2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
ND31
BYU20
ND by 11 · market ND by 10
Win chance
ND79%
ND 79%BYU 21%
Projected total
50pts
Market total 47.5
Explore the range of outcomes
61%
chance Notre Dame wins by 7 or more
39% Notre Dame wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← BYU winsND wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- ND by 3 to 19
- 80% of outcomes
- BYU by 7 to ND by 30
- 90% of outcomes
- BYU by 16 to ND by 35
- Median
- ND by 10
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 94% | 98% | 77% |
| BYU | 42% | 73% | 34% |
| Also riding on it | Now | ND wins (79%)If Notre Dame wins (79%) | BYU wins (21%)If BYU wins (21%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | 65% | 65% | 63% |
| USC | 20% | 20% | 19% |
| Wake Forest | 30% | 31% | 29% |
and 1 more team whose odds move a little
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds