2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · Davis Wade Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
MSST31
AUB27
MSST by 4
Win chance
MSST62%
AUB 38%MSST 62%
Projected total
57pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
54%
chance Mississippi State wins by 3 or more
46% Mississippi State wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← AUB winsMSST wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- AUB by 4 to MSST by 16
- 80% of outcomes
- AUB by 15 to MSST by 24
- 90% of outcomes
- AUB by 19 to MSST by 31
- Median
- MSST by 4
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.