Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
UTAH35
COLO15
UTAH by 20 · market UTAH by 15.75
Win chance
UTAH90%
UTAH 90%COLO 10%
Projected total
50pts
Market total 49.75
Explore the range of outcomes
55%
chance Utah wins by 14 or more
45% Utah wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← COLO winsUTAH wins →
-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- UTAH by 7 to 28
- 80% of outcomes
- Even to UTAH by 36
- 90% of outcomes
- COLO by 7 to UTAH by 41
- Median
- UTAH by 15
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | 65% | 68% | 33% |
| Also riding on it | Now | UTAH wins (90%)If Utah wins (90%) | COLO wins (10%)If Colorado wins (10%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 54% | 54% | 58% |
| UTSA | 14% | 14% | 16% |
| Texas Tech | 67% | 67% | 69% |
and 3 more teams whose odds move a little
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds