2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
UCF27
ASU24
UCF by 3
Win chance
UCF61%
ASU 39%UCF 61%
Projected total
50pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
53%
chance UCF wins by 3 or more
47% UCF wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← ASU winsUCF wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- ASU by 5 to UCF by 14
- 80% of outcomes
- ASU by 15 to UCF by 23
- 90% of outcomes
- ASU by 21 to UCF by 30
- Median
- UCF by 4
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.