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UCD

UC Davis 10 at SMU 56

SMU
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadUCD aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreUCD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:12 · (09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins rush left for 1 yard gain to the UCD19 (#97 D.Huegel; #13 T.McCormick), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+28.6Home team on offense+28.6Score differential+24.8Blowout margin+12.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6Garbage-time factor+9.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:40: (06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Raphael rush left for 5 yards gain to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:40 #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett) — SMU win probability +0.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:18: (01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short middle to #0 D.McFall caught at UCD34, for 52 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:18, 1ST DOWN #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett) — SMU win probability +0.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:33: (12:32) No Huddle #7 K.Jennings pass complete short right to #18 T.Melin Öhrström caught at UCD00, for 2 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:33 #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett) — SMU win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:28: (10:27) Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short right to #5 R.Pittman Jr. caught at UCD04, for 2 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:28 #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett) — SMU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:24: (00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short middle to #3 Y.Smith caught at UCD27, for 44 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:24, 1ST DOWN #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett) — UCD win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UCD made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 10:27UCD 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:01UCD 4th & 12 at SMU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:04UCD 4th & 5 at UCD 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:40UCD 4th & 3 at UCD 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:07UCD 4th & 4 at SMU 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:37UCD 4th & 1 at SMU 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:10SMU 4th & 20 at SMU 49, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:35UCD 4th & 10 at UCD 25, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:12SMU 4th & 2 at UCD 20, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:49UCD 4th & 10 at UCD 19, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:31UCD 4th & 8 at UCD 27, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:33SMU 4th & 5 at SMU 32, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:53UCD 4th & 5 at SMU 30, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:38SMU 4th & 6 at UCD 26, up 49
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:35UCD 4th & 9 at SMU 16, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:00SMU 4th & 2 at SMU 30, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UCD made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:40SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:33SMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:28SMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:12SMU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:18UCD Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:01SMU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCDDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 4:192% → 3%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.6%
(14:58) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass complete short right to #20 J.Fisher caught at UCD40, for 3 yards to the UCD43 (#15 L.Spencer)Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+1
97.6%
(14:16) Shotgun #20 J.Fisher rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UCD44 (#58 A.Washington)Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+6
97.4%
(13:33) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass complete short left to #8 S.Gbatu, Jr. caught at UCD48, for 6 yards to the UCD50 (#0 W.Nettles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
50
+8
97.3%
(12:54) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass complete short right to #8 S.Gbatu, Jr. caught at `SMU42, for 8 yards to the `SMU42, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+1
97.2%
(12:12) Shotgun #3 Z.Jones rush left for 1 yard gain to the `SMU41, out of bounds at `SMU41Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-4
97.1%
(11:25) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland sacked for loss of 4 yards to the `SMU45 (#21 J.Wyrick)Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+5
97.0%
PENALTY UCD Delay Of Game 5 yards from `SMU45 to `SMU50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 10
50
0
97.0%
(10:33) #36 D.Mauro punt 40 yards to the `SMU10 fair catch by #8 Y.Knight at `SMU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 3:3697% → 97%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
97.0%
(10:23) Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short middle to #8 Y.Knight caught at `SMU06, for 5 yards to the `SMU15 (#44 N.Afato)Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+8
97.0%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Green rush left for 8 yards gain to the `SMU23 (#92 R.Mayo Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
96.9%
(09:32) Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short right to #18 T.Melin Öhrström caught at `SMU21, for 9 yards to the `SMU32 (#26 J.Brown; #7 J.Few)Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 1
OWN 32
-2
96.9%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Raphael rush right for 2 yards loss to the `SMU30 (#97 D.Huegel; #2 M.Madruga)Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+3
96.6%
(08:32) Shotgun #7 K.Jennings rush right for 3 yards gain to the `SMU33 (#1 H.John; #39 P.Connors), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+51
96.5%
(07:49) No Huddle #7 K.Jennings pass complete deep middle to #2 J.Hale caught at UCD16, for 51 yards to the UCD16 (#10 D.Faulkner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
96.6%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings rush left for 11 yards gain to the UCD05 (#10 D.Faulkner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.9%
(06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Raphael rush left for 5 yards gain to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:40 #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:253% → 4%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.7%
(06:33) #5 T.Cleeland pass complete short right to #13 T.Hennessy caught at UCD27, for 2 yards to the UCD27 (#23 A.Kilgore)Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
96.6%
(05:53) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass complete short left to #8 S.Gbatu, Jr. caught at UCD33, for 19 yards to the UCD46 (#8 M.Barnes Jr.; #21 J.Wyrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
96.5%
(05:13) PENALTY UCD False Start 5 yards from UCD46 to UCD41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
96.5%
(05:01) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass complete short middle to #8 S.Gbatu, Jr. caught at UCD41, for 0 yards to the UCD41 (#21 J.Wyrick)Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+9
96.4%
(04:17) Shotgun #20 J.Fisher rush left for 9 yards gain to the UCD50 (#15 L.Spencer), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 6
50
+27
96.2%
(03:34) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass complete short middle to #8 S.Gbatu, Jr. caught at `SMU35, for 27 yards to the `SMU23 (#15 L.Spencer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
95.9%
(02:51) Shotgun #20 J.Fisher rush left for 2 yards loss to the `SMU25 (#4 J.Thomas; #16 M.White)Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 12
OPP 25
0
95.8%
(02:08) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete deep middle to #22 L.Pickett thrown to `SMU05 QB hurried by #15 L.SpencerSimilar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
95.9%
(02:05) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete short middle to #0 M.Bradley thrown to `SMU26 broken up by #32 J.Anderson PENALTY UCD Illegal Shift declinedSimilar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+42
96.1%
(02:01) #88 R.Meyer field goal attempt from 42 yards NO GOOD (H: #36 D.Mauro, LS: #48 J.Adema), clock 02:01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3696% → 97%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.1%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short left to #0 D.McFall caught at `SMU21, for 5 yards to the `SMU30 (#23 B.Rosa; #3 T.Richardson), out of bounds PENALTY UCD Face Mask (#1 H.John) 15 yards from `SMU30 to `SMU45, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
96.2%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.McFall rush left for 3 yards gain to the `SMU48 (#2 M.Madruga; #93 J.Fernandez)Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+52
97.0%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short middle to #0 D.McFall caught at UCD34, for 52 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:18, 1ST DOWN #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:043% → 4%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.7%
(01:12) Shotgun #8 S.Gbatu, Jr. rush left for 7 yards gain to the UCD32 (#1 J.Lee)Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
96.6%
(00:37) Shotgun #34 K.Acia rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UCD30 (#9 I.Singleton IV)Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
96.5%
(14:56) Shotgun #20 J.Fisher rush middle for 0 yards to the UCD30 (#9 I.Singleton IV; #5 M.Alcorn-Crowder)Similar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
96.5%
(14:14) #36 D.Mauro punt 42 yards to the `SMU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:1897% → 98%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+33
96.8%
(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete deep right to #8 Y.Knight caught at UCD45, for 33 yards to the UCD39 (#26 J.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+31
96.9%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short middle to #4 D.Green caught at UCD41, for 31 yards to the UCD08 (#23 B.Rosa), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
96.9%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Green rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UCD02 (#2 M.Madruga; #44 N.Afato)Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.0%
(12:32) No Huddle #7 K.Jennings pass complete short right to #18 T.Melin Öhrström caught at UCD00, for 2 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:33 #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:462% → 2%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.9%
(12:29) Shotgun #20 J.Fisher rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UCD32 (#11 J.Milliner-Jones)Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
97.9%
(11:52) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete short left to #3 Z.Jones thrown to UCD26 QB hurried by #9 I.Singleton IV and #5 M.Alcorn-CrowderSimilar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
97.9%
(11:50) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete short middle to #22 L.Pickett thrown to UCD36Similar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
97.9%
(11:45) #36 D.Mauro punt 35 yards to the `SMU33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:0098% → 99%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+23
97.9%
(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short right to #6 K.Raphael caught at `SMU28, for 23 yards to the UCD44 (#23 B.Rosa; #1 H.John), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.0%
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Raphael rush left for 0 yards to the UCD44 (#23 B.Rosa)Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
98.0%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass incomplete short right to #10 J.Cooper thrown to UCD43 broken up by #10 D.FaulknerSimilar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+42
97.9%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete deep right to #10 J.Cooper caught at UCD07, for 42 yards to the UCD02 (#26 J.Brown), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UCD Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
(10:27) Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short right to #5 R.Pittman Jr. caught at UCD04, for 2 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:28 #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 9DOWNS
15 plays · 45 yds · 4:121% → 1%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.9%
(10:24) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass complete short left to #3 Z.Jones caught at UCD20, for 8 yards to the UCD33, out of bounds at UCD33 PENALTY UCD Holding (#80 J.Houseworth) 10 yards from UCD25 to UCD15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
98.9%
PENALTY `SMU Personal Foul (#11 J.Milliner-Jones) 15 yards from UCD15 to UCD30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
98.9%
(09:38) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass complete short middle to #19 M.Perez caught at UCD33, for 6 yards to the UCD36 (#23 A.Kilgore)Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 27
OWN 36
+13
99.0%
(09:21) #19 M.Perez rush right for 13 yards gain to the UCD49 (#0 W.Nettles), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
98.9%
(08:39) Shotgun #19 M.Perez rush right for 6 yards gain to the `SMU45 (#23 A.Kilgore; #22 S.Reyes)Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
99.1%
(08:00) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete short right to #0 M.Bradley thrown to `SMU45Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
99.1%
(07:54) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete short left to #22 L.Pickett thrown to `SMU41Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.3%
(07:50) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass complete short right to #0 M.Bradley caught at `SMU39, for 6 yards to the `SMU39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
99.3%
(07:09) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete deep right to #22 L.Pickett thrown to `SMU16, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.6%
Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete deep middle to #22 L.Pickett thrown to `SMU16Similar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
99.0%
(05:39) #20 J.Fisher rush middle for 0 yards to the `SMU30 (#11 J.Milliner-Jones; #97 C.Davis), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.7%
Shotgun #20 J.Fisher rush right for 4 yards gain to the `SMU35 (#23 A.Kilgore; #32 J.Anderson)Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+5
99.5%
(06:21) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass complete short right to #80 J.Houseworth caught at `SMU30, for 5 yards to the `SMU30 (#4 J.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.5%
(05:33) Shotgun #5 R.Pittman Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the `SMU35 (#23 B.Rosa; #39 P.Connors)Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
99.5%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass incomplete short right to #3 Y.Smith thrown to `SMU50Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+24
99.5%
(05:00) Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short middle to #8 Y.Knight caught at `SMU42, for 24 yards to the UCD41 (#11 D.Cofield; #10 D.Faulkner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.5%
(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass incomplete deep right to #5 R.Pittman Jr. thrown to UCD20 PENALTY `SMU Illegal Touch-Pass (#5 R.Pittman Jr.). NO PLAY. The previous play is under automatic review - "Illegal touch pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete deep right to #5 R.Pittman Jr. caught at UCD20, for 38 yards to the UCD03 (#2 M.Madruga; #39 P.Connors), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-1
99.6%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Green rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UCD42 (#7 J.Few)Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 11
OPP 42
-9
99.6%
(03:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings sacked for loss of 9 yards to the `SMU49 (#21 T.Slone)Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 20
OWN 49
0
99.6%
(02:17) #43 W.McSparron punt 47 yards to the UCD04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:200% → 0%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
99.7%
(02:06) Shotgun #19 M.Perez rush right for 0 yards to the UCD04 (#6 T.Atkinson)Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 4
-28
99.7%
(01:51) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass intercepted by #1 J.Lee at UCD48 #1 J.Lee return 28 yards to the UCD20 (#19 M.Perez)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:36100% → 100%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.7%
(01:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Green rush left for 6 yards gain to the UCD14 (#10 D.Faulkner; #23 B.Rosa)Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
99.7%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short middle to #18 T.Melin Öhrström caught at UCD07, for 14 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:59, 1ST DOWN #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:190% → 0%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
(00:56) Shotgun #20 J.Fisher rush middle for 0 yards to the UCD25 (#16 M.White)Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
(00:49) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete short right to #20 J.Fisher thrown to UCD21 QB hurried by #16 M.WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
(00:47) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete short left to #8 S.Gbatu, Jr. thrown to UCD24Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.7%
(00:44) #36 D.Mauro punt 33 yards to the `SMU42 #8 Y.Knight return 14 yards to the UCD44 (#9 C.McEnroe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 14TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
99.7%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short middle to #3 Y.Smith caught at UCD27, for 44 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:24, 1ST DOWN #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.7%
(00:24) Kneel down by #5 T.Cleeland at UCD24 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 5:48100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins rush right for 4 yards gain to the `SMU47, out of bounds at `SMU47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+1
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.McFall rush middle for 1 yard gain to the `SMU48 (#97 D.Huegel)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+9
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass complete short right to #84 T.Riordan caught at UCD43, for 9 yards to the UCD43, out of bounds at UCD43, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UCD Offside declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass complete short right to #11 C.Brown caught at UCD31, for 15 yards to the UCD28 (#14 C.Gilbreath), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.McFall rush middle for 0 yards to the UCD28 (#44 N.Afato) PENALTY `SMU Illegal Formation declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass incomplete short right to #16 J.Anderson thrown to UCD19 QB hurried by #7 J.FewSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+8
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass complete short left to #16 J.Anderson caught at UCD20, for 8 yards to the UCD20 (#14 C.Gilbreath)Similar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+1
99.8%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins rush left for 1 yard gain to the UCD19 (#97 D.Huegel; #13 T.McCormick), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:200% → 0%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.8%
(09:07) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete short middle to #15 J.Rogers thrown to UCD24 broken up by #32 J.AndersonSimilar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
99.8%
(09:03) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete short right to #13 T.Hennessy thrown to UCD20 broken up by #32 J.AndersonSimilar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
99.8%
(08:58) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete deep left to #13 T.Hennessy thrown to UCD45Similar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 10
OWN 19
+45
99.8%
(08:55) #36 D.Mauro punt 45 yards to the `SMU36 muffed by #10 J.Cooper at `SMU36 recovered by `SMU #10 J.Cooper at `SMU35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass complete short right to #22 J.Adams caught at `SMU33, for 4 yards to the `SMU39 (#23 B.Rosa)Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+6
99.8%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass complete short right to #84 T.Riordan caught at `SMU43, for 6 yards to the `SMU45 (#14 C.Gilbreath; #21 T.Slone), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+40
99.8%
(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.McFall rush left for 40 yards gain to the UCD15 (#13 T.McCormick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
99.8%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins rush right for 10 yards gain to the UCD05 (#10 D.Faulkner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass complete short right to #15 A.Miles II caught at UCD00, for 5 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:45 PENALTY `SMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#76 D.Hill) 5 yards from UCD05 to UCD10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.8%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.McFall rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UCD08 (#56 J.Ray)Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass complete short left to #9 Z.Turner caught at UCD13, for 8 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:12 #97 B.Baird kick attempt good (H: #96 W.Olson, LS: #47 C.Williford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(06:06) #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete short right to #22 L.Pickett thrown to UCD39Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
(06:03) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass complete short left to #3 Z.Jones caught at UCD19, for 1 yard to the UCD26, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
(05:21) Shotgun #34 K.Acia rush left for 1 yard gain to the UCD27 (#93 K.Allen; #22 S.Reyes)Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
(04:42) #36 D.Mauro punt 51 yards to the `SMU22 #22 J.Adams return 5 yards to the `SMU27 (#9 C.McEnroe; #6 T.Carr)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.8%
(04:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.McFall rush right for 0 yards to the `SMU27 (#5 G.Garretson)Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
99.8%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass incomplete short right to #84 T.Riordan thrown to `SMU28 QB hurried by #21 T.SloneSimilar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass complete short middle to #22 J.Adams caught at `SMU28, for 5 yards to the `SMU32 (#44 N.Afato)Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
99.8%
(03:35) #43 W.McSparron punt 28 yards to the UCD40, out of bounds at UCD40 PENALTY `SMU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#15 L.Spencer) 15 yards from UCD40 to `SMU45, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 21TD
11 plays · 45 yds · 7:060% → 0%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
(03:28) Shotgun #1 X.Guess rush right for 5 yards gain to the `SMU40 (#13 J.Davis-Robinson; #22 S.Reyes)Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
(02:44) Shotgun #12 J.Kollock pass complete short middle to #0 M.Bradley caught at `SMU42, for 5 yards to the `SMU35 (#93 K.Allen; #46 X.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
(01:59) Shotgun #12 J.Kollock pass incomplete short right to #1 X.Guess thrown to `SMU31Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
PENALTY UCD False Start 5 yards from `SMU35 to `SMU40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+10
99.9%
(01:53) Shotgun #12 J.Kollock pass complete short middle to #6 L.Streets caught at `SMU34, for 10 yards to the `SMU30 (#32 J.Anderson; #26 J.Moses)Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
99.9%
