2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · TDECU Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
HOU36
OKST22
HOU by 14 · market HOU by 4.75
Win chance
HOU80%
OKST 20%HOU 80%
Projected total
58pts
Market total 61.5
Explore the range of outcomes
65%
chance Houston wins by 7 or more
35% Houston wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← OKST winsHOU wins →
-21-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- HOU by 4 to 24
- 80% of outcomes
- OKST by 7 to HOU by 32
- 90% of outcomes
- OKST by 13 to HOU by 40
- Median
- HOU by 11
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State | 1% | 2% | <1% |
| Houston | 31% | 37% | 6% |
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds