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WAKE

Wake Forest 38 at Purdue 36

PUR
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1OTQ1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2TDTDFGTDFGFGFGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:18 · (09:27) #42 D.Drennan punt 47 yards to the WFU24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOffense timeouts
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1OTQ1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 53Home team on offense−1.9Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential−0.4Time remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 3:53: Fame Ijeboi 7 Yd Run (Jacobo Echeverria Lozano Kick) — PUR win probability +32.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  2. FG · Q4 0:00: Jacobo Echeverria Lozano 20 Yd Field Goal — PUR win probability +33.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Bryce Kania 24 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Connor Calvert Kick) — WAKE win probability +21.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · OT2 0:00: Fame Ijeboi 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — PUR win probability +21.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Gio Lopez 3 Yd Run (Gio Lopez Run for Two-Point Conversion) — WAKE win probability +62.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 6WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 1:15PUR 4th & 7 at WAKE 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:49WAKE 4th & 8 at PUR 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−3.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:18PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:02PUR 4th & 4 at WAKE 4, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−6.8
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:31WAKE 4th & 4 at PUR 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.6%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    57.3%−10.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:49PUR 4th & 3 at WAKE 12, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.8%−0.9
    86% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−9.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:43WAKE 4th & 11 at PUR 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    69.7%−2.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:28PUR 4th & 11 at WAKE 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:13WAKE 4th & 11 at PUR 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−2.0
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−9.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:31WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−7.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:00PUR 4th & 3 at WAKE 3, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−5.3
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%
    93% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−35.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 2WAKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:43PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:58WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:55WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:53PUR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0447% → 50%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
47.1%
(14:59) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #3 X.Townsend caught at PUR42, for 18 yards to the PUR43 (#8 B.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
47.2%
(14:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #3 X.Townsend caught at PUR40, for 9 yards to the WFU48 (#8 B.Johnson), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-1
47.4%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WFU49 (#21 A.Hall)Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+3
47.6%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WFU46 (#5 D.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
47.9%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WFU49 (#55 K.Dembele) PENALTY WFU Face Mask (#55 K.Dembele) 15 yards from WFU46 to WFU31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
48.1%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 0 yards to the WFU31 (#21 A.Hall)Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+14
48.4%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #81 G.Burhenn caught at WFU30, for 14 yards to the WFU17 (#5 D.Patterson; #43 F.Cusano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
48.5%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 3 yards gain to the WFU14 (#2 B.Blades II; #9 C.Hardy)Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
50.2%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush right for 14 yards gain to the WFU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:43, 1ST DOWN #92 J.Echeverria Lozano kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2TD
15 plays · 72 yds · 5:2950% → 52%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
49.6%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WFU36 (#21 J.Denson Jr.; #11 K.Burgos)Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+2
49.5%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush left for 2 yards gain to the WFU38 (#11 K.Burgos), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
49.9%
(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush left for 2 yards gain to the WFU40 (#21 J.Denson Jr.; #5 C.Correa)Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+17
50.3%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #5 K.Shanks caught at PUR43, for 17 yards to the PUR43 (#7 D.Saunders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
50.1%
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush left for 2 yards gain to the PUR41 (#5 C.Correa)Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+9
50.4%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 9 yards gain to the PUR32 (#5 C.Correa; #2 J.Mangham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
50.3%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush right for 3 yards gain to the PUR29 (#13 J.Slaughter; #5 C.Correa)Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+9
50.5%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at PUR20, for 9 yards to the PUR20 (#13 J.Slaughter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
50.6%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PUR16 (#5 C.Correa; #0 J.Hayden)Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
50.9%
(06:02) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short right to #10 J.Foley thrown to PUR05 QB hurried by #8 C.MaddenSimilar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+13
51.5%
(05:57) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #14 A.Meeks caught at PUR15, for 13 yards to the PUR03 (#0 J.Hayden), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY PUR Roughing The Passer (#33 J.Lewis) 2 yards from PUR03 to PUR01, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
51.1%
(05:40) #4 T.Clark rush left for 3 yards loss to the PUR04 (#11 K.Burgos)Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
47.7%
(04:59) Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush left for 4 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:58 #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #6 S.Pizzella, LS: #49 E.Gilmour)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:3350% → 50%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
49.6%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 2 yards loss to the PUR33 (#21 A.Hall; #23 V.Firenze)Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+23
49.5%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete deep right to #5 C.Magwood caught at WFU44, for 23 yards to the WFU44 (#27 T.West), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
51.0%
(03:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #2 F.Ijeboi caught at WFU43, for 6 yards to the WFU38 (#94 Z.Lohavichan; #11 L.Hardy)Similar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
51.2%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WFU34 (#52 D.Afalava; #11 L.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
52.2%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Purdue rush middle for 6 yards loss to the WFU40 fumbled by Purdue at WFU40 recovered by PUR #15 R.Browne at WFU40, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+9
51.3%
(02:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #20 T.Terrell Jr. caught at WFU45, for 9 yards to the WFU31 (#8 B.Johnson; #43 F.Cusano)Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
51.3%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #3 X.Townsend thrown to WFU25 broken up by #5 D.PattersonSimilar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
50.4%
(01:19) #92 J.Echeverria Lozano field goal attempt from 49 yards NO GOOD (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock 01:15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:1951% → 53%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
48.7%
(01:13) Shotgun #1 K.Daniels rush right for 1 yard gain to the WFU32 (#92 C.Neal)Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+18
48.9%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WFU45, for 18 yards to the WFU50 (#7 D.Saunders; #4 H.Hines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
50
+8
47.5%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 8 yards gain to the PUR42 (#11 K.Burgos; #92 C.Neal)Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+7
47.3%
(14:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #85 W.Loerzel caught at PUR39, for 7 yards to the PUR35 (#0 J.Hayden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
47.0%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #5 K.Shanks caught at PUR27, for 11 yards to the PUR24 (#10 T.Hampton; #1 S.Bradford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
46.8%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #5 K.Shanks caught at PUR27, for 11 yards to the PUR13 (#13 J.Slaughter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
46.7%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PUR08 (#5 C.Correa; #1 S.Bradford)Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 5
OPP 8
-3
46.7%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush left for 3 yards loss to the PUR11 (#33 J.Lewis; #0 J.Hayden)Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
47.5%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short middle to #84 D.Barry thrown to PUR00Similar
Q2 11:49
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+39
47.2%
Connor Calvert 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:3047% → 46%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
47.4%
(11:48) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the PUR31 (#6 R.Tongue) PENALTY PUR Holding (#59 M.Banuelos) 10 yards from PUR25 to PUR15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
47.3%
(11:20) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #3 X.Townsend caught at PUR18, for 5 yards to the PUR20 (#23 V.Firenze)Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
47.2%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #81 G.Burhenn caught at PUR23, for 3 yards to the PUR23 (#17 Z.Stevenson)Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
46.0%
(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush left for 6 yards gain to the PUR29, out of bounds at PUR29Similar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
45.7%
(09:27) #42 D.Drennan punt 47 yards to the WFU24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 5:2353% → 66%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
47.2%
(09:17) PENALTY WFU False Start 5 yards from WFU24 to WFU19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+14
47.3%
(09:17) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #88 B.Kania caught at WFU31, for 14 yards to the WFU33 (#7 D.Saunders)Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+9
46.2%
(08:56) Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WFU42 (#21 J.Denson Jr.; #5 C.Correa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
45.6%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU43 (#16 A.Speca; #5 C.Correa)Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+25
44.6%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete deep left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at PUR37, for 25 yards to the PUR32 (#7 D.Saunders), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
43.2%
(07:24) Shotgun #1 K.Daniels rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR30 (#5 C.Correa; #9 T.Lindsey)Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+9
42.8%
(06:51) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #85 W.Loerzel caught at PUR21, for 9 yards to the PUR21 (#13 J.Slaughter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
42.7%
(06:07) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #22 D.Lawrence caught at PUR22, for 12 yards to the PUR09 (#20 W.Berglund), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
42.5%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush right for 6 yards gain to the PUR03 (#5 C.Correa; #29 D.Newsome)Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
