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SEMO

Southeast Missouri State 10 at Iowa State 38

ISU
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadSEMO aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreSEMO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:52 · (06:56) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland sacked for loss of 10 yards to the SEMO40 (#88 I.Terrell), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Pregame prior+34.9Home team on offense+3.7Score differential+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Garbage-time factor−0.3Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:27: (02:31) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep middle to #37 V.Benetti caught at SEMO02, for 24 yards to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:27, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler) — ISU win probability +0.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:39: (10:44) Shotgun #6 C.Wilson rush left for 7 yards gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:39, 1ST DOWN #17 J.Keller kick attempt good (H: #30 T.Cobb, LS: #19 C.Heun) — SEMO win probability +2.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: SEMO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:54: (05:01) #21 A.Flora rush middle for 11 yards gain to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:54, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler) — ISU win probability +2.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:50: (02:54) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #25 E.Miller caught at SEMO07, for 10 yards to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:50, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler) — ISU win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:41: (10:43) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:41 #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler) — ISU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6SEMO made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 13:42ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:43SEMO 4th & 10 at SEMO 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:50SEMO 4th & 13 at SEMO 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:13SEMO 4th & 13 at ISU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:24ISU 4th & 8 at SEMO 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:13SEMO 4th & 5 at SEMO 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:01SEMO 4th & 1 at SEMO 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:03ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 20, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:52SEMO 4th & 1 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.3%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:32SEMO 4th & 21 at SEMO 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:41SEMO 4th & 13 at SEMO 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:17ISU 4th & 11 at ISU 14, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:47ISU 4th & 7 at SEMO 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:20SEMO 4th & 11 at ISU 22, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:04SEMO 4th & 1 at ISU 37, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:08ISU 4th & 4 at SEMO 44, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SEMO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:08ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:27ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:39SEMO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:54ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:50ISU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:41ISU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:1096% → 96%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
96.0%
(15:00) No Huddle #21 A.Flora rush right for 17 yards gain to the ISU42 (#24 J.Stone), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
95.9%
(14:36) No Huddle #21 A.Flora rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU47 (#41 K.McRae; #93 A.Jones)Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
95.8%
(13:57) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short left to #8 E.Boyd thrown to SEMO35 QB hurried by #93 A.JonesSimilar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
95.8%
(13:51) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short middle to #2 C.Jackson thrown to ISU50 QB hurried by #98 T.MaxsonSimilar
Q1 13:42
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
95.8%
(13:48) #99 J.DuPont punt 39 yards to the SEMO14 fair catch by #11 J.Bryant at SEMO14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:534% → 5%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
95.7%
(13:41) Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SEMO16 (#10 C.Willich; #7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 8
OWN 16
-6
95.6%
(13:08) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland sacked for loss of 6 yards to the SEMO10 (#88 I.Terrell)Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 14
OWN 10
+4
95.5%
(12:27) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short right to #16 K.Harris-Norman caught at SEMO08, for 4 yards to the SEMO14 (#7 S.Schlimgen; #44 T.Verdon)Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
95.4%
(11:48) #30 T.Cobb punt 42 yards to the ISU44 fair catch by #21 A.Flora at ISU44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:2795% → 96%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+45
95.4%
(11:42) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep right to #11 D.Overby caught at SEMO19, for 45 yards to the SEMO11 (#1 A.Patterson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
95.4%
(11:27) No Huddle #21 A.Flora rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SEMO09 (#95 T.Miller)Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
95.3%
(10:48) #0 C.Pettaway rush left for 2 yards gain to the SEMO07 (#9 L.Minner, Jr.; #28 C.Christmas)Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
95.5%
(10:11) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 7 yards gain to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:08, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #56 C.Schmidt) #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:175% → 5%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.3%
