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UTAH

Utah 31 at Iowa State 17

ISU
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG—ISU 15.6%K. Konrardy 47 yd FG GOODAWAY 20 - HOME 0 · Q2 3:50
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:50 · K. Konrardy 47 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Home team on offense−17.2Score differential−8.3Pregame prior−16.6Garbage-time factor−3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:35: (02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete deep middle to #7 B.Pegan caught at ISU00, for 24 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:32, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #65 L.Castor) — UTAH win probability +0.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 10:14: D. Curtis 27 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +0.7 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 3:50: Timeout Iowa State, clock 03:50 — ISU win probability +3.1 pts (now 19%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:35: W. Parker run for 1 yd, for a TD (D. Curtis KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:52: (10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep right to #11 D.Overby caught at Utah02, for 22 yards to the Utah00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:48, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler) — UTAH win probability +33.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 8:06UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:34ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:04UTAH 4th & 2 at ISU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    67.3%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:13ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 48, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.5%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:14UTAH 4th & 7 at ISU 9, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:06ISU 4th & 1 at UTAH 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%−1.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:50ISU 4th & 7 at UTAH 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:08ISU 4th & 16 at UTAH 43, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%
    28% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:08ISU 4th & 16 at UTAH 43, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%
    28% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:31UTAH 4th & 6 at ISU 40, up 27
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:54ISU 4th & 16 at ISU 34, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:30UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 40, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:04ISU 4th & 12 at UTAH 34, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:50UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 38, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:26ISU 4th & 14 at ISU 23, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:54UTAH 4th & 5 at ISU 13, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:07ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 28, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:44UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
23.3%
W. Parker run for 54 yds, for a TD (D. Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:1023% → 24%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
23.3%
(14:36) No Huddle #21 A.Flora rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU25 (#90 J.Moe; #8 E.Day)Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+30
23.6%
(13:55) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep right to #21 A.Flora caught at Utah45, for 30 yards to the Utah45, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
23.7%
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Utah42 (#10 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
23.9%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 0 yards to the Utah42 (#15 L.Holtzclaw; #6 N.Ritchie)Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-4
24.1%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 4 yards loss to the Utah46 (#51 K.Kaufusi)Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 14
OPP 46
0
24.1%
(11:26) #95 E.Gurney punt 30 yards to the Utah16 fair catch by #8 M.Carvalho at Utah16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:5676% → 76%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
24.0%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #5 D.Bray caught at Utah14, for 6 yards to the Utah22 (#11 W.Breland)Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+5
24.0%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #7 B.Pegan caught at Utah27, for 5 yards to the Utah27 (#10 C.Willich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
24.2%
PENALTY Utah False Start (#79 A.Harrison) 5 yards from Utah27 to Utah22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+4
24.3%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Utah26 (#7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+7
24.4%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #89 N.Bennee caught at Utah30, for 7 yards to the Utah33 (#21 D.Goodman)Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+2
24.2%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush left for 2 yards gain to the Utah35 (#7 S.Schlimgen; #10 C.Willich)Similar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
24.5%
(08:13) #92 O.Phillips punt 43 yards to the ISU22, out of bounds at ISU22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:2425% → 25%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
24.8%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Pettaway rush left for 11 yards gain to the ISU33 (#6 N.Ritchie; #7 J.Hall), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Utah Face Mask (#45 P.Sepulona) 15 yards from ISU33 to ISU48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
25.4%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Pettaway thrown to Utah46Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
25.3%
(07:32) #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU49 (#90 J.Moe; #7 J.Hall)Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
25.2%
(06:48) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short middle to #13 J.Polite thrown to Utah45Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
25.1%
(06:43) #99 J.DuPont punt 41 yards to the Utah10 #8 M.Carvalho return 0 yards to the Utah10 (#56 C.Schmidt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:5275% → 76%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
24.7%
(06:33) Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush right for 9 yards gain to the Utah19 (#24 B.Miller) PENALTY ISU Personal Foul (#93 J.Janikowski) 15 yards from Utah19 to Utah34, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
24.5%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Bray rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Utah35 (#7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
24.6%
(05:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete deep left to #11 R.Johnson thrown to ISU25Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+30
25.0%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #2 C.Whittemore caught at ISU48, for 30 yards to the ISU35 (#5 B.Ngoyi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
24.1%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #1 W.Parker caught at ISU31, for 4 yards to the ISU31 (#5 B.Ngoyi)Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
24.1%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush left for 5 yards gain to the ISU26 (#24 B.Miller; #21 D.Goodman)Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-1
24.3%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Bray rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ISU27 (#89 D.Fitzmaurice)Similar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+3
24.8%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU24 (#10 C.Willich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
24.2%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete deep middle to #7 B.Pegan caught at ISU00, for 24 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:32, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #65 L.Castor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0524% → 24%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
23.6%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #21 A.Flora caught at ISU18, for 5 yards to the ISU30 (#10 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
23.8%
(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #9 O.Hayes caught at ISU34, for 9 yards to the ISU39 (#9 E.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
23.9%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep left to #9 O.Hayes thrown to Utah30Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
23.9%
(01:42) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush right for 8 yards gain to the ISU47 (#8 E.Day)Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
24.3%
(01:01) Shotgun #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU48 (#6 N.Ritchie)Similar
Q1 0:13
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
24.3%
(00:19) #25 E.Miller rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU48 (#51 K.Kaufusi), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7FG
13 plays · 39 yds · 4:5879% → 82%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
21.1%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #1 W.Parker caught at ISU48, for 10 yards to the ISU38 (#24 B.Miller; #10 C.Willich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
21.5%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush right for 8 yards gain to the ISU30 (#55 J.Gilbert; #7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+6
21.3%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Bray rush left for 6 yards gain to the ISU24 (#18 D.Coffey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
21.2%
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete deep middle to #0 K.Shoels thrown to ISU00 PENALTY Utah Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#89 N.Bennee) 5 yards from ISU24 to ISU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+11
21.5%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #2 C.Whittemore caught at ISU18, for 11 yards to the ISU18 (#21 D.Goodman; #1 K.Washington)Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+3
21.1%
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU15 (#21 D.Goodman)Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+3
20.4%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU12 (#7 S.Schlimgen; #24 B.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-6
20.0%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush middle for 6 yards loss to the ISU18 (#7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 16
OPP 18
0
20.2%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete short left to #89 N.Bennee thrown to ISU00Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 16
OPP 18
+9
20.6%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush right for 9 yards gain to the ISU09 (#7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q2 10:14
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
17.8%
D. Curtis 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8FG
17 plays · 46 yds · 6:2120% → 16%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.1%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Overby thrown to ISU30 broken up by #23 J.BenneeSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
19.9%
(10:10) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #9 O.Hayes caught at ISU40, for 18 yards to the ISU43 (#5 J.Chenault Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
21.2%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 E.Miller rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU43 (#40 P.Fitzgerald; #83 E.Elliss)Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
20.7%
(09:07) Shotgun #5 C.Moberly rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ISU50 (#83 E.Elliss)Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 3
50
+2
21.1%
(08:26) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #13 J.Polite caught at Utah48, for 2 yards to the Utah48 (#0 C.Polu)Similar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+5
19.9%
(07:47) #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Utah47 (#90 J.Moe; #15 L.Holtzclaw) PENALTY Utah Offside (#90 J.Moe) 5 yards from Utah48 to Utah43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
19.3%
(07:24) #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Utah39 (#83 E.Elliss; #8 E.Day)Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
17.5%
(06:40) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep left to #11 D.Overby thrown to Utah12Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+5
