2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · FirstBank Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
ALA37
VAN16
ALA by 21
Win chance
ALA86%
ALA 86%VAN 14%
Projected total
53pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
57%
chance Alabama wins by 14 or more
43% Alabama wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← VAN winsALA wins →
-21-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- ALA by 9 to 28
- 80% of outcomes
- VAN by 3 to ALA by 39
- 90% of outcomes
- VAN by 14 to ALA by 41
- Median
- ALA by 15
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.