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ETSU

East Tennessee State 3 at North Carolina 35

UNC
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadETSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreETSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG—UNC 99.9%(04:00) #15 E.Johnson field goalattempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #44L.Stewart, LS: #42 B.Winstead), clock03:57AWAY 3 - HOME 35 · Q4 3:57
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:57 · (04:00) #15 E.Johnson field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #44 L.Stewart, LS: #42 B.Winstead), clock 03:57
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior+6.5Home team on offense+35.7Score differential+30.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.5Garbage-time factor+11.0Blowout margin+17.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:13: (12:19) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short right to #7 B.Hall caught at ETS28, for 26 yards to the ETS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:13, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ETS Personal Foul (#6 J.Oggs) 15 yards from ETS00 to ETS03, 1ST DOWN #92 A.Burrell kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt) — UNC win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:21: (02:47) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short middle to #14 C.Sadler caught at UNC41, for 28 yards to the ETS29 (#6 J.Oggs; #33 D.Delinois), 1ST DOWN — UNC win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:20: (01:24) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ETS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:20 #92 A.Burrell kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt) — UNC win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:12: (01:20) Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush left for 6 yards gain to the ETS31 (#10 P.Seelmann) — ETSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ETSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:10: (13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.June rush left for 6 yards gain to the ETS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:10 #92 A.Burrell kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt) — UNC win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ETSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 14:08UNC 4th & 5 at UNC 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:06ETSU 4th & 7 at UNC 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:11ETSU 4th & 25 at UNC 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:43UNC 4th & 10 at UNC 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:47ETSU 4th & 13 at ETSU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:02ETSU 4th & 28 at ETSU 38, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:21ETSU 4th & 6 at UNC 39, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:56ETSU 4th & 4 at ETSU 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:51ETSU 4th & 4 at ETSU 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:06UNC 4th & 9 at ETSU 29, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:57ETSU 4th & 7 at UNC 24, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:48UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:13UNC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:20UNC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:10UNC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:30UNC Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
(14:58) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete deep middle to #14 C.Sadler thrown to ETS32 QB hurried by #33 D.DelinoisSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
(14:53) Shotgun #7 B.Hall rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNC30 (#33 D.Delinois)Similar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.6%
(14:19) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short right to #7 B.Hall thrown to UNC40Similar
Q1 14:08
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.6%
(14:15) #92 A.Burrell punt 52 yards to the ETS18 fair catch by #2 X.Gaillardetz at ETS18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 2INT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:521% → 2%
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
98.6%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short right to #9 S.Harrison caught at ETS15, for 4 yards to the ETS22 (#18 J.Patterson)Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+10
98.5%
(13:33) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short left to #9 S.Harrison caught at ETS19, for 10 yards to the ETS32 (#7 P.Waters; #2 K.Cost), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
98.5%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ETS36 (#97 T.Giddens; #10 P.Seelmann)Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
98.4%
(12:17) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short left to #5 T.Peyton caught at ETS37, for 5 yards to the ETS41 (#10 P.Seelmann), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
98.3%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ETS45 (#1 G.Smith III; #91 L.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.3%
(11:17) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Weary thrown to ETS40Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
98.3%
(11:16) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass incomplete short left to #88 C.Browder thrown to ETS49Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
98.3%
(11:11) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass intercepted by #1 G.Smith III at UNC42 QB hurried by #11 J.Harvey, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 3TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:1198% → 98%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+25
98.3%
(11:07) Shotgun #7 B.Hall rush left for 25 yards gain to the ETS33 (#2 M.Jenkins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
98.3%
(10:35) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short right to #45 J.Thurman caught at ETS31, for 9 yards to the ETS24 (#5 J.Bowdry; #33 D.Delinois)Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+24
98.3%
(09:56) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #45 J.Thurman caught at ETS24, for 24 yards to the ETS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:48, 1ST DOWN #92 A.Burrell kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 4PUNT
15 plays · 40 yds · 7:292% → 3%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
98.2%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ETS20 (#10 P.Seelmann)Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+2
98.2%
(09:07) Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ETS22 (#91 L.Jackson; #0 I.Johnson)Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+3
98.2%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ETS25 (#90 X.Lewis; #15 D.McDonald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.1%
(07:42) Shotgun #21 J.Albritton rush left for 3 yards gain to the ETS28 (#5 D.Hoilette; #0 I.Johnson)Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
98.0%
(07:00) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short right to #8 T.Weary caught at ETS40, for 12 yards to the ETS40 (#6 T.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.9%
(06:23) Shotgun #21 J.Albritton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ETS43 (#0 I.Johnson)Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
97.8%
(05:46) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short left to #8 T.Weary caught at ETS42, for 5 yards to the ETS48 (#15 D.McDonald)Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
97.7%
(05:02) Shotgun #21 J.Albritton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNC48 (#90 X.Lewis; #91 L.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
97.6%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Albritton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC47 (#96 N.Maggio)Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+7
97.5%
(03:47) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short right to #5 T.Peyton caught at UNC50, for 7 yards to the UNC40 (#12 C.Thomas; #18 J.Patterson)Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
97.4%
(03:02) Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush middle for 0 yards to the UNC40 (#8 J.Agumadu)Similar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+5
97.4%
PENALTY ETS False Start (#51 I.Hall) 5 yards from UNC40 to UNC45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
97.4%
(02:10) #44 L.Stewart punt 44 yards to the UNC01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 5TD
12 plays · 99 yds · 4:5397% → 98%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
97.4%
PENALTY UNC False Start (#45 J.Thurman). NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
97.4%
(02:05) #0 D.June rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC02 (#20 J.Mason)Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+13
97.3%
(01:26) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #14 C.Sadler caught at UNC04, for 13 yards to the UNC15 (#15 C.Gilmore; #4 D.Hunter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
97.2%
(00:46) Shotgun #0 D.June rush left for 6 yards gain to the UNC21 (#15 C.Gilmore)Similar
Q1 0:09
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+16
97.2%
(00:09) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short right to #2 T.Kekahuna caught at UNC34, for 16 yards to the UNC37 (#2 M.Jenkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
97.2%
(14:58) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC48, for 11 yards to the UNC48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
97.2%
(14:20) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush left for 12 yards gain to the ETS40 (#33 D.Delinois), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
97.1%
(13:45) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #4 M.Humphrey caught at ETS30, for 10 yards to the ETS30 (#5 J.Bowdry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.1%
(13:06) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short right to #84 S.Easter thrown to ETS13Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
97.1%
(13:01) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ETS26 (#2 M.Jenkins; #45 A.Guess)Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+26
97.8%
(12:19) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short right to #7 B.Hall caught at ETS28, for 26 yards to the ETS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:13, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ETS Personal Foul (#6 J.Oggs) 15 yards from ETS00 to ETS03, 1ST DOWN #92 A.Burrell kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:573% → 3%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.5%
(12:13) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short right to #9 S.Harrison caught at ETS31, for 9 yards to the ETS34 (#21 K.Dopson III), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
97.3%
(11:41) Shotgun #7 J.Daniels rush right for 5 yards gain to the ETS39 (#10 P.Seelmann), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+44
97.4%
(11:06) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete deep right to #88 C.Browder caught at UNC32, for 44 yards to the UNC17 (#10 P.Seelmann), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
97.1%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Daniels rush right for 17 yards gain (9) to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:34 PENALTY ETS Holding (#2 X.Gaillardetz) 10 yards from UNC08 to UNC18Similar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 11
OPP 18
+18
97.1%
(10:32) Shotgun #7 J.Daniels rush left for 14 yards gain (3) to the UNC04 (#7 P.Waters), out of bounds PENALTY ETS Face Mask (#77 S.Browder) 15 yards from UNC15 to UNC30Similar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 23
OPP 30
+2
97.3%
(10:12) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short right to #9 S.Harrison caught at UNC34, for 2 yards to the UNC28 (#2 K.Cost)Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 21
OPP 28
-7
97.3%
(09:36) Shotgun #12 M.Mims sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UNC35 (#11 J.Harvey)Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 28
OPP 35
+3
97.4%
(08:53) Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC32 (#54 T.Hickman-Collins)Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 25
OPP 32
+49
97.4%
(08:11) #15 E.Johnson field goal attempt from 49 yards NO GOOD (H: #44 L.Stewart, LS: #42 B.Winstead), clock 08:11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2098% → 97%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
97.5%
(08:09) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete deep right to #1 J.Shipp thrown to ETS35 broken up by #2 M.Jenkins QB hurried by #0 C.WoodardSimilar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
97.5%
(08:04) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #7 B.Hall caught at UNC33, for 1 yard loss to the UNC31 (#6 J.Oggs; #2 M.Jenkins) PENALTY UNC Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+6
97.4%
(07:36) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNC37 (#46 S.Iroh; #33 D.Delinois)Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+5
97.3%
PENALTY UNC False Start (#48 G.Burt) 5 yards from UNC37 to UNC32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+5
97.3%
(06:54) #92 A.Burrell punt 52 yards to the ETS16 #2 X.Gaillardetz return 5 yards to the ETS21 (#10 P.Seelmann; #30 J.Hart)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 3:423% → 3%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
97.1%
(06:43) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short right to #26 D.Rucker caught at ETS26, for 7 yards to the ETS28 (#1 G.Smith III)Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+2
97.0%
(06:00) Shotgun #26 D.Rucker rush right for 2 yards gain to the ETS30 (#7 P.Waters; #4 J.Thompson)Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
96.9%
(05:14) Shotgun #21 J.Albritton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ETS32 (#91 L.Jackson; #15 D.McDonald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
96.9%
(04:35) Shotgun #12 M.Mims sacked for loss of 6 yards to the ETS26 (#11 J.Harvey)Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+3
96.9%
(03:48) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short right to #0 B.Winton caught at ETS29, for 3 yards to the ETS29 (#4 J.Thompson)Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 13
OWN 29
0
96.9%
(03:08) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass incomplete deep right to #0 B.Winton thrown to UNC42 QB hurried by #8 J.AgumaduSimilar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 13
OWN 29
+8
97.0%
(02:59) #44 L.Stewart punt 36 yards to the UNC35 #26 J.Troupe return 8 yards to the UNC43 (#0 C.Woodard; #88 C.Browder)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 9TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:0197% → 99%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+28
97.4%
(02:47) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short middle to #14 C.Sadler caught at UNC41, for 28 yards to the ETS29 (#6 J.Oggs; #33 D.Delinois), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
97.8%
(02:00) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #27 J.McGill caught at ETS25, for 20 yards to the ETS09 (#17 K.Gillespie; #0 C.Woodard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
97.7%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Kekahuna thrown to ETS00Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.0%
(01:24) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ETS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:20 #92 A.Burrell kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 10END OF HALF
15 plays · 13 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.6%
(01:20) Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush left for 6 yards gain to the ETS31 (#10 P.Seelmann)Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
98.5%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ETS38 (#10 P.Seelmann; #7 P.Waters), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
98.5%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush left for 1 yard gain to the ETS39 (#0 I.Johnson; #91 L.Jackson)Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+8
99.0%
(00:41) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short middle to #26 D.Rucker caught at ETS44, for 8 yards to the ETS47 (#10 P.Seelmann)Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+9
98.6%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short left to #8 T.Weary caught at ETS47, for 9 yards to the UNC44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
98.9%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Mims sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ETS49 (#90 X.Lewis)Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 17
OWN 49
0
99.0%
(00:11) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass incomplete short left to #9 S.Harrison thrown to UNC46Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 17
OWN 49
-11
99.0%
(00:09) Shotgun #12 M.Mims sacked for loss of 11 yards to the ETS38 (#90 X.Lewis)Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 28
OWN 38
0
99.0%
(00:00) Shotgun ETSU pass incomplete deep left thrown to UNC40, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 11DOWNS
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.6%
(15:00) Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush middle for 11 yards gain to the ETS36 fumbled by #5 T.Peyton at ETS34 forced by #10 P.Seelmann recovered by UNC #1 G.Smith III at ETS36, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:2999% → 100%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
98.8%
(14:45) Shotgun #7 B.Hall rush left for 9 yards gain to the ETS27 (#0 C.Woodard; #5 J.Bowdry)Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+10
98.8%
(14:13) Shotgun #7 B.Hall rush left for 10 yards gain to the ETS17 (#14 Q.Birdsong), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
98.8%
(13:34) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short middle to #87 C.Sneed caught at ETS11, for 11 yards to the ETS06 (#2 M.Jenkins; #14 Q.Birdsong), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.June rush left for 6 yards gain to the ETS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:10 #92 A.Burrell kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:420% → 0%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
(13:10) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short left to #0 B.Winton caught at ETS30, for 6 yards to the ETS31 (#3 A.Willie), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
99.7%
(12:33) Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ETS37 (#90 X.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.7%
(12:01) Shotgun #5 T.Peyton rush middle for 0 yards to the ETS37 (#11 J.Harvey)Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.7%
(11:21) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short right to #88 C.Browder caught at ETS37, for 5 yards to the ETS42 (#8 J.Agumadu), out of bounds PENALTY UNC Face Mask (#8 J.Agumadu) 15 yards from ETS42 to UNC43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.7%
(10:50) Shotgun #7 J.Daniels rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNC42 (#1 G.Smith III)Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
99.7%
(10:13) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass incomplete short middle to #9 S.Harrison thrown to UNC35 broken up by #3 A.WillieSimilar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+3
99.7%
(10:11) Shotgun #7 J.Daniels rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC39 (#8 J.Agumadu; #96 N.Maggio)Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
99.7%
(09:28) #44 L.Stewart punt 31 yards to the UNC08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 5:44100% → 100%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
99.7%
(09:19) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short left to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC12, for 14 yards to the UNC22 (#5 J.Bowdry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
99.8%
(08:40) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush right for 11 yards gain to the UNC33 (#2 M.Jenkins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-9
99.8%
(08:04) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UNC24 (#14 Q.Birdsong)Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 19
OWN 24
+13
99.8%
(07:21) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short right to #45 J.Thurman caught at UNC22, for 13 yards to the UNC37 (#2 M.Jenkins)Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+10
99.8%
(06:39) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short right to #1 J.Shipp caught at UNC42, for 8 yards to the UNC45 (#18 I.Chandler), out of bounds PENALTY UNC Pass Interference (#45 J.Thurman) 10 yards from UNC37 to UNC27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 16
OWN 27
+25
99.8%
(06:13) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete deep left to #14 C.Sadler caught at ETS48, for 25 yards to the ETS48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.8%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush left for 7 yards gain to the ETS41 (#33 D.Delinois)Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
(05:05) Shotgun #27 J.McGill rush right for 6 yards gain to the ETS35 (#7 E.Ware), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
99.9%
(04:24) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete deep middle to #45 J.Thurman caught at ETS12, for 25 yards to the ETS10, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
99.9%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.June rush left for 9 yards gain to the ETS01 (#7 E.Ware; #22 J.Wilson-Abrams)Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ETS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:30, 1ST DOWN #92 A.Burrell kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
(03:28) Shotgun #21 J.Albritton rush left for 2 yards gain to the ETS27 (#8 J.Agumadu; #54 T.Hickman-Collins)Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
(02:54) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short middle to #2 X.Gaillardetz caught at ETS29, for 4 yards to the ETS31 (#54 T.Hickman-Collins; #8 J.Agumadu)Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
(02:17) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass incomplete short left to #6 K.Means thrown to ETS36 QB hurried by #54 T.Hickman-CollinsSimilar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-1
99.9%
(02:11) #44 L.Stewart punt 48 yards to the UNC21 #2 T.Kekahuna return 9 yards to the UNC30 (#42 B.Winstead) PENALTY ETS Holding offsetting UNC Illegal Block in Back offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
(01:51) #44 L.Stewart punt 39 yards to the UNC30, out of bounds at UNC30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16MISSED FG
13 plays · 41 yds · 4:39100% → 100%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
(01:51) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNC31 (#33 D.Delinois; #97 I.Potts)Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
99.9%
(01:14) Shotgun #8 M.O'Neill pass incomplete short middle to #84 S.Easter thrown to UNC35Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+14
99.9%
(01:09) Shotgun #8 M.O'Neill pass complete short middle to #84 S.Easter caught at UNC30, for 14 yards to the UNC45 (#4 D.Hunter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
99.9%
(00:19) Shotgun #8 M.O'Neill rush left for 15 yards gain to the ETS40 (#35 J.Curry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #8 M.O'Neill pass incomplete deep left to #81 K.Young thrown to ETS05Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
(14:53) Shotgun #23 C.French rush left for 5 yards gain to the ETS35 (#7 E.Ware; #33 D.Delinois)Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
(14:17) Shotgun #26 J.Troupe rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ETS30 (#11 M.Gammage; #18 I.Chandler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
(13:33) Shotgun #26 J.Troupe rush right for 1 yard gain to the ETS29 (#91 B.LeBlanc; #33 D.Delinois)Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
99.9%
(12:53) Shotgun #26 J.Troupe rush right for 0 yards to the ETS29 (#0 C.Woodard)Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
99.9%
(12:14) Shotgun #8 M.O'Neill pass incomplete short left to #81 K.Young thrown to ETS32 broken up by #11 M.Gammage QB hurried by #11 M.GammageSimilar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+48
99.9%
(12:08) #92 A.Burrell field goal attempt from 48 yards NO GOOD (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt), clock 12:06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 17FG
15 plays · 46 yds · 8:090% → 0%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
(12:06) Shotgun #21 J.Albritton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ETS33 (#30 J.Hart)Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
(11:28) Shotgun #7 J.Daniels rush left for 24 yards gain (5) to the UNC43, out of bounds at UNC43 PENALTY ETS Holding 10 yards from ETS38 to ETS28Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
(11:03) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short left to #4 T.Griffin caught at ETS33, for 9 yards to the ETS37 (#44 J.Bauer)Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
(10:22) Shotgun #21 J.Albritton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ETS40 (#96 N.Maggio), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
(09:45) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short right to #21 J.Albritton caught at ETS34, for 2 yards to the ETS42 (#24 J.Butts)Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
(09:08) Shotgun #21 J.Albritton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ETS46 (#44 J.Bauer; #89 E.Nwaiwu)Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
(08:31) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short middle to #9 S.Harrison caught at ETS42, for 4 yards to the ETS50 (#28 J.Gordon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
50
+13
99.9%
(07:51) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short left to #9 S.Harrison caught at UNC45, for 13 yards to the UNC37 (#28 J.Gordon), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
(07:18) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short right to #9 S.Harrison caught at UNC40, for 2 yards to the UNC35 (#23 K.Dunbar-Hawkins; #17 J.Weatherspoon)Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
(06:37) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short right to #26 D.Rucker caught at UNC40, for 7 yards to the UNC28 (#20 X.Jackson)Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
(05:53) Shotgun #26 D.Rucker rush right for 1 yard gain to the UNC27 (#28 J.Gordon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.9%
(05:24) Shotgun #26 D.Rucker rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNC25 (#17 J.Weatherspoon; #44 J.Bauer)Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
99.9%
(04:50) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass incomplete short right thrown to UNC27 broken up by #94 D.Jackson QB hurried by #94 D.JacksonSimilar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+1
100.0%
(04:43) Shotgun #12 M.Mims pass complete short right to #88 C.Browder caught at UNC25, for 1 yard to the UNC24 (#8 J.Agumadu)Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
99.9%
(04:00) #15 E.Johnson field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #44 L.Stewart, LS: #42 B.Winstead), clock 03:57Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18Uncategorized
10 plays · 14 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
(03:57) Shotgun #8 M.O'Neill pass complete short left to #20 C.Davis caught at UNC30, for 4 yards to the UNC39 (#33 D.Delinois)Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
(03:12) Shotgun #20 C.Davis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNC42 (#21 T.Mitchell; #45 A.Guess)Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
(02:31) Shotgun #8 M.O'Neill pass complete short left to #16 Z.Robertson caught at UNC46, for 4 yards to the UNC46 (#21 T.Mitchell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
100.0%
(02:00) Shotgun #23 C.French rush left for 1 yard loss to the UNC45 (#35 J.Curry; #21 T.Mitchell)Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+10
100.0%
(01:25) Shotgun #8 M.O'Neill rush right for 14 yards gain to the ETS41 (#18 I.Chandler), out of bounds PENALTY UNC Holding (#77 T.Blue) 10 yards from UNC45 to UNC35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 21
OWN 35
+14
100.0%
(01:17) Shotgun #26 J.Troupe rush middle for 14 yards gain to the UNC49 (#24 T.Williams)Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
100.0%
(00:46) Shotgun #26 J.Troupe rush right for 0 yards to the UNC49 (#98 T.Robinson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:20
(01:24) Shotgun #0 D.June rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ETS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:20 #92 A.Burrell kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt)
+1.4
TD · Q3 13:10
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.June rush left for 6 yards gain to the ETS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:10 #92 A.Burrell kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt)
+0.9
TD · Q2 12:13
(12:19) Shotgun #9 B.Edwards Jr. pass complete short right to #7 B.Hall caught at ETS28, for 26 yards to the ETS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:13, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ETS Personal Foul (#6 J.Oggs) 15 yards from ETS00 to ETS03, 1ST DOWN #92 A.Burrell kick attempt good (H: #93 J.Horvath, LS: #48 G.Burt)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com