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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreSTAN score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:27 · (04:36) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #85 J.Hasley caught at STAN33, for 15 yards to the STAN22 (#21 S.Edwards), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 5:29: (05:32) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #20 N.Sheppard caught at STAN05, for 2 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:29 #39 C.Salas kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #27 J.Yates) — DUKE win probability +5.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q2 2:59: (03:04) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 3 yards gain to the DUKE07 (#14 D.Pollard; #11 T.Tafiti) — DUKE win probability +4.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
- TD · Q2 0:16: (00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #0 C.High caught at DUKE00, for 5 yards to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:16 #13 E.Kenney kick attempt good (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #93 P.Warford) — STAN win probability +8.3 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
- TD · Q3 10:41: (10:45) #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 1 yard gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:41 #39 C.Salas kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #27 J.Yates) — DUKE win probability +6.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
- TD · Q3 2:56: (03:05) #7 K.Simmons rush right for 16 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:56, 1ST DOWN #39 C.Salas kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #27 J.Yates) — DUKE win probability +6.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7STAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
- Q1 11:19DUKE 4th & 2 at STAN 2, tiedAgrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call74.4%48% to convertField goal74.3%−0.194% to makePunt73.8%−0.6average punt
- Q1 8:16STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 30, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snapGo for it26.1%−0.225% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call26.3%average punt
- Q1 6:06DUKE 4th & 9 at STAN 49, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snapGo for it72.8%−0.132% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call72.9%average punt
- Q1 4:24STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 47, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snapGo for it27.6%−0.137% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call27.7%average punt
- Q1 2:48DUKE 4th & 16 at DUKE 24, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snapGo for it70.9%−0.814% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call71.7%average punt
- Q1 0:43STAN 4th & 10 at DUKE 44, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snapGo for it28.7%−0.130% to convertField goal28.5%−0.427% to makePuntTheir call28.8%average punt
- Q2 3:06STAN 4th & 14 at DUKE 44, down 14Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snapGo for it15.8%−0.319% to convertField goal15.8%−0.327% to makePuntTheir call16.1%average punt
- Q2 1:48DUKE 4th & 5 at DUKE 9, up 14Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snapGo for it83.1%−0.739% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call83.8%average punt
- Q3 8:13STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 36, down 14Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snapGo for it11.2%−1.423% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call12.6%average punt
- Q3 4:27DUKE 4th & 3 at STAN 37, up 14Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call91.4%53% to convertField goal90.0%−1.440% to makePunt89.8%−1.6average punt
- Q3 1:33STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 21, down 21Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snapGo for it2.1%−0.538% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call2.6%average punt
- Q3 0:03DUKE 4th & 11 at DUKE 42, up 21Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snapGo for it97.8%−0.426% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call98.2%average punt
- Q4 13:44STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 25, down 21Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snapGo for it1.1%−0.619% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call1.8%average punt
- Q4 4:57STAN 4th & 18 at DUKE 40, down 28Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call0.0%−0.113% to convertField goal0.1%34% to makePunt0.1%−<0.1average punt
- Q4 1:52DUKE 4th & 3 at DUKE 33, up 28Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snapGo for it100.0%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call99.9%−<0.1average punt
- Q4 0:02STAN 4th & 8 at STAN 31, down 28Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snapGo for itTheir call0.0%−<0.133% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt0.0%average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
- Q2 10:42DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call75.0%97% to makeGo for two74.9%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 5:29DUKE Touchdown, up 13 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call83.4%97% to makeGo for two83.4%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 0:16STAN Touchdown, down 8 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call20.9%97% to makeGo for two20.8%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 10:41DUKE Touchdown, up 13 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call87.7%97% to makeGo for two87.6%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 2:56DUKE Touchdown, up 20 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call97.8%97% to makeGo for two97.7%−<0.145% to convert
- Q4 8:20DUKE Touchdown, up 27 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call100.0%97% to makeGo for two100.0%−<0.145% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartDUKEDrive 1INT9 plays · 51 yds · 3:3573% → 73%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