PENALTY SEMO Delay Of Game 5 yards from SEMO25 to SEMO20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
95.3%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush left for 1 yard gain to the SEMO21 (#18 D.Coffey), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
95.3%
(09:45) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland rush left for 1 yard gain to the SEMO22 (#11 W.Breland), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
95.3%
(09:03) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass incomplete deep right to #5 J.Anthony thrown to ISU40 QB hurried by #88 I.TerrellSimilar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 13
OWN 22
-3
95.3%
(08:58) #30 T.Cobb punt 44 yards to the ISU34 muffed by #21 A.Flora at ISU34 recovered by SEMO #14 C.Falconite at ISU31, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 5MISSED FG
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:305% → 5%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.0%
(08:49) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass incomplete deep right to #3 D.Pearce thrown to ISU11Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
94.9%
(08:42) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short left to #11 J.Bryant caught at ISU26, for 5 yards to the ISU26 (#6 D.Surges)Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 5
OPP 26
-8
94.9%
(08:00) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland sacked for loss of 8 yards to the ISU34 (#93 J.Janikowski)Similar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 13
OPP 34
+52
95.0%
(07:17) #17 J.Keller field goal attempt from 52 yards NO GOOD (H: #30 T.Cobb, LS: #19 C.Heun), clock 07:13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:4195% → 95%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
95.0%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ISU41 (#8 J.Raven; #24 J.Stone)Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
95.0%
(06:33) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep middle to #11 D.Overby thrown to SEMO22 broken up by #24 J.Stone. #24 J.Stone injured on the playSimilar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+8
94.9%
(06:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 O.Hayes rush left for 8 yards gain to the ISU49 (#26 J.Smitherman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.0%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep right to #11 D.Overby thrown to SEMO25 broken up by #1 A.PattersonSimilar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
94.9%
(06:12) Shotgun #0 C.Pettaway rush right for 2 yards gain to the SEMO49 (#9 L.Minner, Jr.)Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
94.8%
(05:34) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep right to #2 C.Jackson thrown to SEMO23Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
94.7%
(05:29) #95 E.Gurney punt 39 yards to the SEMO10 fair catch by #11 J.Bryant at SEMO10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:015% → 6%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
94.6%
(05:22) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short left to #16 K.Harris-Norman caught at SEMO16, for 7 yards to the SEMO17 (#10 C.Willich)Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 3
OWN 17
-8
94.5%
(04:42) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland sacked for loss of 8 yards to the SEMO09 (#7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+6
94.5%
(04:00) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short right to #11 J.Bryant caught at SEMO05, for 6 yards to the SEMO15 (#6 D.Surges)Similar
Q1 3:13
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+36
94.5%
(03:26) #30 T.Cobb punt 45 yards to the ISU40 #21 A.Flora return 36 yards to the SEMO24 (#46 I.Williams; #30 T.Cobb)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:3895% → 96%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
94.6%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 0 yards to the SEMO24 (#0 T.Burton; #25 C.Dutkovich)Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
95.6%
(02:31) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep middle to #37 V.Benetti caught at SEMO02, for 24 yards to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:27, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 9TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:415% → 8%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.2%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush left for 3 yards gain to the SEMO28 (#4 M.Harper; #16 M.Jones)Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
95.1%
(01:48) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short left to #84 A.Westervelt caught at SEMO35, for 12 yards to the SEMO40 (#11 W.Breland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
95.0%
(01:06) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short right to #17 T.Purnell caught at SEMO37, for 1 yard loss to the SEMO39 (#21 D.Goodman; #3 S.Johnson)Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+4
95.0%
(00:26) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short left to #29 T.Reed Jr. caught at SEMO40, for 4 yards to the SEMO43 (#98 M.Ta'ase)Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+6
94.9%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Ragland rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SEMO49 (#21 D.Goodman)Similar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
94.7%
(14:12) Shotgun #6 C.Wilson rush left for 2 yards gain to the ISU49 (#34 B.Goodwin; #99 B.Lamb), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
94.7%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush right for 2 yards gain to the ISU47 (#24 B.Miller; #92 C.Crawford)Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-3
94.6%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush left for 3 yards loss to the ISU50 (#16 M.Jones)Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 11
50
+40
94.8%
(12:14) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete deep right to #5 J.Anthony caught at ISU17, for 40 yards to the ISU10 (#5 B.Ngoyi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
94.2%
