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SYR

Syracuse 13 at Pittsburgh 27

PITT
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2026 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of GameFG-0.6PITT 97.2%(03:08) #40 S.Barker field goalattempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #17R.Belin, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.), clock03:08AWAY 13 - HOME 27 · Q4 3:08
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:08 · (03:08) #40 S.Barker field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #17 R.Belin, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.), clock 03:08
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Pregame prior+1.4Home team on offense+25.9Score differential+9.7Garbage-time factor+7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:38: (12:44) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush middle for 32 yards gain to the Cuse00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:38, 1ST DOWN #48 A.Chadha kick attempt good (H: #92 K.Tijerina, LS: #59 J.Schmidt) — PITT win probability +4.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:06: (08:08) #48 A.Chadha field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #92 K.Tijerina, LS: #59 J.Schmidt), clock 08:06 — PITT win probability +3.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:28: (03:30) #22 A.Miller rush left for 2 yards gain to the Pitt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:28 #40 S.Barker kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Belin, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.) — SYR win probability +6.5 pts (now 22%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: End of 2nd quarter. — PITT win probability +3.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:15: (11:19) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush right for 9 yards gain to the Cuse00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:15 #48 A.Chadha kick attempt good (H: #92 K.Tijerina, LS: #59 J.Schmidt) — PITT win probability +7.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:59PITT 4th & 16 at SYR 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    76.4%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:42SYR 4th & 7 at PITT 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    25.4%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:08SYR 4th & 18 at SYR 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−1.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:28SYR 4th & 6 at PITT 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−4.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:06PITT 4th & 12 at SYR 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00SYR 4th & 13 at PITT 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:14SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:51SYR 4th & 23 at PITT 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:20PITT 4th & 18 at PITT 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−2.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:15PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:16PITT 4th & 6 at SYR 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−3.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:08SYR 4th & 8 at PITT 12, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:16PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:38PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:28SYR Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:15PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:5076% → 76%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
76.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short right to #86 C.Kent caught at Pitt24, for 38 yards to the Cuse37 (#11 N.Ogbebor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
76.3%
(14:23) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Kinsler thrown to Cuse32Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
76.2%
(14:20) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush right for 1 yard loss to the Cuse38 (#92 R.Perry)Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 11
OPP 38
-5
76.1%
(13:45) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel sacked for loss of 5 yards to the Cuse43 (#92 R.Perry)Similar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
75.8%
(13:04) #98 G.Russo punt 43 yards to the Cuse00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 43 yds · 6:1024% → 26%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
75.8%
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 S.Anderson Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the Cuse21 (#2 I.Neal; #6 R.Strader)Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-1
75.7%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 S.Anderson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Cuse20 (#11 N.James; #0 B.Lovelace) PENALTY Pitt UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#32 J.Marcelin) 15 yards from Cuse20 to Cuse35, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
75.6%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 S.Anderson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Cuse33 (#10 A.Sanford)Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+5
75.4%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass complete short left to #23 S.Anderson Jr. caught at Cuse29, for 5 yards to the Cuse38 (#32 J.Marcelin)Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+11
75.2%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass complete short right to #4 J.Johnson caught at Cuse32, for 11 yards to the Cuse49 (#14 J.Guerrier; #12 C.Brookins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
74.8%
(10:05) No Huddle #23 S.Anderson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Cuse50 (#10 A.Sanford; #0 B.Lovelace)Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 9
50
+15
74.6%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass complete short left to #81 N.Meyers caught at Pitt48, for 15 yards to the Pitt35 (#14 J.Guerrier; #0 B.Lovelace) PENALTY Cuse Personal Foul (#0 D.Clement) 15 yards from Pitt35 to Pitt50Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 9
50
+10
74.3%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass complete short right to #23 S.Anderson Jr. caught at Cuse45, for 10 yards to the Pitt40 (#14 J.Guerrier; #8 J.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
74.1%
(08:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Pitt38 (#55 S.FitzSimmons)Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+1
74.0%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 S.Anderson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Pitt37 (#32 J.Marcelin; #44 J.Scott)Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
73.8%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Johnson rush middle for 0 yards to the Pitt37 (#7 D.Ward; #32 J.Marcelin)Similar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
74.0%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass incomplete short left to #6 D.Johnson thrown to Pitt23, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:1975% → 78%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
74.5%
(06:40) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Pitt44 (#3 D.Kerr)Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
74.8%
(06:03) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #10 C.Lee thrown to Cuse45 broken up by #12 C.PealSimilar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+23
74.5%
(05:58) Shotgun #5 J.Cook rush middle for 23 yards gain to the Cuse33, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
75.0%
(05:35) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the Cuse31 (#12 C.Peal; #11 N.Ogbebor)Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
74.9%
(05:10) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short middle to #86 C.Kent thrown to Cuse26 broken up by #5 A.DeslauriersSimilar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+15
74.6%
(05:08) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete deep right to #10 C.Lee thrown to Cuse00 PENALTY Cuse Holding declined Cuse Personal Foul (#5 A.Deslauriers) 15 yards from Cuse31 to Cuse16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
74.9%
(05:00) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short right to #11 L.Wright caught at Cuse17, for 5 yards to the Cuse11 (#6 C.D'Appolonia)Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+9
74.8%
(04:25) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short right to #10 C.Lee caught at Cuse02, for 9 yards to the Cuse02 QB hurried by #10 G.Bryant III (#1 D.Samuel Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
74.7%
(03:52) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush left for 0 yards to the Cuse02 (#5 A.Deslauriers; #10 G.Bryant III)Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.8%
(03:19) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Cuse00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:16 #48 A.Chadha kick attempt good (H: #92 K.Tijerina, LS: #59 J.Schmidt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 3 yds · 3:5723% → 23%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
76.8%
(03:09) Shotgun #23 S.Anderson Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Cuse14 (#12 C.Brookins; #10 A.Sanford)Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+5
76.4%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 S.Anderson Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Cuse19 (#10 A.Sanford; #12 C.Brookins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
76.3%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 S.Anderson Jr. rush left for 1 yard loss to the Cuse18 (#0 B.Lovelace; #32 J.Marcelin)Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+9
76.5%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli rush right for 3 yards gain to the Cuse21, End Of Play PENALTY Cuse Holding (#76 B.Washington) 9 yards from Cuse18 to Cuse09. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 20
OWN 9
+4
76.6%
PENALTY Cuse False Start (#75 T.Mack) 4 yards from Cuse09 to Cuse05. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 24
OWN 5
+6
76.6%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass complete short right to #11 C.Weaver caught at Cuse11, for 6 yards to the Cuse11 (#6 R.Strader)Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 18
OWN 11
0
76.9%
(14:58) Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass complete short right to #2 U.Hatcher caught at Cuse08, for 0 yards to the Cuse11 (#12 C.Brookins)Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 18
OWN 11
0
77.2%
(14:13) #41 J.Gregg punt 53 yards to the Pitt36 fair catch by #3 C.Hicks at Pitt36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:1277% → 82%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.0%
(14:05) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush middle for 0 yards to the Pitt36 (#95 D.Fontus; #15 N.Nyandoro)Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
76.8%
(13:25) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short left to #86 C.Kent thrown to Pitt42Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+15
76.3%
(13:21) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Hicks thrown to Cuse48 broken up by #1 D.Samuel Jr. PENALTY Cuse Pass Interference (#1 D.Samuel Jr.) 15 yards from Pitt36 to Cuse49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
77.8%
PENALTY Cuse UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from Cuse49 to Cuse34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
78.0%
(13:15) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Cuse32 (#19 C.Perry)Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+32
82.4%
(12:44) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush middle for 32 yards gain to the Cuse00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:38, 1ST DOWN #48 A.Chadha kick attempt good (H: #92 K.Tijerina, LS: #59 J.Schmidt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:0220% → 20%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
80.3%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass complete short right to #0 D.Clement caught at Cuse23, for 12 yards to the Cuse37 (#0 B.Lovelace), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Pitt Roughing The Passer (#32 J.Marcelin) 15 yards from Cuse37 to Pitt48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+34
79.4%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass complete deep left to #2 U.Hatcher caught at Pitt14, for 34 yards to the Pitt14 (#3 S.Lee Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
78.6%
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Johnson rush left for 4 yards gain to the Pitt10 (#12 C.Brookins)Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
78.7%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Johnson rush left for 0 yards to the Pitt10 (#2 I.Neal)Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
79.2%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass incomplete short right to #2 U.Hatcher thrown to Pitt00 QB hurried by #10 A.Sanford and #0 B.LovelaceSimilar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+29
80.0%
(10:30) #47 T.Woody field goal attempt from 29 yards NO GOOD (H: #17 R.Belin, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.), clock 10:28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:0682% → 86%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
82.1%
(10:27) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short left to #86 C.Kent caught at Pitt38, for 25 yards to the Pitt45 (#6 C.D'Appolonia), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
83.0%
(10:00) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush left for 15 yards gain to the Cuse40 (#12 C.Peal), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+18
83.3%
(09:28) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush middle for 18 yards gain to the Cuse22, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
83.4%
(09:02) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush right for 3 yards gain to the Cuse19 (#0 B.Long Jr.)Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
83.6%
(08:18) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short middle to #17 E.Lagg thrown to Cuse15Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+5
83.2%
PENALTY Pitt False Start (#70 R.Baer) 5 yards from Cuse19 to Cuse24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 12
OPP 24
0
82.3%
(08:14) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete deep left to #3 C.Hicks thrown to Cuse03Similar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+42
85.9%
(08:08) #48 A.Chadha field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #92 K.Tijerina, LS: #59 J.Schmidt), clock 08:06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:3016% → 22%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
84.5%
(08:04) No Huddle #2 U.Hatcher rush left for 28 yards gain to the Pitt37 (#12 C.Brookins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
83.5%
(07:23) No Huddle #22 A.Miller rush left for 7 yards gain to the Pitt30 (#10 A.Sanford; #32 J.Marcelin)Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+5
83.1%
(06:46) No Huddle #22 A.Miller rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Pitt25 (#32 J.Marcelin; #10 A.Sanford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
83.3%
(06:03) No Huddle #9 S.Angeli pass complete deep right to #2 U.Hatcher caught at Pitt04, for 24 yards to the Pitt01 (#21 S.Harrison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
83.4%
(05:36) Shotgun #4 J.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Pitt02 (#2 I.Neal; #10 A.Sanford)Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
83.5%
(04:58) #22 A.Miller rush right for 2 yards loss to the Pitt04 (#10 A.Sanford)Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
84.3%
(04:16) No Huddle #9 S.Angeli pass incomplete short middle to #17 E.Moore thrown to Pitt02Similar
Q2 4:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
84.7%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass incomplete short right to #86 J.Ross-Simmons thrown to Pitt00 PENALTY Pitt Pass Interference (#6 R.Strader) 2 yards from Pitt04 to Pitt02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
83.8%
(04:09) Shotgun #22 A.Miller rush left for 0 yards to the Pitt02 (#32 J.Marcelin)Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
84.2%
(03:34) Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass incomplete short middle to #0 D.Clement thrown to Pitt00 QB hurried by #10 A.SanfordSimilar
Q2 3:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.6%
(03:30) #22 A.Miller rush left for 2 yards gain to the Pitt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:28 #40 S.Barker kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Belin, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9INT
11 plays · 38 yds · 2:2679% → 82%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.9%
(03:22) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short middle to #10 C.Lee thrown to Pitt33 broken up by #3 D.KerrSimilar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
78.7%
(03:16) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush right for 8 yards gain to the Pitt28 (#10 G.Bryant III)Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
78.8%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush right for 3 yards gain to the Pitt31 (#0 B.Long Jr.; #1 D.Samuel Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
79.6%
(02:22) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short middle to #4 B.Yates caught at Pitt35, for 7 yards to the Pitt38 (#10 G.Bryant III)Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
80.4%
(02:01) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short middle to #26 D.Ferguson Jr. caught at Pitt38, for 0 yards to the Pitt38 QB hurried by #30 T.Adeleye (#5 A.Deslauriers; #92 R.Perry)Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+11
79.6%
(01:55) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short left to #4 B.Yates caught at Pitt38, for 11 yards to the Pitt49 (#3 D.Kerr), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
80.7%
(01:49) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush right for 5 yards gain to the Cuse46 (#3 D.Kerr)Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
81.7%
(01:10) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete deep left to #87 D.McCray thrown to Cuse15Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+4
80.9%
(01:05) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short middle to #87 D.McCray thrown to Cuse40 QB hurried by #6 C.D'Appolonia, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Cuse Pass Interference (#12 C.Peal) 4 yards from Cuse46 to Cuse42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
81.8%
(00:58) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass intercepted by #3 D.Kerr at Cuse37 #3 D.Kerr return 4 yards to the Cuse41 (#26 D.Ferguson Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 0:5220% → 21%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
79.8%
(00:52) #9 S.Angeli pass incomplete short right to #19 D.Bacheyie thrown to Cuse46Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+13
80.1%
(00:50) No Huddle #9 S.Angeli pass complete short right to #6 D.Johnson caught at Cuse45, for 13 yards to the Pitt46 (#10 A.Sanford; #12 C.Brookins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+25
78.4%
(00:37) No Huddle #9 S.Angeli pass complete deep right to #86 J.Ross-Simmons caught at Pitt25, for 25 yards to the Pitt21 (#12 C.Brookins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
76.6%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass incomplete deep right to #86 J.Ross-Simmons thrown to Pitt00Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
77.0%
PENALTY Pitt Offside (#0 B.Lovelace) 5 yards from Pitt21 to Pitt16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
76.8%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass incomplete short right to #86 J.Ross-Simmons thrown to Pitt00Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 5
OPP 16
-8
78.7%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli sacked for loss of 8 yards to the Pitt24 (#11 N.James)Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+42
79.3%
Shay Barker 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3023% → 22%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.5%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass complete short right to #6 D.Johnson caught at Cuse28, for 3 yards to the Cuse28 (#14 J.Guerrier)Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
77.2%
(14:23) #22 A.Miller rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Cuse32 (#2 I.Neal; #10 A.Sanford)Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
77.5%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli rush right for 1 yard gain to the Cuse33 (#6 R.Strader), out of bounds PENALTY Cuse Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
77.9%
(13:17) #41 J.Gregg punt 43 yards to the Pitt24 fair catch by #3 C.Hicks at Pitt24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:5179% → 89%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
78.5%
(13:13) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush right for 18 yards gain to the Pitt42 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+33
79.8%
(12:37) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush right for 33 yards gain to the Cuse25 (#0 B.Long Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
80.9%
(11:57) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush right for 16 yards gain to the Cuse09 (#5 A.Deslauriers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
88.7%
(11:19) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush right for 9 yards gain to the Cuse00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:15 #48 A.Chadha kick attempt good (H: #92 K.Tijerina, LS: #59 J.Schmidt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
15 plays · 43 yds · 5:1113% → 10%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
87.1%
(11:07) No Huddle #22 A.Miller rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Cuse21 (#3 S.Lee Jr.)Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+3
87.2%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Miller rush left for 3 yards gain to the Cuse24 (#12 C.Brookins), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+20
87.1%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Miller rush middle for 20 yards gain to the Cuse44 (#15 T.Forney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
86.4%
(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Miller rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Cuse48 (#7 D.Ward)Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
86.1%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 S.Anderson Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the Cuse48 (#32 J.Marcelin; #55 S.FitzSimmons)Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+13
86.6%
(08:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 S.Anderson Jr. rush left for 13 yards gain to the Pitt39 (#4 R.Murray), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
86.2%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli rush right for 8 yards gain to the Pitt31, out of bounds at Pitt31Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+3
85.2%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 S.Anderson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Pitt28 (#10 A.Sanford; #14 J.Guerrier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
85.3%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass incomplete deep left to #2 U.Hatcher thrown to Pitt01 broken up by #3 S.Lee Jr.Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-8
85.8%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli sacked for loss of 8 yards to the Pitt36 (#55 S.FitzSimmons)Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 18
OPP 36
0
89.4%
(06:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass incomplete short left to #7 D.Williams thrown to Pitt30 QB hurried by #10 A.SanfordSimilar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 18
OPP 36
+5
89.6%
PENALTY Cuse Delay Of Game 5 yards from Pitt36 to Pitt41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 23
OPP 41
0
89.7%
(05:58) #41 J.Gregg punt 29 yards to the Pitt12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 4:2391% → 94%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
91.1%
(05:48) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush left for 2 yards gain to the Pitt14 (#5 A.Deslauriers; #11 N.Ogbebor), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+8
91.3%
(05:09) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short left to #3 C.Hicks caught at Pitt16, for 8 yards to the Pitt22 (#9 J.Eugene Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
92.0%
(04:30) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush right for 8 yards gain to the Pitt30 (#2 Z.Moultrie-Goddard; #13 A.Snowden)Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+3
92.3%
(03:48) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Pitt33 (#11 N.Ogbebor; #30 T.Adeleye), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
92.3%
(03:26) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Pitt31 (#98 J.Flounoy)Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 12
OWN 31
-10
93.5%
(02:43) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel sacked for loss of 10 yards to the Pitt21 (#30 T.Adeleye)Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 22
OWN 21
+4
93.3%
(02:07) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Pitt25 (#10 G.Bryant III)Similar
Q3 1:20
4TH & 18
OWN 25
0
93.5%
(01:23) #98 G.Russo punt 50 yards to the Cuse25, out of bounds at Cuse25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:558% → 7%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
91.9%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Miller rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Cuse35 (#3 S.Lee Jr.; #14 J.Guerrier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
91.7%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Miller rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Cuse46, out of bounds at Cuse46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
91.6%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass complete short right to #11 C.Weaver caught at Cuse49, for 3 yards to the Cuse49 (#17 C.Woodson)Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+11
92.5%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Miller rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Pitt40 (#14 J.Guerrier; #8 J.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
92.8%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass intercepted by #6 R.Strader at Pitt30 #6 R.Strader return 3 yards to the Pitt33 (#11 C.Weaver)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:0095% → 95%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
94.7%
(14:15) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Pitt35 (#92 R.Perry; #10 G.Bryant III) PENALTY Pitt Holding (#71 R.Carretta) 10 yards from Pitt33 to Pitt23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 20
OWN 23
0
94.8%
(13:45) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete deep left to #2 T.Kinsler thrown to Cuse45Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 20
OWN 23
+7
94.8%
(13:39) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Pitt30 (#6 C.D'Appolonia; #3 D.Kerr)Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+2
94.8%
(13:03) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short right to #26 D.Ferguson Jr. caught at Pitt24, for 2 yards to the Pitt32 (#18 D.Omopariola)Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+2
94.8%
(12:25) #98 G.Russo punt 52 yards to the Cuse16 #1 D.Samuel Jr. return 2 yards to the Cuse18 (#52 A.Ibrahim)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:286% → 6%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
94.2%
(12:11) Shotgun #22 A.Miller rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Cuse16 (#7 D.Ward; #32 J.Marcelin)Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 12
OWN 16
0
94.5%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass incomplete short right to #2 U.Hatcher thrown to Cuse15Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 12
OWN 16
0
94.5%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass intercepted by #0 B.Lovelace at Cuse41 #0 B.Lovelace return 0 yards to the Cuse41 (#19 D.Bacheyie)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:0596% → 97%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
96.0%
(11:27) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush left for 7 yards gain to the Cuse34 (#11 N.Ogbebor; #6 C.D'Appolonia)Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
96.2%
(10:42) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #17 E.Lagg thrown to Cuse28 QB hurried by #0 B.Long Jr.Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+3
96.1%
(10:36) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush left for 3 yards gain to the Cuse31 (#0 B.Long Jr.; #30 T.Adeleye), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
96.5%
(09:54) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush right for 12 yards gain to the Cuse19 (#11 N.Ogbebor), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
96.6%
(09:09) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Cuse15 (#19 C.Perry)Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
96.7%
(08:25) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short left to #11 L.Wright thrown to Cuse08Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
96.7%
(08:21) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass incomplete short right to #10 C.Lee thrown to Cuse08Similar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+34
97.3%
(08:16) #48 A.Chadha field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #92 K.Tijerina, LS: #59 J.Schmidt), clock 08:16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 4:513% → 3%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
96.8%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Odom rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Cuse19, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+4
96.9%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Odom pass complete short left to #6 D.Johnson caught at Cuse16, for 4 yards to the Cuse23 (#14 J.Guerrier)Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+22
97.0%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Odom pass complete deep middle to #6 D.Johnson caught at Cuse45, for 22 yards to the Cuse45 (#14 J.Guerrier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
96.9%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Odom pass complete short right to #4 J.Johnson caught at Cuse39, for 1 yard to the Cuse46 (#14 J.Guerrier)Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 1
OPP 0
0
96.5%
A. Odom pass to T. RussellSimilar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+10
97.7%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Johnson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Pitt44 (#17 C.Woodson; #16 E.Nairne), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
97.8%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #4 J.Johnson caught at Pitt40, for 6 yards to the Pitt38 (#32 J.Marcelin)Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+9
97.7%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #4 J.Johnson caught at Pitt35, for 9 yards to the Pitt29 (#7 D.Ward; #24 C.Lindsey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
97.5%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Odom pass incomplete deep right to #8 T.Russell thrown to Pitt00 PENALTY Pitt Pass Interference (#6 R.Strader) 15 yards from Pitt29 to Pitt14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
97.5%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Johnson rush middle for 0 yards to the Pitt14 (#11 N.James)Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
97.5%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #6 D.Johnson caught at Pitt18, for 0 yards to the Pitt14 (#6 R.Strader), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+2
97.8%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Odom pass complete short left to #22 A.Miller caught at Pitt16, for 2 yards to the Pitt12 (#26 A.Bryant)Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+30
97.2%
(03:08) #40 S.Barker field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #17 R.Belin, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.), clock 03:08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20END OF HALF
13 plays · 30 yds · 1:3999% → 99%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
98.6%
(02:00) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Cuse46 (#5 A.Deslauriers; #92 R.Perry)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+4
98.5%
(02:00) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush right for 4 yards gain to the Cuse42 (#6 C.D'Appolonia; #92 R.Perry)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+5
98.6%
PENALTY Pitt False Start (#10 C.Lee) 5 yards from Cuse42 to Cuse47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+10
98.6%
(02:00) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush right for 10 yards gain to the Cuse37 (#10 G.Bryant III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
98.6%
(02:00) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush left for 5 yards gain to the Cuse32 (#12 C.Peal)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+18
98.7%
(01:54) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel pass complete short right to #4 B.Yates caught at Cuse18, for 18 yards to the Cuse14 (#3 D.Kerr; #13 A.Snowden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
98.7%
(01:17) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush left for 2 yards loss to the Cuse16 (#5 A.Deslauriers; #19 C.Perry)Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-2
98.7%
(00:32) Kneel down by #6 M.Heintschel at Cuse18 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:15
(11:19) Shotgun #6 M.Heintschel rush right for 9 yards gain to the Cuse00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:15 #48 A.Chadha kick attempt good (H: #92 K.Tijerina, LS: #59 J.Schmidt)
+7.8
TD · Q2 3:28
(03:30) #22 A.Miller rush left for 2 yards gain to the Pitt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:28 #40 S.Barker kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Belin, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.)
-6.5
TD · Q2 12:38
(12:44) Shotgun #26 D.Ferguson Jr. rush middle for 32 yards gain to the Cuse00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:38, 1ST DOWN #48 A.Chadha kick attempt good (H: #92 K.Tijerina, LS: #59 J.Schmidt)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com