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RUTG

Rutgers 21 at Boston College 28

BC
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2026 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:27 · (04:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 20, for 9 yards to the BC 18 (#3 M.Tucker), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense+10.8Garbage-time factor+1.9Score differential+4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Pregame prior+2.0Time remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:15: (05:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush right for 10 yards gain to the RU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:15, 1ST DOWN #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #96 B.LaFollette, LS: #49 C.Crook) — BC win probability +5.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:55: (02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short middle to #3 A.Raymond caught at BC 00, for 4 yards to the BC 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:55 #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +10.0 pts (now 31%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:37: (02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 02, for 4 yards to the BC 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:37 #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +20.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:06: (07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete deep right to #3 D.Pough caught at BC 50, for 78 yards to the RU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:06, 1ST DOWN #10 M.McKenzie pass attempt Successful #8 J.Montague Jr. pass attempt Successful — BC win probability +10.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:18: (06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete deep left to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 16, for 60 yards to the BC 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:18, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +11.4 pts (now 19%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5RUTG made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:08RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:18BC 4th & 3 at RUTG 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:57RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:33BC 4th & 8 at RUTG 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−5.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:04RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−2.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:24BC 4th & 5 at BC 36, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:27RUTG 4th & 4 at BC 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    19.5%−0.6
    62% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−6.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:29BC 4th & 7 at BC 28, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:29RUTG 4th & 1 at BC 9, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.7%−5.0
    89% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−18.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:44BC 4th & 7 at BC 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−1.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:27RUTG 4th & 3 at BC 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%−0.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−13.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:56RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%−3.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 3RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:42BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:15BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:55RUTG Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:37RUTG Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:06BC Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:18RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4647% → 46%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.5%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RU 29 (#36 B.Kahoun). #3 M.Tucker injured on the playSimilar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
53.6%
(14:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RU 34 (#36 B.Kahoun)Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
53.6%
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 0 yards to the RU 34 (#5 M.Upton; #4 K.Jones)Similar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
53.9%
(13:14) No Huddle #10 A.Surace rush middle for 0 yards to the RU 34 (#1 A.Palano; #5 M.Upton), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 2:1754% → 56%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
54.2%
(13:07) Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush left for 1 yard gain to the RU 33 (#16 J.Ofurie; #2 M.Walker)Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+4
54.4%
(12:32) Shotgun #4 J.Green rush right for 4 yards gain to the RU 29 (#7 K.Levy), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+2
54.5%
(11:51) Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short right to #23 E.Dickens caught at RU 33, for 2 yards to the RU 27 (#41 S.Allison). #7 K.Levy injured on the playSimilar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+8
54.4%
(11:26) Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short left to #4 J.Green caught at RU 19, for 8 yards to the RU 19 (#16 J.Ofurie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
56.4%
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 19 yards gain to the RU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:42, 1ST DOWN #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #96 B.LaFollette, LS: #49 C.Crook)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:1745% → 44%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.5%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short right to #4 J.Houston caught at RU 27, for 2 yards to the RU 27 (#3 M.Tucker)Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+22
56.0%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 22 yards gain to the RU 49 (#5 M.Upton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
55.9%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BC 49 (#1 A.Palano)Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+14
56.0%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short middle to #4 J.Houston caught at BC 38, for 14 yards to the BC 35 (#5 M.Upton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
55.9%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 2 yards gain to the BC 33 (#36 B.Kahoun)Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
56.1%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass intercepted by #32 C.Comella at BC 23, End Of Play PENALTY BC Sideline Inteference. The previous play is under automatic review - "Interception". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:5558% → 64%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
57.7%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush right for 11 yards gain to the BC 34 (#5 B.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+53
58.3%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete deep middle to #9 L.Wright caught at RU 15, for 53 yards to the RU 13 (#35 M.Munn), 1ST DOWN. #35 M.Munn injured on the playSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
59.3%
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU 10 (#16 J.Ofurie)Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
64.4%
(05:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush right for 10 yards gain to the RU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:15, 1ST DOWN #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #96 B.LaFollette, LS: #49 C.Crook)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1037% → 35%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
62.7%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 11 yards gain to the RU 36 (#32 C.Comella; #7 C.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
62.8%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace sacked for loss of 6 yards to the RU 30 (#55 C.Hudson)Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+5
63.6%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short middle to #11 L.Blake caught at RU 35, for 5 yards to the RU 35 (#36 B.Kahoun)Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-1
64.3%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace sacked for loss of 1 yard to the RU 34 (#56 E.Boykin)Similar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
65.1%
(03:03) #94 J.Anderson punt 41 yards to the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:1266% → 74%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.8%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short middle to #9 L.Wright caught at BC 21, for 7 yards to the BC 32 (#9 D.Gilley; #4 K.Humes)Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
66.5%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Green thrown to BC 36 QB hurried by #99 R.PorterSimilar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+18
66.2%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short middle to #80 R.Swanson caught at BC 44, for 18 yards to the BC 50 (#3 L.Noel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
50
+1
67.6%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 1 yard gain to the RU 49 (#90 F.Gnago)Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+19
68.1%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short middle to #3 D.Pough caught at RU 45, for 19 yards to the RU 30 (#3 L.Noel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
68.7%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush right for 3 yards gain to the RU 27 (#9 D.Gilley), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
69.3%
PENALTY BC Illegal Snap (#57 D.Williams Jr.) 5 yards from RU 27 to RU 32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+18
69.4%
(14:59) Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush middle for 18 yards gain to the RU 14 (#4 K.Humes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
69.9%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 2 yards gain to the RU 12 (#8 S.Kromah)Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
70.5%
(13:47) Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass incomplete short middle to #48 Z.Moore thrown to RU 00 PENALTY BC Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
70.3%
(13:43) Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass incomplete short left to #3 D.Pough thrown to RU 00 QB hurried by #11 M.DavisSimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+30
73.7%
(13:33) #99 L.Lombardo field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #96 B.LaFollette, LS: #49 C.Crook), clock 13:33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2328% → 27%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.6%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU 28 (#7 C.Davis)Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
72.0%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU 31 (#13 D.Ballard; #36 B.Kahoun)Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-11
72.4%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace sacked for loss of 11 yards to the RU 20 (#1 A.Palano) PENALTY RU Illegal Formation declinedSimilar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
73.4%
(12:12) #94 J.Anderson punt 49 yards to the BC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2976% → 77%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
76.0%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.Ray rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BC 32 (#2 M.Walker)Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+4
76.7%
(11:20) Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short left to #2 N.Ray caught at BC 26, for 4 yards to the BC 36 (#10 T.Morris)Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
77.1%
(10:37) Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Green thrown to BC 38Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
76.7%
(10:33) #96 B.LaFollette punt 36 yards to the RU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9TD
19 plays · 72 yds · 8:2026% → 31%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
74.3%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 15 yards gain to the RU 43 (#13 D.Ballard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
74.2%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 1 yard loss to the RU 42 (#7 C.Davis) PENALTY RU Holding (#69 K.Asamoah) 10 yards from RU 43 to RU 33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+11
75.3%
(09:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short left to #4 J.Houston caught at RU 45, for 11 yards to the RU 44 QB hurried by #98 I.Oladipupo (#5 M.Upton)Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
75.2%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short right to #4 J.Houston caught at RU 49, for 5 yards to the RU 49 (#32 C.Comella). #32 C.Comella injured on the playSimilar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+6
74.3%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BC 45 (#36 B.Kahoun), 1ST DOWN. #36 B.Kahoun injured on the playSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
74.5%
(07:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace rush middle for 0 yards to the BC 45 (#98 I.Oladipupo)Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
75.4%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 12 yards gain to the BC 33 (#7 C.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
74.8%
(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BC 25 (#3 M.Tucker)Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 25
0
74.8%
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 0 yards to the BC 25 (#59 M.Amedee)Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 2
OPP 25
-2
76.1%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 2 yards loss to the BC 27 (#88 C.McGee)Similar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+9
77.4%
(04:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 20, for 9 yards to the BC 18 (#3 M.Tucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
75.4%
(04:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BC 17 (#5 M.Upton)Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+11
75.9%
(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 11 yards gain to the BC 06 (#1 A.Palano; #55 C.Hudson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
76.4%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 0 yards to the BC 06 (#5 M.Upton)Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
76.8%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BC 04 (#55 C.Hudson; #28 Z.Thomas)Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.0%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short middle to #3 A.Raymond caught at BC 00, for 4 yards to the BC 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:55 #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10FG
17 plays · 47 yds · 1:4971% → 80%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.1%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BC 30 (#21 D.Anderson)Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
72.2%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush right for 2 yards gain to the BC 32 (#9 D.Gilley)Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
72.6%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BC 36 (#9 D.Gilley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
73.8%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short right to #84 B.Clough caught at BC 38, for 3 yards to the BC 39 (#16 J.Ofurie; #9 D.Gilley)Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+14
74.6%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush right for 14 yards gain to the RU 47, out of bounds at RU 47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
75.1%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass incomplete deep right to #86 D.Edgehille thrown to RU 25Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
74.9%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short right to #23 E.Dickens caught at RU 50, for 5 yards to the RU 42 (#1 K.Sanders)Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+1
75.1%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush right for 1 yard gain to the RU 41 (#41 S.Allison), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+5
74.1%
(00:15) PENALTY RU Offside (#11 M.Davis) 5 yards from RU 41 to RU 36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
76.1%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass incomplete deep right to #80 R.Swanson thrown to RU 00 broken up by #21 D.AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
76.1%
(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short right to #4 J.Green caught at RU 32, for 8 yards to the RU 28, out of bounds at RU 28Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+46
79.7%
Luca Lombardo 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2679% → 79%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.5%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 0 yards to the BC 25 (#11 M.Davis)Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.8%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short right to #23 E.Dickens caught at BC 27, for 3 yards to the BC 28 (#20 C.Joines)Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
79.4%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass incomplete short right to #84 B.Clough thrown to BC 35 QB hurried by #11 M.DavisSimilar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
78.5%
(13:35) #96 B.LaFollette punt 46 yards to the RU 26 fair catch by #18 Q.Redding at RU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12INT
11 plays · 55 yds · 5:2423% → 19%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
77.5%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 0 yards to the RU 26 (#4 K.Jones)Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+20
78.4%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short middle to #2 B.Black III caught at RU 42, for 20 yards to the RU 46 (#5 M.Upton), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BC Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
77.3%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 3 yards gain to the RU 49 (#28 Z.Thomas)Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
77.5%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short middle to #8 K.Duff thrown to BC 36 broken up by #5 M.UptonSimilar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+17
78.4%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 44, for 17 yards to the BC 34 (#7 C.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
77.7%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 1 yard gain to the BC 33 (#4 K.Jones)Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+8
78.5%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short right to #4 J.Houston caught at BC 28, for 8 yards to the BC 25 fumbled by #4 J.Houston at BC 25 forced by #7 C.Davis recovered by RU #9 C.Thevenin at BC 25, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+6
79.4%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BC 19 (#28 Z.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
78.6%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Houston thrown to BC 13 broken up by #5 M.UptonSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
78.9%
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 0 yards to the BC 19 (#56 E.Boykin)Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-4
80.6%
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass intercepted by #7 C.Davis at BC 15 QB hurried by #5 M.Upton #7 C.Davis return 4 yards to the BC 19 (#4 J.Houston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 33 yds · 1:0384% → 85%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
83.7%
(07:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BC 22 (#10 T.Morris)Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+19
84.0%
(07:18) Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush middle for 19 yards gain to the BC 41 (#10 T.Morris), 1ST DOWN. #2 M.Walker injured on the playSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
85.0%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 11 yards gain to the RU 48 fumbled by #23 E.Dickens at BC 43 forced by #5 B.Jones recovered by RU #4 K.Humes at RU 48, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:5819% → 38%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
81.5%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 41, for 11 yards to the BC 41, out of bounds at BC 41, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
81.3%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 9 yards gain to the BC 32 (#5 M.Upton)Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+8
80.2%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush left for 8 yards gain to the BC 24 (#2 K.Price), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
80.9%
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BC 22 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+13
81.2%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 13, for 13 yards to the BC 09 (#28 Z.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
81.6%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BC 04 (#1 A.Palano; #2 K.Price)Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
61.6%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 02, for 4 yards to the BC 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:37 #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
73.9%
(02:37) Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass intercepted by #2 M.Walker at BC 26 QB hurried by #8 S.Kromah #2 M.Walker return 8 yards to the BC 18 (#23 E.Dickens)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5238% → 34%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
61.7%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BC 12 (#1 A.Palano; #28 Z.Thomas)Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
61.8%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 2 yards gain to the BC 10 (#6 C.Marable Jr.)Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
64.0%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BC 09 (#13 D.Ballard)Similar
Q3 0:29
4TH & 1
OPP 9
-2
65.9%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace rush middle for 2 yards loss to the BC 11 (#1 A.Palano), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:4376% → 76%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
75.8%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BC 13 (#99 R.Porter)Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+10
75.8%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush left for 10 yards gain to the BC 23 (#16 J.Ofurie), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
76.6%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 2 yards loss to the BC 21 (#5 B.Jones)Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+5
76.4%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short middle to #4 J.Green caught at BC 25, for 5 yards to the BC 26 (#20 C.Joines)Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
77.6%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass incomplete short middle to #3 D.Pough thrown to BC 44Similar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
76.2%
(12:51) #96 B.LaFollette punt 28 yards to the RU 46, out of bounds at RU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18INT
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:1134% → 29%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
66.5%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete deep right to #9 C.Thevenin thrown to BC 32Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+16
68.0%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 16 yards gain to the BC 38 (#1 A.Palano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
67.3%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short left to #2 B.Black III caught at BC 30, for 10 yards to the BC 28 (#3 M.Tucker; #2 K.Price), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
64.9%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Duff thrown to BC 20 broken up by #13 D.BallardSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
65.7%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 3 yards gain to the BC 25 (#56 E.Boykin; #55 C.Hudson)Similar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+4
70.1%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace rush right for 4 yards gain to the BC 21 (#29 C.Martinez)Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 3
OPP 21
-6
71.4%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass intercepted by #1 A.Palano at BC 10 QB hurried by #2 K.Price #1 A.Palano return 6 yards to the BC 16 (#3 A.Raymond), out of bounds PENALTY BC Illegal Block in Back (#59 M.Amedee) 8 yards from BC 16 to BC 08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 2:0983% → 96%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
82.8%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short right to #3 D.Pough caught at BC 16, for 8 yards to the BC 16, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+2
83.6%
(08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie rush right for 2 yards gain to the BC 18 (#20 C.Joines), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
84.5%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Green rush left for 4 yards gain to the BC 22 (#20 C.Joines)Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
85.4%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass incomplete deep right to #80 R.Swanson thrown to RU 42 broken up by #4 K.Humes QB hurried by #42 D.AllenSimilar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+78
95.6%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete deep right to #3 D.Pough caught at BC 50, for 78 yards to the RU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:06, 1ST DOWN #10 M.McKenzie pass attempt Successful #8 J.Montague Jr. pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:397% → 19%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.8%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at RU 35, for 15 yards to the RU 40 (#1 A.Palano; #7 C.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
81.5%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete deep left to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 16, for 60 yards to the BC 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:18, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:5589% → 94%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
89.0%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short right to #84 B.Clough caught at BC 41, for 16 yards to the BC 41, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
90.5%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 9 yards gain to the BC 50 (#20 C.Joines)Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 1
50
+1
91.0%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short left to #3 D.Pough caught at BC 47, for 1 yard to the RU 49 (#3 L.Noel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
91.2%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie sacked for loss of 1 yard to the RU 50 (#2 M.Walker)Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 11
50
+6
93.0%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short left to #23 E.Dickens caught at BC 47, for 6 yards to the RU 44 (#2 M.Walker)Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
93.6%
(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass intercepted by #2 M.Walker at RU 38, End Of Play PENALTY RU Sideline InteferenceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:1016% → 14%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
84.4%
(03:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Duff thrown to RU 49Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
84.9%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 3 yards gain to the RU 41 (#56 E.Boykin)Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+10
85.1%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Houston thrown to BC 48 QB hurried by #41 F.Bate PENALTY RU Holding (#74 M.Giwa) 10 yards from RU 41 to RU 31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+14
88.6%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short right to #3 A.Raymond caught at RU 30, for 14 yards to the RU 45 (#5 M.Upton)Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+8
88.8%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 49, for 8 yards to the BC 47 (#14 A.Cunningham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
86.1%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass intercepted by #1 A.Palano at BC 35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23END OF GAME
10 plays · -13 yds · 1:2395% → 97%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
94.8%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 4 yards gain to the BC 24 (#5 B.Jones)Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-1
95.5%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard loss to the BC 23 (#8 S.Kromah)Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+8
95.9%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete short left to #23 E.Dickens caught at BC 21, for 8 yards to the BC 31 (#3 L.Noel; #16 J.Ofurie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
96.8%
(01:16) Boston College rush middle for 3 yards loss to the BC 28, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 13
OWN 28
-3
96.7%
(00:43) Kneel down by Boston College at BC 25 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 16
OWN 25
-3
96.7%
(00:11) Kneel down by Boston College at BC 22 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:37
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 02, for 4 yards to the BC 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:37 #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)
-20
TD · Q4 6:18
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete deep left to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 16, for 60 yards to the BC 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:18, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)
-11.4
TD · Q4 7:06
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.McKenzie pass complete deep right to #3 D.Pough caught at BC 50, for 78 yards to the RU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:06, 1ST DOWN #10 M.McKenzie pass attempt Successful #8 J.Montague Jr. pass attempt Successful
+10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com