2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · Jones AT&T Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
TTU34
ASU17
TTU by 17 · market TTU by 14.5
Win chance
TTU88%
ASU 12%TTU 88%
Projected total
51pts
Market total 48.5
Explore the range of outcomes
51%
chance Texas Tech wins by 14 or more
49% Texas Tech wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← ASU winsTTU wins →
-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- TTU by 7 to 27
- 80% of outcomes
- ASU by 1 to TTU by 35
- 90% of outcomes
- ASU by 8 to TTU by 40
- Median
- TTU by 14
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | 67% | 71% | 36% |
| Also riding on it | Now | ASU wins (12%)If Arizona State wins (12%) | TTU wins (88%)If Texas Tech wins (88%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 20% | 23% | 20% |
| Texas | 54% | 57% | 54% |
| Wake Forest | 30% | 32% | 30% |
and 4 more teams whose odds move a little
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds