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ISU

Iowa State at UCF

UCF
2026 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2026 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
UCF26
ISU22
UCF by 4
Win chance
UCF58%
ISU 42%UCF 58%
Projected total
49pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
51%
chance UCF wins by 3 or more
49% UCF wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← ISU winsUCF wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
50% of outcomes
ISU by 6 to UCF by 15
80% of outcomes
ISU by 18 to UCF by 25
90% of outcomes
ISU by 23 to UCF by 32
Median
UCF by 3
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com