73.2%
(14:59) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 5 yards gain to the STAN48 (#45 O.Staples)Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+22
73.2%
(14:28) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #85 J.Hasley caught at STAN32, for 22 yards to the STAN26 (#6 D.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
73.2%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 19 yards gain to the STAN07 (#6 D.Davis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
73.2%
(13:21) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN05 (#35 M.Rose)Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
73.1%
(12:39) Shotgun #2 W.Eget rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN03, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 11:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
73.0%
(12:01) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 1 yard gain to the STAN02 (#35 M.Rose; #9 B.Nicholson)Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
72.7%
(11:24) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass intercepted by #6 D.Davis at STAN00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2PUNT7 plays · 10 yds · 2:5528% → 28%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
72.5%
(11:19) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #0 C.High caught at STAN15, for 2 yards to the STAN22 (#8 D.Stone), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
72.4%
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short middle to #88 B.Blackburn caught at STAN26, for 9 yards to the STAN31 (#7 N.Morris Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
72.1%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 1 yard gain to the STAN32 (#42 K.Johnson)Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
72.0%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush left for 3 yards gain to the STAN35 (#7 N.Morris Jr.; #0 D.Flowers)Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-5
71.9%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren sacked for loss of 5 yards to the STAN30 (#15 K.O'Connor)Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
72.2%
(08:21) #37 A.Flintoft punt 38 yards to the DUKE32 fair catch by #35 A.Pellicciotta at DUKE32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 3PUNT7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0472% → 71%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
71.9%
(08:16) Shotgun #22 J.Tanelus rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DUKE35 (#10 S.Mattingly; #57 K.Briehler)Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+15
71.8%
(07:47) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 15 yards gain to the DUKE50 (#6 D.Davis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
50
0
72.2%
(07:10) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete deep left to #85 J.Hasley thrown to STAN30 QB hurried by #44 E.CooperSimilar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 10
50
+2
72.1%
(07:06) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN48 (#75 B.Marceau-Olayinka; #10 S.Mattingly)Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-1
71.9%
(06:25) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #5 J.Nicholas caught at DUKE49, for 1 yard loss to the STAN49 (#24 L.McAllister III; #9 B.Nicholson) PENALTY DUKE Illegal Block in Back declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4PUNT7 plays · 27 yds · 1:3829% → 29%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
71.1%
(06:06) #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short left to #20 M.Ford thrown to STAN12 QB hurried by #44 D.AndersonSimilar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+14
71.1%
(06:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #11 J.Hall caught at STAN34, for 14 yards to the STAN34, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
70.8%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush right for 10 yards gain to the STAN44 (#35 A.Pellicciotta), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
70.2%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush right for 3 yards gain to the STAN47 (#35 A.Pellicciotta; #44 D.Anderson)Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
70.0%
(04:41) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short middle to #0 C.High thrown to DUKE40Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
70.2%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete deep middle to #0 C.High thrown to DUKE30 QB hurried by #1 K.Loud and #4 E.SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 5PUNT6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3071% → 70%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
70.8%
(04:24) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 14 yards gain to the DUKE30 (#10 S.Mattingly; #8 C.Richardson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
70.8%
(03:46) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Moore thrown to DUKE40Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
70.6%
(03:43) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 1 yard loss to the DUKE29 (#45 O.Staples)Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
70.0%
(03:03) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short middle to #0 C.Campbell Jr. thrown to DUKE32 QB hurried by #57 K.BriehlerSimilar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 11
OWN 29
+5
69.6%
PENALTY DUKE False Start (#42 K.Johnson) 5 yards from DUKE29 to DUKE24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 16
OWN 24
+16
69.6%
(03:00) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 60 yards to the STAN16 #13 L.Thorpe return 16 yards to the STAN32 (#42 K.Johnson; #24 B.Gompers) PENALTY STAN Holding (#33 L.Jackson) 7 yards from STAN16 to STAN09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6PUNT6 plays · 47 yds · 1:5930% → 31%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+19
70.4%
(02:46) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 19 yards gain to the STAN28 (#4 E.Smith; #0 D.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+28
