Try the model
MUR

Murray State 0 at Oklahoma State 59

OKST
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Boone Pickens Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadMUR aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreMUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:09 · (00:09) #31 V.Kyatt punt 51 yards to the OSU15 #1 M.Coleman return 25 yards to the OSU40 (#9 D.Rowsey), out of bounds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Pregame prior+40.7Home team on offense+27.8Score differential+22.7Blowout margin+10.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Garbage-time factor+5.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:35: (02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #10 W.Young caught at MSU00, for 13 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:35, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates) — OKST win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:05: (13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #0 J.Bowick caught at MSU17, for 24 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:05, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates) — OKST win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:41: (03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #0 J.Bowick caught at MSU18, for 36 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:41, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates) — OKST win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 0 of 2MUR made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 12:13MUR 4th & 10 at MUR 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:45MUR 4th & 10 at OKST 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:04MUR 4th & 3 at MUR 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:13MUR 4th & 20 at MUR 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:47OKST 4th & 3 at MUR 5, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:48MUR 4th & 11 at MUR 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:54MUR 4th & 5 at MUR 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:09MUR 4th & 3 at MUR 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:50MUR 4th & 8 at MUR 27, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:58MUR 4th & 5 at MUR 30, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:00MUR 4th & 1 at MUR 34, down 59
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:45OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 32, up 59
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:51MUR 4th & 1 at MUR 40, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:37MUR 4th & 1 at OKST 31, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:15OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:35OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:05OKST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:41OKST Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:35OKST Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:22OKST Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:17OKST Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:47OKST Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MURDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short middle to #8 J.Potter caught at MSU39, for 15 yards to the MSU40 (#7 Q.Hammonds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.8%
(14:19) Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short left to #13 T.Firestone caught at MSU38, for 2 yards loss to the MSU38 (#4 M.Horn)Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+3
99.8%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short right to #0 K.Vaka caught at MSU35, for 3 yards to the MSU41 (#32 E.Wesloski; #3 T.Romney)Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-1
99.7%
(13:04) Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short right to #9 M.Allen caught at MSU36, for 1 yard loss to the MSU40 (#4 M.Horn)Similar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+17
99.7%
(12:24) #31 V.Kyatt punt 49 yards to the OSU11 #1 M.Coleman return 17 yards to the OSU28 (#26 R.Hemphill; #5 C.Crossno)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.7%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush right for 2 yards gain to the OSU30 (#1 K.Ingram; #2 T.Cline)Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+9
99.7%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #44 C.Kolb caught at OSU34, for 9 yards to the OSU39 (#25 A.McGill), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.7%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU40 (#42 C.Henderson)Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+22
99.7%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #0 J.Bowick caught at MSU44, for 22 yards to the MSU38 (#7 R.McCall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
99.7%
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 11 yards gain to the MSU27 (#2 T.Cline; #26 R.Hemphill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+25
99.7%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Adeyi rush left for 25 yards gain to the MSU02 (#9 D.Rowsey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.7%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short left to #0 J.Bowick thrown to MSU00Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Miles Coleman 2 Yd pass from Drew Mestemaker (Sam Keltner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:230% → 0%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
(09:14) Shotgun #30 J.Northington rush left for 7 yards gain to the MSU32 (#2 I.Chisom; #6 C.Bodnar)Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
99.6%
(08:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short right to #39 M.Williams caught at MSU34, for 11 yards to the MSU43 (#6 C.Bodnar), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+38
99.6%
(07:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short middle to #6 D.Howard caught at OSU49, for 38 yards to the OSU19 (#9 L.Fields), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.6%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short left to #13 T.Firestone caught at OSU22, for 5 yards to the OSU14 (#2 I.Chisom), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
99.6%
(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 J.Northington rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU14 (#2 I.Chisom)Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
99.6%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete short middle to #0 K.Vaka thrown to OSU00 QB hurried by #19 D.Jackson Jr.Similar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+5
99.6%
(05:52) PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from OSU14 to OSU19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
99.6%
(05:52) #35 T.Dorn field goal attempt from 37 yards NO GOOD blocked by #98 L.Webb (H: #19 S.Ashby, LS: #47 C.Ford), clock 05:45, out of bounds at OSU00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.6%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #0 J.Bowick caught at OSU18, for 9 yards to the OSU29 (#26 R.Hemphill)Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+8
99.6%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Young rush right for 8 yards gain to the OSU37 (#25 A.McGill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.5%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Adeyi rush left for 3 yards gain to the OSU40 (#96 J.Martin)Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
99.5%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass incomplete short middle to #24 C.Hawkins thrown to OSU47 broken up by #7 R.McCallSimilar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+28
99.5%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #0 J.Bowick caught at MSU47, for 28 yards to the MSU32 (#9 D.Rowsey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
99.5%
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #0 J.Bowick caught at MSU27, for 11 yards to the MSU21 (#7 R.McCall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
99.5%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MSU13 (#57 D.Condie; #9 D.Rowsey)Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+13
99.6%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #10 W.Young caught at MSU00, for 13 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:35, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:271% → 1%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete short right to #8 J.Potter thrown to MSU27 broken up by #7 Q.HammondsSimilar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.5%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush left for 7 yards gain to the MSU32 (#18 M.Phillips III)Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.5%
(01:51) Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU32 (#45 E.White)Similar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.5%
(01:11) #31 V.Kyatt punt 54 yards to the OSU14 fair catch by #1 M.Coleman at OSU14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
99.5%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush left for 8 yards gain to the OSU22 (#2 T.Cline; #9 D.Rowsey)Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+34
99.5%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete deep left to #1 M.Coleman caught at OSU45, for 34 yards to the MSU44 (#2 T.Cline), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
99.5%
(00:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #0 J.Bowick caught at MSU38, for 9 yards to the MSU35 (#25 A.McGill), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
99.5%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #24 C.Hawkins caught at MSU31, for 4 yards to the MSU31 (#26 R.Hemphill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.5%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #24 C.Hawkins caught at MSU34, for 2 yards to the MSU29 (#59 J.Biser; #5 C.Crossno)Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
99.5%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Page III rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MSU24 (#9 D.Rowsey)Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+24
99.6%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #0 J.Bowick caught at MSU17, for 24 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:05, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete deep right to #6 D.Howard thrown to MSU45 QB hurried by #32 E.WesloskiSimilar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 J.Northington rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU25 (#3 T.Romney; #92 J.Lawson)Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
PENALTY MSU False Start (#63 J.Darby) 5 yards from MSU25 to MSU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
99.6%
(11:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete short right to #19 W.Robbins thrown to MSU31 broken up by #4 M.Horn QB hurried by #19 D.Jackson Jr.Similar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.6%
(11:40) #31 V.Kyatt punt 71 yards to the OSU09 PENALTY MSU Illegal Motion (#25 A.McGill) 5 yards from MSU20 to MSU15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+13
99.6%
(11:21) #31 V.Kyatt punt 60 yards to the OSU25 #1 M.Coleman return 22 yards to the OSU47 (#5 C.Crossno) PENALTY OSU Holding (#29 C.Lai) 10 yards from OSU38 to OSU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8FG
6 plays · 67 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+27
99.6%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #0 J.Bowick caught at OSU47, for 27 yards to the MSU45, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+33
99.6%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush right for 33 yards gain to the MSU12 (#2 T.Cline), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.6%
(09:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush left for 2 yards gain to the MSU10 (#59 J.Biser)Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-1
99.6%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MSU11 (#1 K.Ingram; #4 M.White, Jr.)Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+6
99.6%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #15 K.Powell caught at MSU05, for 6 yards to the MSU05 (#26 R.Hemphill)Similar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+23
99.6%
(07:49) #16 S.Keltner field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates), clock 07:47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:510% → 1%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU25 (#5 S.Clements; #31 B.Walton III)Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.6%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short right to #0 K.Vaka caught at MSU21, for 4 yards loss to the MSU21 (#4 M.Horn)Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+3
99.6%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short right to #83 T.Walker caught at MSU23, for 3 yards to the MSU24 (#32 E.Wesloski)Similar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.5%
(05:55) #31 V.Kyatt punt 49 yards to the OSU27, out of bounds at OSU27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.6%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Adeyi rush right for 7 yards gain to the OSU34 (#7 R.McCall)Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+18
99.6%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #3 T.Lewis caught at OSU46, for 18 yards to the MSU48 (#81 R.Hunt), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.6%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Adeyi rush left for 9 yards gain to the MSU39 (#9 D.Rowsey)Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+3
99.6%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Adeyi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU36 (#26 R.Hemphill; #9 D.Rowsey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.9%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #0 J.Bowick caught at MSU18, for 36 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:41, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete deep right to #0 K.Vaka thrown to OSU40Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 J.Northington rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU27 (#19 D.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.8%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short right to #8 J.Potter caught at MSU30, for 3 yards to the MSU30 (#6 C.Bodnar)Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+55
99.9%
(02:10) #31 V.Kyatt punt 57 yards to the OSU13 #1 M.Coleman return 55 yards to the MSU32 (#26 R.Hemphill)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU32 (#7 R.McCall; #95 B.Mills)Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+12
99.9%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short left to #0 J.Bowick caught at MSU20, for 12 yards to the MSU20 (#12 T.Lewis II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU16 (#90 C.Daniels)Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+5
99.9%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #3 T.Lewis caught at MSU07, for 9 yards to the MSU07 (#12 T.Brown), out of bounds PENALTY OSU Illegal Motion (#44 C.Kolb) 5 yards from MSU16 to MSU21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-6
99.9%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker sacked for loss of 6 yards to the MSU27 (#42 C.Henderson), fumble by #17 D.Mestemaker recovered by MSU #4 M.White, Jr. at MSU27, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:240% → 0%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete short middle to #13 T.Firestone thrown to MSU33 broken up by #7 Q.HammondsSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.9%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short right to #8 J.Potter caught at MSU33, for 7 yards to the MSU34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
99.8%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete short left to #7 L.Green thrown to MSU38 broken up by #9 L.FieldsSimilar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+25
99.9%
(00:09) #31 V.Kyatt punt 51 yards to the OSU15 #1 M.Coleman return 25 yards to the OSU40 (#9 D.Rowsey), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Hawkins rush left for 4 yards gain to the OSU42 (#7 R.McCall; #9 D.Rowsey)Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+10
99.9%
(14:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #24 C.Hawkins caught at OSU38, for 10 yards to the MSU48 (#12 T.Lewis II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
99.9%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #1 M.Coleman caught at MSU31, for 17 yards to the MSU31 (#9 D.Rowsey; #42 C.Henderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.9%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete deep middle to #3 T.Lewis caught at MSU00, for 31 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:35, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Howard rush right for 1 yard gain to the MSU26 (#95 J.Johnson; #7 Q.Hammonds)Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short left to #9 M.Allen caught at MSU23, for 1 yard loss to the MSU25 (#3 T.Romney)Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short middle to #13 T.Firestone caught at MSU27, for 2 yards to the MSU27 (#9 L.Fields)Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
(12:00) #31 V.Kyatt punt 52 yards to the OSU21 #1 M.Coleman return 6 yards to the OSU27 (#6 D.Howard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 3:21100% → 100%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
99.9%
(11:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Adeyi rush middle for 16 yards gain to the OSU43 (#8 B.Esplin; #37 D.Pregeant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Adeyi rush right for 4 yards gain to the OSU47 (#26 R.Hemphill)Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+12
99.9%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Vehrs pass complete short right to #5 I.Polk caught at MSU47, for 12 yards to the MSU41 (#6 D.Girard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Vehrs rush right for 4 yards gain to the MSU37, out of bounds at MSU37Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+20
99.9%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Page III rush middle for 20 yards gain to the MSU17 (#37 D.Pregeant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
99.9%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Page III rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MSU10 (#26 R.Hemphill; #57 D.Condie)Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Vehrs pass complete short middle to #44 C.Kolb caught at MSU00, for 10 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:22, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MSU30 (#2 I.Chisom)Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU30 (#92 J.Lawson; #32 E.Wesloski)Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete short right to #13 T.Firestone thrown to MSU47 QB hurried by #45 E.WhiteSimilar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+20
99.9%
(07:09) #31 V.Kyatt punt 47 yards to the OSU23 #36 B.Deal Jr. return 20 yards to the OSU43 (#96 J.Martin; #18 H.Simsir)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Page III rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OSU48 (#1 K.Ingram)Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+11
99.9%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Page III rush middle for 11 yards gain to the MSU41 (#37 D.Pregeant; #6 D.Girard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Vehrs pass complete short right to #15 K.Powell caught at MSU35, for 6 yards to the MSU35 (#0 J.Mosely; #26 R.Hemphill)Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+1
99.9%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Vehrs pass complete short left to #14 J.Thornton caught at MSU36, for 1 yard to the MSU34 (#6 D.Girard)Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+6
99.9%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Vehrs pass complete short middle to #45 M.McPhaul caught at MSU28, for 6 yards to the MSU28 (#28 M.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
99.9%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 W.Mason rush middle for 15 yards gain to the MSU13 (#23 K.Abdul-Rahim), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
