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ACU

Abilene Christian 10 at Texas Tech 33

TTU
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadACU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreACU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.5TTU 99.0%(07:33) #48 S.Harrington field goalattempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #49W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock07:36AWAY 3 - HOME 23 · Q3 7:36
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:36 · (07:33) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 07:36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Pregame prior+33.4Home team on offense+24.2Score differential+17.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6Garbage-time factor+8.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:22: J. Williams run for 5 yds, for a TD (S. Harrington KICK) — TTU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:38: (01:39) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 01:38 — TTU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 13:03: (13:08) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 13:03 — TTU win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:36: (07:33) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 07:36 — TTU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 1:52: (01:52) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 01:52 — TTU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ACU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:41ACU 4th & 9 at ACU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:20ACU 4th & 6 at TTU 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 3:23ACU 4th & 17 at ACU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:38TTU 4th & 4 at ACU 4, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:07ACU 4th & 9 at TTU 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:03TTU 4th & 7 at ACU 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:55ACU 4th & 15 at ACU 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:36TTU 4th & 12 at ACU 15, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:14ACU 4th & 11 at TTU 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:52TTU 4th & 12 at ACU 26, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:03ACU 4th & 9 at TTU 14, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:51TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 19, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:34ACU 4th & 6 at TTU 48, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:09TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 18, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:56TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 19, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ACU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 12:14TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:22TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:45TTU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:29ACU Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:23100% → 99%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.5%
(15:00) Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short left to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU22, for 9 yards to the TTU34 (#12 D.Ponder; #13 G.Brown)Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.5%
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TTU39 (#0 D.Moore; #9 K.Rausaw), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.4%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU44, for 12 yards to the ACU49 (#0 D.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.4%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 12 yards gain to the ACU37 (#9 K.Rausaw; #5 J.Malaska), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
99.4%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at ACU32, for 19 yards to the ACU18 (#12 D.Ponder), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.4%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #20 J.Williams caught at ACU21, for 4 yards to the ACU14 (#0 D.Moore)Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
99.4%
Quinten Joyner run for 14 yds, for a TD (S. Harrington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:571% → 1%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.4%
(11:48) Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #4 C.Driver caught at ACU36, for 14 yards to the ACU39 (#3 P.Morgan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.4%
(11:28) Shotgun #20 A.Broome rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ACU41 (#20 A.Trick)Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
99.3%
(11:03) Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #0 J.York caught at ACU46, for 5 yards to the ACU46 (#3 P.Morgan)Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-6
99.3%
(10:29) Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short left to #20 A.Broome caught at ACU40, for 6 yards loss to the ACU40 (#13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 9
OWN 40
+2
99.3%
(09:41) #20 J.Gilbert punt 49 yards to the TTU11 #2 K.Johnson return 2 yards to the TTU13 (#26 E.Malaska; #27 S.Davis Jr)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3TD
15 plays · 87 yds · 7:1699% → 99%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
99.3%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TTU21 (#25 J.Laine)Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+1
99.3%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TTU22 (#25 J.Laine)Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+7
99.2%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TTU29 (#22 J.Wilcox; #93 C.Herpin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
99.2%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short left to #3 C.Eakin caught at TTU25, for 8 yards to the TTU37 (#3 D.Williams; #25 J.Laine)Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+4
99.2%
(07:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TTU41 (#93 C.Herpin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
99.2%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #1 M.Hudson caught at TTU45, for 11 yards to the ACU48 (#16 J.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.2%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ACU45 (#22 J.Wilcox)Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+14
99.2%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 14 yards gain to the ACU31 (#12 D.Ponder), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.1%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #85 J.Carpenter caught at ACU30, for 1 yard to the ACU30, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+5
99.1%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 Q.Joyner rush left for 5 yards gain to the ACU25 (#93 C.Herpin)Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+7
99.0%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short left to #14 B.Jones caught at ACU20, for 7 yards to the ACU18 (#5 J.Malaska; #0 D.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-4
99.0%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 Q.Joyner rush right for 4 yards loss to the ACU22 (#13 G.Brown)Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 14
OPP 22
+14
99.0%
(03:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #2 K.Johnson caught at ACU15, for 14 yards to the ACU08 (#13 G.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.0%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ACU05 (#7 C.Oku)Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
J. Williams run for 5 yds, for a TD (S. Harrington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 4PUNT
14 plays · 33 yds · 5:011% → 1%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
PENALTY ACU Illegal Snap (#68 C.Lynch) 5 yards from ACU25 to ACU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-2