69.5%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush right for 28 yards gain to the DUKE44 (#0 D.Flowers; #1 K.Loud), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
68.3%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush left for 0 yards to the DUKE44 (#9 C.Ojarikre; #7 N.Morris Jr.)Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
68.1%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short left to #23 N.Brown thrown to DUKE44 broken up by #12 B.DavisSimilar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
68.5%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush middle for 0 yards to the DUKE44 (#12 B.Davis)Similar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
69.3%
(00:50) #37 A.Flintoft punt 34 yards to the DUKE10 fair catch by #35 A.Pellicciotta at DUKE10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 7TD12 plays · 90 yds · 5:0170% → 75%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
70.2%
(00:43) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush left for 12 yards gain to the DUKE22 (#6 D.Davis; #8 C.Richardson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
70.0%
(15:00) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush middle for 2 yards loss to the DUKE20 (#11 T.Tafiti; #75 B.Marceau-Olayinka)Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+22
69.6%
(14:25) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete deep right to #17 J.Richardson caught at DUKE40, for 22 yards to the DUKE42 (#8 C.Richardson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
70.9%
(13:52) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the DUKE41 (#10 S.Mattingly) PENALTY DUKE Holding (#63 B.Smith) 10 yards from DUKE42 to DUKE32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+7
69.6%
(13:36) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short middle to #85 J.Hasley caught at DUKE36, for 7 yards to the DUKE39 (#35 M.Rose)Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+14
69.9%
(13:02) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush right for 14 yards gain to the STAN47 (#9 B.Nicholson; #97 Z.Rowell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
71.2%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the STAN47 (#10 S.Mattingly)Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+19
70.9%
(12:02) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #4 J.Solomon caught at STAN28, for 19 yards to the STAN28, out of bounds at STAN28, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY STAN Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
71.5%
(11:40) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 1 yard gain to the STAN27 (#10 S.Mattingly)Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+5
71.4%
(10:55) Shotgun #10 D.Mahan rush right for 1 yard gain to the STAN26 (#10 S.Mattingly), out of bounds PENALTY DUKE Illegal Substitution 5 yards from STAN27 to STAN32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+32
75.4%
(10:48) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 32 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:42, 1ST DOWN #39 C.Salas kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #27 J.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8FUMBLE7 plays · 10 yds · 1:3625% → 26%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.7%
(10:41) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short middle to #2 Z.Robinson thrown to STAN26 broken up by #12 B.DavisSimilar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.8%
PENALTY DUKE Offside (#44 D.Anderson) 5 yards from STAN25 to STAN30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
74.2%
(10:34) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush left for 4 yards gain to the STAN34 (#35 A.Pellicciotta)Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
74.4%
(09:52) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush left for 6 yards gain to the STAN40 (#1 K.Loud; #35 A.Pellicciotta), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
74.1%
(09:11) Shotgun #8 D.Warren sacked for loss of 5 yards to the STAN35 (#15 K.O'Connor), fumble by #8 D.Warren recovered by DUKE #42 K.Johnson at STAN35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 9TD6 plays · 35 yds · 3:2978% → 84%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
78.3%
(09:05) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 9 yards gain to the STAN26 (#11 T.Tafiti; #21 S.Edwards)Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
78.4%
(08:27) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 0 yards to the STAN26 (#45 O.Staples; #35 M.Rose)Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+18
78.1%
(07:46) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #85 J.Hasley caught at STAN28, for 18 yards to the STAN08 (#10 S.Mattingly; #21 S.Edwards), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
78.9%
(06:58) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 3 yards gain to the STAN05 (#97 Z.Rowell; #21 S.Edwards)Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
78.2%
(06:20) Shotgun #2 W.Eget rush right for 3 yards gain to the STAN02 (#38 Z.Johnson)Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.1%
(05:32) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #20 N.Sheppard caught at STAN05, for 2 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:29 #39 C.Salas kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #27 J.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10PUNT10 plays · 16 yds · 2:1818% → 15%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
82.5%
(05:29) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STAN45 (#3 L.Callahan)Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
81.9%
(04:50) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short middle to #19 D.Pantelis thrown to STAN47 broken up by #18 K.Smith QB hurried by #18 K.Smith and #43 S.TurnerSimilar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+15
82.6%
(04:46) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #0 C.High caught at DUKE49, for 15 yards to the DUKE40 (#0 D.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
