Try the model
CLEM

Clemson 24 at California 10

CAL
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2026 · California Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLEFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameTD-21.2CAL 29.7%A. Davies punt for 39 yds, B. WescoJr. returns for 65 yds for a TD (N.Hauser KICK)AWAY 17 - HOME 10 · Q3 3:57
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:57 · A. Davies punt for 39 yds, B. Wesco Jr. returns for 65 yds for a TD (N. Hauser KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Home team on offense−10.3Pregame prior−2.1Garbage-time factor−4.3Score differential−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:37: (05:35) Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:37 #81 N.Hauser kick attempt good (H: #88 C.Swinney, LS: #40 B.Conn) — CLEM win probability +10.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:23: (09:26) #91 C.Meyer field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke), clock 09:23 — CAL win probability +5.7 pts (now 54%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:57: A. Davies punt for 39 yds, B. Wesco Jr. returns for 65 yds for a TD (N. Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +21.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:45: (03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at CAL29, for 8 yards to the CAL33 (#6 J.Carter III) — CAL win probability +8.7 pts (now 34%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:58: G. Davidson run for 75 yd touchdown — CLEM win probability +4.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 5 of 8CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:23CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:50CAL 4th & 2 at CLEM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    47.3%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56CLEM 4th & 12 at CAL 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:07CAL 4th & 6 at CAL 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:42CLEM 4th & 2 at CAL 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    48.1%−0.7
    68% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−4.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:13CLEM 4th & 1 at CAL 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    46.1%−1.9
    90% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:29CAL 4th & 11 at CLEM 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:14CLEM 4th & 24 at CLEM 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:23CAL 4th & 4 at CLEM 12, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.9%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−10.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:28CLEM 4th & 8 at CAL 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    48.0%−2.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:57CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−1.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:48CAL 4th & 2 at CAL 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:14CLEM 4th & 2 at CAL 30, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%−2.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−4.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:30CAL 4th & 16 at CLEM 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:54CAL 4th & 6 at CAL 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 5:37CLEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:57CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:58CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:3857% → 56%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
43.3%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLEM28 (#44 J.Johnson)Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+6
43.4%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CLEM34 (#0 S.Williams)Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
43.6%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short left to #6 T.Brown caught at CLEM35, for 4 yards to the CLEM38 (#24 Q.Shemwell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
43.7%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass intercepted by #23 I.Crosby at CAL29 QB hurried by #96 D.Wilkins #23 I.Crosby return 36 yards to the CLEM35, out of bounds at CLEM35 PENALTY CAL Illegal Block in Back declined CAL UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#7 D.Harris) 10 yards from CAL29 to CAL19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2INT
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:5244% → 44%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
43.8%
(13:06) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 0 yards to the CAL19 (#95 A.Adams)Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+13
44.0%
(12:34) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short left to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to CAL32 PENALTY CLEM Pass Interference (#3 E.Washington II) 13 yards from CAL19 to CAL32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
44.1%
(12:29) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at CAL31, for 17 yards to the CAL49 (#6 J.Carter III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
44.4%
(12:08) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass intercepted by #3 E.Washington II at CLEM25 QB hurried by #5 R.Hanafin #3 E.Washington II return 0 yards to the CLEM25, out of bounds at CLEM25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:2556% → 55%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.1%
(12:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short left to #6 T.Brown caught at CLEM22, for 1 yard to the CLEM26 (#24 Q.Shemwell)Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
44.3%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 11 yards gain to the CLEM37 (#2 K.Lopa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
44.2%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLEM41 (#10 J.Wayne)Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+10
44.0%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds rush right for 15 yards gain to the CAL44 (#1 R.Fletcher; #44 J.Johnson) PENALTY CLEM Holding (#77 R.O'Connell) 10 yards from CLEM41 to CLEM31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 16
