Mallory rush right for 9 yards gain to the CANES38 (#32 J.Reinbold; #19 D.Bryant Jr.)Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+11
98.0%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Mallory rush right for 11 yards gain to the CANES49 (#12 D.Philord), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
98.0%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #7 D.Upshaw caught at CMU40, for 20 yards to the CMU31 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.; #4 J.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
97.9%
(04:20) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #2 J.Lyle caught at CMU34, for 6 yards to the CMU25 (#11 X.White)Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+7
97.8%
(03:42) Shotgun #0 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CMU18 (#14 J.Taylor; #1 J.Douglas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
97.7%
(03:06) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short middle to #87 G.Mueller thrown to CMU00 PENALTY CANES Illegal Formation 5 yards from CMU18 to CMU23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+6
97.7%
(03:00) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #1 M.Toney caught at CMU25, for 6 yards to the CMU17 (#26 M.McKenzie)Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+8
97.6%
(02:24) Shotgun #0 G.Pringle Jr. rush left for 8 yards gain to the CMU09 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.) PENALTY CMU Block Below Waist (#19 D.Bryant Jr.) 5 yards from CMU09 to CMU04, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.6%
(02:04) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #1 M.Toney thrown to CMU00Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.8%
(02:00) Shotgun #21 J.Mallory rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:58 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:532% → 3%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.7%
(01:57) Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush right for 1 yard loss to the CMU24 (#18 A.Blount)Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
97.6%
(01:14) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short right to #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. caught at CMU25, for 10 yards to the CMU34, out of bounds at CMU34Similar
Q1 0:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-4
97.4%
(00:26) Shotgun #20 L.Lewis rush right for 4 yards loss to the CMU30 (#5 J.Scott)Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.5%
(14:58) #18 D.Duley punt 39 yards to the CANES31 fair catch by #1 M.Toney at CANES31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:4997% → 98%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+31
97.3%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete deep left to #9 E.Lofton caught at CMU47, for 31 yards to the CMU38 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
97.4%
(14:14) Shotgun #0 G.Pringle Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the CMU36 (#1 J.Douglas; #40 B.McCalla)Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+20
97.3%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #12 S.Wingo caught at CMU20, for 20 yards to the CMU16 (#11 X.White; #19 D.Bryant Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
97.3%
PENALTY CMU Delay Of Game (#19 D.Bryant Jr.) 5 yards from CMU16 to CMU11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 5
OPP 11
+11
97.9%
Daylyn Upshaw 11 Yd pass from Darian Mensah (Jake Weinberg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:182% → 3%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.7%
(12:46) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CMU24 (#8 M.Lightfoot; #97 K.Davis)Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
97.6%
(12:02) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #16 S.Foster caught at CMU31, for 7 yards to the CMU31, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-4
97.5%
(11:22) Shotgun Central Mich. rush middle for 4 yards loss to the CMU27 fumbled by Central Mich. at CMU31 recovered by CANES #25 J.Dunnigan at CMU27, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7TD
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:2798% → 98%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.8%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short left to #8 V.Jacobs thrown to CMU08Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
97.8%
PENALTY CANES False Start (#76 R.Rodriguez) 5 yards from CMU27 to CMU32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+20
97.7%
(11:10) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #21 J.Mallory caught at CMU36, for 20 yards to the CMU12 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
97.8%
(10:31) Shotgun #21 J.Mallory rush right for 4 yards gain to the CMU08 (#35 M.Hitchens; #92 J.Cherry)Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
98.4%
(09:48) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #1 M.Toney caught at CMU00, for 8 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:45, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:562% → 2%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.3%
(09:43) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU29 (#8 M.Lightfoot) PENALTY CMU Holding (#2 B.Townsend) 10 yards from CMU25 to CMU15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
98.3%
(09:22) Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU20 (#5 J.Scott)Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
98.3%
(08:42) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass complete short left to #43 N.Woodford caught at CMU19, for 0 yards to the CMU20 (#24 E.O'Connor)Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
98.2%
(07:55) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass incomplete short right to #20 L.Lewis thrown to CMU20Similar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
98.2%
(07:50) #18 D.Duley punt 46 yards to the CANES34 fair catch by #1 M.Toney at CANES34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 4:1798% → 99%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
