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NICH

Nicholls 3 at Kansas State 71

KSU
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreNICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:36 · (00:48) #16 P.Harewood punt 54 yards to the KSTATE34 #8 B.White return 4 yards to the KSTATE38 (#35 E.Moore; #32 J.Milton)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+24.4Home team on offense+35.8Score differential+29.5Blowout margin+17.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.4Garbage-time factor+7.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:59: (07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush left for 10 yards gain to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:59, 1ST DOWN #0 L.Cure rush attempt Successful — KSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:29: (00:49) #16 P.Harewood punt 50 yards to the KSTATE35 #8 B.White return 65 yards to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:29 #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson) — KSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:09: (10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush right for 26 yards gain to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:09, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson) — KSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 5:48: (05:51) #88 K.Phan field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #16 P.Harewood, LS: #49 J.Bellanger), clock 05:48 — NICH win probability +0.5 pts (now 1%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:58: (02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #4 J.Jackson caught at NICH32, for 43 yards to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:58, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson) — KSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NICH made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 11:03NICH 4th & 8 at NICH 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:07NICH 4th & 10 at NICH 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:43KSU 4th & 6 at NICH 48, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:29NICH 4th & 1 at NICH 15, down 15
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:44NICH 4th & 4 at NICH 41, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:32NICH 4th & 12 at NICH 45, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:43NICH 4th & 9 at KSU 29, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:48NICH 4th & 8 at KSU 15, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:17NICH 4th & 11 at NICH 36, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:28NICH 4th & 10 at NICH 25, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:36NICH 4th & 23 at NICH 12, down 54
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:19NICH 4th & 6 at NICH 29, down 61
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:02NICH 4th & 9 at NICH 47, down 68
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:52KSU 4th & 19 at KSU 6, up 68
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:36KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:59KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:29KSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:09KSU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:58KSU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:52KSU Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:08KSU Touchdown, up 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:02KSU Touchdown, up 67 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:1399% → 99%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.1%
(14:54) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #12 J.Tibbs caught at KSTATE30, for 8 yards to the KSTATE31 (#12 G.Bailey Jr.), out of bounds PENALTY NICH Personal Foul (#12 G.Bailey Jr.) 15 yards from KSTATE31 to KSTATE46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
99.1%
(14:36) Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 21 yards gain to the NICH33 (#1 K.Loftin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.1%
(14:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #5 J.Manning thrown to NICH20Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+26
99.1%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #86 G.Oakley caught at NICH37, for 26 yards to the NICH07 (#1 K.Loftin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.1%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush right for 0 yards to the NICH07 (#44 E.Segrest)Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.0%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #12 J.Tibbs caught at NICH00, for 7 yards to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:36 #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:231% → 1%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
(12:35) Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass complete short left to #12 J.Smith caught at NICH26, for 2 yards to the NICH27 (#10 L.Bartley)Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
99.0%
(12:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Lee rush left for 4 yards loss to the NICH23 (#35 G.Powers)Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
99.0%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass complete short right to #8 E.Stewart caught at NICH22, for 4 yards to the NICH27 (#4 M.Mason)Similar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.0%
(11:04) #16 P.Harewood punt 19 yards to the NICH46, out of bounds at NICH46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:5699% → 99%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
99.0%
(11:02) Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the NICH36 (#23 G.Duplechin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
98.9%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep middle to #8 B.White thrown to NICH00Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-2
98.9%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NICH38 (#45 A.Villavaso)Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+13
98.8%
(09:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #8 B.White caught at NICH25, for 13 yards to the NICH25, out of bounds at NICH25, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
98.8%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the NICH22 (#17 S.Husband)Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+7
98.8%
(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.White rush right for 7 yards gain to the NICH15 (#7 J.Shelby Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
98.8%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 5 yards gain to the NICH10 (#11 A.Okelo-Johnson; #19 K.Pollard)Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
98.9%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush left for 10 yards gain to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:59, 1ST DOWN #0 L.Cure rush attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:461% → 1%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
(06:59) Shotgun #4 S.Lee rush middle for 0 yards to the NICH25 (#35 G.Powers; #0 K.Beasley)Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
(06:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass incomplete deep left to #8 E.Stewart thrown to NICH50Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass incomplete deep right to #86 G.Donaldson thrown to KSTATE45Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
(06:14) #16 P.Harewood punt 52 yards to the KSTATE23, out of bounds at KSTATE23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:1799% → 99%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.8%
(06:05) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSTATE25 (#99 J.Lightfoot)Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+4
98.8%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #5 J.Manning caught at KSTATE28, for 4 yards to the KSTATE29 (#7 J.Shelby Jr.)Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+5
98.8%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #80 W.Anciaux caught at KSTATE31, for 5 yards to the KSTATE34 (#25 A.Haynes), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.8%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the KSTATE34 (#1 K.Loftin)Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+14
98.7%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #80 W.Anciaux caught at KSTATE48, for 14 yards to the KSTATE48 (#17 S.Husband), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.8%
(03:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep left to #5 J.Manning thrown to NICH25 broken up by #7 J.Shelby Jr.Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.7%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NICH48 (#23 G.Duplechin)Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
98.7%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #86 G.Oakley thrown to NICH44Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
98.7%
(02:49) #8 S.McClannan punt 42 yards to the NICH06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 6PUNT TD
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:012% → 1%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
98.5%
(02:41) Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass complete short left to #8 E.Stewart caught at NICH12, for 9 yards to the NICH15 (#35 G.Powers; #25 Z.Rich)Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 1
OWN 15
-3
98.4%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Hoffman rush left for 3 yards loss to the NICH12 (#35 G.Powers)Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+3
98.6%
(01:25) Shotgun #6 T.Hoffman rush left for 3 yards gain to the NICH15 (#91 J.Allen; #10 L.Bartley)Similar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 1
OWN 15
+65
99.1%
(00:49) #16 P.Harewood punt 50 yards to the KSTATE35 #8 B.White return 65 yards to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:29 #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:341% → 1%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.0%
(00:28) Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass complete short left to #13 J.Dufrene caught at NICH35, for 6 yards to the NICH41 (#18 W.Fair)Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
99.0%
(14:59) Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass incomplete short right to #3 K.Johnson thrown to NICH45 broken up by #88 E.JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
99.0%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass incomplete short right to #12 J.Smith thrown to KSTATE40 QB hurried by #91 J.AllenSimilar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.0%
(14:49) #16 P.Harewood punt 24 yards to the KSTATE35, out of bounds at KSTATE35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:3799% → 99%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
99.1%
(14:43) Shotgun #9 J.Harris rush middle for 14 yards gain to the KSTATE49 (#23 G.Duplechin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.2%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Harris rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NICH47 fumbled by #9 J.Harris at NICH48 forced by #45 A.Villavaso recovered by NICH #20 K.Martin Jr. at NICH47, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:221% → 1%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.0%
(13:56) Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass incomplete short right to #86 G.Donaldson thrown to KSTATE48Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
99.0%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass incomplete short right to #86 G.Donaldson thrown to KSTATE47Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-2
99.0%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Lee rush right for 2 yards loss to the NICH45 (#91 J.Allen) PENALTY NICH Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
99.0%
(13:37) #46 W.Guidry punt 20 yards to the KSTATE35, out of bounds at KSTATE35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 3:0999% → 100%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
99.1%
(13:31) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #5 J.Manning caught at KSTATE49, for 18 yards to the NICH47 (#17 S.Husband), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.2%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NICH45, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
99.2%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #4 J.Jackson caught at NICH41, for 5 yards to the NICH40 (#21 K.Jones)Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+7
99.1%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NICH33 (#45 A.Villavaso; #23 G.Duplechin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
99.2%
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush left for 7 yards gain to the NICH26, out of bounds at NICH26Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+26
99.5%
(10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush right for 26 yards gain to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:09, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 11FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:120% → 1%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
(10:07) Shotgun #6 T.Hoffman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NICH27 (#88 E.Jackson)Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
99.6%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Hoffman rush left for 17 yards gain to the NICH44 fumbled by #6 T.Hoffman at NICH44 forced by #28 R.Van Wyhe recovered by NICH #6 T.Hoffman at NICH44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
99.6%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue rush right for 26 yards gain to the KSTATE30 (#0 K.Beasley), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.6%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Lee rush left for 0 yards to the KSTATE30 (#0 K.Beasley)Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-3
99.6%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass complete short left to #9 T.Whaley caught at KSTATE36, for 3 yards loss to the KSTATE33 (#39 T.Bates)Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+4
99.7%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Lee rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSTATE29 (#15 K.Burns; #18 W.Fair)Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+12
99.5%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass complete short left to #12 J.Smith caught at KSTATE17, for 12 yards to the KSTATE17 (#34 N.McClellan), 1ST DOWN. #4 M.Mason injured on the playSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.6%
(06:28) Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass incomplete short middle to #8 E.Stewart thrown to KSTATE10 broken up by #15 K.BurnsSimilar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.6%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSTATE15 (#21 J.Scott)Similar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
99.6%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass incomplete short right to #12 J.Smith thrown to KSTATE00Similar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
99.1%
(05:51) #88 K.Phan field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #16 P.Harewood, LS: #49 J.Bellanger), clock 05:48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:3299% → 100%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
99.3%
(05:36) Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the KSTATE33 (#20 K.Martin Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.3%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep left to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to NICH21 broken up by #7 J.Shelby Jr.Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.3%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 9 yards gain to the KSTATE42 (#25 A.Haynes)Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
99.3%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSTATE44 (#20 K.Martin Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.4%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the KSTATE47 (#7 J.Shelby Jr.)Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
99.3%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush right for 6 yards gain to the NICH47, out of bounds at NICH47Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+4
99.4%
(02:41) Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the NICH43 (#17 S.Husband), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.7%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #4 J.Jackson caught at NICH32, for 43 yards to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:58, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 13END OF HALF
11 plays · 24 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
(01:57) Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NICH26 (#10 L.Bartley)Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
99.8%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Hoffman rush right for 12 yards gain to the NICH38 (#10 L.Bartley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.8%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Hoffman rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NICH39 (#1 W.Gregory)Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
99.8%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass incomplete short left to #86 G.Donaldson thrown to KSTATE46. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass intercepted by #0 K.Beasley at KSTATE46, End Of Play)Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+9
99.8%
(00:17) Shotgun #4 S.Lee rush right for 9 yards gain to the NICH48 (#10 L.Bartley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
99.8%
(00:13) Shotgun #4 S.Lee rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NICH46 (#1 W.Gregory; #91 J.Allen)Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+3
99.8%
(00:01) Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue rush right for 3 yards gain to the NICH49 (#6 D.Whitaker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.7%
Shotgun #4 S.Lee rush right for 8 yards gain to the NICH33 (#25 Z.Rich)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Lee rush middle for 0 yards to the NICH33 (#35 G.Powers; #91 J.Allen)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue rush left for 4 yards gain to the NICH37 (#0 K.Beasley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 S.Lee rush right for 1 yard loss to the NICH36 (#15 K.Burns)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass incomplete short left to #12 J.Smith thrown to NICH50Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass complete short left to #4 S.Lee caught at NICH31, for 0 yards to the NICH36 (#40 J.Bryant)Similar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
99.8%
#16 P.Harewood punt 26 yards to the KSTATE38, out of bounds at KSTATE38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:39100% → 100%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
99.8%
(12:16) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #86 G.Oakley caught at KSTATE49, for 14 yards to the NICH48 (#44 E.Segrest), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
(11:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NICH43 (#1 K.Loftin; #7 J.Shelby Jr.). #91 C.Chesser injured on the playSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+7
99.8%
(11:15) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #8 B.White caught at NICH37, for 7 yards to the NICH36 (#17 S.Husband), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
99.8%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #12 J.Tibbs caught at NICH25, for 11 yards to the NICH25 (#1 K.Loftin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.8%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the NICH24 (#1 K.Loftin)Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
99.8%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep right to #0 L.Cure thrown to NICH00Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+13
99.8%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #12 J.Tibbs caught at NICH12, for 13 yards to the NICH11 (#17 S.Husband), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #5 J.Manning caught at NICH00, for 11 yards to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:28, 1ST DOWN #37 R.Hammond III kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:290% → 0%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
(08:27) Shotgun #6 T.Hoffman rush middle for 11 yards gain to the NICH36 (#88 E.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue sacked for loss of 12 yards to the NICH24 (#6 D.Whitaker), fumble by #11 E.Rodrigue recovered by KSTATE #6 D.Whitaker at NICH24, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
99.9%
(07:40) Shotgun #3 B.Barnett rush right for 3 yards loss to the NICH27, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+10
99.9%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 10 yards gain to the NICH17 (#13 Z.Dilworth)Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+6
99.9%
(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NICH11 (#17 S.Husband), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 11 yards gain to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:52, 1ST DOWN #37 R.Hammond III kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #45 J.Duffield)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
(05:50) Shotgun #6 T.Hoffman rush left for 2 yards loss to the NICH23 (#23 A.Newsom)Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Hoffman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NICH25 (#40 J.Bryant)Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(04:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass incomplete short left to #6 T.Hoffman thrown to NICH25 broken up by #20 J.Oliphant Jr. QB hurried by #40 J.Bryant and #15 K.BurnsSimilar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(04:30) #16 P.Harewood punt 42 yards to the KSTATE33 fair catch by #8 B.White at KSTATE33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:14100% → 100%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
99.9%
(04:27) Shotgun #9 J.Harris rush left for 17 yards gain to the KSTATE50 (#23 G.Duplechin), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Barnett pass incomplete short right to #15 D.Salley Jr. thrown to NICH38Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
50
+2
99.9%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Harris rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NICH48 (#15 R.Brown; #56 K.Hills)Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+10
99.9%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Barnett pass complete short middle to #1 I.Williams caught at NICH40, for 10 yards to the NICH38 (#23 G.Duplechin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Harris rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NICH33 (#1 K.Loftin)Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+11
99.9%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Barnett pass complete short right to #15 D.Salley Jr. caught at NICH30, for 11 yards to the NICH22 (#13 Z.Dilworth), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NICH Illegal Use Of Hands (#20 K.Martin Jr.) 11 yard from NICH22 to NICH11, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
(02:08) Shotgun #9 J.Harris rush left for 11 yards gain to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:08, 1ST DOWN #37 R.Hammond III kick attempt good (H: #29 D.Davidson, LS: #45 J.Duffield)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
(02:07) Shotgun #11 E.Rodrigue pass incomplete short middle to #48 S.White thrown to NICH25 broken up by #2 A.MaddoxSimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-18
100.0%
(02:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Nicholls rush middle for 18 yards loss to the NICH07 fumbled by Nicholls at NICH07 recovered by NICH #32 J.Milton at NICH07, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 28
OWN 7
+5
100.0%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 J.Milton rush left for 5 yards gain to the NICH12 (#56 E.Hill)Similar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+4
100.0%
(00:48) #16 P.Harewood punt 54 yards to the KSTATE34 #8 B.White return 4 yards to the KSTATE38 (#35 E.Moore; #32 J.Milton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:14100% → 100%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
(00:33) Shotgun #3 B.Barnett rush left for 6 yards gain to the KSTATE44 (#12 G.Bailey Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+10
99.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #31 M.Elston Jr. rush right for 19 yards gain to the NICH37 (#23 G.Duplechin), out of bounds PENALTY KSTATE Holding (#1 I.Williams) 10 yards from KSTATE44 to KSTATE34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
(14:39) Shotgun #3 B.Barnett pass complete short middle to #15 D.Salley Jr. caught at KSTATE40, for 6 yards to the KSTATE40 (#13 Z.Dilworth)Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+14
99.9%
(14:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Barnett pass complete short middle to #15 D.Salley Jr. caught at NICH49, for 14 yards to the NICH46 (#41 C.Diedrich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.9%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 M.Elston Jr. rush middle for 46 yards gain to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:19, 1ST DOWN #37 R.Hammond III kick attempt good (H: #29 D.Davidson, LS: #45 J.Duffield)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
(13:16) Shotgun #27 D.Blackburn rush left for 4 yards gain to the NICH29 (#3 J.Prevard)Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Johnson rush right for 0 yards to the NICH29 (#5 M.Graham Jr.)Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 P.Welch rush middle for 0 yards to the NICH29 (#44 W.Polk)Similar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+21
100.0%
(11:28) #16 P.Harewood punt 49 yards to the KSTATE22 #6 S.Lockett return 21 yards to the KSTATE43 (#43 T.Santos)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
99.9%
(11:16) Shotgun #31 M.Elston Jr. rush left for 16 yards gain to the NICH41 (#15 R.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.9%
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Knuth pass complete short right to #15 D.Salley Jr. caught at NICH34, for 7 yards to the NICH34 (#13 Z.Dilworth)Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
(10:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 M.Elston Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NICH30 (#40 K.Fuller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
100.0%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 M.Elston Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NICH25 (#13 Z.Dilworth)Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+18
100.0%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Knuth rush right for 18 yards gain to the NICH07 (#40 K.Fuller), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
100.0%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Knuth rush right for 5 yards gain to the NICH02 (#14 K.Dillard), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Knuth rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:02 #96 A.O'Neill kick attempt good (H: #29 D.Davidson, LS: #46 S.Dolphens)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:490% → 0%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
(08:00) Shotgun #32 J.Milton rush middle for 0 yards to the NICH35 (#56 E.Hill)Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
(07:11) Shotgun #15 P.Welch rush left for 9 yards gain to the NICH44 (#2 A.Maddox)Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
100.0%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 P.Welch rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NICH46 (#30 D.Knapp), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
100.0%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 J.Milton rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NICH44 (#20 J.Oliphant Jr.)Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+6
100.0%
(05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 P.Welch rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NICH50 (#26 S.Schilke)Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 6
50
-3
100.0%
(04:50) Shotgun #27 D.Blackburn rush right for 3 yards loss to the NICH47 (#30 D.Knapp)Similar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
100.0%
(04:10) #16 P.Harewood punt 38 yards to the KSTATE15 fair catch by #6 S.Lockett at KSTATE15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-14
100.0%
(04:01) Shotgun Kansas State rush middle for 14 yards loss to the KSTATE01 fumbled by Kansas State at KSTATE15 recovered by KSTATE #7 J.Knuth at KSTATE01, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 24
OWN 1
+4
100.0%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 M.Elston Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSTATE05 (#95 L.Jackson)Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 20
OWN 5
+1
100.0%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 M.Elston Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSTATE06 (#96 G.Merritt; #43 T.Santos)Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 19
OWN 6
0
100.0%
(01:56) #8 S.McClannan punt 54 yards to the NICH40 fair catch by #8 E.Stewart at NICH40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
(01:51) Shotgun #35 K.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NICH42 (#41 A.Moore)Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+1
100.0%
(01:04) Shotgun #35 K.Williams rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NICH43 (#41 A.Moore)Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+7
100.0%
(00:24) Shotgun #35 K.Williams rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NICH50 (#16 D.Ackerson Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:29
(00:49) #16 P.Harewood punt 50 yards to the KSTATE35 #8 B.White return 65 yards to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:29 #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)
+0.5
FG · Q2 5:48
(05:51) #88 K.Phan field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #16 P.Harewood, LS: #49 J.Bellanger), clock 05:48
-0.5
TD · Q2 10:09
(10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush right for 26 yards gain to the NICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:09, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com