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HOU

Houston 26 at Texas Tech 28

TTU
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2026 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:43 · (02:54) #49 W.Karoll punt 60 yards to the HOU18 #4 T.Walker return 22 yards to the HOU40 (#74 D.Sill)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+16.5Home team on offense−3.2Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score differential−1.5Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:39: (03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Castellanos rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:39 #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn) — TTU win probability +9.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:11: (01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete deep right to #2 K.Young caught at TTU00, for 46 yards to the TTU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:11, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards) — HOU win probability +16.5 pts (now 46%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:41: (12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 29 yards gain to the HOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:41, 1ST DOWN #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn) — TTU win probability +10.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:36: (07:35) Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:36 #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn) — TTU win probability +18.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:49: Timeout Texas Tech, clock 00:49 — TTU win probability +26.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4HOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:27HOU 4th & 9 at TTU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:43TTU 4th & 13 at TTU 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:22HOU 4th & 2 at HOU 48, up 10
    Close callPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:17TTU 4th & 22 at TTU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:07HOU 4th & 10 at HOU 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:31HOU 4th & 7 at TTU 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−7.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:16TTU 4th & 3 at HOU 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    66.1%−1.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−11.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:39HOU 4th & 5 at HOU 44, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:43HOU 4th & 10 at HOU 36, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:44TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 33, up 8
    Close callPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3HOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:32HOU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:39TTU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:11HOU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:41TTU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:36TTU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 5:2429% → 31%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
70.7%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 7 yards gain to the HOU32 (#15 A.Romaine; #24 M.Esquerra)Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
70.5%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HOU34 (#13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
70.5%
(13:49) #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HOU36 (#4 D.Martin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.4%
(13:17) Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short left to #0 A.Thomas thrown to HOU40Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
70.4%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman rush middle for 11 yards gain to the HOU47 (#98 M.Ibirogba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
70.0%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #0 A.Thomas caught at TTU43, for 10 yards to the TTU43, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
69.9%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush left for 6 yards gain to the TTU37 (#1 J.Laventure)Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
69.7%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TTU35 (#32 L.Guyton)Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+21
69.5%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #21 M.Hughes caught at TTU37, for 21 yards to the TTU14 (#15 A.Romaine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
69.3%
(10:16) No Huddle #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TTU13 (#15 A.Romaine; #10 A.Holmes Jr.)Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
69.1%
(09:35) Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short left to #0 A.Thomas thrown to TTU00Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
69.4%
(09:34) Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short right to #9 P.Overmyer thrown to TTU08Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
69.4%
(09:29) #49 J.Dimas field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards), clock 09:27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.3%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Castellanos pass intercepted by #5 W.James at HOU45 QB hurried by #18 K.Laufau, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 5:3131% → 37%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
69.0%
(09:15) Shotgun #6 R.Sanford II rush right for 8 yards gain to the TTU47 (#3 P.Morgan)Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+3
68.5%
(08:39) Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #4 T.Walker caught at TTU50, for 3 yards to the TTU44 (#3 P.Morgan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
68.4%
(08:10) Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #6 R.Sanford II caught at TTU45, for 9 yards to the TTU35 (#4 D.Martin; #15 A.Romaine)Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+11
67.9%
(07:38) Shotgun #6 R.Sanford II rush middle for 11 yards gain to the TTU24 (#8 J.Mathis; #7 B.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
67.7%
(06:59) Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush left for 3 yards gain to the TTU21 (#13 B.Roberts; #14 B.Pollock)Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+2
67.3%
(06:14) Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #2 K.Young caught at TTU19, for 2 yards to the TTU19, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+6
67.5%
(05:41) Shotgun #1 C.Weigman rush left for 6 yards gain to the TTU13, out of bounds at TTU13, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
67.0%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TTU11 (#7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
66.8%
(04:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman rush left for 0 yards to the TTU11 (#24 M.Esquerra)Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+11
62.9%
Amare Thomas 11 Yd pass from Conner Weigman (Jonathan Dimas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:3363% → 62%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
63.2%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush right for 3 yards loss to the TTU22 (#1 J.Yates; #12 S.Fotu)Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
62.9%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete deep middle to #2 K.Johnson thrown to HOU35Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
62.4%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short middle to #7 T.Carter Jr. thrown to TTU40Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+22
62.2%
(02:54) #49 W.Karoll punt 60 yards to the HOU18 #4 T.Walker return 22 yards to the HOU40 (#74 D.Sill)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1838% → 39%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
62.2%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short middle to #19 K.Thomas caught at HOU43, for 4 yards to the HOU44 (#9 C.Platt Jr.). The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short middle to #19 K.Thomas caught at HOU43, for 4 yards to the HOU44 (#9 C.Platt Jr.))Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
61.5%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short right to #21 M.Hughes thrown to HOU41 QB hurried by #20 A.Trick and #6 J.CurrySimilar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+4
61.3%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #9 P.Overmyer caught at HOU46, for 4 yards to the HOU48 (#9 C.Platt Jr.)Similar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
61.5%
(01:31) #91 L.Dougherty punt 27 yards to the TTU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:0561% → 68%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
61.4%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TTU28 (#18 K.Laufau; #1 J.Yates)Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
61.5%
PENALTY TTU Illegal Snap (#72 S.Wilson) 5 yards from TTU28 to TTU23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
61.1%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short right to #2 K.Johnson thrown to TTU40Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+28
59.6%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete deep right to #2 K.Johnson caught at HOU49, for 28 yards to the HOU49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
61.3%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HOU47 (#0 J.White)Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
61.1%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 7 yards gain to the HOU40 (#90 D.Thomas)Similar
Q2 14:28
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+5
60.9%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 5 yards gain to the HOU35 (#1 J.Yates; #9 A.Porter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
67.6%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete deep right to #2 K.Johnson caught at HOU00, for 35 yards to the HOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:08, 1ST DOWN #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:5835% → 38%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.2%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short middle to #2 K.Young thrown to HOU34 broken up by #4 D.MartinSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.2%
(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Sanford II rush right for 1 yard gain to the HOU26 (#6 J.Curry; #2 T.White)Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
65.5%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #0 A.Thomas caught at HOU28, for 12 yards to the HOU38 (#7 B.Jordan), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
63.8%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #4 T.Walker caught at HOU35, for 2 yards to the HOU40 (#7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
63.4%
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Sanford II rush middle for 4 yards gain to the HOU44 (#24 M.Esquerra)Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+21
63.3%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman rush middle for 21 yards gain to the TTU35 (#45 B.Golwas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
61.9%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman sacked for loss of 0 yards to the TTU35 (#20 A.Trick), fumble by #1 C.Weigman recovered by TTU #32 L.Guyton at TTU35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:3664% → 62%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
64.3%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush right for 3 yards gain to the TTU38 (#98 M.Parker; #4 B.Mack)Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
65.6%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short right to #2 K.Johnson thrown to TTU42Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+13
64.0%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at HOU49, for 13 yards to the HOU49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
66.0%
(10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HOU48 (#12 S.Fotu)Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+10
65.5%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush right for 1 yard loss to the HOU49 (#1 J.Yates) PENALTY TTU Holding (#70 J.Ponton) 10 yards from HOU48 to TTU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 19
OWN 42
+2
63.4%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU44, for 2 yards to the TTU44 (#18 K.Laufau)Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 17
OWN 44
-3
