Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
BAY27
TCU21
BAY by 6 · market BAY by 5.5
Win chance
BAY65%
TCU 35%BAY 65%
Projected total
47pts
Market total 48.5
Explore the range of outcomes
59%
chance Baylor wins by 3 or more
41% Baylor wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← TCU winsBAY wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- TCU by 3 to BAY by 15
- 80% of outcomes
- TCU by 13 to BAY by 25
- 90% of outcomes
- TCU by 21 to BAY by 32
- Median
- BAY by 6
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 3% | 4% | 1% |
| Also riding on it | Now | TCU wins (35%)If TCU wins (35%) | BAY wins (65%)If Baylor wins (65%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | 67% | 68% | 66% |
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds