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SOU

Southern 6 at Houston 77

HOU
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · TDECU Stadium
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Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadSOU aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreSOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:52: (06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Sanford II rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:52 #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards) — HOU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:11: (04:14) #21 M.Hughes rush left for 1 yard gain to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:11 #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards) — HOU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:28: (00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #0 A.Thomas caught at SU03, for 8 yards to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:28, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards) — HOU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:57: (11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete deep right to #2 K.Young caught at SU19, for 43 yards to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:57, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards) — SOU win probability +0.2 pts (now 0%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:53SOU 4th & 2 at SOU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:14SOU 4th & 4 at SOU 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:27SOU 4th & 3 at HOU 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:57SOU 4th & 6 at SOU 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:07SOU 4th & 8 at SOU 27, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:21SOU 4th & 10 at SOU 25, down 63
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  7. Q4 4:27SOU 4th & 15 at SOU 20, down 71
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10SOU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:59HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:52HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:11HOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:57HOU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:10HOU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:36HOU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:43HOU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:39HOU Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:57HOU Touchdown, up 69 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 4:38SOU Touchdown, down 64 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:56HOU Touchdown, up 70 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SOUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
(15:00) Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass complete short left to #0 K.Davis caught at SU28, for 5 yards to the SU30 (#6 J.Allen), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.7%
(14:21) Shotgun #0 K.Davis rush right for 4 yards gain to the SU34 (#9 A.Porter)Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
99.7%
(13:36) Shotgun #7 M.Franklin rush left for 1 yard loss to the SU33 (#4 B.Mack)Similar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.6%
(12:53) #18 T.Johnson punt 29 yards to the HOU38 fair catch by #4 T.Walker at HOU38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:45100% → 100%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.6%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush right for 8 yards gain to the HOU46 (#9 C.Doyle)Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+11
99.6%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short middle to #0 A.Thomas caught at SU47, for 11 yards to the SU43 (#0 T.James), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.6%
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SU40 (#48 K.Brown)Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+6
99.6%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman rush right for 6 yards gain to the SU34 (#7 T.Lee), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+5
99.6%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SU29 (#48 K.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
99.6%
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 11 yards gain to the SU18 (#3 H.Brister III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.5%
(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short left to #9 P.Overmyer thrown to SU00 broken up by #4 D.Johnson JrSimilar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
99.5%
(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 D.Butler rush left for 9 yards gain to the SU09 (#3 H.Brister III; #20 C.Morris), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+9
99.5%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #9 P.Overmyer caught at SU10, for 9 yards to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:59, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Holly rush right for 3 yards gain to the SU28 (#25 C.Glass)Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.5%
(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Holly rush left for 4 yards gain to the SU32 (#2 J.Mayo)Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-10
99.5%
(07:41) Shotgun #10 C.Johnson sacked for loss of 10 yards to the SU22 (#2 J.Mayo), fumble by #10 C.Johnson recovered by HOU #47 D.Mays at SU22, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.5%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short middle to #2 K.Young caught at SU27, for 4 yards to the SU18 (#93 D.Scott; #59 L.Joseph)Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+9
99.5%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short right to #2 K.Young thrown to SU00 PENALTY SU Holding (#7 T.Lee) 9 yards from SU18 to SU09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Sanford II rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:52 #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:371% → 1%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #14 K.Brown thrown to SU31Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
(06:49) Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass complete short middle to #0 K.Davis caught at SU29, for 5 yards to the SU30 (#12 S.Fotu)Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.5%
(06:12) Shotgun #10 C.Johnson rush right for 8 yards loss to the SU22 lateral to #6 T.Holly for 0 yards to the SU22 fumbled by #6 T.Holly at SU22 recovered by HOU #12 S.Fotu at SU22, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Backwards pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (06:12) Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #6 T.Holly thrown to SU22 QB hurried by #1 J.Yates PENALTY SU Chop Block declined)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.5%
PENALTY SU Offside (#5 J.Dickerson) 5 yards from SU22 to SU17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 5
OPP 17
+6
99.5%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush left for 6 yards gain to the SU11 (#7 T.Lee), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.5%
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete short right to #0 A.Thomas thrown to SU00 QB hurried by #1 C.GivensSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+8
99.5%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Hughes rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SU03 (#19 B.Jennings)Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
99.5%
(04:47) #21 M.Hughes rush left for 2 yards gain to the SU01 (#0 T.James), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
(04:14) #21 M.Hughes rush left for 1 yard gain to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:11 #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
(04:11) Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass incomplete deep middle to #2 D.Smith thrown to SU46 broken up by #0 J.WhiteSimilar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
(04:06) Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass complete short left to #85 F.Jones caught at SU30, for 6 yards to the SU31 (#2 J.Mayo)Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.6%
(03:23) Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass incomplete short middle to #16 D.Henderson thrown to SU35 broken up by #45 C.BryantSimilar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.6%
(03:19) #18 T.Johnson punt 29 yards to the HOU40 fair catch by #4 T.Walker at HOU40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
99.6%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #0 A.Thomas caught at HOU35, for 10 yards to the HOU50 (#9 C.Doyle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
50
0
99.6%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete deep left to #0 A.Thomas thrown to SU30Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 10
50
-3
99.6%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Sanford II rush right for 3 yards loss to the HOU47 (#1 C.Givens)Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+27
99.6%
(02:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short right to #6 R.Sanford II caught at HOU46, for 27 yards to the SU26 (#21 T.Anderson; #8 D.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
99.6%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass incomplete deep left to #4 T.Walker thrown to SU00 broken up by #23 L.Carter PENALTY SU Pass Interference (#23 L.Carter) 15 yards from SU26 to SU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.6%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Sanford II rush right for 3 yards gain to the SU08 (#70 J.Rogers)Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #0 A.Thomas caught at SU03, for 8 yards to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:28, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 9DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 2:530% → 0%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
99.8%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Holly rush left for 3 yards loss to the SU09 (#4 B.Mack)Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 13
OWN 9
-1
99.8%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Gabriel rush right for 1 yard loss to the SU08 (#9 A.Porter; #10 L.McCutchin)Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 14
OWN 8
0
99.8%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass incomplete deep middle to #2 D.Smith thrown to SU47Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 14
OWN 8
+15
99.8%
(14:13) #18 T.Johnson punt 22 yards to the SU30, out of bounds at SU30 PENALTY HOU Illegal Block in Back declined HOU Roughing The Kicker (#23 A.Williamson Jr.) 15 yards from SU08 to SU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.8%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass complete short left to #2 D.Smith caught at SU27, for 6 yards to the SU29 (#8 K.Webb)Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+15
99.7%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass incomplete deep left to #17 C.Jefferson thrown to HOU43 PENALTY HOU Pass Interference (#5 W.James) 15 yards from SU29 to SU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.8%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass complete short left to #2 D.Smith caught at SU45, for 7 yards to the HOU49 (#8 K.Webb)Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
99.7%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass incomplete short middle to #16 D.Henderson thrown to HOU43 broken up by #0 J.White QB hurried by #45 C.BryantSimilar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
99.7%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #17 C.Jefferson thrown to HOU44 broken up by #2 J.MayoSimilar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
99.7%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #85 F.Jones thrown to HOU40, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.8%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #25 D.Butler caught at HOU43, for 1 yard to the HOU50 (#11 J.Holden)Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 9
50
+7
99.7%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #9 P.Overmyer caught at SU45, for 7 yards to the SU43 (#28 C.Jones)Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+5
99.7%
PENALTY SU Offside (#48 K.Brown) 5 yards from SU43 to SU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.7%
PENALTY HOU False Start (#4 T.Walker) 5 yards from SU38 to SU43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+43