98.2%
(07:46) Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush left for 1 yard loss to the CANES33 (#17 C.Ali; #1 J.Douglas)Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+14
98.2%
(07:11) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #18 C.Barkate caught at CANES38, for 14 yards to the CANES47 (#35 M.Hitchens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
98.2%
(06:39) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #18 C.Barkate caught at CANES47, for 14 yards to the CMU39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
98.2%
(06:00) Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush right for 11 yards gain to the CMU28 (#40 B.McCalla), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
98.1%
(05:21) Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU23 (#97 M.Van Fleet). #12 D.Philord injured on the playSimilar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+1
98.1%
(04:51) Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush left for 1 yard gain to the CMU22 (#14 J.Taylor)Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+9
98.0%
(04:07) Shotgun #0 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU13 (#1 J.Douglas; #35 M.Hitchens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.2%
(03:24) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #18 C.Barkate caught at CMU00, for 13 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:22, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:392% → 2%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.3%
(03:20) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU29 (#0 O.Thornton)Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+24
98.2%
(02:45) Shotgun #10 M.Beamon pass complete deep middle to #81 T.Vanderleest caught at CANES47, for 24 yards to the CANES47, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.0%
(02:07) Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 0 yards to the CANES47 (#0 O.Thornton)Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-3
98.1%
(01:58) Shotgun #10 M.Beamon rush middle for 3 yards loss to the CANES50 (#0 O.Thornton)Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 13
50
0
98.1%
(01:53) Shotgun #10 M.Beamon pass complete short left to #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. caught at CANES50, for 0 yards to the CANES50 (#11 K.Bonner)Similar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 13
50
0
97.9%
(01:44) #18 D.Duley punt 44 yards to the CANES06 #1 M.Toney return 12 yards to the CANES18 (#42 L.Swanson) PENALTY CANES Holding (#24 E.O'Connor) 3 yards from CANES06 to CANES03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11TD
13 plays · 97 yds · 1:1999% → 100%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
98.8%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #8 V.Jacobs caught at CANES09, for 6 yards to the CANES09 (#40 B.McCalla)Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+16
98.7%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #8 V.Jacobs caught at CANES25, for 16 yards to the CANES25, out of bounds at CANES25, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
98.6%
(01:11) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #1 M.Toney caught at CANES38, for 23 yards to the CANES48 (#35 M.Hitchens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
98.8%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush middle for 19 yards gain to the CMU33, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CANES Holding (#9 E.Lofton) 10 yards from CMU33 to CMU43Similar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
99.2%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #9 E.Lofton caught at CMU36, for 15 yards to the CMU28 (#11 X.White) PENALTY CANES Holding (#78 M.McCoy) 10 yards from CMU43 to CANES47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+7
99.1%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CMU46, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+10
99.1%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #21 J.Mallory thrown to CMU40 QB hurried by #92 J.Cherry PENALTY CMU Holding (#26 M.McKenzie) 10 yards from CMU46 to CMU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+35
99.1%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete deep right to #1 M.Toney caught at CMU07, for 35 yards to the CMU01 (#14 J.Taylor), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CMU Holding declined. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was out of bounds". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.6%
(00:19) Shotgun #21 J.Mallory rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU01 (#35 M.Hitchens) PENALTY CANES False Start (#7 D.Upshaw) 4 yards from CMU01 to CMU05. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.6%
(00:18) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short middle to #1 M.Toney thrown to CMU00Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.6%
(00:16) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short middle to #7 D.Upshaw thrown to CMU00 broken up by #14 J.TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.6%
(00:06) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:06 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
(00:04) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU28 (#0 O.Thornton; #4 C.Pruitt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13FUMBLE
10 plays · 38 yds · 5:180% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.6%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. caught at CMU34, for 9 yards to the CMU34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.6%
Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush right for 4 yards gain to the CMU38 (#9 C.Smith) PENALTY CMU Illegal Shift 5 yards from CMU34 to CMU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.6%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short left to #31 J.Clerveaux caught at CMU22, for 8 yards to the CMU37 (#4 C.Pruitt; #9 C.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.6%
Shotgun #31 J.Clerveaux rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU39 (#4 C.Pruitt; #27 R.Mack)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