62.5%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond sacked for loss of 5 yards to the TTU39 (#1 J.Yates, #18 K.Laufau)Similar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 22
OWN 39
0
61.6%
(08:26) #49 W.Karoll punt 61 yards to the HOU00, Touchback PENALTY HOU Holding (#5 W.James) 10 yards from HOU20 to HOU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:0338% → 38%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
61.7%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush left for 10 yards gain to the HOU20 (#99 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
61.1%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #9 P.Overmyer caught at HOU22, for 9 yards to the HOU29 (#14 B.Pollock)Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
59.8%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 6 yards gain to the HOU35 (#13 B.Roberts; #99 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
59.6%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short right to #2 K.Young thrown to HOU40Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
59.9%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short middle to #9 P.Overmyer thrown to TTU49 broken up by #15 A.RomaineSimilar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
60.9%
(06:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short right to #4 T.Walker thrown to HOU46 broken up by #4 D.MartinSimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+12
61.6%
(06:12) #91 L.Dougherty punt 57 yards to the TTU08 #2 K.Johnson return 12 yards to the TTU20 (#25 C.Glass; #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:1261% → 73%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
60.7%
(06:00) Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at TTU33, for 21 yards to the TTU41 (#25 C.Glass; #1 J.Yates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
62.9%
(05:39) Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete deep right to #1 M.Hudson thrown to HOU33 PENALTY HOU Pass Interference (#2 J.Mayo) 15 yards from TTU41 to HOU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
63.6%
(05:30) Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #3 C.Eakin caught at HOU45, for 5 yards to the HOU39 (#8 K.Webb)Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+24
63.4%
(05:00) Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short left to #3 C.Eakin caught at HOU35, for 24 yards to the HOU15 (#6 J.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
64.1%
(04:16) Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 12 yards gain to the HOU03 (#6 J.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
73.1%
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Castellanos rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:39 #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:1530% → 46%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
70.1%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #0 A.Thomas caught at HOU29, for 11 yards to the HOU36 (#13 B.Roberts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
69.1%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #0 A.Thomas caught at HOU38, for 3 yards to the HOU39 (#4 D.Martin)Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
68.8%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HOU40 (#20 A.Trick; #6 J.Curry)Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
71.9%
PENALTY TTU Offside (#32 L.Guyton) 5 yards from HOU40 to HOU45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
70.3%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HOU47 (#13 B.Roberts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
70.5%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short middle to #21 M.Hughes caught at HOU50, for 7 yards to the TTU46 (#13 B.Roberts; #6 J.Curry)Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+46
54.0%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete deep right to #2 K.Young caught at TTU00, for 46 yards to the TTU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:11, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12INT
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:2459% → 62%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.7%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short middle to #6 J.Jones thrown to TTU30 broken up by #9 A.PorterSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
58.4%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #6 J.Jones caught at TTU30, for 11 yards to the TTU36 (#1 J.Yates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
59.6%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush middle for 22 yards gain to the HOU42 (#6 J.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
62.1%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass intercepted by #2 J.Mayo at HOU04, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:3241% → 40%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
59.0%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HOU07 (#13 B.Roberts) PENALTY HOU Holding (#19 K.Thomas) 2 yards from HOU04 to HOU02. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 12
OWN 2
+5
59.7%
PENALTY TTU Offside (#20 A.Trick) 5 yards from HOU02 to HOU07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 7
OWN 7
+3
59.7%
PENALTY HOU Delay Of Game 3 yards from HOU07 to HOU04. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
59.6%
(00:07) Kneel down by Houston at HOU02 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0359% → 73%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.1%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU23, for 4 yards to the TTU29 (#0 J.White)Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
58.8%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #85 J.Carpenter caught at TTU33, for 18 yards to the TTU47 (#1 J.Yates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
61.3%
(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 19 yards gain to the HOU34 (#2 J.Mayo), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
62.7%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at HOU34, for 5 yards to the HOU29 (#1 J.Yates; #2 J.Mayo)Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+29
72.9%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 29 yards gain to the HOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:41, 1ST DOWN #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15FG
15 plays · 71 yds · 6:5831% → 35%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
69.2%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HOU21 (#13 B.Roberts; #6 J.Curry)Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+17
69.4%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #0 A.Thomas caught at HOU25, for 17 yards to the HOU38 (#13 B.Roberts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
67.9%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 9 yards gain to the HOU47 (#6 J.Curry; #4 D.Martin)Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+5
67.2%
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TTU48 (#98 M.Ibirogba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
67.1%
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short middle to #9 P.Overmyer caught at TTU44, for 4 yards to the TTU44 (#7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+12
67.1%
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 D.Butler rush right for 12 yards gain to the TTU32 (#24 M.Esquerra), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
66.0%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TTU27 (#15 A.Romaine), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-1
65.4%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 D.Butler rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TTU28 fumbled by #25 D.Butler at TTU24 forced by #20 A.Trick recovered by HOU #1 C.Weigman at TTU28, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+15
66.8%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 15 yards gain to the TTU13 (#24 M.Esquerra), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
65.3%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #9 P.Overmyer caught at TTU12, for 7 yards to the TTU06 (#24 M.Esquerra)Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+2
65.2%
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TTU04 (#13 B.Roberts; #7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 1
OPP 4
-1
66.5%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TTU05 (#13 B.Roberts; #6 J.Curry)Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+5
68.1%
PENALTY HOU False Start 5 yards from TTU05 to TTU10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
65.1%
(05:34) #49 J.Dimas field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards), clock 05:31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:0267% → 68%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.1%
(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TTU30 (#0 J.White)Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
67.3%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 Q.Joyner rush left for 11 yards gain to the TTU41 (#1 J.Yates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
68.9%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 Q.Joyner rush right for 0 yards to the TTU41 (#0 J.White)Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
67.7%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short middle to #3 C.Eakin thrown to TTU43 broken up by #9 A.PorterSimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+23
66.2%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete deep right to #2 K.Johnson caught at HOU36, for 23 yards to the HOU36, out of bounds at HOU36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
70.5%
(02:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete deep right to #2 K.Johnson thrown to HOU16Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
70.4%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 2 yards gain to the HOU34 (#0 J.White; #12 S.Fotu)Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+5
69.9%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the HOU29 (#6 J.Allen; #8 K.Webb)Similar
Q3 1:16
4TH & 3
OPP 29
0
67.5%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short middle to #1 M.Hudson thrown to HOU26 broken up by #6 J.Allen, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2335% → 35%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
65.0%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Young rush right for 10 yards gain to the HOU39 (#3 P.Morgan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
62.7%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #9 P.Overmyer caught at TTU46, for 15 yards to the TTU46, out of bounds at TTU46 PENALTY HOU Holding (#79 A.Ebosele) 10 yards from HOU39 to HOU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+3
65.1%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #9 P.Overmyer caught at HOU31, for 3 yards to the HOU32 (#14 B.Pollock)Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+13
65.4%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short middle to #6 R.Sanford II caught at HOU36, for 13 yards to the HOU45 (#8 J.Mathis)Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-1
61.6%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman sacked for loss of 1 yard to the HOU44 (#10 A.Holmes Jr.)Similar
Q4 13:39
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
64.7%
(13:44) #91 L.Dougherty punt 43 yards to the TTU13 fair catch by #2 K.Johnson at TTU13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 5:4466% → 91%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
65.7%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU09, for 8 yards to the TTU21 (#25 C.Glass)Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+3
66.3%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TTU24, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
66.0%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 32 yards gain to the HOU44 (#6 J.Allen) PENALTY TTU Holding (#52 C.Cleveland) 10 yards from TTU24 to TTU14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 40
OWN 14
+9
65.4%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #85 J.Carpenter caught at TTU21, for 9 yards to the TTU23 (#8 K.Webb)Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 31
OWN 23
+13
65.0%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #8 C.Dickey caught at TTU27, for 13 yards to the TTU36 (#25 C.Glass), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 18
OWN 36
+27
63.9%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete deep left to #2 K.Johnson caught at HOU39, for 27 yards to the HOU37 (#2 J.Mayo), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
70.5%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HOU34 (#90 D.Thomas) PENALTY HOU Block Below Waist (#0 J.White) 15 yards from HOU34 to HOU19, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
71.3%
(10:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 4 yards gain to the HOU15 (#9 A.Porter)Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+13
71.4%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 13 yards gain to the HOU02 (#2 J.Mayo; #10 L.McCutchin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
71.5%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 1 yard gain to the HOU01 (#1 J.Yates; #4 B.Mack)Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.1%
(08:10) Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 0 yards to the HOU01 (#4 B.Mack; #90 D.Thomas)Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.6%
(07:35) Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:36 #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:3813% → 11%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
87.4%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #6 R.Sanford II caught at HOU26, for 11 yards to the HOU36 (#6 J.Curry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.0%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short left to #2 K.Young thrown to HOU47Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
86.5%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short left to #0 A.Thomas thrown to TTU49Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
88.4%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short left to #21 M.Hughes thrown to TTU45Similar
Q4 6:43
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+3
88.9%
(06:48) #91 L.Dougherty punt 53 yards to the TTU11 #2 K.Johnson return 3 yards to the TTU14 (#0 J.White)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:5290% → 94%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
90.0%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TTU16 (#8 K.Webb; #9 A.Porter)Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 8
OWN 16
-1
90.4%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TTU15 (#18 K.Laufau)Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+11
92.3%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #3 C.Eakin caught at TTU25, for 11 yards to the TTU26 (#12 S.Fotu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
93.3%
(04:35) Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TTU33 (#12 S.Fotu)Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
93.6%
(03:47) Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 0 yards to the TTU33 (#1 J.Yates; #33 J.Barbas)Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
94.5%
(03:01) Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short middle to #3 C.Eakin thrown to TTU40 broken up by #0 J.WhiteSimilar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
94.4%
(02:57) #49 W.Karoll punt 55 yards to the HOU12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 1:4611% → 39%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
89.3%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Sanford II rush left for 6 yards gain to the HOU18 (#24 M.Esquerra)Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 4
OWN 18
-1
92.2%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman sacked for loss of 1 yard to the HOU17 (#2 T.White)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+11
92.8%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short middle to #0 A.Thomas caught at HOU27, for 11 yards to the HOU28 (#7 B.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
93.6%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman rush left for 3 yards gain to the HOU31 (#15 A.Romaine), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+17
93.5%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #9 P.Overmyer caught at HOU46, for 17 yards to the HOU48 (#24 M.Esquerra), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
92.7%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short middle to #9 P.Overmyer caught at TTU40, for 18 yards to the TTU34 (#7 B.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
89.5%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman rush right for 7 yards gain to the TTU27 (#7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+5
88.3%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short middle to #6 R.Sanford II caught at TTU23, for 5 yards to the TTU22 (#7 B.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
88.2%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #6 R.Sanford II caught at TTU25, for 12 yards to the TTU10 (#14 B.Pollock; #6 J.Curry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
61.0%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #9 P.Overmyer caught at TTU00, for 10 yards to the TTU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:49, 1ST DOWN rush attempt failed rush attempt failed. The previous play is under automatic review - "" #1 C.Weigman rush attempt failed. The previous play is under automatic review - "" #1 C.Weigman rush attempt failed. The previous play is under automatic review - "". CALL UPHELD #1 C.Weigman rush attempt failed. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22END OF HALF
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:2290% → 95%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
90.4%
(00:41) Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 5 yards gain to the HOU42 (#90 D.Thomas)Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+12
91.6%
(00:34) Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 12 yards gain to the HOU30, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
95.1%
(00:19) Kneel down by #15 W.Hammond at HOU33 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:49
Timeout Texas Tech, clock 00:49
+26.3
TD · Q4 7:36
(07:35) Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:36 #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn)
+18.5
TD · Q2 1:11
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete deep right to #2 K.Young caught at TTU00, for 46 yards to the TTU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:11, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)
-16.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com