99.6%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete deep right to #2 K.Young caught at SU19, for 43 yards to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:57, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 11INT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:470% → 0%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.8%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Gabriel rush right for 0 yards to the SU13 (#30 R.Ugochukwu)Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+1
99.8%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Gabriel rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SU14 (#47 D.Mays; #12 S.Fotu)Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+10
99.8%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Strother pass complete short left to #25 J.Gabriel caught at SU18, for 10 yards to the SU24 (#12 S.Fotu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.8%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Asberry rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SU25 (#92 T.Buhake; #25 C.Glass)Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Strother pass complete short right to #31 M.Dade Jr caught at SU20, for 2 yards to the SU27 (#5 W.James)Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 7
OWN 27
-5
99.8%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 A.Strother pass intercepted by #6 J.Allen at SU30 #6 J.Allen return 5 yards to the SU25 (#16 D.Henderson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.8%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Henderson pass incomplete deep left to #9 P.Overmyer thrown to SU00 broken up by #32 J.ColemanSimilar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+18
99.8%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Sanford II rush left for 18 yards gain to the SU07 (#20 C.Morris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
(06:15) #5 K.Henderson pass complete short right to #2 K.Young caught at SU00, for 7 yards to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:10 #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Gabriel rush left for 1 yard gain to the SU26 (#92 T.Buhake)Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Gabriel rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SU28 (#49 D.Washington)Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Asberry rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SU29 (#9 A.Porter)Similar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
(04:02) #18 T.Johnson punt 43 yards to the HOU28 fair catch by #4 T.Walker at HOU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
99.9%
(03:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Henderson pass complete short middle to #4 T.Walker caught at HOU34, for 23 yards to the SU49 (#8 D.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
PENALTY HOU False Start (#70 L.Crawford) 5 yards from SU49 to HOU46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+12
99.9%
(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Henderson pass complete short middle to #4 T.Walker caught at SU46, for 12 yards to the SU42 (#32 J.Coleman)Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+9
99.9%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Hebert rush right for 9 yards gain to the SU33 (#46 M.Batiste), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
99.9%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Hebert rush right for 13 yards gain to the SU20 (#28 C.Jones; #8 D.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Henderson pass complete short right to #23 J.Hebert caught at SU23, for 20 yards to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:36, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Asberry rush left for 4 yards gain to the SU29 (#45 C.Bryant). #22 A.Asberry injured on the playSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
(01:01) Shotgun #25 J.Gabriel rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SU30 (#92 T.Buhake; #90 D.Thomas)Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
PENALTY SU Delay Of Game 5 yards from SU30 to SU25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(00:13) Shotgun #31 M.Dade Jr rush middle for 0 yards to the SU25 (#90 D.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:03100% → 100%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Henderson pass complete short right to #10 J.Martin caught at HOU36, for 11 yards to the HOU36 (#21 T.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.9%
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Henderson pass complete short left to #87 L.McGary caught at HOU40, for 10 yards to the HOU46 (#36 K.Jones; #11 J.Holden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.9%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Henderson rush middle for 54 yards gain to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:43, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
(13:41) Shotgun #25 J.Gabriel rush right for 1 yard gain to the SU26 (#47 D.Mays)Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
(13:05) Shotgun #15 A.Strother pass complete short left to #16 D.Henderson caught at SU24, for 1 yard to the SU27 (#14 P.Melvin Jr.)Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
(12:22) Shotgun #15 A.Strother pass incomplete short right to #16 D.Henderson thrown to SU32Similar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
(12:15) #18 T.Johnson punt 19 yards to the SU46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 D.Butler rush right for 6 yards gain to the SU40 (#36 K.Jones)Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 D.Butler rush left for 8 yards gain to the SU32 (#36 K.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.9%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 D.Butler rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SU24 (#28 C.Jones; #16 D.Valdrey)Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+15
99.9%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 D.Butler rush middle for 15 yards gain to the SU09 (#40 C.Hall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 D.Butler rush right for 9 yards gain to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:39 #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
PENALTY SU False Start (#68 J.Lewis) 5 yards from SU25 to SU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
