Try the model
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:52 · (01:59) #32 M.Dean punt 49 yards to the KSTATE30 fair catch by #8 B.White at KSTATE30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior+12.6Home team on offense+26.3Score differential+18.4Garbage-time factor+4.9Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:17: Josh Manning 6 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Luis Rodriguez Kick) — KSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:51: (01:58) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #4 J.Jackson caught at WSU18, for 21 yards to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:51, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson) — KSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:00: Jaylen Thomas 50 Yd Interception Return (Jack Stevens Kick) — WSU win probability +5.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:54: Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 75 yards gain to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:54, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 73 yards gain to the WSU02 (#2 J.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN) #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson) — KSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 10:21: (10:24) #43 L.Rodriguez field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson), clock 10:21 — KSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 6:00KSU 4th & 2 at WSU 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.9%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:35WSU 4th & 4 at KSU 19, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:29KSU 4th & 8 at WSU 31, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    82.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:27WSU 4th & 1 at KSU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.8%−1.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:09WSU 4th & 14 at WSU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:37WSU 4th & 1 at KSU 49, down 17
    Close callPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:06WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:20WSU 4th & 13 at WSU 22, down 17
    Numbers favored punt by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:21KSU 4th & 4 at WSU 13, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−4.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:51WSU 4th & 19 at WSU 28, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:13KSU 4th & 7 at WSU 37, up 20
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.2
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:52WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 21, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:26KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 43, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:17WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 17, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:57KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 16, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:32WSU 4th & 11 at midfield, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 4:17KSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:51KSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:00WSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:54KSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:52KSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1FG
19 plays · 69 yds · 8:4388% → 86%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
87.9%
(14:55) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #5 J.Manning caught at KSTATE17, for 7 yards to the KSTATE25 (#9 M.McLain)Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+3
87.7%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSTATE28 (#21 K.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
87.6%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short middle to #8 B.White thrown to KSTATE45Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
87.5%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #5 J.Manning caught at KSTATE25, for 5 yards to the KSTATE33 (#16 I.Hung), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+9
87.4%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #5 J.Manning caught at KSTATE38, for 9 yards to the KSTATE42 (#21 K.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
87.3%
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSTATE46 (#1 J.Bernard; #15 D.Warner)Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
87.3%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep right to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to WSU16Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+10
87.1%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #5 J.Manning caught at KSTATE49, for 10 yards to the WSU44 (#3 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
87.1%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep right to #0 L.Cure thrown to WSU15Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
87.0%
(11:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 0 yards to the WSU44 (#4 K.Rapolla)Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+10
86.8%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush left for 10 yards gain to the WSU34, out of bounds at WSU34, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
86.8%
(10:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.White rush left for 8 yards gain to the WSU26 (#6 L.Zunk), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+1
86.7%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU25 (#98 J.Leaupepetele)Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+4
86.3%
(08:43) Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WSU21 (#15 D.Warner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
86.3%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the WSU20 (#21 K.Brown; #52 K.Beatty)Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+6
86.0%
(07:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #80 W.Anciaux caught at WSU15, for 6 yards to the WSU14 (#21 K.Brown)Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+1
85.8%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU13 (#99 P.Hutson III)Similar
Q1 6:00
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+31
85.8%
(06:03) #43 L.Rodriguez field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson), clock 06:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:1814% → 16%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.8%
(05:59) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush left for 1 yard gain to the WSU26 (#4 M.Mason)Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
85.6%
(05:21) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WSU30 (#4 M.Mason)Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
85.5%
(04:41) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #8 B.Ganashamoorthy caught at WSU40, for 11 yards to the WSU41 (#21 J.Scott), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KSTATE Roughing The Passer (#40 J.Bryant) 15 yards from WSU41 to KSTATE44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
84.7%
(04:23) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSTATE37 (#10 L.Bartley)Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+12
84.4%
(03:41) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #3 M.Woods caught at KSTATE38, for 12 yards to the KSTATE25 (#7 K.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
83.9%
(03:04) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 1 yard loss to the KSTATE26 (#1 W.Gregory)Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
83.6%
(02:19) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short left to #8 B.Ganashamoorthy thrown to KSTATE20 QB hurried by #35 G.PowersSimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+7
83.9%
(02:17) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush left for 7 yards gain to the KSTATE19 (#0 K.Beasley)Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
84.0%
(01:37) #38 J.Stevens field goal attempt from 37 yards NO GOOD blocked by #91 J.Allen (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures), clock 01:35, out of bounds at KSTATE20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3INT
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:5584% → 83%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
84.1%
(01:33) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #5 J.Manning caught at KSTATE18, for 8 yards to the KSTATE28 (#16 I.Hung)Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+9
84.3%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #12 J.Tibbs caught at KSTATE37, for 9 yards to the KSTATE37 (#8 N.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
84.1%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #5 J.Manning thrown to KSTATE49. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #5 J.Manning caught at KSTATE49, for 12 yards to the KSTATE49, out of bounds at KSTATE49, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
83.9%
(00:19) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSTATE38 (#42 J.Ellison)Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+15
83.5%
(14:59) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #4 J.Jackson caught at KSTATE32, for 15 yards to the WSU47 (#2 J.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
84.4%
(14:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 2 yards gain to the WSU45 (#21 K.Brown)Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
84.3%
(14:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep right to #86 G.Oakley thrown to WSU19Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+12
83.9%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #4 J.Jackson caught at WSU39, for 12 yards to the WSU33 (#2 J.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
84.3%
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 1 yard loss to the WSU34 (#84 M.Wrice)Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+1
84.1%
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.White rush left for 1 yard gain to the WSU33 (#25 J.Bal)Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+2
83.5%
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush right for 2 yards gain to the WSU31 (#3 J.Thomas), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 8
OPP 31
-31
82.6%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass intercepted by #3 J.Thomas at WSU24 #3 J.Thomas return 31 yards to the KSTATE45 (#86 G.Oakley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5618% → 19%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
81.6%
(11:28) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSTATE42 (#1 W.Gregory)Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
81.3%
(10:51) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSTATE37 (#1 W.Gregory)Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
81.0%
(10:14) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSTATE36 (#4 M.Mason; #88 E.Jackson)Similar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
81.3%
(09:31) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 0 yards to the KSTATE36 (#35 G.Powers), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 5:0582% → 87%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
82.3%
(09:26) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to KSTATE47Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
82.0%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.White rush left for 2 yards gain to the KSTATE38 (#3 J.Thomas; #84 M.Wrice)Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+22
81.5%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush middle for 22 yards gain to the WSU40 (#84 M.Wrice), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
83.3%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the WSU36 (#15 D.Warner). #84 M.Wrice injured on the playSimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+7
83.1%
(07:31) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #8 B.White caught at WSU31, for 7 yards to the WSU29 (#4 K.Rapolla), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
83.2%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WSU19 (#25 J.Bal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
83.1%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #8 B.White caught at WSU22, for 12 yards to the WSU07 (#0 C.Solis-Lumar), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
82.9%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the WSU03 (#15 D.Warner)Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
82.8%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 3 yards loss to the WSU06 (#6 L.Zunk; #15 D.Warner)Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
86.7%
Josh Manning 6 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Luis Rodriguez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:5714% → 13%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
86.2%
(04:16) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #4 D.Clemons caught at WSU37, for 12 yards to the WSU37, out of bounds at WSU37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
85.7%
(03:45) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush right for 4 yards gain to the WSU41 (#35 G.Powers)Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
85.3%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short left to #4 D.Clemons thrown to WSU45Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-8
85.6%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick sacked for loss of 8 yards to the WSU33 (#1 W.Gregory)Similar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 14
OWN 33
+62
87.1%
(02:25) #32 M.Dean punt 49 yards to the KSTATE18 #8 B.White return 62 yards to the WSU20, out of bounds at WSU20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:1188% → 93%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
87.6%
(02:09) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 1 yard loss to the WSU21 (#25 J.Bal)Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+21
92.7%
(01:58) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #4 J.Jackson caught at WSU18, for 21 yards to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:51, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:009% → 10%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.1%
(01:50) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #28 J.Pedersen caught at WSU30, for 5 yards to the WSU30 (#0 K.Beasley)Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
90.8%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #4 D.Clemons caught at WSU42, for 12 yards to the WSU42, out of bounds at WSU42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
90.5%
(01:29) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick sacked for loss of 4 yards to the WSU38 (#39 T.Bates). #77 N.Bakken injured on the playSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+13
