Try the model
MER

Mercer 11 at Georgia Tech 44

GT
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadMER aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreMER score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:29: Justice Haynes 1 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick) — GT win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:32: Jaiven Plummer 37 Yd pass from Alberto Mendoza (Aidan Birr Kick) — GT win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:40: Simon Zeidan 40 Yd Field Goal — MER win probability +1.0 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MER has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:58: Simon Zeidan 31 Yd Field Goal — MER win probability +1.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MER has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:55: Debron Gatling 33 Yd pass from Alberto Mendoza (Aidan Birr Kick) — GT win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8MER made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:41GT 4th & 3 at GT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:28MER 4th & 4 at MER 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:20MER 4th & 8 at GT 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:06GT 4th & 6 at GT 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:29GT 4th & 1 at MER 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:19MER 4th & 4 at GT 4, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:56GT 4th & 14 at MER 14, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:52MER 4th & 6 at MER 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:40MER 4th & 5 at GT 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:58MER 4th & 7 at GT 13, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:11GT 4th & 1 at MER 31, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:48MER 4th & 18 at MER 17, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:39GT 4th & 1 at GT 45, up 33
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:34MER 4th & 1 at MER 14, down 33
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:53GT 4th & 7 at GT 35, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:02GT 4th & 7 at GT 35, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:53MER 4th & 6 at MER 24, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:32GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:29GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:32GT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:20GT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:55GT Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:42GT Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1499% → 99%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #22 J.Haynes thrown to GT 20 QB hurried by #48 R.DanglerSimilar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.9%
(14:54) Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT 29 (#0 J.Carter; #48 R.Dangler)Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
98.8%
(14:22) Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT 32 (#0 J.Carter; #48 R.Dangler)Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.8%
(13:44) #47 A.Bacchetta punt 40 yards to the MU 28 fair catch by #9 B.Smith at MU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:061% → 1%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
98.8%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 E.Rasheed rush left for 6 yards gain to the MU 34 (#4 D.White)Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+1
98.7%
(13:01) Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush right for 1 yard gain to the MU 35 (#0 M.Jordan IV; #95 T.Thomas)Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-1
98.6%
(12:13) Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MU 34 (#2 E.Lightsey; #99 V.Carroll-Jackson)Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+12
98.6%
(11:36) #96 S.Seymour punt 45 yards to the GT 21 #4 J.Allen return 12 yards to the GT 33 (#48 R.Dangler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:5199% → 99%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
98.6%
(11:26) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short right to #4 J.Allen caught at GT 36, for 5 yards to the GT 38 (#30 J.Bond)Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
98.5%
(11:07) Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT 41 (#15 K.McInnis)Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+26
98.5%
(10:36) #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #7 D.Penson caught at GT 34, for 26 yards to the MU 33 (#30 J.Bond), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
98.5%
(10:04) Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush left for 4 yards gain to the MU 29 (#8 C.Goggins)Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+25
98.4%
(09:28) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short left to #22 J.Haynes caught at MU 26, for 25 yards to the MU 04 (#48 R.Dangler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.4%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MU 01 (#0 J.Carter; #90 A.Holewski)Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Justice Haynes 1 Yd pass from Alberto Mendoza (Aidan Birr Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 5:052% → 2%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.4%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.King rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MU 30 (#11 B.Manley)Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
98.3%
(07:57) Shotgun #2 J.King rush right for 3 yards gain to the MU 33 (#6 K.Hill)Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
98.3%
(07:17) Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MU 40 (#27 T.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.2%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.King pass complete short right to #9 B.Smith caught at MU 39, for 0 yards to the MU 40 (#6 K.Hill)Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
98.2%
(06:03) Shotgun #2 J.King pass complete short right to #0 E.Rasheed caught at MU 40, for 14 yards to the GT 46 (#2 E.Lightsey; #5 Z.Tobe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
98.0%
(05:26) Shotgun #2 J.King pass complete short middle to #9 B.Smith caught at GT 49, for 6 yards to the GT 40 (#2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 4
OPP 40
-1
98.0%
(04:47) Shotgun #27 M.Bell rush middle for 1 yard loss to the GT 41 (#1 C.Spaulding)Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-3
97.9%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Bell rush middle for 3 yards loss to the GT 44 fumbled by #27 M.Bell at GT 40 forced by #95 T.Thomas recovered by MU #2 J.King at GT 44, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
97.9%
(03:26) #96 S.Seymour punt 36 yards to the GT 08 fair catch by #4 J.Allen at GT 08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0798% → 98%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
97.9%
(03:19) Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT 11 (#15 K.McInnis)Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+1
97.9%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush left for 1 yard gain to the GT 12 (#48 R.Dangler)Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
97.7%
(02:16) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass incomplete short middle to #8 G.Harris thrown to GT 15 broken up by #0 J.CarterSimilar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
97.7%
(02:08) #47 A.Bacchetta punt 50 yards to the MU 38 fair catch by #9 B.Smith at MU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:452% → 3%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
97.7%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 E.Rasheed rush left for 8 yards gain to the MU 46 (#13 S.Riley)Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-9
97.5%
(01:21) Shotgun #2 J.King sacked for loss of 9 yards to the MU 37 (#41 T.McCoy), fumble by #2 J.King recovered by GT #92 C.Speakman at MU 37, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:4198% → 98%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.8%
(01:14) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass incomplete deep right to #8 G.Harris thrown to MU 17Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+11
97.8%
(01:09) Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 11 yards gain to the MU 26 (#14 E.McDowell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
97.7%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MU 27 (#0 J.Carter; #24 N.Gay)Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+21
97.7%
(14:59) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short left to #7 D.Penson caught at MU 08, for 21 yards to the MU 06 (#8 C.Goggins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
97.6%
(14:27) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush right for 5 yards gain to the MU 01 (#13 M.Polke). The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (14:27) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush right for 6 yards gain to the MU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:22)Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.5%
(14:01) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 0 yards to the MU 01 (#14 E.McDowell; #15 K.McInnis)Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.4%
(13:35) #15 A.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #17 C.Corbo thrown to MU 00Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.0%
Justice Haynes 1 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 8FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 5:042% → 3%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.9%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush left for 5 yards gain to the MU 30 (#1 C.Spaulding; #5 Z.Tobe)Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
97.8%
(12:56) Shotgun #0 E.Rasheed rush left for 5 yards gain to the MU 35 (#12 J.Mitchell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
97.8%
PENALTY GT Personal Foul (#5 Z.Tobe) 15 yards from MU 35 to MU 50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
50
+12
97.7%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush middle for 12 yards gain to the GT 38 (#12 J.Mitchell; #27 T.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
97.6%
(11:59) Shotgun #9 B.Smith rush left for 8 yards gain to the GT 30 (#8 J.Boyd)Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+4
97.4%
(11:19) Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT 26 (#0 M.Jordan IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
97.4%
(10:42) Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GT 20 (#1 C.Spaulding; #13 S.Riley)Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+2
97.3%
(10:01) Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush middle for 2 yards gain (2) to the GT 18 (#0 M.Jordan IV; #27 T.Harris) PENALTY GT Personal Foul (#95 T.Thomas) 9 yards from GT 18 to GT 09, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
97.3%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.King rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GT 04 (#13 S.Riley; #41 T.McCoy)Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.4%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles pass complete short left to #21 D.Caldwell caught at GT 07, for 2 yards to the GT 02 (#0 M.Jordan IV)Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
97.5%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.King rush middle for 2 yards loss to the GT 04 (#41 T.McCoy)Similar
Q2 8:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
97.0%
(08:19) #37 S.Zeidan field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #97 K.Arnold, LS: #56 J.Hamilton), clock 08:19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9FG
22 plays · 61 yds · 6:1897% → 97%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.2%
(08:18) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short left to #7 D.Penson caught at GT 36, for 11 yards to the GT 36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
97.3%
(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short left to #1 T.Maddox caught at GT 34, for 9 yards to the GT 45 (#48 R.Dangler). #15 K.McInnis injured on the playSimilar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
97.4%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT 49 (#90 A.Holewski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
97.3%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #86 K.Roche Jr caught at MU 36, for 15 yards to the MU 36 (#48 R.Dangler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.3%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass incomplete deep left to #7 D.Penson thrown to MU 10Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
97.2%
(06:27) Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush right for 4 yards gain to the MU 32 (#0 J.Carter; #6 S.Martin)Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+5
97.1%
(05:51) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short right to #4 J.Allen caught at MU 27, for 5 yards to the MU 27 (#0 J.Carter)Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+6
97.0%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Maddox rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MU 26 (#5 J.Richardson) PENALTY MU Offside (#14 E.McDowell) 6 yards from MU 27 to MU 21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
97.1%
(05:14) No Huddle #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MU 15 (#6 S.Martin)Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+4
97.1%
(04:49) #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MU 11 (#0 J.Carter; #14 E.McDowell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
97.0%
(04:13) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass incomplete short left to #86 K.Roche Jr thrown to MU 01Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
97.1%
(04:04) #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MU 06 (#24 N.Gay; #48 R.Dangler)Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+10
97.0%
(03:35) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza rush left for 6 yards gain to the MU 00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:30 PENALTY GT Holding (#79 J.Floyd) 10 yards from MU 06 to MU 16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 15
OPP 16
+13
96.9%
(03:29) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass incomplete short left to #13 I.Fuhrmann thrown to MU 00 PENALTY MU Pass Interference (#25 E.McDowell) 13 yards from MU 16 to MU 03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.1%
(03:24) #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MU 01 (#0 J.Carter; #4 C.Moore). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (03:24) #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:20)Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.1%
(03:11) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush left for 0 yards to the MU 01 (#48 R.Dangler)Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
97.0%
(02:40) PENALTY GT Illegal Snap (#66 W.Reed) 5 yards from MU 01 to MU 06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
97.0%
(02:26) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza sacked for loss of 8 yards to the MU 14 (#48 R.Dangler)Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
97.3%
(01:59) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #47 A.Bacchetta, LS: #50 R.Thomas), clock 01:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:583% → 3%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.0%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MU 31 (#1 C.Spaulding)Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
96.9%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MU 34 (#11 B.Manley; #95 T.Thomas)Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
96.9%
PENALTY MU False Start (#58 J.Wright) 5 yards from MU 34 to MU 29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.0%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles pass incomplete short left to #7 Z.Palode-Gary thrown to MU 24Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.1%
(00:58) #96 S.Seymour punt 31 yards to the GT 40, out of bounds at GT 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:1597% → 99%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
97.4%
(00:51) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #86 K.Roche Jr caught at MU 41, for 23 yards to the MU 37 (#30 J.Bond), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.2%
Jaiven Plummer 37 Yd pass from Alberto Mendoza (Aidan Birr Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:041% → 1%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
(00:30) #0 E.Rasheed rush left for 5 yards gain to the MU 30, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.6%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles pass incomplete short left to #18 S.Albee thrown to MU 36Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
98.6%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles rush middle for 11 yards gain to the MU 41 (#13 S.Riley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 13FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:111% → 2%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.7%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles rush middle for 15 yards gain to the MU 40 (#13 S.Riley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.6%
(14:24) Shotgun #19 J.Pickles rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MU 44 (#95 T.Thomas)Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+6
98.5%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush left for 6 yards gain to the MU 50 (#6 K.Hill; #27 T.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
50
+3
98.5%
(13:16) Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT 47 (#11 B.Manley)Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+4
98.5%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT 43 (#11 B.Manley; #95 T.Thomas)Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+16
98.6%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles rush middle for 16 yards gain to the GT 27 (#4 D.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
98.5%
(11:23) Shotgun #19 J.Pickles rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GT 21 (#27 T.Harris; #92 C.Speakman) PENALTY MU Holding (#57 T.Murray) 10 yards from GT 27 to GT 37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+9
98.7%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles pass complete short middle to #0 E.Rasheed caught at GT 32, for 9 yards to the GT 28 (#27 T.Harris)Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
98.5%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles pass incomplete deep right to #1 T.Solomon thrown to GT 00. #88 A.Hoffler injured on the playSimilar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+6
98.7%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Caldwell rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GT 22 (#1 C.Spaulding; #9 A.Bradford)Similar
Q3 9:40
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
97.6%
Simon Zeidan 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:5898% → 99%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
98.3%
(09:32) Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 20 yards gain to the MU 45 (#4 C.Moore; #5 J.Richardson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
98.4%
(08:50) Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 14 yards gain to the MU 31 (#4 C.Moore), 1ST DOWN. #15 K.McInnis injured on the playSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.0%
Justice Haynes 31 Yd Run (Aidan Birr PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 15FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:141% → 2%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.8%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Caldwell rush right for 2 yards gain to the MU 27 (#35 B.Outlaw; #41 T.McCoy)Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
98.8%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles pass complete short to #21 D.Caldwell caught at MU 20, for 1 yard loss to the MU 26 (#35 B.Outlaw)Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+37
99.0%
(07:08) Shotgun #19 J.Pickles pass complete deep left to #9 B.Smith caught at GT 41, for 37 yards to the GT 37 (#14 J.Duclona), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
98.9%
PENALTY MU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#9 B.Smith) 15 yards from GT 37 to MU 48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
98.9%
(06:37) Shotgun #19 J.Pickles rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MU 47 (#0 M.Jordan IV)Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+17
98.9%
(06:10) Shotgun #19 J.Pickles rush left for 17 yards gain to the GT 36 (#27 T.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
98.9%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles pass complete deep left to #14 J.Kostmayer caught at GT 16, for 20 yards to the GT 16 (#12 J.Mitchell), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.7%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles pass complete short left to #21 D.Caldwell caught at GT 18, for 0 yards to the GT 16 (#12 J.Mitchell)Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+10
98.8%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles rush right for 7 yards gain to the GT 09 (#1 C.Spaulding) PENALTY MU Holding (#55 A.Curry) 10 yards from GT 16 to GT 26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 20
OPP 26
-3
98.8%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles sacked for loss of 3 yards to the GT 29 (#95 T.Thomas)Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 23
OPP 29
+16
98.9%
(03:40) Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush right for 16 yards gain to the GT 13 (#13 S.Riley)Similar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+31
97.6%
Simon Zeidan 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:4899% → 100%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.6%
(02:48) Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MU 48 (#34 M.Bradley) PENALTY GT Chop Block (#16 J.Plummer) 15 yards from MU 48 to GT 37Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 21
OWN 37
+19
98.5%
(02:23) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short right to #13 I.Fuhrmann caught at MU 48, for 19 yards to the MU 44 (#33 A.Butts Jr.; #34 M.Bradley)Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
98.6%
(02:00) Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MU 41 (#13 M.Polke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
98.7%
(01:28) Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MU 33 (#5 J.Richardson)Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+33
99.7%
Debron Gatling 33 Yd pass from Alberto Mendoza (Aidan Birr Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 17INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
(00:53) Shotgun #19 J.Pickles rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MU 28 (#35 B.Outlaw)Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
99.8%
(00:21) Shotgun #19 J.Pickles pass complete short middle to #9 B.Smith caught at MU 27, for 15 yards to the MU 43 (#24 N.Carter), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. #92 C.Speakman injured on the playSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Caldwell rush right for 4 yards gain to the MU 47 (#14 J.Duclona; #99 V.Carroll-Jackson)Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-1
99.8%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles pass intercepted by #34 C.Gamble at MU 41 #34 C.Gamble return 1 yard to the MU 40, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.8%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Maddox rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MU 38 (#0 J.Carter)Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+1
99.8%
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Maddox rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MU 37 (#11 D.Marcelus)Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+6
99.8%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #17 C.Corbo caught at MU 32, for 6 yards to the MU 31 (#14 E.McDowell)Similar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+1
99.7%
(13:16) #1 T.Maddox rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MU 30 (#13 M.Polke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.8%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Haynes rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MU 24 (#0 J.Carter; #48 R.Dangler)Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+13
99.8%
(12:21) Shotgun #15 A.Mendoza pass complete short right to #1 T.Maddox caught at MU 28, for 13 yards to the MU 11 (#0 J.Carter), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MU Roughing The Passer (#99 K.Akintunde) 6 yards from MU 11 to MU 05, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.8%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Alexander rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MU 01 (#6 S.Martin; #34 M.Bradley)Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Chad Alexander 1 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.9%
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 Z.Palode-Gary rush right for 3 yards loss to the MU 22 (#8 J.Boyd)Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MU 24 (#8 J.Boyd; #98 A.Clarke)Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles pass incomplete deep right to #4 K.Calixte thrown to GT 41 PENALTY GT Offside (#11 B.Manley) 5 yards from MU 24 to MU 29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-12
99.9%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles sacked for loss of 12 yards to the MU 17 (#24 N.Carter), fumble by #19 J.Pickles recovered by MU #63 K.Washington at MU 17, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
99.9%
(09:55) #96 S.Seymour punt 47 yards to the GT 36 fair catch by #4 J.Allen at GT 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
(09:46) Shotgun #1 T.Maddox rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT 40 (#0 J.Carter; #5 J.Richardson)Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
(09:03) Shotgun #1 T.Maddox rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT 43 (#11 D.Marcelus)Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
(08:29) Shotgun #9 G.Adamson rush left for 2 yards gain to the GT 45 (#5 J.Richardson)Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
99.9%
(07:47) #47 A.Bacchetta punt 50 yards to the MU 05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
99.9%
(07:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Caldwell rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MU 11 (#26 C.Hewitt Jr.)Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+2
99.9%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Caldwell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MU 13 (#35 B.Outlaw)Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+1
99.9%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Pickles rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MU 14 (#9 A.Bradford; #97 L.Marshall)Similar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
100.0%
(05:43) #96 S.Seymour punt 54 yards to the GT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
(05:31) Shotgun #11 C.Alexander rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT 35 (#34 M.Bradley)Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
99.9%
(04:50) Shotgun #11 C.Alexander rush middle for 0 yards to the GT 35 (#48 R.Dangler)Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
99.9%
(04:08) Shotgun #9 G.Adamson pass incomplete short right to #89 C.Elko thrown to MU 50Similar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
99.9%
(04:02) #47 A.Bacchetta punt 64 yards to the MU 01Similar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
99.9%
(04:02) #47 A.Bacchetta punt 65 yards to the MU 00, Touchback. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (04:02) #47 A.Bacchetta punt 64 yards to the MU 01)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
100.0%
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Caldwell rush middle for 15 yards gain to the MU 35 (#13 S.Riley) PENALTY MU Holding (#79 B.Wilson) 10 yards from MU 20 to MU 10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Caldwell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MU 14 (#26 C.Hewitt Jr.; #35 B.Outlaw)Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+6
100.0%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #84 Z.Lowe rush right for 6 yards gain to the MU 20 (#26 C.Hewitt Jr.; #34 C.Gamble)Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Caldwell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MU 24 (#35 B.Outlaw)Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
100.0%
(01:59) #96 S.Seymour punt 41 yards to the GT 35 fair catch by #3 R.Smith at GT 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
100.0%
(01:53) Kneel down by #9 G.Adamson at GT 33 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-2
100.0%
(01:10) Kneel down by #9 G.Adamson at GT 31 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 14
OWN 31
-1
100.0%
(00:25) Kneel down by #9 G.Adamson at GT 30 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:32
Jaiven Plummer 37 Yd pass from Alberto Mendoza (Aidan Birr Kick)
+1.7
FG · Q3 2:58
Simon Zeidan 31 Yd Field Goal
-1.3
TD · Q3 0:55
Debron Gatling 33 Yd pass from Alberto Mendoza (Aidan Birr Kick)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com