17.0%
(06:36) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #89 T.Claiborne caught at Utah40, for 5 yards to the Utah34 (#0 C.Polu)Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
16.8%
(06:11) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Utah32 (#45 P.Sepulona), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
17.2%
(05:30) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #21 A.Flora thrown to Utah29 broken up by #83 E.EllissSimilar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-3
17.0%
(05:24) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 3 yards loss to the Utah35, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+6
15.6%
(04:35) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #21 A.Flora caught at Utah35, for 6 yards to the Utah29 (#83 E.Elliss; #11 E.Reed)Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
15.6%
K. Konrardy 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:0688% → 93%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
11.7%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Utah29 (#7 S.Schlimgen; #24 B.Miller)Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
11.6%
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Utah36 (#34 B.Goodwin; #88 I.Terrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
11.0%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #1 W.Parker caught at Utah32, for 16 yards to the ISU48 (#99 B.Lamb; #4 M.Harper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
10.2%
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete deep right to #7 B.Pegan thrown to ISU20 QB hurried by #55 J.GilbertSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
8.5%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short left to #11 R.Johnson caught at ISU43, for 15 yards to the ISU33 (#34 B.Goodwin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
9.3%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #10 H.Andrews caught at ISU23, for 10 yards to the ISU23 (#21 D.Goodman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
8.8%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short left to #1 W.Parker caught at ISU20, for 22 yards to the ISU01 (#18 D.Coffey), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short left to #1 W.Parker caught at ISU20, for 21 yards to the ISU02 (#18 D.Coffey), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q2 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.8%
W. Parker run for 1 yd, for a TD (D. Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10FUMBLE
16 plays · 70 yds · 1:114% → 2%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
4.0%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #2 C.Jackson caught at ISU32, for 7 yards to the ISU32 (#9 E.Davis)Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
3.3%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #2 C.Jackson caught at ISU37, for 5 yards to the ISU37 (#9 E.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
2.7%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #2 C.Jackson caught at ISU44, for 7 yards to the ISU44 (#9 E.Davis)Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+10
2.3%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Utah46 (#23 J.Bennee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
3.0%
(00:33) PENALTY ISU False Start (#79 J.Taylor) 5 yards from Utah46 to ISU49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 15
OPP 0
0
3.2%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep right to #9 O.Hayes thrown to Utah30, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Utah Pass Interference (#23 J.Bennee) 14 yards from ISU49 to Utah37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
2.6%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at Utah35, for 4 yards to the Utah33 (#7 J.Hall)Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+10
2.4%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #9 O.Hayes thrown to Utah33 PENALTY ISU Holding (#51 M.King) 10 yards from Utah33 to Utah43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 18
OPP 45
0
2.3%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short left to #19 T.Fortenberry thrown to Utah38Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 18
OPP 45
0
2.2%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short left to #9 O.Hayes thrown to Utah30Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 16
OPP 43
+5
14.4%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #7 J.Hall at Utah00 #7 J.Hall return 5 yards to the Utah05 fumbled by #7 J.Hall at Utah05 forced by #9 O.Hayes recovered by Utah #7 J.Hall at Utah05 (#9 O.Hayes)Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 16
OPP 43
+5
2.3%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #7 B.Pegan at Utah00 #7 B.Pegan return 5 yards to the Utah05 fumbled by #7 B.Pegan at Utah05 forced by #9 O.Hayes recovered by Utah #7 B.Pegan at Utah05, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11TD
15 plays · 82 yds · 6:453% → 2%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
3.2%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush right for 1 yard loss to the ISU17 (#90 J.Moe; #15 L.Holtzclaw)Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+7
2.9%
(14:11) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #9 O.Hayes caught at ISU20, for 7 yards to the ISU24 (#10 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+12
3.1%
(13:31) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #2 C.Jackson caught at ISU28, for 12 yards to the ISU36 (#7 J.Hall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
2.8%
(12:46) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #9 O.Hayes caught at ISU43, for 12 yards to the ISU48, out of bounds at ISU48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
3.1%
(12:07) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush right for 0 yards to the ISU48 (#7 J.Hall)Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
2.9%
(11:24) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #13 J.Polite thrown to Utah46 PENALTY Utah Pass Interference (#5 J.Chenault Jr.) 5 yards from ISU48 to Utah47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. Utah is challenging the ruling on the field - "Penalty enforcement". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
2.7%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush right for 6 yards gain to the Utah41 (#1 R.Evans)Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+15
