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Utah State 0 at Utah 33

UTAH
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.2UTAH 94.9%(00:07) #17 D.Curtis field goalattempt from 36 yards GOOD (H: #92O.Phillips, LS: #65 L.Castor), clock00:04AWAY 0 - HOME 16 · Q1 0:04
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:04 · (00:07) #17 D.Curtis field goal attempt from 36 yards GOOD (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #65 L.Castor), clock 00:04
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior+38.6Home team on offense+7.1Score differential+3.6Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:38: (05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 9 yards gain to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:38 #8 M.Carvalho rush attempt failed — UTAH win probability +0.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:48: (04:52) #17 D.Curtis field goal attempt from 54 yards GOOD (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #65 L.Castor), clock 04:48 — UTAH win probability +0.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:16: (01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #2 C.Whittemore caught at UTA23, for 7 yards to the UTA27 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.), out of bounds — UTAH win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:02: Timeout Utah State, clock 01:02 — USU win probability +2.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:33: (00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete deep right to #7 B.Pegan caught at USU01, for 37 yards to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:33, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #65 L.Castor) — UTAH win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 6USU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 8:40USU 4th & 4 at USU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:45USU 4th & 11 at USU 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:04UTAH 4th & 4 at USU 18, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:23USU 4th & 9 at UTAH 41, down 16
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:48UTAH 4th & 11 at USU 36, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:22USU 4th & 6 at UTAH 37, down 19
    Close callPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:54UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 22, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:48USU 4th & 17 at USU 18, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:29UTAH 4th & 3 at USU 45, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.5
    25% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:37USU 4th & 3 at UTAH 45, down 26
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:56USU 4th & 1 at UTAH 7, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:06UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 16, up 33
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:51USU 4th & 16 at USU 40, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:15UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 43, up 33
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:54USU 4th & 11 at UTAH 46, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:37UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:38UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:33UTAH Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:16UTAH Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1495% → 95%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
95.3%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #7 B.Pegan caught at UTA30, for 14 yards to the UTA39 (#5 M.Grant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
95.2%
(14:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #7 B.Pegan caught at UTA38, for 3 yards to the UTA42 (#4 B.Hamblin; #23 B.Diakite)Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
95.1%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UTA48 (#0 H.Taggart; #18 J.Jennette)Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+11
95.0%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush left for 11 yards gain to the USU41 (#18 J.Jennette), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
94.9%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USU37 (#8 D.Kabongo; #21 C.Lewis)Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
94.8%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete short right to #2 C.Whittemore thrown to USU43 broken up by #28 C.TujagueSimilar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+13
94.8%
(12:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete deep left to #2 C.Whittemore thrown to USU10, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USU Pass Interference (#8 D.Kabongo) 13 yards from USU37 to USU24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
94.8%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USU23 (#0 H.Taggart; #9 T.Morris)Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+5
94.7%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #7 B.Pegan caught at USU16, for 8 yards to the USU15 (#4 B.Hamblin; #21 C.Lewis) PENALTY UTA Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#79 A.Harrison) 5 yards from USU23 to USU28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 14
OPP 28
0
94.5%
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete deep right to #2 C.Whittemore thrown to USU00 broken up by #5 M.GrantSimilar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+28
94.8%
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete deep right to #7 B.Pegan caught at USU00, for 28 yards to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:37, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #8 M.Carvalho, LS: #65 L.Castor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:515% → 6%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.7%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Jacobs rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USU28 (#10 T.Reynolds; #83 E.Elliss)Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
94.6%
(10:12) Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short right to #8 J.Jacobs caught at USU29, for 3 yards to the USU31 (#7 J.Hall), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
94.5%
(09:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short middle to #6 D.Starling caught at USU31, for 0 yards to the USU31 (#10 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
94.5%
(08:48) #3 L.Rehkow punt 44 yards to the UTA25 fair catch by #8 M.Carvalho at UTA25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5195% → 95%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
94.5%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Bray rush left for 14 yards gain to the UTA39 (#4 B.Hamblin; #5 M.Grant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
94.5%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #11 R.Johnson caught at USU43, for 18 yards to the USU43 (#4 B.Hamblin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
94.4%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush left for 2 yards gain to the USU41 (#21 C.Lewis)Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
94.4%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete short right to #2 C.Whittemore thrown to USU45 broken up by #51 T.TuitamaSimilar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+13
94.3%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush left for 13 yards gain to the USU28 (#18 J.Jennette; #3 C.Doty), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+19
94.3%
(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #12 L.Simmons caught at USU09, for 19 yards to the USU09, out of bounds at USU09, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.2%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 9 yards gain to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:38 #8 M.Carvalho rush attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:535% → 5%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.6%
(05:38) PENALTY USU Illegal Snap (#52 J.Liston) 5 yards from USU25 to USU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
94.6%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete short right to #8 J.Jacobs thrown to USU23Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
94.6%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short right to #7 E.Wood caught at USU24, for 4 yards to the USU24 (#9 E.Davis)Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
94.6%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete short right to #8 J.Jacobs thrown to USU30 broken up by #5 J.Chenault Jr.Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+5
94.6%
(04:56) #3 L.Rehkow punt 56 yards to the UTA20 #2 C.Whittemore return 5 yards to the UTA25 (#55 H.Hatch; #14 B.Olevao Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:3495% → 95%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
95.0%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush right for 14 yards gain to the UTA39 (#4 B.Hamblin), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
95.0%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UTA43 (#11 A.Cunningham)Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+10
95.1%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #7 B.Pegan caught at USU49, for 10 yards to the USU47 (#15 D.Mayes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
95.0%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short left to #11 R.Johnson caught at USU42, for 11 yards to the USU36 (#2 K.Stokes; #8 D.Kabongo), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
95.1%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #7 B.Pegan caught at USU26, for 12 yards to the USU24 (#8 D.Kabongo; #2 K.Stokes), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
95.1%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 0 yards to the USU24 (#0 H.Taggart; #51 T.Tuitama)Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
95.2%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short left to #5 D.Bray caught at USU29, for 5 yards to the USU19 (#21 C.Lewis)Similar
Q1 0:39
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+1
95.1%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #11 R.Johnson caught at USU18, for 1 yard to the USU18 (#11 A.Cunningham; #4 B.Hamblin)Similar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
94.9%
(00:07) #17 D.Curtis field goal attempt from 36 yards GOOD (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #65 L.Castor), clock 00:04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:386% → 6%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
93.9%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short left to #23 N.White caught at USU16, for 3 yards to the USU25 (#9 E.Davis)Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+4
93.9%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USU29 (#10 T.Reynolds; #51 K.Kaufusi)Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+10
93.9%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short right to #7 E.Wood caught at USU39, for 10 yards to the USU39 (#23 J.Bennee; #11 E.Reed), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
93.8%
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short left to #23 N.White caught at USU37, for 19 yards to the UTA42 (#23 J.Bennee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
94.0%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTA40 (#10 T.Reynolds; #93 K.Dillon)Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+1
94.0%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush left for 1 yard gain to the UTA39 (#8 E.Day)Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+3
94.0%
(11:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short right to #1 A.Garcia caught at UTA37, for 3 yards to the UTA36 (#23 J.Bennee)Similar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+5
94.0%
(10:34) PENALTY USU Delay Of Game 5 yards from UTA36 to UTA41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
94.2%
(10:29) #3 L.Rehkow punt 40 yards to the UTA01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 5:3595% → 96%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
94.9%
(10:23) PENALTY USU Offside (#32 A.Jackson) 5 yards from UTA01 to UTA06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 5
OWN 6
0
