2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · Jack Trice Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
ISU28
CIN24
ISU by 4
Win chance
ISU63%
CIN 37%ISU 63%
Projected total
53pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
57%
chance Iowa State wins by 3 or more
43% Iowa State wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← CIN winsISU wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- CIN by 4 to ISU by 16
- 80% of outcomes
- CIN by 15 to ISU by 24
- 90% of outcomes
- CIN by 22 to ISU by 30
- Median
- ISU by 5
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.