81.4%
(04:07) Shotgun #0 C.High rush right for 4 yards loss to the DUKE44 (#8 D.Stone)Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 14
OPP 44
0
83.0%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short left to #0 C.High thrown to DUKE30Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 14
OPP 44
0
83.5%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short left to #89 A.Joseph thrown to DUKE32 broken up by #0 D.Flowers PENALTY STAN Holding offsetting DUKE Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 14
OPP 44
0
83.5%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short right to #2 Z.Robinson thrown to DUKE37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 11PUNT5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1190% → 89%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
89.9%
(03:04) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 3 yards gain to the DUKE07 (#14 D.Pollard; #11 T.Tafiti)Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+2
89.6%
(02:22) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DUKE09 (#57 K.Briehler; #5 J.Green)Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 5
OWN 9
0
88.9%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short left to #6 J.Burton thrown to DUKE18 broken up by #9 B.NicholsonSimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 5
OWN 9
0
88.5%
(01:56) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 46 yards to the STAN45 #13 L.Thorpe return 0 yards to the STAN45 (#26 T.Sanford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12TD6 plays · 55 yds · 1:2814% → 24%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
86.3%
(01:48) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 4 yards gain to the STAN49 (#9 C.Ojarikre)Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+9
85.7%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #0 C.High caught at DUKE48, for 9 yards to the DUKE42 (#0 D.Flowers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
85.2%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #20 M.Ford caught at DUKE40, for 22 yards to the DUKE20 (#42 K.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
83.8%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #2 Z.Robinson caught at DUKE14, for 8 yards to the DUKE12 (#35 A.Pellicciotta)Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+7
84.5%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #11 J.Hall caught at DUKE10, for 7 yards to the DUKE05 (#0 D.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
76.2%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #0 C.High caught at DUKE00, for 5 yards to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:16 #13 E.Kenney kick attempt good (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #93 P.Warford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13END OF HALF3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.4%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 7 yards gain to the DUKE32 (#11 T.Tafiti; #45 O.Staples)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14TD12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1377% → 86%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short right to #15 J.Taylor thrown to DUKE32Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.7%
(14:53) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 9 yards gain to the DUKE34 (#35 M.Rose; #6 D.Davis)Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
77.1%
(14:19) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DUKE35 (#45 O.Staples; #35 M.Rose), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
76.6%
(13:32) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 1 yard gain to the DUKE36 (#11 T.Tafiti; #96 C.Bachhuber) PENALTY DUKE Holding (#72 M.Craycraft) 10 yards from DUKE35 to DUKE25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+16
76.2%
(13:21) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short middle to #17 J.Richardson caught at DUKE35, for 16 yards to the DUKE41 (#14 D.Pollard; #21 S.Edwards)Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+32
78.2%
(12:42) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete deep left to #4 J.Solomon caught at STAN30, for 32 yards to the STAN27 (#4 L.Bryant), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
79.3%
(12:02) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete deep right to #6 J.Burton thrown to STAN01 QB hurried by #75 B.Marceau-OlayinkaSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+26
79.3%
(11:58) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete deep left to #85 J.Hasley caught at STAN05, for 26 yards to the STAN01 (#10 S.Mattingly), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.4%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush middle for 0 yards to the STAN01 (#5 J.Green; #36 T.Williams)Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.2%
(10:45) #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 1 yard gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:41 #39 C.Salas kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #27 J.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15PUNT10 plays · 11 yds · 2:2315% → 13%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.4%
(10:41) Shotgun #20 M.Ford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STAN28 (#42 K.Johnson; #7 N.Morris Jr.)Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
84.9%
(10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short left to #0 C.High thrown to STAN36Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
85.9%
(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short right to #88 B.Blackburn thrown to STAN32 QB hurried by #15 K.O'Connor PENALTY DUKE Holding (#4 E.Smith) 10 yards from STAN28 to STAN38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
84.4%
(09:52) No Huddle #26 S.Irvin rush left for 5 yards gain to the STAN43 (#91 O.Wafle)Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+10
84.2%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #26 S.Irvin caught at STAN39, for 6 yards to the STAN49 (#0 D.Flowers; #7 N.Morris Jr.) PENALTY STAN Holding (#74 F.Anderson) 10 yards from STAN43 to STAN33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+3