99.6%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short left to #43 N.Woodford caught at CMU36, for 5 yards to the CMU44 (#4 C.Pruitt)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+18
99.6%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #20 L.Lewis caught at CMU50, for 18 yards to the CANES38 (#7 Z.Poyser), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
99.6%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #87 G.Spillers caught at CANES36, for 8 yards to the CANES30 (#27 R.Mack)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+1
99.5%
Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush right for 1 yard gain to the CANES29 (#4 C.Pruitt; #8 M.Lightfoot)Similar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+13
99.6%
Shotgun #5 J.Glasser sacked for loss of 8 yards to the CANES37 (#8 M.Lightfoot), fumble by #5 J.Glasser recovered by CANES #10 D.Wilson II at CANES37 #10 D.Wilson II return 13 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:42 PENALTY CANES Personal Foul (#8 M.Lightfoot) 15 yards from CANES50 to CANES35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14FUMBLE RETURN TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:42100% → 100%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.8%
Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #1 M.Toney caught at CANES31, for 11 yards to the CANES46 (#92 J.Cherry), 1ST DOWN. #19 D.Bryant Jr. injured on the playSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+37
99.8%
(09:22) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short left to #1 M.Toney caught at CMU40, for 37 yards to the CMU17, out of bounds at CMU17, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.8%
(08:39) Shotgun #0 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU12 (#32 J.Reinbold; #5 K.Demma)Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+10
99.8%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #1 M.Toney caught at CMU00, for 12 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 08:10 PENALTY CANES Pass Interference (#1 M.Toney) 10 yards from CMU12 to CMU22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 15
OPP 22
-2
99.8%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #0 G.Pringle Jr. caught at CMU26, for 2 yards loss to the CMU24 (#26 M.McKenzie)Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 17
OPP 24
+21
99.8%
(07:27) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete deep left to #8 V.Jacobs caught at CMU03, for 21 yards to the CMU03, out of bounds at CMU03, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.8%
(06:48) Shotgun #0 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU02 (#17 C.Ali)Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
(06:08) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass incomplete short right to #7 D.Upshaw thrown to CMU00 PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (#26 M.McKenzie) 1 yard from CMU02 to CMU01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
(06:05) Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU00 fumbled by #2 J.Lyle at CMU01 forced by #17 C.Ali recovered by CANES #71 J.Meriweather at CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:00 #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
(05:59) Shotgun #10 M.Beamon sacked for loss of 2 yards to the CMU23 (#0 O.Thornton)Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
(05:22) Shotgun #10 M.Beamon pass incomplete short left to #17 B.Naves thrown to CMU42 broken up by #24 E.O'ConnorSimilar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
(05:16) Shotgun #10 M.Beamon pass complete short middle to #43 N.Woodford caught at CMU25, for 5 yards to the CMU28 (#1 M.Toure)Similar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+42
99.9%
(04:35) #18 D.Duley punt 63 yards to the CANES09 #12 S.Wingo return 42 yards to the CMU49 (#18 D.Duley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16FG
15 plays · 34 yds · 16:59100% → 100%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.9%
(04:22) Shotgun #0 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU43 (#97 M.Van Fleet)Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+8
99.9%
(03:51) Shotgun #5 L.Nickel pass complete short left to #12 S.Wingo caught at CMU40, for 8 yards to the CMU35 (#14 J.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
(03:12) Shotgun #5 L.Nickel pass incomplete deep middle to #12 S.Wingo thrown to CMU13 broken up by #43 K.HaywardSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
(03:07) Shotgun #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey rush right for 2 yards gain to the CMU33 (#10 J.Alston; #20 J.Jones)Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+7
99.9%
(02:32) Shotgun #5 L.Nickel pass complete short right to #13 V.Spafford caught at CMU34, for 7 yards to the CMU26 (#40 B.McCalla; #14 J.Taylor)Similar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+4
99.9%
(01:52) Shotgun #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey rush right for 4 yards gain to the CMU22 (#24 T.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
99.9%
(01:19) Shotgun #2 J.Lyle rush right for 1 yard loss to the CMU23 (#17 C.Ali)Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 11
OPP 23
0
99.9%
(00:40) Shotgun #5 L.Nickel pass incomplete short middle to #13 V.Spafford thrown to CMU20 broken up by #0 D.BennettSimilar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+11
99.9%
(00:36) Shotgun #5 L.Nickel pass complete short right to #13 V.Spafford caught at CMU15, for 11 yards to the CMU12 (#19 D.Bryant Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-8
99.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #5 L.Nickel sacked for loss of 8 yards to the CMU20 (#48 N.VanTimmeren)Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 18
OPP 20
+7
99.9%
(14:19) Shotgun #5 L.Nickel pass complete short middle to #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey caught at CMU20, for 7 yards to the CMU13 (#1 J.Douglas) PENALTY CANES Face Mask (#25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey) 15 yards from CMU13 to CMU28Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 26
OPP 28
+13
99.9%
(13:47) Shotgun #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey rush middle for 13 yards gain to the CMU15 (#20 J.Jones; #17 C.Ali). #17 C.Ali injured on the playSimilar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+33
99.9%
(13:19) #22 J.Weinberg field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker), clock 13:17Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 13
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Shotgun #5 L.Nickel pass incomplete short left to #13 V.Spafford thrown to CMU02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
100.0%
(13:15) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser sacked for loss of 4 yards to the CMU21 (#27 R.Mack)Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
100.0%
(12:32) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short left to #6 C.Payne caught at CMU18, for 6 yards to the CMU27 (#27 R.Mack)Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
(11:48) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass incomplete deep middle to #17 B.Naves thrown to CANES25Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+8
100.0%
(11:42) #18 D.Duley punt 39 yards to the CANES34 #12 S.Wingo return 8 yards to the CANES42 (#51 Z.Curtis; #40 B.McCalla)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.9%
(11:33) Shotgun #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey rush left for 9 yards gain to the CMU49 (#21 J.Allen; #92 J.Cherry)Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+14
99.9%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey rush middle for 14 yards gain to the CMU35 (#27 T.Campbell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
100.0%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey rush middle for 35 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:29, 1ST DOWN #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #96 T.Tevepaugh, LS: #46 A.Booker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19INT
13 plays · 45 yds · 7:040% → 0%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
(10:27) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #43 N.Woodford caught at CMU20, for 1 yard to the CMU26 (#4 C.Pruitt)Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
(09:53) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU29 (#40 K.Stancil; #11 K.Bonner)Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
100.0%
(09:10) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #3 N.Williams caught at CMU35, for 6 yards to the CMU35 (#15 B.Jennings), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
(08:29) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU36 (#28 I.Taylor)Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
100.0%
(07:51) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #16 S.Foster caught at CMU37, for 1 yard to the CMU37, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+8
100.0%
(07:12) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #85 M.Peters caught at CMU44, for 8 yards to the CMU45 (#11 K.Bonner; #28 I.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
(06:33) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #43 N.Woodford caught at CMU40, for 4 yards to the CMU49 (#15 B.Jennings; #88 D.Lafayette)Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+1
100.0%
(05:56) Shotgun #22 T.Moore rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU50 (#20 C.Ewald, Jr.)Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 5
50
+7
100.0%
(05:15) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass complete short right to #17 B.Naves caught at CANES45, for 7 yards to the CANES43 (#17 E.Marcelin, Jr.; #15 B.Jennings), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
(04:38) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CANES40 (#33 B.Pickett Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+10
100.0%
(04:00) Shotgun #43 N.Woodford rush middle for 10 yards gain to the CANES30 (#28 I.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-24
100.0%
(03:16) Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass intercepted by #15 B.Jennings at CANES07 QB hurried by #92 S.Coufal #15 B.Jennings return 24 yards to the CANES31, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20END OF GAME
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
100.0%
(03:05) Shotgun #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey rush right for 3 yards gain to the CANES34 (#10 J.Alston)Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+8
100.0%
(02:23) Shotgun #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CANES42 (#22 N.Anderson; #30 A.Cherry, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
100.0%
(01:58) Shotgun #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU49 (#23 K.Krebs; #30 A.Cherry, Jr.)Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+5
100.0%
PENALTY CANES False Start (#65 S.Alofaituli) 5 yards from CMU49 to CANES46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
100.0%
(00:57) Shotgun #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey rush left for 1 yard gain to the CANES47 (#92 J.Cherry)Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
(00:20) Shotgun #25 C.Wheatley-Humphrey rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU47 (#10 J.Alston; #92 J.Cherry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:22
(03:24) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short right to #18 C.Barkate caught at CMU00, for 13 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:22, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)
+1.2
TD · Q2 9:45
(09:48) Shotgun #10 D.Mensah pass complete short middle to #1 M.Toney caught at CMU00, for 8 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:45, 1ST DOWN #22 J.Weinberg kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)
+0.7
TD · Q2 12:47
Daylyn Upshaw 11 Yd pass from Darian Mensah (Jake Weinberg Kick)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com