99.9%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 W.Mason rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MSU14 (#95 B.Mills; #81 R.Hunt)Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Vehrs rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU11, End Of Play PENALTY MSU Targeting (#23 K.Abdul-Rahim) 5 yards from MSU11 to MSU06, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Page III rush left for 6 yards gain to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:17 #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 19INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Embry rush right for 6 yards gain to the MSU31 (#30 T.White)Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Wright rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU35 (#20 T.Davis; #14 K.Foreman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Wright rush right for 2 yards gain to the MSU37, out of bounds at MSU37Similar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-13
100.0%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Wright pass intercepted by #0 M.Charles at MSU38 broken up by #33 J.Puckett QB hurried by #33 J.Puckett #0 M.Charles return 13 yards to the MSU25 (#3 B.Wright) PENALTY OSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from MSU25 to MSU40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
99.9%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 W.Mason rush middle for 13 yards gain to the MSU27 (#81 R.Hunt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.9%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Vehrs pass complete short left to #15 K.Powell caught at MSU29, for 2 yards to the MSU25 (#37 D.Pregeant)Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+9
100.0%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 W.Mason rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MSU16 (#26 R.Hemphill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
100.0%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 W.Mason rush left for 10 yards gain to the MSU06 (#8 B.Esplin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Jones rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:47 #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 K.Emmanuel rush right for 2 yards gain to the MSU27 (#25 M.Williams)Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Wright pass complete short left to #8 J.Potter caught at MSU32, for 5 yards to the MSU32 (#25 M.Williams)Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 C.Fields rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU34 (#1 E.Jackson)Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
(11:07) #31 V.Kyatt punt 56 yards to the OSU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 4:04100% → 100%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Page III rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU14 (#42 C.Henderson; #32 J.Crawford)Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
100.0%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Jones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU18 (#37 D.Pregeant)Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+5
100.0%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Jones rush left for 5 yards gain to the OSU23 (#6 D.Girard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
100.0%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Vehrs rush left for 1 yard gain to the OSU24 (#5 C.Crossno)Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+7
100.0%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Jones rush middle for 7 yards gain to the OSU31 (#5 C.Crossno; #81 R.Hunt)Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
(07:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Jones rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU32 (#98 J.Stein; #5 C.Crossno)Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
100.0%
(06:49) #37 L.Pozzobon punt 37 yards to the MSU31 fair catch by #82 P.Williams at MSU31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:520% → 0%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
100.0%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 K.Emmanuel rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU34 (#25 M.Williams)Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
100.0%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 C.Fields rush right for 5 yards gain to the MSU39 (#30 T.White)Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Wright rush right for 1 yard gain to the MSU40 (#11 K.Huddleston), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+20
100.0%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Embry rush middle for 20 yards gain to the OSU40 (#25 M.Williams; #13 T.Berry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
100.0%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 K.Emmanuel rush right for 7 yards gain to the OSU33 (#25 M.Williams), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
100.0%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Wright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU31 (#20 T.Davis; #90 S.Barthelemy)Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
100.0%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 C.Fields rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU31 (#36 B.Deal Jr.; #30 T.White)Similar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
100.0%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Wright rush right for 0 yards to the OSU31 (#90 S.Barthelemy; #36 B.Deal Jr.), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. MSU is challenging the ruling on the field - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24END OF HALF
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
100.0%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Jones rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OSU37 (#36 J.Murphy)Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+25
100.0%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Jones rush middle for 25 yards gain to the MSU38 (#28 M.Thomas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
100.0%
(01:47) Kneel down by Oklahoma St. at MSU40 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 12
OPP 40
-2
100.0%
(01:10) Kneel down by Oklahoma St. at MSU42 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 14
OPP 42
-2
100.0%
(00:32) Kneel down by Oklahoma St. at MSU44 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:41
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #0 J.Bowick caught at MSU18, for 36 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:41, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)
+0.3
TD · Q2 13:05
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #0 J.Bowick caught at MSU17, for 24 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:05, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)
+0.2
TD · Q1 2:35
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short right to #10 W.Young caught at MSU00, for 13 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:35, 1ST DOWN #16 S.Keltner kick attempt good (H: #85 N.Ost, LS: #42 C.Yates)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com