99.1%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #88 L.Benton III caught at ACU18, for 2 yards loss to the ACU18 (#3 P.Morgan)Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+7
99.0%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #87 B.Henry caught at ACU25, for 7 yards to the ACU25 (#24 M.Esquerra; #8 J.Mathis)Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.0%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black rush right for 17 yards gain to the ACU42 (#15 A.Romaine), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.0%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Banks Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the ACU46 (#24 M.Esquerra)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
98.9%
PENALTY ACU Illegal Snap (#68 C.Lynch) 5 yards from ACU46 to ACU41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+8
98.9%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #4 C.Driver caught at ACU49, for 8 yards to the ACU49 (#9 C.Platt Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+5
98.9%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short left to #19 R.Boykin caught at TTU46, for 5 yards to the TTU46, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.8%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black rush middle for 0 yards to the TTU46 (#51 J.Cofield; #13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
98.8%
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Broome rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TTU42 (#13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
98.8%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete short left to #19 R.Boykin thrown to TTU36 broken up by #6 J.CurrySimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
98.8%
(12:25) #33 H.Nash punt 39 yards to the TTU03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5INT
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:5799% → 99%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+12
98.9%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 12 yards gain to the TTU15 (#3 D.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
98.9%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 5 yards gain to the TTU20 (#13 G.Brown; #3 D.Williams)Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+9
98.9%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short left to #85 J.Carpenter caught at TTU22, for 9 yards to the TTU29 (#7 C.Oku), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
98.8%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at TTU28, for 14 yards to the TTU43 (#22 J.Wilcox) PENALTY TTU Holding (#6 J.Jones) 10 yards from TTU29 to TTU19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+5
98.8%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU17, for 5 yards to the TTU24 (#13 G.Brown)Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+15
98.8%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #1 M.Hudson caught at TTU39, for 15 yards to the TTU39 (#13 G.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.8%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TTU42 (#42 H.Page)Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+2
98.8%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 Q.Joyner rush right for 2 yards gain to the TTU44 (#90 T.Allen; #3 D.Williams)Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+11
98.6%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at ACU45, for 11 yards to the ACU45 (#3 D.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
98.7%
(07:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #6 J.Jones caught at ACU39, for 9 yards to the ACU36 (#12 D.Ponder)Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
98.7%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass intercepted by #22 J.Wilcox at ACU07, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Interception". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete deep right to #9 D.Lee Jr. thrown to ACU10 broken up by #22 J.Wilcox)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 3:372% → 2%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
98.5%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Broome rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ACU10 (#92 B.Butler; #22 M.Ramon-Edwards)Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+6
98.4%
(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short left to #16 L.Moffitt caught at ACU08, for 6 yards to the ACU16 (#24 M.Esquerra)Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 1
OWN 16
0
98.4%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Broome rush left for 0 yards to the ACU16 (#51 J.Cofield; #92 B.Butler)Similar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 1
OWN 16
+5
98.4%
(05:10) #20 J.Gilbert punt 44 yards to the TTU40 #2 K.Johnson return 11 yards to the ACU49 (#41 P.Wyatt), out of bounds PENALTY TTU Offside declined TTU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from ACU16 to ACU21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.3%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete short right thrown to ACU20 QB hurried by #20 A.TrickSimilar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-7
98.3%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ACU14 (#8 J.Mathis)Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 17
OWN 14
0
98.3%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short left to #1 M.McGill caught at ACU11, for 0 yards to the ACU14 (#20 A.Trick)Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 17
OWN 14
0
98.3%
(03:27) #33 H.Nash punt 35 yards to the ACU49 fair catch by #2 K.Johnson at ACU49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:4098% → 99%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
98.4%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU47, for 4 yards to the ACU45 (#16 J.Davis)Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+8
98.4%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #2 K.Johnson caught at ACU38, for 8 yards to the ACU37 (#16 J.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
98.4%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #2 K.Johnson caught at ACU21, for 23 yards to the ACU14 (#22 J.Wilcox), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
98.3%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short middle to #1 M.Hudson thrown to ACU00 QB hurried by #3 D.Williams PENALTY ACU Holding (#7 C.Oku) 7 yards from ACU14 to ACU07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.3%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short right to #2 K.Johnson thrown to ACU00Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.3%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #8 C.Dickey caught at ACU05, for 3 yards to the ACU04 (#18 J.Gibbs)Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.2%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short middle to #1 M.Hudson thrown to ACU00Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+23
98.7%
(01:39) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 01:38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 8FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 1:222% → 2%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Broome rush left for 3 yards gain to the ACU28 (#8 J.Mathis), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.3%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete short right to #13 D.Dudley thrown to ACU36 broken up by #24 M.Esquerra QB hurried by #98 M.IbirogbaSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
98.4%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #4 C.Driver caught at ACU38, for 10 yards to the ACU38, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.3%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete short right to #20 A.Broome thrown to ACU37Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
98.3%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black rush right for 5 yards gain to the ACU43, out of bounds at ACU43Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+15