42.4%
(04:42) Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR01 (#94 R.Lora; #16 A.Speca)Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.6%
Gio Lopez 1 Yd Run (Connor Calvert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7FG
19 plays · 71 yds · 3:4436% → 43%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
35.5%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 11 yards gain to the PUR36 (#21 A.Hall; #6 R.Tongue), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
36.1%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Gibson rush left for 5 yards gain to the PUR41 (#11 L.Hardy)Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
36.6%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Gibson rush right for 1 yard gain to the PUR42 (#21 A.Hall)Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+10
35.8%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #3 X.Townsend caught at PUR46, for 10 yards to the WFU48 (#13 A.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
35.1%
(01:59) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #6 A.Towns caught at WFU49, for 7 yards to the WFU41 (#8 B.Johnson; #21 A.Hall)Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
35.1%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left thrown to WFU36 QB hurried by #97 M.HerronSimilar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+11
34.9%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #5 C.Magwood caught at WFU35, for 11 yards to the WFU30 (#27 T.West), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
36.4%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #19 A.Waseem caught at WFU26, for 7 yards to the WFU23 (#8 B.Johnson)Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+4
35.4%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WFU19 (#5 D.Patterson; #27 T.West), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
35.3%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #3 X.Townsend thrown to WFU10 QB hurried by #10 G.KirschkeSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+10
35.0%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #2 F.Ijeboi caught at WFU13, for 10 yards to the WFU09 (#21 A.Hall; #10 G.Kirschke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
34.7%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #2 F.Ijeboi caught at WFU09, for 5 yards to the WFU04 (#5 D.Patterson)Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
35.9%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #8 D.Morrissette thrown to WFU00Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
34.4%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #8 D.Morrissette thrown to WFU00Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
42.7%
Jacobo Echeverria Lozano 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 5:1464% → 70%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
35.9%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #14 A.Meeks caught at WFU38, for 19 yards to the WFU44 (#2 J.Mangham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
33.8%
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush left for 5 yards gain to the WFU49 (#2 J.Mangham)Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
33.5%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left thrown to PUR46 QB hurried by #23 T.SmithSimilar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+16
33.8%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at PUR41, for 16 yards to the PUR35 (#7 D.Saunders; #13 J.Slaughter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
32.7%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep right to #10 J.Foley thrown to PUR05 broken up by #4 H.Hines PENALTY PUR Offside (#33 J.Lewis) 5 yards from PUR35 to PUR30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 5
OPP 30
+14
32.5%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush left for 14 yards gain to the PUR16 (#0 J.Hayden), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
32.4%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush left for 4 yards gain to the PUR12 (#21 J.Denson Jr.; #0 J.Hayden)Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+1
31.9%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR11 (#0 J.Hayden; #58 B.Ishmail)Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+9
32.3%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 9 yards gain to the PUR02 (#7 D.Saunders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
31.4%
(10:57) Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR01 (#9 T.Lindsey; #33 J.Lewis)Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
31.1%
(10:17) Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush left for 3 yards loss to the PUR04 (#33 J.Lewis; #21 J.Denson Jr.)Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
31.6%
(09:37) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short middle to #8 C.Hernandez thrown to PUR00 QB hurried by #1 S.BradfordSimilar
Q3 9:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
30.5%
Connor Calvert 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:2630% → 37%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
29.9%
(09:30) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #20 T.Terrell Jr. caught at PUR15, for 7 yards to the PUR32 (#13 A.Williams)Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
30.9%
(08:59) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the PUR33 (#52 D.Afalava) PENALTY WFU Personal Foul (#52 D.Afalava) 15 yards from PUR33 to PUR48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
31.8%
(08:22) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WFU43 (#5 D.Patterson; #22 M.Turpin)Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
32.3%
(07:57) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 0 yards to the WFU43 (#43 F.Cusano; #10 G.Kirschke)Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+6
31.8%
(07:15) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 6 yards gain to the WFU37 (#5 D.Patterson; #22 M.Turpin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
30.2%
(06:35) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #85 L.Puccinelli caught at WFU22, for 18 yards to the WFU19 (#6 R.Tongue), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
31.4%
(05:49) PENALTY PUR False Start (#8 D.Morrissette) 5 yards from WFU19 to WFU24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+12
30.7%
(05:29) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #5 C.Magwood caught at WFU12, for 12 yards to the WFU12 (#13 A.Williams)Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 3
OPP 12
0
30.9%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #6 A.Towns thrown to WFU00 broken up by #8 B.JohnsonSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
29.3%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #5 C.Magwood thrown to WFU07Similar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
36.5%
Jacobo Echeverria Lozano 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:5169% → 70%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
30.6%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush left for 5 yards gain to the WFU32 (#0 J.Hayden; #5 C.Correa)Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+23
29.4%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 23 yards gain to the PUR45 (#13 J.Slaughter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
27.1%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #85 W.Loerzel thrown to PUR40Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
26.9%
(03:37) Shotgun Wake Forest rush middle for 1 yard loss to the PUR46 fumbled by Wake Forest at PUR46 recovered by WFU #3 G.Lopez at PUR46, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
27.7%
(02:58) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep left to #5 K.Shanks thrown to PUR07Similar
Q3 2:43
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
30.0%
(02:43) #45 E.Hyams punt 46 yards to the PUR00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:0034% → 29%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
33.7%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #6 A.Towns caught at PUR22, for 3 yards to the PUR23 (#23 V.Firenze), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+11
33.6%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #0 J.Hornsby caught at PUR21, for 13 yards to the PUR36 (#6 R.Tongue) PENALTY PUR Personal Foul (#3 X.Townsend) 11 yard from PUR23 to PUR12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 18
OWN 12
-9
33.0%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne sacked for loss of 9 yards to the PUR03 (#55 K.Dembele)Similar
Q3 0:37
3RD & 27
OWN 3
+4
31.0%
(00:42) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the PUR07 (#23 V.Firenze; #21 A.Hall) PENALTY WFU Face Mask (#5 D.Patterson) 15 yards from PUR07 to PUR22, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+22
30.7%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #5 C.Magwood caught at PUR37, for 22 yards to the PUR44 (#8 B.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
33.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #5 C.Magwood rush left for 18 yards gain to the WFU38 (#6 R.Tongue), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
35.5%
(14:21) Shotgun #15 R.Browne sacked for loss of 8 yards to the WFU46 (#11 L.Hardy) PENALTY PUR Intentional Grounding (#15 R.Browne)Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 18
OPP 46
+7
32.3%
(14:15) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WFU39 (#10 G.Kirschke)Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
31.8%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #2 F.Ijeboi thrown to WFU37 broken up by #23 V.FirenzeSimilar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
29.3%
(13:34) #42 D.Drennan punt 38 yards to the WFU01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13FG
8 plays · 73 yds · 4:0774% → 84%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
26.2%
(13:26) Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WFU05 (#5 C.Correa)Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+2
26.4%
(13:05) Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU07 (#34 T.Moore; #58 B.Ishmail)Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+9
27.3%
(12:33) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WFU16 (#21 J.Denson Jr.; #58 B.Ishmail), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+44
25.2%
(11:49) Shotgun #18 D.Dickmann rush right for 44 yards gain to the PUR40 (#21 J.Denson Jr.), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY PUR Personal Foul (#7 D.Saunders) 15 yards from PUR40 to PUR25, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
20.7%
(11:13) Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush left for 3 yards gain to the PUR22 (#92 C.Neal)Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-7
19.9%
(10:39) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez sacked for loss of 7 yards to the PUR29 (#33 J.Lewis)Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 14
OPP 29
+3
18.9%
(09:54) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PUR26 (#7 D.Saunders; #1 S.Bradford)Similar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
16.1%
Connor Calvert 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1116% → 48%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.0%
(09:12) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush right for 2 yards gain to the PUR27 (#41 K.Townes)Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
15.1%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #5 C.Magwood caught at PUR38, for 9 yards to the PUR36 (#23 V.Firenze), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
15.8%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 5 yards gain to the PUR41 (#23 Z.Jackson; #23 V.Firenze), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+14
16.3%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #19 A.Waseem caught at PUR37, for 14 yards to the WFU45 (#13 A.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
17.0%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #19 A.Waseem caught at WFU41, for 6 yards to the WFU39 (#10 G.Kirschke)Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+9
16.1%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #3 X.Townsend caught at WFU36, for 9 yards to the WFU30 (#5 D.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
17.2%
(05:42) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 1 yard loss to the WFU31 (#5 D.Patterson; #23 V.Firenze)Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+17
15.2%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #19 A.Waseem caught at WFU16, for 17 yards to the WFU14 (#23 V.Firenze), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
15.7%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #2 F.Ijeboi caught at WFU10, for 7 yards to the WFU07 (#2 B.Blades II)Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
48.4%
Fame Ijeboi 7 Yd Run (Jacobo Echeverria Lozano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1873% → 71%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.8%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short right to #5 K.Shanks thrown to WFU24Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
27.1%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #5 K.Shanks thrown to WFU30Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
28.5%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #14 A.Meeks thrown to WFU40 QB hurried by #33 J.LewisSimilar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
29.2%
(03:36) #45 E.Hyams punt 39 yards to the PUR36 #3 X.Townsend return 0 yards to the PUR36 (#15 D.Cook)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 0:0063% → 66%
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
62.6%
Jacobo Echeverria Lozano 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
60.9%
(03:30) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #19 A.Waseem caught at PUR44, for 14 yards to the PUR50 (#6 R.Tongue), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
50
0
64.6%
(03:02) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Magwood thrown to WFU45Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 10
50
+7
64.0%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #3 X.Townsend caught at WFU45, for 7 yards to the WFU43 (#23 V.Firenze)Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+25
64.6%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 25 yards gain to the WFU18 (#2 B.Blades II; #94 Z.Lohavichan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
65.7%
(01:59) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 4 yards gain to the WFU14 (#5 D.Patterson; #11 L.Hardy)Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+5
66.0%
(01:15) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush right for 5 yards gain to the WFU09 (#6 R.Tongue)Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+1
65.4%
(01:07) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WFU08 (#21 A.Hall; #5 D.Patterson), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
68.6%
(01:02) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WFU05 (#11 L.Hardy)Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
68.8%
(00:17) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 0 yards to the WFU05 (#43 F.Cusano; #94 Z.Lohavichan)Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
65.9%
(00:06) Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WFU03 (#8 B.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0059% → 81%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
41.1%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR24 (#40 I.Jeffries)Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
19.4%
Bryce Kania 24 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Connor Calvert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
65.6%
(00:00) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WFU22 (#97 M.Herron)Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+17
65.6%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #8 D.Morrissette caught at WFU11, for 17 yards to the WFU05 (#21 A.Hall; #23 V.Firenze), 1ST DOWNSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
65.6%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 1 yard loss to the WFU06 (#21 A.Hall; #11 L.Hardy)Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
65.6%
(00:00) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #2 F.Ijeboi caught at WFU05, for 4 yards to the WFU02 (#13 A.Williams; #6 R.Tongue)Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
63.2%
(00:00) Shotgun #15 R.Browne sacked for loss of 7 yards to the WFU09 (#10 G.Kirschke)Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
59.6%
De'Nylon Morrissette 9 Yd pass from Ryan Browne (Jacobo Echeverria Lozano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 87%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
65.6%
(00:00) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #2 F.Ijeboi thrown to WFU26Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+10
65.4%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #2 F.Ijeboi caught at WFU32, for 10 yards to the WFU15 (#27 T.West; #23 V.Firenze), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
65.6%
(00:00) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush right for 1 yard loss to the WFU16 (#94 Z.Lohavichan)Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+7
65.4%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #19 A.Waseem caught at WFU09, for 7 yards to the WFU09 (#8 B.Johnson)Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+6
63.3%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush right for 6 yards gain to the WFU03 (#8 B.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
65.6%
(00:00) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 0 yards to the WFU03 (#10 G.Kirschke)Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.7%
Fame Ijeboi 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20TD
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0024% → 88%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
75.7%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #8 C.Hernandez caught at PUR29, for 5 yards to the PUR20 (#0 J.Hayden)Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+8
74.4%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush left for 8 yards gain to the PUR12 (#13 J.Slaughter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
75.7%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez sacked for loss of 5 yards to the PUR17 (#33 J.Lewis, #92 C.Neal)Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
80.5%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #14 A.Meeks thrown to PUR07Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
86.8%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short middle to #84 D.Barry thrown to PUR10 QB hurried by #0 J.Hayden and #11 K.BurgosSimilar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+15
90.6%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #8 C.Hernandez caught at PUR07, for 15 yards to the PUR02 (#1 S.Bradford; #13 J.Slaughter), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #8 C.Hernandez caught at PUR08, for 14 yards to the PUR03 (#1 S.Bradford; #13 J.Slaughter), out of bounds, TURNOVER ON DOWNS)Similar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
74.4%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush right for 1 yard loss to the PUR03 (#13 J.Slaughter; #34 T.Moore)Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
12.3%
Gio Lopez 3 Yd Run (Gio Lopez Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT2 0:00
Gio Lopez 3 Yd Run (Gio Lopez Run for Two-Point Conversion)
-62.1
FG · Q4 0:00
Jacobo Echeverria Lozano 20 Yd Field Goal
+33.4
TD · Q4 3:53
Fame Ijeboi 7 Yd Run (Jacobo Echeverria Lozano Kick)
+32.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com