(11:25) Shotgun #6 C.Wilson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU07 (#0 Z.Hawk)Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.9%
(10:44) Shotgun #6 C.Wilson rush left for 7 yards gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:39, 1ST DOWN #17 J.Keller kick attempt good (H: #30 T.Cobb, LS: #19 C.Heun)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:1493% → 93%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
93.1%
(10:31) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at ISU13, for 6 yards to the ISU19 (#9 L.Minner, Jr.; #23 D.Delmore)Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+1
93.1%
(09:53) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU20 (#92 A.Camphor)Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
92.8%
(09:12) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short middle to #37 V.Benetti thrown to ISU27 broken up by #41 K.McRaeSimilar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
92.6%
(09:08) #99 J.DuPont punt 39 yards to the SEMO41 fair catch by #11 J.Bryant at SEMO41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:037% → 8%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
92.7%
(09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SEMO46 (#11 W.Breland; #90 J.Ramos)Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
92.4%
(08:18) Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush left for 4 yards gain to the SEMO50 (#98 M.Ta'ase; #93 J.Janikowski)Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 1
50
0
92.1%
(07:38) Shotgun #6 C.Wilson rush left for 0 yards to the SEMO50 (#7 S.Schlimgen; #6 D.Surges)Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 1
50
-10
92.2%
(06:56) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland sacked for loss of 10 yards to the SEMO40 (#88 I.Terrell), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:4993% → 95%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
92.8%
(06:51) No Huddle #3 A.Barnes rush right for 3 yards gain to the SEMO37 (#41 K.McRae; #23 D.Delmore)Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+20
92.6%
(06:11) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #9 O.Hayes caught at SEMO20, for 20 yards to the SEMO17 (#6 N.Scott), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
92.7%
(05:39) #25 E.Miller rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SEMO11 (#8 J.Raven; #26 J.Smitherman)Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+11
95.3%
(05:01) #21 A.Flora rush middle for 11 yards gain to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:54, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 13INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:336% → 6%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.3%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush right for 2 yards gain to the SEMO27 (#21 D.Goodman; #0 Z.Hawk)Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
94.3%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass intercepted by #5 B.Ngoyi at ISU45, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Interception". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:2395% → 98%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
95.2%
(04:13) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep middle to #4 C.Pabst thrown to SEMO14 PENALTY SEMO Holding (#7 D.Jones) 10 yards from ISU45 to SEMO45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
95.2%
(04:07) Shotgun #5 C.Moberly rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SEMO44 (#25 C.Dutkovich)Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 9
OPP 0
+34
94.9%
(03:23) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep left to #9 O.Hayes caught at SEMO10, for 34 yards to the SEMO10, out of bounds at SEMO10, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
98.2%
(02:54) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #25 E.Miller caught at SEMO07, for 10 yards to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:50, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 15PUNT
15 plays · 11 yds · 2:103% → 2%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.4%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush left for 3 yards gain to the SEMO28 (#10 C.Willich; #55 J.Gilbert)Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
97.4%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SEMO32 (#55 J.Gilbert; #5 B.Ngoyi)Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
98.0%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short right to #11 J.Bryant caught at SEMO34, for 5 yards to the SEMO37, out of bounds at SEMO37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
98.2%
(01:53) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland rush middle for 4 yards loss to the SEMO33 (#99 B.Lamb) PENALTY ISU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from SEMO37 to SEMO42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 5
OWN 42
+5
97.8%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SEMO47 (#18 D.Coffey; #7 S.Schlimgen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+28
98.2%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Ragland sacked for loss of 22 yards to the SEMO25 (#88 I.Terrell), fumble by #7 B.Ragland recovered by SEMO #0 K.Spain at SEMO25, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 32
OWN 25
+2
98.4%
(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SEMO27 (#10 C.Willich; #7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 30
OWN 27
+9
98.4%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 T.Reed Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SEMO36 (#10 C.Willich; #11 W.Breland)Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 21
OWN 36
0
98.3%
(00:39) #30 T.Cobb punt 51 yards to the ISU13, out of bounds at ISU13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
98.6%
(00:31) No Huddle #0 C.Pettaway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU15 (#98 T.Maxson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 3:113% → 2%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.5%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush right for 2 yards loss to the SEMO23 (#10 C.Willich)Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
97.6%
(14:15) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short right to #11 J.Bryant caught at SEMO18, for 5 yards to the SEMO28 (#92 C.Crawford; #9 J.Singletary)Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
97.6%
(13:35) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass incomplete short left thrown to SEMO23 broken up by #0 Z.Hawk PENALTY ISU Roughing The Passer (#92 C.Crawford) 15 yards from SEMO28 to SEMO43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
97.4%
(13:26) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland sacked for loss of 8 yards to the SEMO35 (#55 J.Gilbert)Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+2
97.6%
(12:49) Shotgun #29 T.Reed Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SEMO37 (#3 S.Johnson) PENALTY SEMO Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 16
OWN 37
+5
97.7%
PENALTY SEMO False Start (#60 D.Taylor) 5 yards from SEMO37 to SEMO32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 21
OWN 32
+8
97.8%
(12:11) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short right to #11 J.Bryant caught at SEMO29, for 8 yards to the SEMO40 (#7 S.Schlimgen). #3 S.Johnson injured on the playSimilar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
97.8%
(11:49) #30 T.Cobb punt 45 yards to the ISU15 #21 A.Flora return 0 yards to the ISU15 (#7 D.Jones)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:2398% → 98%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
98.1%
(11:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Pettaway rush right for 85 yards gain to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 11:29 PENALTY ISU Holding (#63 B.Smith) 7 yards from ISU15 to ISU08. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+3
98.1%
(11:27) #25 E.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU11 (#28 C.Christmas; #98 T.Maxson)Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+5
98.2%
(10:52) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #25 E.Miller caught at ISU08, for 5 yards to the ISU16 (#6 N.Scott)Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 9
OWN 16
-2
98.2%
(10:08) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor sacked for loss of 2 yards to the ISU14 (#9 L.Minner, Jr.)Similar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 11
OWN 14
+13
98.1%
(09:27) #99 J.DuPont punt 41 yards to the SEMO45 #11 J.Bryant return 13 yards to the ISU42 (#93 J.Janikowski)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · -13 yds · 2:202% → 2%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
97.9%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 T.Reed Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU40 (#98 M.Ta'ase; #0 Z.Hawk)Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
97.9%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass incomplete short right to #29 T.Reed Jr. thrown to ISU40 QB hurried by #8 T.ExlineSimilar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+5
98.0%
PENALTY SEMO Delay Of Game 5 yards from ISU40 to ISU45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+16
98.1%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short right to #16 K.Harris-Norman caught at ISU47, for 16 yards to the ISU29, out of bounds at ISU29, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
97.8%
(08:16) Shotgun #29 T.Reed Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the ISU27 (#8 T.Exline; #0 Z.Hawk)Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-8
97.7%
(07:38) Shotgun #29 T.Reed Jr. rush right for 8 yards loss to the ISU35 fumbled by #29 T.Reed Jr. at ISU33 recovered by SEMO #29 T.Reed Jr. at ISU33 (#16 M.Jones)Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 16
OPP 35
+8
98.1%
(06:52) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short middle to #11 J.Bryant caught at ISU31, for 8 yards to the ISU27 fumbled by #11 J.Bryant at ISU28 forced by #6 D.Surges recovered by ISU #34 B.Goodwin at ISU27 #34 B.Goodwin return 28 yards to the SEMO45, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:4398% → 99%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
98.4%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Pettaway rush right for 2 yards gain to the SEMO43 (#95 T.Miller)Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
98.4%
(06:06) #0 C.Pettaway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SEMO41 (#41 K.McRae; #21 T.Elmore)Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+7
98.4%
(05:21) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 7 yards gain to the SEMO34 (#41 K.McRae), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.5%
(04:50) #0 C.Pettaway rush right for 1 yard gain to the SEMO33 (#94 A.Keefer, Jr.)Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+3
98.2%
(04:10) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 3 yards gain to the SEMO30 (#26 J.Smitherman). #21 A.Flora injured on the playSimilar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+12
98.6%
(03:52) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #89 T.Claiborne thrown to SEMO19, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY SEMO Pass Interference (#7 D.Jones) 12 yards from SEMO30 to SEMO18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
99.0%
(03:46) #3 A.Barnes rush right for 1 yard loss to the SEMO19 (#93 A.Jones)Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+6
99.1%
(03:08) #3 A.Barnes rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SEMO13 (#7 D.Jones)Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 5
OPP 13
-2
99.1%
(02:26) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 2 yards loss to the SEMO15 (#57 M.McAulay; #8 J.Raven)Similar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+33
99.3%
(01:49) #97 K.Konrardy field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler), clock 01:47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 21FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:151% → 1%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
98.9%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush middle for 44 yards gain to the ISU31 (#11 W.Breland), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
98.6%
(01:15) Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush right for 1 yard gain to the ISU30 (#7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+9
98.9%