2.6%
(10:51) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #21 A.Flora caught at Utah39, for 15 yards to the Utah26 (#10 T.Reynolds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
2.6%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Utah25 (#90 J.Moe)Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+11
2.5%
(09:30) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Utah14 (#10 T.Reynolds; #6 N.Ritchie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
2.4%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Overby thrown to Utah17 broken up by #15 L.HoltzclawSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
2.4%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Pettaway rush left for 6 yards gain to the Utah08 (#7 J.Hall)Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
2.1%
Jaylen Raynor 8 Yd Run (Kyle Konrardy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:1498% → 99%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.7%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #5 D.Bray caught at Utah21, for 6 yards to the Utah31 (#24 B.Miller; #7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+25
1.5%
(07:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 25 yards gain to the ISU44 (#18 D.Coffey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
1.4%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush left for 5 yards gain to the ISU39 (#11 W.Breland)Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-1
1.3%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier sacked for loss of 1 yard to the ISU40 (#10 C.Willich)Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
1.2%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete short right thrown to ISU40 QB hurried by #89 D.FitzmauriceSimilar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
1.4%
(05:37) #92 O.Phillips punt 36 yards to the ISU04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:332% → 1%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
2.2%
(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #21 A.Flora thrown to ISU09 broken up by #93 K.DillonSimilar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+18
2.0%
(05:27) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush right for 18 yards gain to the ISU22 (#83 E.Elliss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
1.7%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 9 yards gain to the ISU31 (#0 C.Polu; #21 N.Tilmon)Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+9
1.5%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #9 O.Hayes caught at ISU30, for 9 yards to the ISU40 (#1 R.Evans; #23 J.Bennee), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Utah Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
2.4%
(04:27) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep right to #21 A.Flora thrown to Utah40 broken up by #1 R.Evans. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-3
1.5%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 3 yards loss to the ISU37 (#90 J.Moe)Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 13
OWN 37
-3
1.2%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #21 A.Flora caught at ISU31, for 3 yards loss to the ISU34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
1.2%
(03:00) #99 J.DuPont punt 33 yards to the Utah33, out of bounds at Utah33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:1299% → 99%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
1.0%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short left to #11 R.Johnson caught at Utah31, for 1 yard to the Utah34 (#24 B.Miller)Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+11
1.1%
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #89 N.Bennee caught at Utah33, for 11 yards to the Utah45 (#7 S.Schlimgen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
1.0%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete short right to #89 N.Bennee thrown to Utah50 QB hurried by #93 J.JanikowskiSimilar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
1.0%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush right for 0 yards to the Utah45, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+5
1.0%
PENALTY Utah False Start (#73 C.Jefferson) 5 yards from Utah45 to Utah40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:38
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
1.0%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete short left to #1 W.Parker thrown to Utah44 QB hurried by #0 Z.HawkSimilar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
1.2%
(00:37) #92 O.Phillips punt 41 yards to the ISU19 #21 A.Flora return 0 yards to the ISU19 (#20 M.Helu)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 4:361% → 1%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
1.0%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Pettaway rush right for 0 yards to the ISU19 (#83 E.Elliss; #23 J.Bennee)Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+13
0.8%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #0 C.Pettaway caught at ISU25, for 13 yards to the ISU32 (#7 J.Hall), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
0.9%
(14:19) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 6 yards gain to the ISU38 (#5 J.Chenault Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+15
0.8%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep left to #11 D.Overby thrown to Utah39 PENALTY Utah Pass Interference (#5 J.Chenault Jr.) 15 yards from ISU38 to Utah47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
0.9%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 3 yards gain to the Utah44 (#7 J.Hall; #10 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
0.6%
(12:57) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #9 O.Hayes thrown to Utah40 broken up by #7 J.HallSimilar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+12
0.6%
(12:54) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 12 yards gain to the Utah32 (#90 J.Moe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
0.5%
(12:12) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 2 yards loss to the Utah34 (#10 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
0.4%
(11:27) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short left to #9 O.Hayes thrown to Utah35Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 12
OPP 34
0
13.0%
J. Raynor pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 12
OPP 34
0
0.4%