91.4%
(00:58) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush left for 13 yards gain to the KSTATE49, out of bounds at KSTATE49Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
89.8%
(00:49) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete deep left to #8 B.Ganashamoorthy thrown to KSTATE25Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
90.1%
(00:44) #32 M.Dean punt 39 yards to the KSTATE10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9INT TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:3192% → 87%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
92.2%
(00:35) Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 11 yards gain to the KSTATE21 (#3 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
91.3%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #5 J.Manning caught at KSTATE28, for 7 yards to the KSTATE28 (#4 K.Rapolla), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+5
91.2%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSTATE33 (#15 D.Warner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
92.2%
(00:17) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush right for 5 yards gain to the KSTATE38, out of bounds at KSTATE38Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+10
92.3%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short middle to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to WSU50 broken up by #4 K.Rapolla PENALTY WSU Pass Interference (#4 K.Rapolla) 10 yards from KSTATE38 to KSTATE48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-50
86.7%
Jaylen Thomas 50 Yd Interception Return (Jack Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5414% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.0%
PENALTY WSU False Start (#77 N.Bakken) 5 yards from WSU25 to WSU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
86.1%
Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WSU26 (#4 M.Mason)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
86.0%
Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete deep left to #3 M.Woods thrown to KSTATE45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
86.5%
Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short right to #4 D.Clemons thrown to WSU38Similar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
86.9%
#32 M.Dean punt 49 yards to the KSTATE25 #8 B.White return 0 yards to the KSTATE25, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
92.4%
Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 75 yards gain to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:54, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 73 yards gain to the WSU02 (#2 J.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN) #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:258% → 7%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.2%
(13:53) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short right to #8 B.Ganashamoorthy thrown to WSU33 QB hurried by #35 G.PowersSimilar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.3%
(13:40) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU27 (#91 J.Allen)Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
92.8%
(13:02) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick sacked for loss of 5 yards to the WSU22 (#1 W.Gregory)Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+7
93.0%
(12:27) #32 M.Dean punt 40 yards to the KSTATE38 #8 B.White return 7 yards to the KSTATE45 fumbled by #8 B.White at KSTATE45 recovered by KSTATE #8 B.White at KSTATE45, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13FG
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:4593% → 97%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+36
93.4%
(12:17) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete deep middle to #5 J.Manning caught at WSU35, for 36 yards to the WSU19 (#2 J.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
93.5%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #5 J.Manning caught at WSU21, for 5 yards to the WSU14 (#16 I.Hung)Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+1
94.5%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 1 yard gain to the WSU13 (#56 F.Lecuona; #34 D.Lewis)Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
94.4%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to WSU03 broken up by #2 J.SmithSimilar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
96.7%
(10:24) #43 L.Rodriguez field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson), clock 10:21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 3:204% → 3%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
96.5%
(10:15) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush left for 12 yards gain to the WSU37 (#6 D.Whitaker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
96.5%
(09:31) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #3 M.Woods caught at WSU44, for 21 yards to the KSTATE42 (#7 K.Patterson) PENALTY WSU Holding (#64 J.Caldwell) 10 yards from WSU37 to WSU27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 20
OWN 27
-4
96.8%
(08:56) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short left to #28 J.Pedersen caught at WSU23, for 4 yards loss to the WSU23 (#28 R.Van Wyhe)Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 24
OWN 23
+2
97.0%
(08:14) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush right for 2 yards gain to the WSU25 (#88 E.Jackson)Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 22
OWN 25
+3
97.2%
(07:31) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #4 D.Clemons caught at WSU23, for 3 yards to the WSU28 (#4 M.Mason)Similar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 19
OWN 28
0
97.2%
(06:58) #32 M.Dean punt 38 yards to the KSTATE34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:2697% → 97%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+26
97.4%
(06:49) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush right for 26 yards gain to the WSU40 (#0 C.Solis-Lumar), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
97.6%
(06:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #5 J.Manning caught at WSU37, for 4 yards to the WSU36 (#31 T.Ridley), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-2
97.6%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 2 yards loss to the WSU38 (#52 K.Beatty)Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+1
97.5%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #8 B.White caught at WSU37, for 1 yard to the WSU37 (#31 T.Ridley)Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
97.3%
(04:20) #8 S.McClannan punt 32 yards to the WSU05 fair catch by #3 M.Woods at WSU05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:163% → 2%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
97.5%
(04:12) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU07 (#35 G.Powers)Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+10
97.6%
(03:30) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush right for 10 yards gain to the WSU17 (#91 J.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
97.8%
(02:55) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete deep right to #1 D.Blood thrown to WSU38Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
97.9%
(02:48) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush right for 4 yards gain to the WSU21 (#18 W.Fair)Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