86.2%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #20 M.Ford caught at STAN27, for 3 yards to the STAN36 (#0 D.Flowers; #7 N.Morris Jr.)Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
86.5%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Onovughe thrown to STAN47 QB hurried by #10 T.Reed and #24 B.GompersSimilar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
86.7%
(08:21) #37 A.Flintoft punt 37 yards to the DUKE27 fair catch by #35 A.Pellicciotta at DUKE27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16TD10 plays · 73 yds · 5:0988% → 98%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
88.2%
(08:14) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 18 yards gain to the DUKE45 (#6 D.Davis; #14 D.Pollard), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
89.8%
(07:30) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short right to #17 J.Richardson thrown to STAN45Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
89.7%
(07:26) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush left for 9 yards gain to the STAN46 (#5 J.Green; #21 S.Edwards)Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
89.5%
(06:43) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN44 (#25 B.Tate; #44 E.Cooper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
90.4%
(06:00) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete deep left to #8 J.Moore thrown to STAN10Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
90.3%
(05:56) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush left for 1 yard loss to the STAN45 (#36 T.Williams; #38 Z.Johnson)Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+8
90.2%
(05:16) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #7 K.Simmons caught at STAN42, for 8 yards to the STAN37, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 4:27
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+15
90.3%
(04:36) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #85 J.Hasley caught at STAN33, for 15 yards to the STAN22 (#21 S.Edwards), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
91.7%
(03:49) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short right to #17 J.Richardson caught at STAN20, for 6 yards to the STAN16 (#21 S.Edwards), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
98.1%
(03:05) #7 K.Simmons rush right for 16 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:56, 1ST DOWN #39 C.Salas kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #27 J.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT5 plays · 4 yds · 1:093% → 2%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
96.8%
(02:51) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #89 A.Joseph caught at STAN20, for 3 yards to the STAN20, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
97.3%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short middle to #0 C.High thrown to STAN32Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+1
97.3%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #26 S.Irvin caught at STAN21, for 1 yard to the STAN21 (#34 L.Mergott), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 6
OWN 21
+5
97.6%
(01:40) #37 A.Flintoft punt 41 yards to the DUKE38 #35 A.Pellicciotta return 5 yards to the DUKE43 (#36 T.Williams; #82 T.Kuo)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18PUNT7 plays · -1 yds · 1:2499% → 99%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.1%
(01:33) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DUKE44 (#38 Z.Johnson)Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+3
99.1%
(00:57) Shotgun #2 W.Eget rush left for 3 yards gain to the DUKE47 (#44 E.Cooper)Similar
Q3 0:14
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
99.2%
(00:19) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete short middle to #8 J.Moore thrown to STAN38 broken up by #6 D.DavisSimilar
Q3 0:14
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+5
99.1%
PENALTY DUKE False Start (#8 J.Moore) 5 yards from DUKE47 to DUKE42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:03
4TH & 11
OWN 42
+14
99.1%
(00:13) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 44 yards to the STAN14 #13 L.Thorpe return 14 yards to the STAN28 (#10 T.Reed; #3 L.Callahan)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19PUNT5 plays · -3 yds · 1:192% → 1%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
98.3%
(00:03) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete deep right to #2 Z.Robinson thrown to STAN48 broken up by #0 D.FlowersSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
98.5%
(15:00) Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #20 M.Ford caught at STAN23, for 2 yards to the STAN30 (#8 D.Stone)Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-5
98.6%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren sacked for loss of 5 yards to the STAN25 (#10 T.Reed)Similar
Q4 13:44
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
98.8%
(13:50) #37 A.Flintoft punt 46 yards to the DUKE29 fair catch by #35 A.Pellicciotta at DUKE29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20TD9 plays · 71 yds · 5:18100% → 100%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.7%
(13:44) Shotgun #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 2 yards gain to the DUKE31 (#10 S.Mattingly; #38 Z.Johnson)Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+10
99.7%
(12:59) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass complete short left to #6 J.Burton caught at DUKE39, for 10 yards to the DUKE41 (#6 D.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.8%
(12:17) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush right for 8 yards gain to the DUKE49 (#97 Z.Rowell; #11 T.Tafiti), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+8
99.8%
(11:32) Shotgun #0 C.Campbell Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain to the STAN43 (#11 T.Tafiti), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.8%
(10:49) Shotgun #22 J.Tanelus rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STAN38 (#11 T.Tafiti)Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+2
99.8%
(10:04) Shotgun #22 J.Tanelus rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN36 (#52 S.Howard; #11 T.Tafiti)Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+15
99.9%
(09:17) Shotgun #2 W.Eget pass incomplete deep right to #6 J.Burton thrown to STAN07 broken up by #5 J.Green PENALTY STAN Roughing The Passer (#10 S.Mattingly) 15 yards from STAN36 to STAN21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
99.9%
(09:11) Shotgun #10 D.Mahan rush right for 16 yards gain to the STAN05 (#44 E.Cooper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
(08:23) Shotgun #22 J.Tanelus rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:20 #39 C.Salas kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #27 J.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21DOWNS11 plays · 43 yds · 3:110% → 0%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
(08:12) No Huddle #20 M.Ford rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STAN30 (#55 J.Columbus)Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+7
100.0%
(07:40) No Huddle #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #20 M.Ford caught at STAN35, for 7 yards to the STAN37 (#30 W.Felder Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
100.0%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #0 C.High caught at STAN41, for 12 yards to the STAN49 (#9 C.Ojarikre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
100.0%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete short left to #20 M.Ford thrown to STAN45Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+19
100.0%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #88 B.Blackburn caught at DUKE45, for 19 yards to the DUKE32 (#9 C.Ojarikre; #6 L.Griffin III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass incomplete deep right to #89 A.Joseph thrown to DUKE01Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
100.0%
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #2 Z.Robinson caught at DUKE29, for 3 yards to the DUKE29 (#31 E.Schaper)Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 7
OPP 29
-11
100.0%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren sacked for loss of 11 yards to the DUKE40 (#10 T.Reed)Similar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 18
OPP 40
+10
100.0%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short left to #84 C.Holt caught at DUKE39, for 10 yards to the DUKE30 (#28 K.Lanier), out of bounds, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22PUNT7 plays · 3 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
(04:56) Shotgun #22 J.Tanelus rush left for 2 yards gain to the DUKE32 (#5 J.Green)Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+9
100.0%
(04:11) Shotgun #10 D.Mahan rush left for 9 yards gain to the DUKE41 (#5 J.Green; #24 L.McAllister III), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY DUKE UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#75 M.Sahakian) 15 yards from DUKE41 to DUKE26Similar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
(03:39) Shotgun #22 J.Tanelus rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DUKE29 (#95 A.Shovlin; #99 B.Umeh)Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
(02:55) Shotgun #22 J.Tanelus rush right for 1 yard gain to the DUKE30 (#48 D.Cunningham)Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
(02:11) Shotgun #10 D.Mahan rush right for 3 yards gain to the DUKE33 (#10 S.Mattingly)Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+8
100.0%
(01:59) #41 K.Reynoldson punt 48 yards to the STAN19 #80 J.Butler return 8 yards to the STAN27 (#10 T.Reed), out of bounds PENALTY STAN UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#23 N.Brown) 13 yards from STAN27 to STAN14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23DOWNS7 plays · 17 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
100.0%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Mitchell Jr. pass complete short right to #23 N.Brown caught at STAN22, for 8 yards to the STAN22, out of bounds at STAN22Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+7
100.0%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 C.Hampton rush middle for 7 yards gain to the STAN29 (#23 K.Harmon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
100.0%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Mitchell Jr. pass incomplete short right to #34 C.Hampton thrown to STAN28Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
100.0%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Mitchell Jr. pass complete short left to #34 C.Hampton caught at STAN34, for 5 yards to the STAN34 (#40 A.Wasserman)Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+5
100.0%
PENALTY STAN False Start (#70 B.Thomassie) 5 yards from STAN34 to STAN29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+2
100.0%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Mitchell Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the STAN31, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 0:02
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
100.0%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Mitchell Jr. pass incomplete deep middle to #23 N.Brown thrown to DUKE12 broken up by #28 K.Lanier, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 24END OF GAME2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:16
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Warren pass complete short right to #0 C.High caught at DUKE00, for 5 yards to the DUKE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:16 #13 E.Kenney kick attempt good (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #93 P.Warford)
-8.3
TD · Q3 10:41
(10:45) #20 N.Sheppard rush right for 1 yard gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:41 #39 C.Salas kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #27 J.Yates)
+6.8
TD · Q3 2:56
(03:05) #7 K.Simmons rush right for 16 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:56, 1ST DOWN #39 C.Salas kick attempt good (H: #41 K.Reynoldson, LS: #27 J.Yates)
+6.5