(11:23) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #21 A.Flora thrown to Utah40 broken up by #15 L.HoltzclawSimilar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 12
OPP 34
+12
0.4%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #11 D.Overby caught at Utah23, for 12 yards to the Utah22 (#11 E.Reed), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #11 D.Overby caught at Utah33, for 11 yards to the Utah23 (#11 E.Reed), TURNOVER ON DOWNS)Similar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
33.7%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep right to #11 D.Overby caught at Utah02, for 22 yards to the Utah00, End Of Play TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:48, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
0.5%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep right to #11 D.Overby caught at Utah02, for 22 yards to the Utah00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:48, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
0.4%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete deep middle to #7 B.Pegan thrown to Utah48 broken up by #3 S.JohnsonSimilar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
0.5%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete short left to #1 W.Parker thrown to Utah20 broken up by #7 S.SchlimgenSimilar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+15
0.5%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete deep middle to #7 B.Pegan thrown to Utah45 PENALTY ISU Roughing The Passer (#55 J.Gilbert) 15 yards from Utah15 to Utah30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
0.4%
(10:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush left for 9 yards gain to the Utah39 (#18 D.Coffey)Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
0.3%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete short middle to #7 B.Pegan thrown to Utah39Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-1
0.3%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Utah38 (#21 D.Goodman; #24 B.Miller)Similar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
0.3%
(08:56) #92 O.Phillips punt 35 yards to the ISU27 fair catch by #9 O.Hayes at ISU27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
0.2%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ISU26 (#10 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
0.1%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep right to #11 D.Overby thrown to Utah30Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 11
OWN 26
-3
0.1%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor sacked for loss of 3 yards to the ISU23 (#83 E.Elliss)Similar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 14
OWN 23
+9
0.1%
(07:36) #99 J.DuPont punt 47 yards to the Utah30 #8 M.Carvalho return 9 yards to the Utah39 (#34 B.Goodwin; #93 J.Janikowski)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 4:22100% → 100%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
0.2%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Utah47 (#7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+15
0.2%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 15 yards gain to the ISU38 (#7 S.Schlimgen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
0.2%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU34 (#97 M.Baloun)Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+12
0.2%
(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #5 D.Bray caught at ISU37, for 12 yards to the ISU22 (#21 D.Goodman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
0.2%
(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Andrews rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU18 (#55 J.Gilbert)Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+5
0.2%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU13 (#55 J.Gilbert)Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+13
0.1%
Wayshawn Parker 13 Yd pass from Devon Dampier (Dillon Curtis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
0.1%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #23 J.Bennee at ISU41 #23 J.Bennee return 3 yards to the ISU38 (#13 J.Polite)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+20
0.1%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush left for 20 yards gain to the ISU18 (#21 D.Goodman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
0.1%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush left for 2 yards gain to the ISU16 (#21 D.Goodman)Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
0.1%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Bray rush left for 0 yards to the ISU16 (#34 B.Goodwin)Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+3
0.1%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #2 C.Whittemore caught at ISU13, for 3 yards to the ISU13 (#26 T.Cotton)Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+31
0.1%
(01:59) #17 D.Curtis field goal attempt from 31 yards NO GOOD (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #65 L.Castor), clock 01:54Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.0%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Overby thrown to ISU24 broken up by #8 E.DaySimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
0.0%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #11 D.Overby caught at ISU28, for 8 yards to the ISU28 (#9 E.Davis)Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
0.0%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Pettaway rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU28 (#0 C.Polu; #15 L.Holtzclaw)Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
0.0%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Overby thrown to ISU35 broken up by #9 E.Davis, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:23100% → 100%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
0.1%
(01:04) Kneel down by #4 D.Dampier at ISU29 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 11
OPP 29
-1
0.1%
(00:33) Kneel down by #4 D.Dampier at ISU30 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:52
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep right to #11 D.Overby caught at Utah02, for 22 yards to the Utah00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:48, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)
-33.2
FG · Q2 3:50
Timeout Iowa State, clock 03:50
+3.1
TD · Q2 1:35
W. Parker run for 1 yd, for a TD (D. Curtis KICK)
-2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com