OWN 31
0
44.6%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass incomplete deep middle to #1 T.Moore thrown to CAL30Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 16
OWN 31
+8
45.0%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds rush right for 8 yards gain to the CLEM39 (#23 I.Crosby), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
45.2%
(09:29) #89 J.Smith punt 31 yards to the CAL30 fair catch by #23 I.Crosby at CAL30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:2445% → 47%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
45.2%
(09:23) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CAL38 (#6 J.Carter III)Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+17
45.7%
(08:49) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL39 (#47 S.Brown; #56 A.Burburija) PENALTY CLEM Personal Foul (#29 C.Thompson) 15 yards from CAL39 to CLEM46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
46.3%
(08:02) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #24 A.Mohammed caught at CLEM44, for 6 yards to the CLEM40 (#14 L.Merritt)Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+6
46.3%
(07:47) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush left for 6 yards gain to the CLEM34 (#6 J.Carter III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
46.8%
(07:10) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLEM30 (#22 C.Myrick; #2 A.Hampton)Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
47.1%
(06:35) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #85 M.Mini caught at CLEM26, for 4 yards to the CLEM26 (#5 R.Hanafin)Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
47.0%
(05:58) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short right to #24 A.Mohammed thrown to CLEM25Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 2
OPP 26
0
46.6%
(05:50) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short left to #85 M.Mini thrown to CLEM15 broken up by #49 D.Mayo, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:2455% → 51%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
45.5%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short middle to #1 T.Moore caught at CLEM36, for 13 yards to the CLEM39 (#23 I.Crosby; #1 R.Fletcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+35
48.8%
T. Reynolds sacked by A. Manutai for -4 yds, K. Mothudi fumbled, returned for a TD (C. Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 4:5951% → 48%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
49.2%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short right to #12 B.Wesco Jr. caught at CLEM29, for 10 yards to the CLEM39 (#3 K.Mothudi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
49.0%
(04:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Green rush left for 1 yard gain to the CLEM40 (#3 K.Mothudi; #10 J.Wayne)Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+27
49.4%
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Brown rush left for 27 yards gain to the CAL33 (#3 K.Mothudi), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
50.4%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short middle to #12 B.Wesco Jr. caught at CAL34, for 4 yards to the CAL29 (#4 J.Beadles)Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
50.3%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Green rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CAL26 (#4 J.Beadles; #44 J.Johnson). #52 E.Thurmon injured on the playSimilar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+3
51.0%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CAL23 (#33 J.McKinley; #32 T.Jernigan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
49.9%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 14 yards gain to the CAL09 (#14 A.Manutai), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CAL Personal Foul (#4 J.Beadles) 5 yards from CAL09 to CAL04, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
50.0%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL03 (#0 S.Williams)Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+5
50.2%
(01:29) PENALTY CLEM False Start (#75 T.Kattus) 5 yards from CAL03 to CAL08. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
50.4%
(01:13) Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds rush middle for 0 yards to the CAL08 (#2 K.Lopa)Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
51.4%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds rush left for 4 yards loss to the CAL12 (#44 J.Johnson)Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
51.7%
(15:00) #81 N.Hauser field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #88 C.Swinney, LS: #40 B.Conn), clock 14:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3851% → 50%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
50.5%
(14:56) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #85 M.Mini caught at CAL26, for 1 yard to the CAL26 (#22 C.Myrick)Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
50.7%
(14:22) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CAL33 (#14 L.Merritt)Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-4
51.0%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele sacked for loss of 4 yards to the CAL29 (#14 L.Merritt)Similar
Q2 13:07
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+7
50.0%
(13:11) #29 A.Davies punt 44 yards to the CLEM27 #12 B.Wesco Jr. return 7 yards to the CLEM34 (#2 K.Lopa)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8TD
20 plays · 66 yds · 7:2048% → 57%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
52.5%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 C.Johnson Jr. rush left for 1 yard loss to the CLEM33 (#16 M.Hurst)Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+24
53.4%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short right to #6 T.Brown caught at CLEM34, for 24 yards to the CAL43 (#20 C.Sidney), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
51.3%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 C.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CAL40 (#2 K.Lopa; #32 T.Jernigan)Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
51.4%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass incomplete deep left to #12 B.Wesco Jr. thrown to CAL05. #0 S.Williams injured on the playSimilar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+3
52.3%
(11:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds rush right for 3 yards gain to the CAL37 (#33 J.McKinley; #24 Q.Shemwell)Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+5
53.6%
(10:44) PENALTY CAL Offside (#26 N.Davis) 5 yards from CAL37 to CAL32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
51.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #16 C.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CAL27 (#96 D.Wilkins)Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
51.9%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 C.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CAL25 (#96 D.Wilkins; #44 J.Johnson)Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+1
52.6%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL24 (#99 A.Shepphard; #23 I.Crosby)Similar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+7
54.1%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short right to #87 C.Bentancur caught at CAL17, for 7 yards to the CAL17 (#9 A.Tuitele), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
52.4%
(08:27) Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL16 (#2 K.Lopa; #32 T.Jernigan). #0 S.Williams injured on the playSimilar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
53.0%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CAL13 (#44 J.Johnson)Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+5
54.3%
(07:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short middle to #1 T.Moore caught at CAL08, for 5 yards to the CAL08, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 7:13
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+2
55.3%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CAL06 (#9 A.Tuitele; #32 T.Jernigan), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was not down by contact". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
53.7%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short middle to #16 C.Johnson Jr. caught at CAL08, for 2 yards to the CAL04 (#23 I.Crosby), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
53.8%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CAL02 (#0 S.Williams; #23 I.Crosby) PENALTY CAL UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#23 I.Crosby) 1 yard from CAL02 to CAL01, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.5%
(06:14) Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 0 yards to the CAL01 (#4 J.Beadles)Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.1%
(05:35) Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:37 #81 N.Hauser kick attempt good (H: #88 C.Swinney, LS: #40 B.Conn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9MISSED FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 4:0049% → 46%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
48.7%
(05:37) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CAL24 (#7 J.Alexander; #47 S.Brown)Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
48.8%
(04:59) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at CAL34, for 10 yards to the CAL34 (#2 A.Hampton), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
50.5%
(04:22) Shotgun #85 M.Mini rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL35 (#47 S.Brown; #15 J.Lawson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
49.7%
(03:43) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush left for 9 yards gain to the CAL44 (#7 J.Alexander)Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+9
52.1%
(03:04) #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CLEM47 (#5 R.Hanafin; #22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
52.4%
(02:27) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 0 yards to the CLEM47 (#47 S.Brown; #29 C.Thompson)Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
48.6%
(02:00) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele rush left for 5 yards gain to the CLEM42, out of bounds at CLEM42 PENALTY CLEM Holding (#7 J.Alexander) 10 yards from CLEM42 to CLEM32, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
50.6%
(01:53) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete deep right to #9 I.Strong thrown to CLEM06 broken up by #2 A.HamptonSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+10
50.5%
(01:48) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at CLEM35, for 5 yards to the CLEM27 (#6 J.Carter III), out of bounds PENALTY CAL Holding (#9 I.Strong) 10 yards from CLEM32 to CLEM42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 20
OPP 42
+9
47.3%
(01:43) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #24 A.Mohammed caught at CLEM42, for 9 yards to the CLEM33 (#22 C.Myrick), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
48.1%
(01:36) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to CLEM23 broken up by #2 A.HamptonSimilar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+51
45.6%
(01:34) #91 C.Meyer field goal attempt from 51 yards NO GOOD (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke), clock 01:29, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 1:0355% → 53%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
45.1%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds rush middle for 20 yards gain to the CAL47 (#2 K.Lopa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
42.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CAL43 (#10 J.Wayne; #51 J.Williams) PENALTY CLEM Holding (#74 B.Jacobs) 10 yards from CAL47 to CLEM43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 20
OWN 43
0
44.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass incomplete deep right to #1 T.Moore thrown to CAL30 QB hurried by #33 J.McKinleySimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 20
OWN 43
-8
45.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds sacked for loss of 8 yards to the CLEM35 (#9 A.Tuitele)Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 28
OWN 35
+4
47.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Green rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLEM39 (#2 K.Lopa; #14 A.Manutai)Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 24
OWN 39
0
46.6%
#89 J.Smith punt 32 yards to the CAL29 fair catch by #81 T.Sams at CAL29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
48.0%
Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short right to #10 C.Perry thrown to CAL30Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
47.6%
Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete deep right to #9 I.Strong thrown to CLEM45Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+1
46.4%
Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush left for 1 yard gain to the CAL30 (#0 D.Starr)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:2645% → 54%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
44.9%
(14:56) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CAL20 (#13 W.Heldt)Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+26
44.2%
(14:00) Shotgun #85 M.Mini pass complete deep left to #9 I.Strong caught at CAL45, for 26 yards to the CAL46 (#6 J.Carter III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
47.4%
(13:38) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CAL50 (#95 A.Adams; #7 J.Alexander)Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 5
50
+15
47.8%
(13:00) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #24 A.Mohammed caught at CAL44, for 15 yards to the CLEM35 (#6 J.Carter III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
49.3%
(12:31) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #0 D.Thomas caught at CLEM30, for 7 yards to the CLEM28 (#22 C.Myrick), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
49.5%
(12:02) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLEM26 (#7 J.Alexander; #47 S.Brown)Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+8
47.9%
(11:15) Shotgun #14 D.Ingrassia rush left for 8 yards gain to the CLEM18 (#47 S.Brown; #14 L.Merritt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
49.7%
(10:44) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLEM15 (#5 R.Hanafin)Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
49.9%
(10:07) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLEM12 (#47 S.Brown; #15 J.Lawson)Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
48.2%
(09:28) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short middle thrown to CLEM08 broken up by #56 A.BurburijaSimilar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
53.9%
(09:26) #91 C.Meyer field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #29 A.Davies, LS: #53 J.Franke), clock 09:23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:4251% → 51%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
48.6%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLEM26 (#10 J.Wayne; #23 I.Crosby)Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+4
48.6%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLEM30 (#3 K.Mothudi; #96 D.Wilkins)Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+22
48.5%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short middle to #11 O.Patt-Henry caught at CLEM36, for 22 yards to the CAL48 (#7 D.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
44.5%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass incomplete deep left to #16 C.Johnson Jr. thrown to CAL25 broken up by #7 D.HarrisSimilar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
45.0%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds rush right for 2 yards gain to the CAL46 (#3 K.Mothudi; #15 J.Pierce)Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
45.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass incomplete short right to #8 G.Davidson thrown to CAL46Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
49.3%
(06:31) #89 J.Smith punt 38 yards to the CAL08 fair catch by #81 T.Sams at CAL08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14PUNT TD
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:2152% → 30%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
52.4%
(06:28) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CAL14 (#22 C.Myrick; #49 D.Mayo)Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+9
52.8%
(05:52) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at CAL11, for 9 yards to the CAL23 (#5 R.Hanafin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
53.1%
(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short middle to #85 M.Mini thrown to CAL35Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
52.9%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 0 yards to the CAL23 (#5 R.Hanafin)Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+3
50.9%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #85 M.Mini rush left for 3 yards gain to the CAL26 (#5 R.Hanafin; #15 J.Lawson)Similar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+65
29.7%
A. Davies punt for 39 yds, B. Wesco Jr. returns for 65 yds for a TD (N. Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5734% → 33%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
34.1%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at CAL29, for 8 yards to the CAL33 (#6 J.Carter III)Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
36.6%
(03:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL34 (#6 J.Carter III; #95 A.Adams)Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
35.1%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 D.Ingrassia rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CAL33 (#14 L.Merritt; #13 W.Heldt)Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
33.1%
(02:03) punt 66 yards to the CLEM01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16MISSED FG
16 plays · 69 yds · 7:2869% → 81%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
30.6%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLEM03 (#32 T.Jernigan; #15 J.Pierce)Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+6
30.7%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short right to #1 T.Moore caught at CLEM09, for 6 yards to the CLEM09, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 0:39
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+5
31.2%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CLEM14 (#15 J.Pierce; #33 J.McKinley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
28.3%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass incomplete short left to #12 B.Wesco Jr. thrown to CLEM25Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
28.7%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Green rush left for 8 yards gain to the CLEM22 (#4 J.Beadles) PENALTY CAL Offside (#4 J.Beadles) 5 yards from CLEM14 to CLEM19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+3
25.8%
(14:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Green rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLEM22 (#2 K.Lopa)Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+3
25.3%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLEM25 (#23 I.Crosby), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
24.9%
(13:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass intercepted by #7 D.Harris at CAL50, End Of Play PENALTY CAL Pass Interference (#7 D.Harris) 15 yards from CLEM25 to CLEM40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
22.3%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short left to #12 B.Wesco Jr. caught at CLEM38, for 8 yards to the CLEM48 (#23 I.Crosby)Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+4
21.6%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Green rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CAL48 (#2 K.Lopa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
20.9%
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Green rush right for 10 yards gain to the CAL38 (#3 K.Mothudi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
20.2%
(11:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Green rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CAL32 (#33 J.McKinley; #9 A.Tuitele)Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
18.5%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 0 yards to the CAL32 (#0 S.Williams; #99 A.Shepphard)Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+2
16.6%
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass complete short right to #8 G.Davidson caught at CAL35, for 2 yards to the CAL30 (#2 K.Lopa), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+48
19.5%
(09:14) #81 N.Hauser field goal attempt from 48 yards NO GOOD (H: #88 C.Swinney, LS: #40 B.Conn), clock 09:14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:3428% → 21%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
28.0%
(09:14) Shotgun #20 A.Emory rush middle for 16 yards gain to the CAL46 (#22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
29.8%
(08:36) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short right to #9 I.Strong thrown to CLEM45Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
28.1%
(08:31) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at CAL46, for 7 yards to the CLEM47 (#5 R.Hanafin) PENALTY CAL Holding (#9 I.Strong) 10 yards from CLEM47 to CAL43Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+11
26.6%
(08:04) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short middle to #20 A.Emory caught at CAL45, for 11 yards to the CLEM46 (#0 D.Starr)Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+9
31.2%
(07:34) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #85 M.Mini caught at CLEM44, for 9 yards to the CLEM37 (#47 S.Brown), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
29.8%
(07:17) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #4 J.King caught at CLEM39, for 2 yards to the CLEM35 (#6 J.Carter III)Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-4
31.3%
(06:31) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele sacked for loss of 8 yards to the CLEM43 (#29 C.Thompson, #7 J.Alexander)Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 16
OPP 43
0
22.9%
(05:46) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete short left to #4 J.King thrown to CLEM30 broken up by #2 A.HamptonSimilar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
21.0%
(05:38) #29 A.Davies punt 41 yards to the CLEM02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18TD
6 plays · 98 yds · 2:2485% → 98%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
14.6%
(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLEM06 (#4 J.Beadles; #23 I.Crosby)Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+17
14.3%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 17 yards gain to the CLEM23 (#7 D.Harris; #23 I.Crosby), 1ST DOWN. #4 J.Beadles injured on the playSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
6.8%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLEM25 (#2 K.Lopa; #7 D.Harris)Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
6.2%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds pass incomplete short right to #87 C.Bentancur thrown to CLEM28Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+75
1.8%
G. Davidson run for 75 yd touchdownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19INT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:003% → 2%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.9%
(02:57) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass incomplete deep right to #85 M.Mini thrown to CAL47Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.8%
(02:53) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #7 C.Hendricks caught at CAL29, for 4 yards to the CAL29 (#22 C.Myrick)Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
2.7%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short right to #20 A.Emory caught at CAL26, for 0 yards to the CAL29 (#2 A.Hampton)Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
2.2%
(01:59) Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass intercepted by #3 E.Washington II at CLEM40, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:57
A. Davies punt for 39 yds, B. Wesco Jr. returns for 65 yds for a TD (N. Hauser KICK)
-21.2
TD · Q2 5:37
(05:35) Shotgun #8 G.Davidson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:37 #81 N.Hauser kick attempt good (H: #88 C.Swinney, LS: #40 B.Conn)
-10.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:45
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Sagapolutele pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at CAL29, for 8 yards to the CAL33 (#6 J.Carter III)
+8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com