(09:38) Shotgun #25 J.Gabriel rush left for 0 yards to the SU20 (#14 P.Melvin Jr.)Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
(08:59) Shotgun #25 J.Gabriel rush middle for 1 yard loss to the SU19 (#17 C.Brathwaite)Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+6
100.0%
(08:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.McCauley pass complete short left to #85 F.Jones caught at SU23, for 6 yards to the SU25 (#17 C.Brathwaite)Similar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
(07:33) #38 N.Zimmer punt 35 yards to the HOU40 #10 J.Martin return 8 yards to the HOU48 (#39 C.Perritt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+23
99.9%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Hebert rush middle for 23 yards gain to the SU29 (#20 C.Morris; #76 R.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
99.9%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Hebert rush middle for 13 yards gain to the SU16 (#20 C.Morris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
99.9%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 L.Carney rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SU11 (#32 J.Coleman)Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
(05:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 B.Robinson rush right for 4 yards gain to the SU07 (#17 H.Schnackenber; #20 C.Morris)Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Hebert rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:57, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
100.0%
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.McCauley pass complete deep left to #1 W.Clark Jr caught at HOU46, for 79 yards to the HOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:38, 1ST DOWN #34 C.McMcKenna kick attempt failed ( blocked by #47 D.Mays) (H: #14 K.Brown, LS: #39 C.Perritt), out of bounds at HOU00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 13:32100% → 100%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
99.9%
(04:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 Z.Smith rush middle for 28 yards gain to the SU47 (#41 J.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.9%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 Z.Smith rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SU38 (#32 J.Coleman)Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 Z.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SU34 (#49 J.Lawton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
100.0%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 Z.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SU32 (#49 J.Lawton)Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+6
100.0%
(02:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 L.Carney rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SU26 (#32 J.Coleman)Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+3
100.0%
(01:23) Shotgun #37 Z.Smith rush right for 3 yards gain to the SU23 (#16 D.Valdrey; #49 J.Lawton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
100.0%
(00:47) Shotgun #17 L.Carney rush right for 4 yards gain to the SU19 (#45 K.Wilson)Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+4
100.0%
(08:00) Shotgun #37 Z.Smith rush right for 4 yards gain to the SU15 (#40 C.Hall; #49 J.Lawton)Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+5
100.0%
(07:20) Shotgun #37 Z.Smith rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SU10 (#76 R.Jackson; #49 J.Lawton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
100.0%
(06:42) Shotgun #32 N.Warmate rush left for 2 yards gain to the SU08 (#17 H.Schnackenber; #16 D.Valdrey)Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
(06:03) Shotgun #17 L.Carney rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:56, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
100.0%
(05:55) Shotgun #25 J.Gabriel rush middle for 4 yards loss to the SU21 (#50 E.Egodogbare)Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
100.0%
(05:15) Shotgun #9 W.McCauley pass incomplete short left to #85 F.Jones thrown to SU33Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-1
100.0%
(05:11) Shotgun #25 J.Gabriel rush middle for 1 yard loss to the SU20 (#50 E.Egodogbare)Similar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
100.0%
(04:31) #38 N.Zimmer punt 35 yards to the HOU45 fair catch by #10 J.Martin at HOU45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:49100% → 100%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
(04:26) Shotgun #32 N.Warmate rush middle for 4 yards gain to the HOU49 (#16 D.Valdrey; #2 J.Thurman)Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
100.0%
(03:44) Shotgun #32 N.Warmate rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SU47 (#76 R.Jackson)Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
100.0%
(03:05) Shotgun #37 Z.Smith rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SU44 (#45 K.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
(02:27) Shotgun #37 Z.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SU40 (#45 K.Wilson)Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+7
100.0%
(02:00) Shotgun #37 Z.Smith rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SU33 (#2 J.Thurman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
100.0%
(01:14) Shotgun #32 N.Warmate rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SU24 (#40 C.Hall; #44 S.Garcon)Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+22
100.0%
(00:29) Shotgun #32 N.Warmate rush right for 22 yards gain to the SU02 (#40 C.Hall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:28
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete short left to #0 A.Thomas caught at SU03, for 8 yards to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:28, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)
+0.2
TD · Q2 10:57
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Weigman pass complete deep right to #2 K.Young caught at SU19, for 43 yards to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:57, 1ST DOWN #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)
-0.2
TD · Q1 6:52
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 R.Sanford II rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:52 #49 J.Dimas kick attempt good (H: #15 J.Sock, LS: #69 W.Edwards)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com