(00:34) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short right to #17 T.Purnell caught at ISU26, for 9 yards to the ISU21 (#24 B.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.8%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass incomplete short middle to #17 T.Purnell thrown to ISU05Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-4
98.8%
(14:55) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short middle to #16 K.Harris-Norman caught at ISU24, for 4 yards loss to the ISU25 (#10 C.Willich)Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 14
OPP 25
+3
99.1%
(14:10) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short middle to #11 J.Bryant caught at ISU22, for 3 yards to the ISU22 (#7 S.Schlimgen)Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+40
99.0%
(13:23) #17 J.Keller field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #30 T.Cobb, LS: #19 C.Heun), clock 13:20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3299% → 100%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
(13:19) No Huddle #0 C.Pettaway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU27 (#51 R.Dover)Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+40
99.4%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #11 D.Overby caught at ISU40, for 40 yards to the SEMO33, out of bounds at SEMO33, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
99.5%
(12:20) No Huddle #0 C.Pettaway rush middle for 3 yards loss to the SEMO36 (#57 M.McAulay)Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 13
OPP 36
0
99.5%
(11:38) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short left to #3 A.Barnes thrown to SEMO24 broken up by #23 D.DelmoreSimilar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+14
99.4%
(11:34) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 14 yards gain to the SEMO22, out of bounds at SEMO22, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
99.5%
(10:53) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep right to #8 E.Boyd thrown to SEMO00 broken up by #23 D.Delmore, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY SEMO Pass Interference (#23 D.Delmore) 15 yards from SEMO22 to SEMO07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.5%
(10:48) #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #88 C.Greenlaw thrown to SEMO03Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
(10:43) Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:41 #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 23FUMBLE
12 plays · 25 yds · 6:120% → 0%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Spain rush left for 1 yard loss to the SEMO24 (#16 M.Jones; #93 J.Janikowski). #5 B.Ngoyi injured on the playSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
(09:49) Shotgun #15 C.Ruble rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SEMO29 (#24 B.Miller)Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
99.9%
(09:10) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland pass complete short right to #17 T.Purnell caught at SEMO43, for 15 yards to the SEMO44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
(08:27) Shotgun #15 C.Ruble rush left for 7 yards gain to the ISU49 (#26 T.Cotton)Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
(07:46) Shotgun #7 B.Ragland rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU46 (#16 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
(07:24) Shotgun #6 C.Wilson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU43 (#34 B.Goodwin)Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Wilson rush left for 4 yards gain to the ISU39 (#14 D.Russell)Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+2
100.0%
(05:57) Shotgun #6 C.Wilson rush left for 2 yards gain to the ISU37 (#8 T.Exline)Similar
Q4 5:04
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+3
100.0%
(05:11) Shotgun #6 C.Wilson rush right for 3 yards gain to the ISU34 (#14 D.Russell; #96 C.Andrews), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-16
100.0%
(04:29) Shotgun #6 C.Wilson rush right for 16 yards loss to the ISU50 fumbled by #6 C.Wilson at ISU40 recovered by ISU #13 K.Bilal-Jones at SEMO50, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.9%
(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Moberly rush middle for 5 yards loss to the ISU45 (#33 D.King, Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+11
99.9%
(03:40) Shotgun #5 C.Moberly pass complete short right to #23 C.Robbins caught at SEMO44, for 11 yards to the SEMO44 (#23 D.Delmore)Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
100.0%
(03:01) Shotgun #20 C.Francois rush middle for 0 yards to the SEMO44 (#9 L.Minner, Jr.; #57 M.McAulay)Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
100.0%
(02:14) #95 E.Gurney punt 31 yards to the SEMO13 fair catch by #11 J.Bryant at SEMO13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
100.0%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 T.Reed Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SEMO16 (#13 K.Bilal-Jones)Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+4
100.0%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 T.Reed Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the SEMO20 (#91 B.Hawkins; #13 K.Bilal-Jones)Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+10
100.0%
(01:13) Shotgun #29 T.Reed Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the SEMO30 (#20 T.Sorrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
(00:39) Shotgun #29 T.Reed Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SEMO33 (#40 L.Kalsbeck)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:50
(02:54) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #25 E.Miller caught at SEMO07, for 10 yards to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:50, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)
+3.3
TD · Q2 4:54
(05:01) #21 A.Flora rush middle for 11 yards gain to the SEMO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:54, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #99 J.DuPont, LS: #57 G.Schieler)
+2.6
TD · Q2 10:39
(10:44) Shotgun #6 C.Wilson rush left for 7 yards gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:39, 1ST DOWN #17 J.Keller kick attempt good (H: #30 T.Cobb, LS: #19 C.Heun)
-2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com