98.1%
(02:05) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete deep right to #4 D.Clemons thrown to WSU48 broken up by #7 K.PattersonSimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
98.1%
(01:59) #32 M.Dean punt 49 yards to the KSTATE30 fair catch by #8 B.White at KSTATE30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:4797% → 100%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.4%
(01:51) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #4 J.Jackson caught at KSTATE24, for 0 yards to the KSTATE30 (#16 I.Hung)Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+35
98.2%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 35 yards gain to the WSU35 (#0 C.Solis-Lumar), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.4%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Jackson thrown to WSU31Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
98.5%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #28 R.Van Wyhe caught at WSU38, for 3 yards to the WSU32 (#16 I.Hung)Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+8
98.5%
(14:59) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WSU24 (#21 K.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
98.6%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 15 yards gain to the WSU09 (#2 J.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #8 B.White caught at WSU11, for 9 yards to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:52 #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18FUMBLE
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
(13:50) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush left for 16 yards gain to the WSU41 (#18 W.Fair), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
99.9%
(13:15) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 2 yards loss to the WSU39 (#6 D.Whitaker)Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
(12:32) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #1 D.Blood caught at WSU36, for 3 yards to the WSU42 (#0 K.Beasley)Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+11
99.9%
(11:48) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short left to #1 D.Blood caught at KSTATE48, for 11 yards to the KSTATE47 (#21 J.Scott), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
(11:11) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short right to #3 M.Woods thrown to KSTATE47 QB hurried by #91 J.AllenSimilar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.9%
(10:59) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KSTATE41 fumbled by #9 K.Vorhees at KSTATE41 forced by #7 K.Patterson recovered by KSTATE #6 D.Whitaker at KSTATE41, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
(10:50) Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSTATE43 (#42 J.Ellison)Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
99.9%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #12 J.Tibbs caught at KSTATE42, for 0 yards to the KSTATE43 (#16 I.Hung)Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
99.9%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep right to #8 B.White thrown to WSU17Similar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
99.9%
(09:31) #8 S.McClannan punt 45 yards to the WSU12 fair catch by #3 M.Woods at WSU12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.9%
(09:24) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU13 (#15 K.Burns)Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 9
OWN 13
-2
99.9%
(08:48) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush left for 2 yards loss to the WSU11 (#28 R.Van Wyhe)Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+6
99.9%
(08:04) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush left for 6 yards gain to the WSU17 (#40 J.Bryant), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 5
OWN 17
-15
99.9%
(07:27) #32 M.Dean punt 45 yards to the KSTATE38 #8 B.White return for loss of 15 yards to the KSTATE20 fumbled by #8 B.White at KSTATE20 recovered by KSTATE #8 B.White at KSTATE23 (#12 C.Reynolds) PENALTY KSTATE Illegal Block in Back (#17 M.Bergeron) 10 yards from KSTATE20 to KSTATE10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
(07:15) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush left for 2 yards gain to the KSTATE12 (#0 C.Solis-Lumar), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
(06:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSTATE16 (#56 F.Lecuona)Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
99.9%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #5 J.Manning thrown to KSTATE17Similar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+5
99.9%
(06:05) #8 S.McClannan punt 50 yards to the WSU34 #3 M.Woods return 5 yards to the WSU39 (#35 G.Powers)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:190% → 0%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
(05:53) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short middle to #28 J.Pedersen thrown to KSTATE43Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.9%
(05:50) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush left for 12 yards gain to the KSTATE49 (#44 W.Polk), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.9%
(05:10) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short left to #28 J.Pedersen thrown to KSTATE46 broken up by #44 W.Polk QB hurried by #15 K.BurnsSimilar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-8
99.9%
(05:05) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick sacked for loss of 8 yards to the WSU43 (#56 E.Hill)Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 18
OWN 43
+7
99.9%
(04:16) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush right for 7 yards gain to the WSU50 (#25 Z.Rich)Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 11
50
0
100.0%
(03:37) #32 M.Dean punt 50 yards to the KSTATE00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
(03:30) Shotgun #9 J.Harris rush right for 6 yards gain to the KSTATE26 (#25 J.Bal)Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+10
99.9%
(02:49) Shotgun #9 J.Harris rush middle for 10 yards gain to the KSTATE36 (#31 T.Ridley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
(02:12) Shotgun #9 J.Harris rush left for 2 yards gain to the KSTATE38 (#16 I.Hung)Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
(01:59) Shotgun #9 J.Harris rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KSTATE44 (#28 K.Peterson)Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
(01:14) Shotgun #9 J.Harris rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSTATE48 (#97 J.Wedel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
(00:40) Shotgun #9 J.Harris rush right for 5 yards gain to the WSU47 (#16 I.Hung; #92 I.Okafor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:51
(01:58) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #4 J.Jackson caught at WSU18, for 21 yards to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:51, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)
+5.9
TD · Q2 0:00
Jaylen Thomas 50 Yd Interception Return (Jack Stevens Kick)
-5.5
TD · Q3 13:54
Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 75 yards gain to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:54, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 73 yards gain to the WSU02 (#2 J.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN) #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com