98.3%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete deep right to #4 C.Driver thrown to TTU35 broken up by #27 A.Boyd PENALTY TTU Offside declined TTU Pass Interference (#27 A.Boyd) 15 yards from ACU43 to TTU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
98.0%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Banks Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TTU40 (#1 J.Laventure)Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
98.0%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete short left to #87 B.Henry thrown to TTU35 broken up by #14 B.PollockSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+15
98.1%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete deep right to #18 S.Weller thrown to TTU13 broken up by #14 B.Pollock PENALTY TTU Pass Interference (#4 D.Martin) 15 yards from TTU40 to TTU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
97.8%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Banks Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TTU24 (#97 C.Anderson Jr.; #98 M.Ibirogba)Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
97.8%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Driver thrown to TTU13 broken up by #27 A.BoydSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
98.0%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete short middle to #1 M.McGill thrown to TTU10 broken up by #13 B.Roberts QB hurried by #20 A.TrickSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
97.8%
(00:07) #23 B.Perez field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #33 H.Nash, LS: #48 L.Adams), clock 00:07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
98.2%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TTU27 (#9 K.Rausaw; #42 H.Page)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-15
98.0%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass intercepted by #6 J.Curry at ACU28 #6 J.Curry return 15 yards to the ACU13 (#62 L.Roaten), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4498% → 98%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
98.2%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 1 yard gain to the ACU12 (#3 D.Williams; #5 J.Malaska)Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-3
98.1%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #20 J.Williams caught at ACU15, for 3 yards loss to the ACU15, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+5
98.0%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #8 C.Dickey caught at ACU10, for 5 yards to the ACU10 (#7 C.Oku)Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
98.2%
(13:08) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 13:03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:592% → 2%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.3%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Banks Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the ACU26 (#15 A.Romaine; #8 J.Mathis)Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
98.3%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Banks Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the ACU27 fumbled by #2 R.Banks Jr. at ACU25 forced by #13 B.Roberts recovered by ACU #59 L.Roaten at ACU27, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
98.3%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ACU20 (#8 J.Mathis, #10 A.Holmes Jr.)Similar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
98.3%
(11:00) #20 J.Gilbert punt 47 yards to the TTU33 fair catch by #11 M.Simmons at TTU33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 3:0699% → 99%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
98.5%
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short left to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU35, for 28 yards to the ACU39 (#12 D.Ponder), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
98.6%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 Q.Joyner rush left for 6 yards gain to the ACU33 (#0 D.Moore), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+2
98.6%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 Q.Joyner rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ACU31 (#0 D.Moore)Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+7
98.6%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 Q.Joyner rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ACU24 (#12 D.Ponder), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
98.6%
(09:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 Q.Joyner rush right for 5 yards gain to the ACU19 (#42 H.Page)Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+6
98.6%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ACU13 (#92 O.Udom; #22 J.Wilcox), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
98.6%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short right to #2 K.Johnson thrown to ACU00 QB hurried by #42 H.PageSimilar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-2
98.6%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush right for 2 yards loss to the ACU15 (#3 D.Williams)Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
98.5%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short middle to #1 M.Hudson thrown to ACU00 broken up by #12 D.PonderSimilar
Q3 7:36
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+33
99.0%
(07:33) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 07:36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 14MISSED FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:151% → 1%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.1%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #4 C.Driver caught at ACU38, for 13 yards to the ACU38 (#14 B.Pollock), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TTU Roughing The Passer (#1 J.Laventure) 15 yards from ACU38 to TTU47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.0%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Broome rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TTU43 (#9 C.Platt Jr.; #23 M.Quiller)Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+10
98.9%
(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Broome rush right for 10 yards gain to the TTU33 (#6 J.Curry; #23 M.Quiller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.8%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete short left to #87 B.Henry thrown to TTU39Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
98.8%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short middle to #20 A.Broome caught at TTU35, for 9 yards to the TTU24 (#24 M.Esquerra)Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 1
OPP 24
-10
98.9%
(05:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TTU34 (#8 J.Mathis) PENALTY ACU Intentional Grounding (#9 J.Black)Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 11
OPP 34
+51
98.9%
(05:12) #23 B.Perez field goal attempt from 51 yards NO GOOD (H: #33 H.Nash, LS: #48 L.Adams), clock 05:14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:1199% → 100%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.0%
(05:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TTU42 (#22 J.Wilcox; #7 C.Oku)Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+5
99.1%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TTU47 (#9 K.Rausaw; #3 D.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
99.0%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short left to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at TTU45, for 2 yards loss to the TTU45 (#3 D.Williams)Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+31
99.0%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #2 K.Johnson caught at ACU40, for 31 yards to the ACU24 (#0 D.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.4%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 0 yards to the ACU24 (#5 J.Malaska), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-2
99.4%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #20 J.Williams caught at ACU30, for 2 yards loss to the ACU26 (#12 D.Ponder; #3 D.Williams)Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 12
