Try the model
BGSU

Bowling Green 7 at Iowa State 55

ISU
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Jack Trice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:19 · (07:22) #97 K.Konrardy field goal attempt from 54 yards NO GOOD (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler), clock 07:19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+38.6Home team on offense+0.5Score differential−0.2Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:28: (05:33) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #13 J.Polite caught at BGSU17, for 34 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:28, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler) — ISU win probability +1.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:58: (04:06) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass complete short left to #18 W.Sharp caught at BGSU45, for 59 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:58, 1ST DOWN. #9 J.Singletary injured on the play #12 T.Kenner kick attempt good (H: #30 R.Kingston, LS: #56 Q.Jimenez) — BGSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:45: Cameron Pettaway 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Kyle Konrardy Kick) — ISU win probability +2.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 0:19: (00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 61 yards gain to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:19, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler) — ISU win probability +2.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 9:47: (09:51) #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:47 #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler) — ISU win probability +3.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6BGSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 10:24BGSU 4th & 13 at BGSU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:19ISU 4th & 8 at BGSU 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:16BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:11BGSU 4th & 13 at BGSU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:30BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:27BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:37ISU 4th & 2 at BGSU 21, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:16ISU 4th & 21 at BGSU 21, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:07BGSU 4th & 17 at BGSU 18, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:35BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 48, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:17ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 15, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:18BGSU 4th & 8 at ISU 38, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:40ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 45, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:33BGSU 4th & 23 at BGSU 12, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:22ISU 4th & 3 at BGSU 22, up 45
    Close callKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:41BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 34, down 48
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:28ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:58BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:45ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:19ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:47ISU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:12ISU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:27ISU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 21 yds · 4:258% → 9%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
92.1%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass incomplete short left to #0 J.Scoby thrown to BGSU20 broken up by #11 W.BrelandSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
92.1%
(14:49) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass complete short middle to #2 N.Amachree caught at BGSU19, for 11 yards to the BGSU27 (#10 C.Willich), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down prior to losing the ball". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (14:49) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass complete short middle to #2 N.Amachree caught at BGSU19, for 0 yards to the BGSU16 fumbled by #2 N.Amachree at BGSU27 forced by #18 D.Coffey recovered by ISU #3 S.Johnson at, End Of Play)Similar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
92.0%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Dendy rush left for 6 yards gain to the BGSU33 (#3 S.Johnson)Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
91.9%
PENALTY BGSU False Start (#70 A.Harris) 5 yards from BGSU33 to BGSU28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+7
91.7%
(13:31) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass complete short left to #5 B.Ridley caught at BGSU27, for 7 yards to the BGSU35 (#21 D.Goodman)Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+5
91.5%
(12:49) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass complete short right to #3 T.Johnson caught at BGSU40, for 5 yards to the BGSU40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
91.4%
(12:11) #2 N.Amachree rush left for 1 yard gain to the BGSU41 (#11 W.Breland)Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-4
91.1%
(11:25) Shotgun #20 M.Carey rush right for 4 yards loss to the BGSU37 (#7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
91.0%
(10:40) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass incomplete deep right thrown to ISU40 PENALTY BGSU Holding declinedSimilar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 13
OWN 37
+5
91.0%
(10:32) #30 R.Kingston punt 42 yards to the ISU21 #21 A.Flora return 5 yards to the ISU26 (#7 M.Wright III; #11 A.Hale)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2MISSED FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:5791% → 90%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
91.0%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 12 yards gain to the ISU38 (#3 D.Pringle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
91.0%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ISU47 (#9 P.EstoEsta)Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
91.0%
(09:43) No Huddle #21 A.Flora rush right for 3 yards gain to the ISU50 (#3 D.Pringle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
50
+12
90.9%
(09:03) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #0 C.Pettaway caught at BGSU47, for 12 yards to the BGSU38 (#1 D.Braxton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
90.8%
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Pettaway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BGSU36 (#3 D.Pringle)Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
90.6%
(08:10) #21 A.Flora rush middle for 0 yards to the BGSU36 (#5 E.George; #44 A.Odom)Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
90.4%
(07:27) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep right to #9 O.Hayes thrown to BGSU12Similar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+54
90.2%
(07:22) #97 K.Konrardy field goal attempt from 54 yards NO GOOD (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler), clock 07:19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5810% → 10%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
89.8%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass incomplete short left to #0 J.Scoby thrown to ISU45 QB hurried by #55 J.GilbertSimilar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
89.8%
(07:13) Shotgun #2 N.Amachree rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BGSU38 (#10 C.Willich)Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
89.6%
(06:28) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass incomplete deep middle to #14 P.Sadler thrown to ISU25Similar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
89.8%
(06:23) #30 R.Kingston punt 62 yards to the ISU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:4190% → 91%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+35
89.9%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 35 yards gain to the BGSU45, out of bounds at BGSU45, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
90.2%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #89 T.Claiborne caught at BGSU45, for 11 yards to the BGSU34 (#5 E.George; #9 P.EstoEsta), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BGSU Holding declinedSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
91.4%
(05:33) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #13 J.Polite caught at BGSU17, for 34 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:28, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:199% → 11%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
91.3%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Dendy rush middle for 14 yards gain to the BGSU39 (#3 S.Johnson; #24 B.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
91.0%
(04:48) Shotgun #1 A.Dendy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BGSU41 (#0 Z.Hawk)Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+59
88.7%
(04:06) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass complete short left to #18 W.Sharp caught at BGSU45, for 59 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:58, 1ST DOWN. #9 J.Singletary injured on the play #12 T.Kenner kick attempt good (H: #30 R.Kingston, LS: #56 Q.Jimenez)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:279% → 9%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.1%
(03:45) No Huddle #1 A.Dendy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU28 (#7 S.Schlimgen; #34 B.Goodwin) PENALTY ISU Personal Foul (#1 K.Washington) 15 yards from BGSU28 to BGSU43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
90.8%
(03:19) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass complete short right to #0 J.Scoby caught at BGSU38, for 3 yards loss to the BGSU40, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
90.6%
(02:38) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass incomplete short middle to #2 N.Amachree thrown to BGSU44 broken up by #34 B.GoodwinSimilar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
90.7%
(02:32) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass incomplete short left to #0 J.Scoby thrown to BGSU47 QB hurried by #91 B.HawkinsSimilar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 13
OWN 40
+21
90.8%
(02:26) #30 R.Kingston punt 50 yards to the ISU10 #21 A.Flora return 21 yards to the ISU31 (#18 N.Sawyer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8INT
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:1591% → 91%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
90.5%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #89 T.Claiborne caught at ISU35, for 17 yards to the ISU48 (#9 P.EstoEsta; #6 S.Ellis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
90.8%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #1 D.Braxton at BGSU14, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:169% → 10%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
90.6%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass incomplete short right to #5 B.Ridley thrown to BGSU14. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass complete short right to #5 B.Ridley caught at BGSU14, for 11 yards to the BGSU25 (#16 M.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
90.5%
(01:21) No Huddle #2 N.Amachree rush right for 1 yard gain to the BGSU15 (#10 C.Willich)Similar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
90.5%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass incomplete short middle to #0 J.Scoby thrown to BGSU32 broken up by #3 S.JohnsonSimilar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
90.5%
(00:34) #30 R.Kingston punt 46 yards to the ISU39 fair catch by #21 A.Flora at ISU39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
92.8%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 61 yards gain to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:19, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11FUMBLE
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:578% → 8%
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.4%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Dendy rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BGSU30 (#55 J.Gilbert; #7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
92.2%
(14:59) No Huddle #1 A.Dendy rush left for 4 yards gain to the BGSU34 (#97 M.Baloun)Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
92.1%
(14:18) #1 A.Dendy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BGSU35 (#7 S.Schlimgen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
92.3%
(13:32) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass complete short right to #0 J.Scoby caught at ISU48, for 20 yards to the ISU45 (#16 M.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
91.9%
(12:58) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass complete short right to #2 N.Amachree caught at ISU47, for 1 yard to the ISU44 (#93 J.Janikowski; #7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
92.0%
(12:17) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU44 fumbled by #17 J.Kastantin at ISU44 forced by #93 J.Janikowski recovered by ISU #7 S.Schlimgen at ISU44, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 2:1693% → 97%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+38
92.9%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 38 yards gain to the BGSU18 (#0 K.Pascal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
93.1%
(11:24) Shotgun #5 C.Moberly rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BGSU14 (#52 E.Durham-Smith)Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+11
93.1%
(10:37) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #11 D.Overby caught at BGSU03, for 11 yards to the BGSU03 (#1 D.Braxton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
93.1%
(09:55) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Overby thrown to BGSU00Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.5%
(09:51) #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:47 #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:064% → 5%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
96.0%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 A.Dendy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU33 (#10 C.Willich; #99 B.Lamb)Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
94.7%
(08:55) Shotgun #1 A.Dendy rush left for 0 yards to the BGSU33 (#93 J.Janikowski)Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-3
94.6%
(08:12) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass complete short left to #8 E.Jacon-Duffy caught at BGSU26, for 3 yards loss to the BGSU30 (#18 D.Coffey)Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
94.7%
(07:32) #30 R.Kingston punt 28 yards to the ISU42, out of bounds at ISU42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:0797% → 98%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
97.1%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 7 yards gain to the ISU49 (#3 D.Pringle)Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
97.1%
(06:46) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short middle to #37 V.Benetti thrown to BGSU44Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+5
97.1%
(06:41) #3 A.Barnes rush left for 5 yards gain to the BGSU46 (#5 E.George), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
97.2%
(06:05) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #11 D.Overby caught at BGSU42, for 4 yards to the BGSU42 (#1 D.Braxton)Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+42
98.4%
(05:16) #21 A.Flora rush right for 42 yards gain to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:12, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
98.9%
(05:11) No Huddle #17 J.Kastantin pass intercepted by #34 B.Goodwin at BGSU50 broken up by #55 J.Gilbert #34 B.Goodwin return 7 yards to the BGSU43, End Of Play PENALTY ISU Personal Foul (#89 D.Fitzmaurice) 15 yards from BGSU43 to ISU42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16DOWNS
13 plays · 38 yds · 4:1499% → 99%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
98.5%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush right for 7 yards gain to the ISU49 (#9 P.EstoEsta)Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
98.8%
(04:16) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short left to #9 O.Hayes thrown to ISU46Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+8
98.9%
(04:13) Shotgun #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BGSU43 (#9 P.EstoEsta), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
98.9%
(03:35) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #9 O.Hayes caught at BGSU39, for 8 yards to the BGSU35 (#26 J.Andrews; #0 K.Pascal)Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+6
98.9%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BGSU29 (#88 S.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
99.0%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Moberly rush middle for 2 yards loss to the BGSU31 (#5 E.George)Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-1
99.0%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 O.Hayes rush left for 1 yard loss to the BGSU32 (#0 K.Pascal; #9 P.EstoEsta)Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+11
99.2%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #21 A.Flora caught at BGSU37, for 11 yards to the BGSU21 (#9 P.EstoEsta)Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+1
99.2%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Barnes rush left for 1 yard gain to the BGSU20 (#52 E.Durham-Smith), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.2%
(00:36) Kneel down by #17 J.Kastantin at BGSU18 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:2999% → 100%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.1%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU37 (#44 A.Odom)Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+6
99.2%
(14:11) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #0 C.Pettaway caught at ISU31, for 6 yards to the ISU43 (#3 D.Pringle; #6 S.Ellis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
99.2%
(13:27) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 20 yards gain to the BGSU37 (#9 P.EstoEsta), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.3%
(12:46) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 8 yards gain to the BGSU29 (#18 N.Sawyer), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+20
99.3%
(12:08) #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #37 V.Benetti caught at BGSU30, for 20 yards to the BGSU09 fumbled by #37 V.Benetti at BGSU09 forced by #44 A.Odom recovered by ISU #2 C.Jackson at BGSU09, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 9
OPP 0
+10
99.4%
(11:20) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 9 yards gain (1) to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:17 PENALTY ISU Holding (#4 C.Pabst) 10 yards from BGSU08 to BGSU18. #9 P.EstoEsta injured on the playSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.4%
(11:20) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush right for 1 yard gain (1) to the BGSU08, End Of Play PENALTY ISU Holding (#4 C.Pabst) 10 yards from BGSU08 to BGSU18Similar
Q3 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
+3
99.4%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU15 (#7 M.Wright III)Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
-5
99.4%
(10:38) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor sacked for loss of 5 yards to the BGSU20 (#8 C.Lewis)Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
-1
99.5%
(09:56) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #21 A.Flora caught at BGSU21, for 1 yard loss to the BGSU21 (#4 K.Kostus; #6 S.Ellis)Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
+39
99.6%
(09:17) #97 K.Konrardy field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler), clock 09:16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT TD
7 plays · -7 yds · 1:051% → 0%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Novosad pass incomplete short right thrown to BGSU38 QB hurried by #10 C.WillichSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
PENALTY BGSU False Start (#73 C.Campbell) 5 yards from BGSU25 to BGSU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-2
99.5%
(09:11) Shotgun #1 A.Dendy rush right for 2 yards loss to the BGSU18 (#99 B.Lamb; #10 C.Willich)Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
99.6%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Novosad pass incomplete short left to #18 W.Sharp thrown to BGSU21Similar
Q3 8:07
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+66
99.8%
(08:24) #30 R.Kingston punt 48 yards to the ISU34 #21 A.Flora return 66 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:07 #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Baldwin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BGSU31 (#34 B.Goodwin)Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+17
99.7%
(07:26) Shotgun #4 K.Baldwin rush middle for 17 yards gain to the BGSU48 (#26 T.Cotton), 1ST DOWN. #34 B.Goodwin injured on the playSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.7%
(07:10) No Huddle #1 A.Dendy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BGSU49 (#11 W.Breland)Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 9
OWN 49
-1
99.8%
(06:34) Shotgun #4 K.Baldwin rush middle for 1 yard loss to the BGSU48 (#10 C.Willich; #97 M.Baloun)Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
99.8%
(05:46) Shotgun #16 A.Novosad pass incomplete short left to #0 J.Scoby thrown to ISU49Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.8%
(05:41) #30 R.Kingston punt 45 yards to the ISU07 #9 O.Hayes return 1 yard to the ISU08, out of bounds at ISU08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.8%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short left to #13 J.Polite thrown to ISU14 broken up by #10 A.Hines IIISimilar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+4
99.8%
(05:31) #0 C.Pettaway rush left for 4 yards gain to the ISU12 (#88 S.Brown; #8 C.Lewis)Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+8
99.8%
(04:45) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU15 (#88 S.Brown; #3 D.Pringle) PENALTY ISU Illegal Shift declinedSimilar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
99.8%
(04:26) #95 E.Gurney punt 38 yards to the BGSU47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.8%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Baldwin rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ISU45 (#89 D.Fitzmaurice; #31 M.Smith)Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+5
99.8%
(03:35) #4 K.Baldwin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU40 (#90 J.Ramos), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.8%
(02:59) #4 K.Baldwin rush left for 3 yards gain to the ISU37 (#8 T.Exline)Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-1
99.9%
(02:13) Shotgun #16 A.Novosad pass complete short right to #2 N.Amachree caught at ISU38, for 1 yard loss to the ISU38 (#11 W.Breland)Similar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
99.9%
(01:29) Shotgun #16 A.Novosad pass incomplete short left to #8 E.Jacon-Duffy thrown to ISU28 QB hurried by #55 J.Gilbert PENALTY BGSU Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 1:18
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
99.9%
(01:25) #30 R.Kingston punt 30 yards to the ISU08, out of bounds at ISU08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23TD
17 plays · 92 yds · 7:42100% → 100%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.8%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Barnes rush right for 5 yards gain to the ISU13 (#8 C.Lewis)Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+10
99.8%
(00:55) #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 10 yards gain to the ISU23 (#0 K.Pascal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.8%
(00:17) Shotgun #3 A.Barnes rush right for 2 yards gain to the ISU25 (#3 D.Pringle; #10 A.Hines III)Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU27 (#58 K.Thomas; #8 C.Lewis)Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
(14:16) Shotgun #5 C.Moberly pass complete short right to #0 C.Pettaway caught at ISU33, for 9 yards to the ISU36 (#3 D.Pringle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
(13:38) #0 C.Pettaway rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU39 (#7 M.Wright III)Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
(12:53) #3 A.Barnes rush right for 3 yards gain to the ISU42 (#26 J.Andrews)Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
(12:13) Shotgun #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU45 (#88 S.Brown). #88 S.Brown injured on the playSimilar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
(11:56) No Huddle #5 C.Moberly rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU47 (#4 K.Kostus; #5 E.George), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
99.9%
(11:10) #5 C.Moberly pass incomplete deep right to #13 J.Polite thrown to BGSU12, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BGSU Pass Interference (#1 D.Braxton) 15 yards from ISU47 to BGSU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
99.9%
(11:04) #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 10 yards gain to the BGSU28 (#8 C.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
(10:42) No Huddle #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU25 (#5 E.George; #54 D.Garner)Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+14
99.9%
(10:01) Shotgun #5 C.Moberly rush right for 14 yards gain to the BGSU11 (#1 D.Braxton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.9%
(09:17) #0 C.Pettaway rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU08 (#3 D.Pringle; #5 E.George)Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
(08:34) #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:27, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
PENALTY BGSU False Start (#70 A.Harris) 5 yards from BGSU25 to BGSU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
(08:26) Shotgun #44 L.Kemp rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BGSU25 (#31 M.Smith)Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
(07:49) Shotgun #44 L.Kemp rush middle for 0 yards to the BGSU25 (#89 D.Fitzmaurice)Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
(07:04) Shotgun #2 N.Amachree rush right for 1 yard loss to the BGSU24 (#19 E.Lemos) PENALTY BGSU Personal Foul (#14 P.Sadler) 12 yards from BGSU24 to BGSU12Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+9
100.0%
(06:40) #30 R.Kingston punt 38 yards to the BGSU50 #23 C.Robbins return 9 yards to the BGSU41 (#4 K.Kostus)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 4:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
100.0%
(06:32) No Huddle #20 C.Francois rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BGSU40 (#52 E.Durham-Smith)Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+3
100.0%
(05:48) #5 C.Moberly rush right for 3 yards gain to the BGSU37 (#8 C.Lewis), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+8
100.0%
(05:10) #20 C.Francois rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BGSU29 (#19 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
100.0%
(04:27) #20 C.Francois rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BGSU23, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+1
100.0%
(03:48) #20 C.Francois rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BGSU22 (#10 A.Hines III; #11 A.Hale)Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
100.0%
(03:02) #20 C.Francois rush middle for 0 yards to the BGSU22 (#8 C.Lewis)Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+40
100.0%
(02:24) #97 K.Konrardy field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler), clock 02:22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
(02:20) No Huddle #33 T.Blackmon rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BGSU31 (#17 C.Welsch)Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
(01:59) No Huddle #20 M.Carey rush middle for 0 yards to the BGSU31 (#91 B.Hawkins)Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
100.0%
(01:16) #33 T.Blackmon rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU34 (#42 M.McClain)Similar
Q4 0:41
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
100.0%
(00:41) #33 T.Blackmon rush left for 4 yards gain to the BGSU38 (#17 C.Welsch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:47
(09:51) #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:47 #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)
+3.4
TD · Q1 3:58
(04:06) Shotgun #17 J.Kastantin pass complete short left to #18 W.Sharp caught at BGSU45, for 59 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:58, 1ST DOWN. #9 J.Singletary injured on the play #12 T.Kenner kick attempt good (H: #30 R.Kingston, LS: #56 Q.Jimenez)
-2.3
TD · Q1 3:45
Cameron Pettaway 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Kyle Konrardy Kick)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com