94.9%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete deep left to #11 R.Johnson thrown to UTA37Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+3
94.9%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 94 yards gain to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:02 PENALTY UTA Holding (#79 A.Harrison) 3 yards from UTA06 to UTA03. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+7
94.9%
(10:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #5 D.Bray caught at UTA00, for 7 yards to the UTA10 (#8 D.Kabongo; #21 C.Lewis)Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+6
95.1%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UTA16 (#0 H.Taggart; #11 A.Cunningham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
95.3%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete deep right to #1 W.Parker thrown to UTA48Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
95.3%
(08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Bray rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UTA21 (#11 A.Cunningham; #0 H.Taggart)Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+9
94.9%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #7 B.Pegan caught at UTA25, for 9 yards to the UTA30 (#15 D.Mayes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
95.1%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush left for 1 yard gain to the UTA31 (#11 A.Cunningham; #9 T.Morris)Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-2
95.2%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush left for 2 yards loss to the UTA29 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.)Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+36
95.1%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #2 C.Whittemore caught at UTA41, for 36 yards to the USU35 (#21 C.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.4%
(06:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete short right to #2 C.Whittemore thrown to USU30Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
95.4%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete deep right to #7 B.Pegan thrown to USU05Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-1
95.3%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #1 W.Parker caught at USU38, for 1 yard loss to the USU36 (#8 D.Kabongo; #2 K.Stokes)Similar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 11
OPP 36
+54
95.8%
(04:52) #17 D.Curtis field goal attempt from 54 yards GOOD (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #65 L.Castor), clock 04:48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:194% → 5%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
95.6%
(04:48) No Huddle #9 G.Brosterhous sacked for loss of 10 yards to the USU15 (#0 C.Polu)Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+6
95.7%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush left for 6 yards gain to the USU21 (#10 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+15
95.7%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short right to #7 E.Wood caught at USU35, for 15 yards to the USU36 (#10 T.Reynolds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
95.4%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short left to #6 D.Starling caught at USU40, for 8 yards to the USU44 (#10 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+15
95.2%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass intercepted by #11 E.Reed at UTA20, End Of Play PENALTY UTA Pass Interference (#11 E.Reed) 15 yards from USU44 to UTA41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
95.1%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 N.White rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTA39 (#7 J.Hall; #1 R.Evans)Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
95.0%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Jacobs rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTA37 (#6 N.Ritchie; #15 L.Holtzclaw)Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
95.1%
(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete short left to #7 E.Wood thrown to UTA18Similar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
95.3%
(01:30) #3 L.Rehkow punt 37 yards to the UTA00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:2297% → 97%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
97.0%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #2 C.Whittemore caught at UTA23, for 7 yards to the UTA27 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
97.0%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete deep right to #7 B.Pegan thrown to USU42Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-5
96.9%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier sacked for loss of 5 yards to the UTA22 (#18 J.Jennette)Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+38
96.7%
(01:02) #92 O.Phillips punt 38 yards to the USU40 muffed by Utah St. at USU40 recovered by UTA #21 N.Tilmon at USU39, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:1697% → 99%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
97.4%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #1 W.Parker caught at USU39, for 2 yards to the USU37 (#5 M.Grant; #21 C.Lewis)Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
97.5%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete short right to #89 N.Bennee thrown to USU35Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+37
98.8%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete deep right to #7 B.Pegan caught at USU01, for 37 yards to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:33, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #65 L.Castor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:111% → 1%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.1%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short left to #8 J.Jacobs caught at USU34, for 9 yards to the USU34 (#9 E.Davis)Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.0%
(00:12) PENALTY USU False Start 5 yards from USU34 to USU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.1%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USU30 (#15 L.Holtzclaw; #83 E.Elliss)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete short right to #1 A.Garcia thrown to USU39 broken up by #9 E.DavisSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.8%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous sacked for loss of 2 yards to the USU23 (#6 N.Ritchie)Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
98.9%
(14:19) PENALTY USU Delay Of Game 5 yards from USU23 to USU18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
98.8%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Robinson thrown to USU30Similar
Q3 13:48
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+4
98.6%
(13:59) #3 L.Rehkow punt 38 yards to the UTA44 #8 M.Carvalho return 4 yards to the UTA48 (#12 C.Ebunoha)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1099% → 99%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
98.9%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USU49 (#11 A.Cunningham; #32 A.Jackson)Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
99.0%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete short right to #7 B.Pegan thrown to USU40Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+4
99.0%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USU45 (#11 A.Cunningham; #21 C.Lewis)Similar
Q3 12:29
4TH & 3
OPP 45
-3
98.9%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush middle for 3 yards loss to the USU48 (#21 C.Lewis), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:441% → 1%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
98.9%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush left for 7 yards gain to the UTA45 (#10 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
98.8%
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete deep right to #7 E.Wood thrown to UTA24Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
98.9%
(11:49) No Huddle #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Robinson thrown to UTA48 broken up by #0 C.PoluSimilar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
98.9%
(11:46) #3 L.Rehkow punt 39 yards to the UTA06, out of bounds at UTA06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:1499% → 99%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
99.1%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #5 D.Bray caught at UTA02, for 1 yard loss to the UTA05 (#25 C.Joe)Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+13
99.1%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #11 R.Johnson caught at UTA14, for 13 yards to the UTA18 (#15 D.Mayes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
99.1%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #7 B.Pegan caught at UTA16, for 9 yards to the UTA27 (#4 B.Hamblin; #2 K.Stokes)Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 1
OWN 27
-2
99.1%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UTA25 (#23 B.Diakite)Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTA28 fumbled by #4 D.Dampier at UTA27 forced by #9 T.Morris recovered by USU #14 B.Olevao Jr. at UTA28, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16INT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.3%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Robinson thrown to UTA11Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.4%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTA25 (#93 K.Dillon; #83 E.Elliss)Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+11
99.5%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Jacobs rush left for 11 yards gain to the UTA14 (#1 R.Evans), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
99.4%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Garcia rush right for 6 yards gain to the UTA08 (#0 C.Polu)Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
99.4%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete short left to #4 N.Boncore thrown to UTA02Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
99.5%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass intercepted by #1 R.Evans at UTA00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:3999% → 100%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.4%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTA23 (#21 C.Lewis; #32 A.Jackson)Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
99.4%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #5 D.Bray caught at UTA21, for 8 yards to the UTA31 (#17 J.Pendleton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.5%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #10 H.Andrews caught at UTA36, for 6 yards to the UTA37 (#25 C.Joe)Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+63
99.8%
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Bray rush middle for 63 yards gain to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:16, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #65 L.Castor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18DOWNS
16 plays · 67 yds · 5:140% → 0%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete deep right to #6 D.Starling thrown to UTA47Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
(05:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USU29 (#10 T.Reynolds; #51 K.Kaufusi)Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
99.8%
(04:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short right to #4 N.Boncore caught at USU33, for 10 yards to the USU39 (#6 N.Ritchie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete short left to #7 E.Wood thrown to USU40 broken up by #11 E.ReedSimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.8%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short left to #12 K.Watson caught at USU45, for 12 yards to the UTA49 (#11 E.Reed), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
99.8%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short middle to #6 D.Starling caught at USU47, for 14 yards to the UTA35 (#6 N.Ritchie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.8%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete short left to #7 E.Wood thrown to UTA33Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTA33 (#7 J.Hall; #40 P.Fitzgerald)Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+2
99.9%