OPP 26
0
99.4%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete deep left to #7 T.Carter Jr. thrown to ACU01 broken up by #3 D.WilliamsSimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+45
99.6%
(01:52) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 01:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 16DOWNS
17 plays · 61 yds · 6:411% → 1%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Banks Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the ACU25 (#92 B.Butler)Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.4%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #4 C.Driver caught at ACU43, for 18 yards to the ACU43, out of bounds at ACU43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.4%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #4 C.Driver caught at ACU49, for 7 yards to the ACU50 (#14 B.Pollock)Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 3
50
+2
99.3%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Banks Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TTU48 (#1 J.Laventure; #33 A.Nedore)Similar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+4
99.3%
(14:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Banks Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TTU44 (#6 J.Curry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.4%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #87 B.Henry caught at TTU45, for 0 yards to the TTU44 (#6 J.Curry)Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.4%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete deep right to #4 C.Driver thrown to TTU15 QB hurried by #10 A.Holmes Jr.Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+14
99.4%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Broome rush right for 14 yards gain to the TTU30 (#14 B.Pollock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.3%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #4 C.Driver caught at TTU25, for 5 yards to the TTU25 (#27 A.Boyd)Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
99.3%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete short left to #18 S.Weller thrown to TTU15 QB hurried by #8 J.MathisSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+10
99.3%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Broome rush right for 10 yards gain to the TTU15 (#13 B.Roberts; #33 A.Nedore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
99.3%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Banks Jr. rush left for 1 yard loss to the TTU16 (#15 A.Romaine)Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
99.3%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Driver thrown to TTU00Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+2
99.4%
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Banks Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the TTU14 (#1 J.Laventure; #10 A.Holmes Jr.)Similar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 9
OPP 14
0
99.4%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black rush left for 0 yards to the TTU14 (#1 J.Laventure; #20 A.Trick), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:03100% → 100%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
99.7%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TTU13 (#23 B.Morris; #92 O.Udom)Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
99.7%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short middle to #8 C.Dickey thrown to TTU20Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+6
99.7%
(09:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TTU19 (#22 J.Wilcox)Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
99.7%
(08:51) #49 W.Karoll punt 51 yards to the ACU30 fair catch by #4 C.Driver at ACU30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:101% → 1%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.4%
(08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Driver thrown to ACU43 broken up by #4 D.MartinSimilar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+18
99.4%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #4 C.Driver caught at ACU35, for 18 yards to the ACU48 (#9 C.Platt Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.4%
(08:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Broome rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ACU50 (#98 M.Ibirogba; #51 J.Cofield)Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 8
50
0
99.4%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Henry thrown to TTU39Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 8
50
+2
99.5%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Black pass complete short right to #20 A.Broome caught at ACU48, for 2 yards to the TTU48 (#98 M.Ibirogba; #9 C.Platt Jr.)Similar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 6
OPP 48
+4
99.5%
(06:41) #33 H.Nash punt 43 yards to the TTU05 #11 M.Simmons return 4 yards to the TTU09 (#26 E.Malaska)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:38100% → 100%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
99.8%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TTU13 (#13 G.Brown)Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+5
99.7%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #3 C.Eakin caught at TTU18, for 5 yards to the TTU18, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 1
OWN 18
0
99.7%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 0 yards to the TTU18 (#23 B.Morris)Similar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+5
99.7%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TTU23 (#22 J.Wilcox; #23 B.Morris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.7%
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TTU28 (#9 K.Rausaw)Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
99.7%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush right for 4 yards gain to the TTU32 (#5 J.Malaska)Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
99.8%
(03:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TTU35 (#9 K.Rausaw), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.8%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TTU36 (#13 G.Brown)Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+64
100.0%
(02:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete deep right to #11 M.Simmons caught at ACU41, for 64 yards to the ACU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:45, 1ST DOWN #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
99.8%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 Q.Joyner rush middle for 3 yards loss to the TTU10 (#18 J.Gibbs)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 13
OWN 10
0
99.8%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Francis pass incomplete deep right to #17 L.Stone thrown to TTU30 QB hurried by #3 D.WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 13
OWN 10
+9
99.8%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 Q.Joyner rush middle for 9 yards gain to the TTU19 (#23 B.Morris)Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 4
OWN 19
+50
99.8%
(01:01) #49 W.Karoll punt 50 yards to the ACU31 muffed by #4 C.Driver at ACU31 recovered by ACU #4 C.Driver at ACU30, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:301% → 1%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.4%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Banks Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the ACU32 (#23 M.Quiller)Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
99.4%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Banks Jr. rush left for 7 yards gain to the ACU39 (#0 M.Harrison-Pilot)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+0.6
FG · Q3 7:36
(07:33) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 07:36
+0.5
FG · Q2 1:38
(01:39) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #49 W.Karoll, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 01:38
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com