(01:07) Shotgun #12 J.Kollock pass incomplete short right to #13 T.Hennessy thrown to `SMU27Similar
Q3 0:53
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
(00:59) Shotgun #24 C.Herman rush middle for 5 yards gain to the `SMU25 (#22 S.Reyes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
99.9%
(00:31) Shotgun #12 J.Kollock pass complete short right to #13 T.Hennessy caught at `SMU28, for 7 yards to the `SMU18 (#11 J.Milliner-Jones)Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+14
99.9%
(11:54) #24 C.Herman rush left for 14 yards gain to the `SMU04 (#11 J.Milliner-Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
(11:20) Shotgun #12 J.Kollock pass complete short left to #24 C.Herman caught at `SMU00, for 4 yards to the `SMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:18 #88 R.Meyer kick attempt good (H: #36 D.Mauro, LS: #33 C.Hergert)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
50
+35
99.9%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass complete deep left to #9 Z.Turner caught at UCD15, for 35 yards to the UCD15, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
99.9%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass complete short middle to #9 Z.Turner caught at UCD06, for 10 yards to the UCD05, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.9%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 W.Fierro rush right for 1 yard gain to the UCD04 (#99 T.Parker)Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
(09:37) Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass complete short right to #25 W.Fierro caught at UCD06, for 1 yard to the UCD03 (#14 C.Gilbreath)Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
(09:01) Shotgun #1 T.Hawkins pass complete short right to #15 A.Miles II caught at UCD00, for 3 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:01 #97 B.Baird kick attempt good (H: #96 W.Olson, LS: #47 C.Williford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
(08:56) Shotgun #1 X.Guess rush left for 2 yards loss to the UCD23 (#27 A.Muhammad)Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
100.0%
(08:14) Shotgun #12 J.Kollock pass complete short middle to #6 L.Streets caught at UCD30, for 7 yards to the UCD30 fumbled by #6 L.Streets at UCD30 forced by #26 J.Moses recovered by `SMU #26 J.Moses at UCD30, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24MISSED FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
99.9%
(07:28) Shotgun #25 W.Fierro rush middle for 4 yards loss to the UCD34 (#21 T.Slone)Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 14
OPP 34
0
99.9%
(07:28) Shotgun #14 C.Fiser pass incomplete short middle to #81 T.Crethers thrown to UCD29 broken up by #10 D.FaulknerSimilar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 14
OPP 34
+8
99.9%
(07:17) Shotgun #14 C.Fiser pass complete short left to #11 C.Brown caught at UCD36, for 8 yards to the UCD26 (#21 T.Slone)Similar
Q4 6:38
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
99.9%
(06:38) #99 N.Reed field goal attempt from 43 yards NO GOOD blocked by #10 D.Faulkner (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #47 C.Williford), clock 06:38, out of bounds at UCD26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 25FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+47
100.0%
(06:30) #12 J.Kollock pass complete deep middle to #16 J.Fay caught at `SMU30, for 47 yards to the `SMU27, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
100.0%
(05:50) Shotgun #12 J.Kollock pass complete short left to #13 T.Hennessy caught at `SMU25, for 10 yards to the `SMU17 (#27 A.Muhammad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
100.0%
(05:06) #34 K.Acia rush middle for 3 yards gain to the `SMU14 (#46 X.Wright)Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
100.0%
(04:29) Shotgun #5 T.Cleeland pass incomplete short left to #0 M.Bradley thrown to `SMU09 broken up by #22 S.ReyesSimilar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 7
OPP 14
-2
100.0%
(04:19) Shotgun #12 J.Kollock pass complete short right to #34 K.Acia caught at `SMU20, for 2 yards loss to the `SMU16 (#32 J.Anderson)Similar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+33
100.0%
(03:35) #88 R.Meyer field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #36 D.Mauro, LS: #33 C.Hergert), clock 03:35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
100.0%
(03:23) Shotgun #25 W.Fierro rush left for 3 yards gain to the `SMU25 (#0 E.Khutsishvili; #13 T.McCormick)Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
(02:40) Shotgun #12 C.Leinart pass complete short left to #16 J.Anderson caught at `SMU23, for 5 yards to the `SMU30 (#13 T.McCormick), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
100.0%
(01:56) #25 W.Fierro rush middle for 0 yards to the `SMU30 (#43 D.Amoako; #51 T.Sackinsky)Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+14
100.0%
(01:08) #43 W.McSparron punt 52 yards to the UCD18 #19 M.Perez return 14 yards to the UCD32 (#13 J.Davis-Robinson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:310% → 0%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
100.0%
(00:50) Shotgun #38 M.Walsh rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UCD38 (#99 D.Dickson; #46 X.Wright)Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-9
100.0%
(00:15) Shotgun #11 D.Cofield sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UCD29 (#33 A.Harris)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:33
(12:32) No Huddle #7 K.Jennings pass complete short right to #18 T.Melin Öhrström caught at UCD00, for 2 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:33 #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett)
+1.1
TD · Q2 10:28
(10:27) Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short right to #5 R.Pittman Jr. caught at UCD04, for 2 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:28 #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett)
+0.9
TD · Q1 1:18
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jennings pass complete short middle to #0 D.McFall caught at UCD34, for 52 yards to the UCD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:18, 1ST DOWN #99 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #43 W.McSparron, LS: #48 M.Tribbett)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com