(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTA31 (#93 K.Dillon) PENALTY UTA Personal Foul (#23 J.Bennee) 15 yards from UTA31 to UTA16, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTA13 (#51 K.Kaufusi)Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Garcia rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTA11 (#10 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UTA07 (#6 N.Ritchie)Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 1
OPP 7
-1
99.9%
(14:56) No Huddle #8 J.Jacobs rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UTA08 (#15 L.Holtzclaw; #83 E.Elliss), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.8%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush right for 5 yards gain to the UTA13 (#90 R.Mageo; #22 J.Shepard)Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
99.9%
(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 0 yards to the UTA13 (#2 K.Stokes; #14 B.Olevao Jr.)Similar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+3
99.9%
(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTA16 (#51 T.Tuitama; #90 R.Mageo)Similar
Q4 13:06
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
99.9%
(13:14) #92 O.Phillips punt 56 yards to the USU28 #8 J.Jacobs return 0 yards to the USU28 (#4 J.Hart)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
99.9%
(13:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short left to #7 E.Wood caught at USU45, for 18 yards to the USU46 (#5 J.Chenault Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass complete short right to #1 A.Garcia caught at UTA47, for 2 yards to the USU48 (#4 J.Hart)Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-5
100.0%
(12:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous sacked for loss of 9 yards to the USU39 (#0 C.Polu, #97 L.Samsula) PENALTY USU Personal Foul (#72 G.Maile) 15 yards from USU39 to USU24Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 32
OWN 24
+16
100.0%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Jacobs rush middle for 16 yards gain to the USU40 (#83 E.Elliss; #1 R.Evans)Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 16
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
(11:02) #3 L.Rehkow punt 42 yards to the UTA18 #8 M.Carvalho return 2 yards to the UTA20 (#12 C.Ebunoha)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
99.9%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short left to #12 L.Simmons caught at UTA35, for 18 yards to the UTA38 (#2 K.Stokes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short middle to #25 S.Chavez-Soto thrown to USU50 broken up by #4 B.HamblinSimilar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 S.Chavez-Soto rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UTA43 (#90 R.Mageo; #14 B.Olevao Jr.)Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
99.9%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short left to #0 K.Shoels thrown to UTA45 broken up by #11 A.CunninghamSimilar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
(09:25) No Huddle #92 O.Phillips rush right for 2 yards gain to the UTA45 (#25 C.Joe), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
100.0%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UTA49 (#1 R.Evans)Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTA46 (#6 N.Ritchie; #44 S.Motuapuaka)Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
100.0%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Brosterhous pass incomplete short right thrown to UTA44Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
100.0%
(07:54) #3 L.Rehkow punt 38 yards to the UTA08 fair catch by #8 M.Carvalho at UTA08 PENALTY USU Kick Catch Interference (#15 D.Mayes) 15 yards from UTA08 to UTA23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23END OF HALF
15 plays · 35 yds · 6:51100% → 100%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
99.9%
B. Ficklin run for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
99.9%
(07:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush left for 2 yards loss to the UTA21 (#11 A.Cunningham)Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
PENALTY UTA Delay Of Game 5 yards from UTA21 to UTA16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 17
OWN 16
+15
99.9%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short right to #8 M.Carvalho caught at UTA31, for 15 yards to the UTA31 (#21 C.Lewis), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Helu rush right for 2 yards gain to the UTA33 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.; #4 B.Hamblin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short left to #86 W.Monney caught at UTA32, for 0 yards to the UTA33 (#2 K.Stokes)Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.9%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UTA42 (#21 C.Lewis; #18 J.Jennette)Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 L.Bell rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UTA48 (#32 A.Jackson; #22 J.Shepard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 S.Chavez-Soto rush left for 2 yards gain to the UTA50 (#4 B.Hamblin; #22 J.Shepard)Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 8
50
+3
100.0%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 S.Chavez-Soto rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USU47 (#11 A.Cunningham)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+7
100.0%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.Helu rush right for 7 yards gain to the USU40 (#4 B.Hamblin; #28 C.Tujague), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
100.0%
(01:21) Kneel down by #15 B.Ficklin at USU41 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 11
OPP 41
-1
100.0%
(00:49) Kneel down by #15 B.Ficklin at USU42 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:02
Timeout Utah State, clock 01:02
-2
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:16
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short right to #2 C.Whittemore caught at UTA23, for 7 yards to the UTA27 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.), out of bounds
+1.7
TD · Q2 0:33
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete deep right to #7 B.Pegan caught at USU01, for 37 yards to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:33, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #65 L.Castor)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com