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LIU

Long Island University 6 at Kansas 51

KU
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2026 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadLIU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreLIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG—KU 100.0%(01:58) #24 W.Johnson field goalattempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #47C.Brent, LS: #44 J.Campisi), clock01:56AWAY 6 - HOME 51 · Q4 1:56
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:56 · (01:58) #24 W.Johnson field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #47 C.Brent, LS: #44 J.Campisi), clock 01:56
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 166Pregame prior+3.5Home team on offense+36.3Score differential+30.4Blowout margin+19.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.0Garbage-time factor+8.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:59: (06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush left for 5 yards gain to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:59 #11 T.Nagy pass attempt failed — KU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:46: (09:48) #29 M.Connington field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #49 H.Moeller, LS: #39 R.Monteforte), clock 09:46 — KU win probability +0.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:10: (06:13) Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 10 yards gain to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:10 #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #11 T.Nagy, LS: #49 H.Moeller) — KU win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:50: (03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Dupree rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:50 #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #11 T.Nagy, LS: #49 H.Moeller) — KU win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:57: (00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short left to #5 N.McMillan caught at LIU00, for 19 yards to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:57, 1ST DOWN #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #49 H.Moeller, LS: #39 R.Monteforte) — KU win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:34LIU 4th & 9 at LIU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19KU 4th & 3 at LIU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:07LIU 4th & 12 at LIU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:16LIU 4th & 14 at KU 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:00KU 4th & 1 at LIU 19, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:46KU 4th & 7 at LIU 14, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:09LIU 4th & 15 at LIU 20, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:38LIU 4th & 2 at LIU 33, down 16
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:00LIU 4th & 7 at LIU 38, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:01KU 4th & 1 at LIU 16, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:09LIU 4th & 11 at KU 22, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:50LIU 4th & 7 at LIU 28, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:44LIU 4th & 2 at KU 26, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:56LIU 4th & 11 at KU 21, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 5:59KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:10KU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:50KU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:57KU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:13KU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:19KU Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:22KU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
(14:59) Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass incomplete short left to #3 T.Spencer thrown to LIU22Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LIU27 (#44 D.Santiago)Similar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
99.0%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani sacked for loss of 1 yard to the LIU26 (#7 D.Crouch)Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+17
98.9%
(13:43) #47 C.Brent punt 45 yards to the KU29 #11 T.Nagy return 17 yards to the KU46 (#25 I.Spivey)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:0799% → 99%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
98.9%
(13:33) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short left to #5 N.McMillan caught at KU48, for 11 yards to the LIU43 (#22 R.Maxwell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
98.9%
(12:56) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LIU40 (#1 J.McGurn)Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
98.9%
(12:18) Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LIU35 (#6 L.Hall)Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-1
98.8%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short right to #1 D.Edwards caught at LIU37, for 1 yard loss to the LIU36 (#40 R.Mills)Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
98.8%
(11:23) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass incomplete short middle to #44 C.Bruhn thrown to LIU25, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:031% → 1%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
98.7%
(11:18) Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIU38 (#7 D.Crouch). #7 D.Crouch injured on the playSimilar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-3
98.7%
(10:57) Shotgun #21 S.Slade rush middle for 3 yards loss to the LIU35 (#33 L.Harris III)Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
98.7%
(10:17) Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass incomplete short left to #5 J.Young thrown to LIU33 broken up by #56 M.CalvinSimilar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+1
98.7%
(10:13) #47 C.Brent punt 36 yards to the KU29 #11 T.Nagy return 1 yard to the KU30 (#42 S.Ntambwe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:5699% → 99%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
98.6%
(10:05) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short middle to #44 C.Bruhn caught at KU45, for 21 yards to the LIU49 (#1 J.McGurn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
98.6%
(09:34) Shotgun #1 D.Edwards rush left for 2 yards gain to the LIU47 (#6 L.Hall)Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+20
98.6%
(08:56) Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush left for 20 yards gain to the LIU27 (#22 R.Maxwell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.5%
(08:04) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass incomplete short left to #9 J.Butler thrown to LIU20 broken up by #7 M.Durden, Jr.Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
98.5%
(08:00) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LIU25 (#5 K.Brown)Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+10
98.4%
(07:22) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall rush right for 6 yards gain to the LIU19 (#22 R.Maxwell), out of bounds PENALTY KU Holding (#52 N.Morrow) 10 yards from LIU25 to LIU35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 18
OPP 35
+19
98.3%
(06:54) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short left to #5 N.McMillan caught at LIU37, for 19 yards to the LIU16 (#22 R.Maxwell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
98.4%
(06:33) Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LIU09 (#42 S.Ntambwe)Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+4
98.3%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LIU05 (#33 J.Barry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.5%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush left for 5 yards gain to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:59 #11 T.Nagy pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 4:382% → 2%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
(05:57) Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani rush middle for 0 yards to the LIU25 (#9 D.Brinkley)Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.3%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass complete short right to #8 E.Brooks caught at LIU37, for 12 yards to the LIU37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
98.3%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass complete short left to #25 N.Hennigan caught at LIU35, for 3 yards to the LIU40 (#4 T.Lathan)Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+8
98.2%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass complete short middle to #86 G.Marino caught at LIU38, for 8 yards to the LIU48 (#4 T.Lathan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.1%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass incomplete short right to #86 G.Marino thrown to KU48Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.1%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani rush right for 2 yards gain to the LIU50 (#13 Q.Davis), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 8
50
+11
98.1%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass complete short left to #5 J.Young caught at KU41, for 11 yards to the KU39 (#2 S.Gibbs), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.0%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Hennigan rush middle for 0 yards to the KU39 (#44 D.Santiago)Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-4
97.9%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani sacked for loss of 4 yards to the KU43 (#4 T.Lathan)Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 14
OPP 43
0
97.9%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass incomplete short left to #5 J.Young thrown to KU41 broken up by #22 K.Cummings-Coleman QB hurried by #4 T.LathanSimilar
Q1 1:16
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
98.0%
(01:20) #47 C.Brent punt 33 yards to the KU10 fair catch by #11 T.Nagy at KU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6FG
20 plays · 76 yds · 6:2098% → 97%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
97.9%
(01:12) Shotgun #1 D.Edwards rush right for 17 yards gain to the KU27 (#22 R.Maxwell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
97.9%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 I.Marshall rush right for 13 yards gain to the KU40 (#33 J.Barry), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.9%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Edwards rush middle for 0 yards to the KU40 (#20 R.Fasolino)Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
97.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short left to #1 D.Edwards caught at KU41, for 6 yards to the KU46, out of bounds at KU46Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+8
97.8%
(14:23) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short left to #3 K.Kubecka caught at KU50, for 8 yards to the LIU46 (#0 N.Livingston), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
97.8%
(13:49) Shotgun #1 D.Edwards rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LIU40 (#6 L.Hall)Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+10
97.8%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Edwards rush left for 5 yards gain to the LIU35 (#6 L.Hall) PENALTY KU Holding (#75 C.Clements) 10 yards from LIU40 to LIU50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 14
50
+5
97.6%
(13:09) Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LIU45 (#42 S.Ntambwe)Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+17
97.6%
(12:27) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short left to #5 N.McMillan caught at LIU28, for 17 yards to the LIU28, out of bounds at LIU28, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
97.7%
(12:16) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall rush right for 3 yards gain to the LIU25 (#33 J.Barry; #22 R.Maxwell)Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
97.7%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LIU20 (#5 K.Brown)Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
97.5%
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIU19 (#5 K.Brown; #33 J.Barry)Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+2
97.4%
(11:06) #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LIU17 (#32 F.Matos; #20 R.Fasolino), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
97.5%
(10:25) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass incomplete short middle to #5 N.McMillan thrown to LIU05 broken up by #32 F.Matos. #32 F.Matos injured on the playSimilar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
97.5%
(10:21) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall rush right for 3 yards gain to the LIU14 (#1 J.McGurn; #42 S.Ntambwe)Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
97.4%
(09:53) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass incomplete short left to #3 K.Kubecka thrown to LIU00Similar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+32
97.4%
(09:48) #29 M.Connington field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #49 H.Moeller, LS: #39 R.Monteforte), clock 09:46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:213% → 3%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.5%
(09:45) Shotgun #3 T.Spencer rush middle for 1 yard loss to the LIU24 (#33 L.Harris III)Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
97.5%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 T.Spencer rush right for 4 yards loss to the LIU20 (#33 L.Harris III)Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
97.5%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass incomplete short left to #8 E.Brooks thrown to LIU24 QB hurried by #33 L.Harris IIISimilar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+3
97.5%
(08:19) #47 C.Brent punt 51 yards to the KU29 #11 T.Nagy return 3 yards to the KU32 (#86 G.Marino; #25 I.Spivey)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:5097% → 98%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
97.2%
(08:07) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short right to #1 D.Edwards caught at KU30, for 13 yards to the KU45 (#40 R.Mills), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
97.3%
(07:27) Shotgun #1 D.Edwards rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KU49 (#44 Q.Wright)Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+46
97.3%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete deep left to #5 N.McMillan caught at LIU05, for 46 yards to the LIU05, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.3%
PENALTY KU False Start (#75 C.Clements) 5 yards from LIU05 to LIU10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
98.4%
(06:13) Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 10 yards gain to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:10 #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #11 T.Nagy, LS: #49 H.Moeller)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:262% → 2%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass incomplete deep right to #5 J.Young thrown to KU50 QB hurried by #44 D.SantiagoSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.9%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 S.Slade rush middle for 1 yard loss to the LIU24 (#44 D.Santiago; #11 M.Curvey)Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+9
97.9%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass complete short right to #5 J.Young caught at LIU28, for 9 yards to the LIU33 (#2 S.Gibbs), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+10
97.7%
(04:46) #47 C.Brent punt 49 yards to the KU18 #11 T.Nagy return 10 yards to the KU28 (#25 I.Spivey; #86 G.Marino), out of bounds PENALTY LIU Personal Foul (#86 G.Marino) 15 yards from KU28 to KU43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:3998% → 99%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
98.3%
(04:36) Shotgun #4 J.Dupree rush left for 7 yards gain to the KU50 (#6 L.Hall)Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 3
50
+47
98.3%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete deep middle to #0 N.Cox caught at LIU03, for 47 yards to the LIU03, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Dupree rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:50 #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #11 T.Nagy, LS: #49 H.Moeller)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:391% → 1%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Hennigan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LIU27 (#9 D.Brinkley; #13 Q.Davis)Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
98.9%
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani rush right for 8 yards gain to the LIU35, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
98.8%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani rush left for 2 yards loss to the LIU33 fumbled by #11 L.Stanzani at LIU33 recovered by LIU #11 L.Stanzani at LIU33, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+5
98.9%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass complete short left to #7 J.Brown caught at LIU36, for 5 yards to the LIU38 (#5 R.Pearson)Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
98.8%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass incomplete short right to #5 J.Young thrown to KU47Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+17
98.8%
(02:12) #47 C.Brent punt 43 yards to the KU19 #11 T.Nagy return 17 yards to the KU36, out of bounds at KU36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 0:5399% → 100%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
99.1%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short right to #1 D.Edwards caught at KU30, for 16 yards to the LIU48 (#22 R.Maxwell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.1%
(01:49) Shotgun #1 D.Edwards rush right for 3 yards gain to the LIU45, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+18
99.2%
(01:35) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short middle to #5 N.McMillan caught at LIU27, for 18 yards to the LIU27, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.2%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush left for 8 yards gain to the LIU19 (#3 B.Vincent)Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
99.7%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short left to #5 N.McMillan caught at LIU00, for 19 yards to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:57, 1ST DOWN #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #49 H.Moeller, LS: #39 R.Monteforte)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:290% → 0%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.8%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 N.Gray rush right for 1 yard gain to the LIU26 (#4 T.Lathan) PENALTY LIU Holding (#52 R.Yakovchuk) 10 yards from LIU25 to LIU15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-4
99.8%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 N.Gray rush right for 4 yards loss to the LIU11 (#33 L.Harris III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14TD
17 plays · 72 yds · 6:38100% → 100%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.7%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Dupree rush left for 3 yards gain to the KU31 (#20 R.Fasolino)Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
99.7%
(14:29) Shotgun #4 J.Dupree rush right for 3 yards gain to the KU34 (#6 L.Hall). #6 L.Hall injured on the playSimilar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+13
99.7%
(14:06) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall rush right for 13 yards gain to the KU47 (#32 F.Matos), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.7%
(13:28) Shotgun #4 J.Dupree rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LIU48 (#22 R.Maxwell)Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+5
99.7%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Dupree rush left for 5 yards gain to the LIU43 (#20 R.Fasolino), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.8%
(12:36) Shotgun #28 M.Johnson rush left for 6 yards gain to the LIU37, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+12
99.8%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 I.Marshall rush right for 12 yards gain to the LIU25 (#22 R.Maxwell), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LIU Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.8%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Dupree rush left for 2 yards gain to the LIU23 (#1 J.McGurn)Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+6
99.8%
(11:19) Shotgun #4 J.Dupree rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LIU17 (#42 S.Ntambwe)Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
99.8%
(10:43) Shotgun #4 J.Dupree rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIU16 (#20 R.Fasolino)Similar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+1
99.8%
(10:08) Shotgun #28 M.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIU15 (#42 S.Ntambwe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
99.8%
(09:29) Shotgun #28 M.Johnson rush middle for 13 yards gain to the LIU02 (#32 F.Matos; #22 R.Maxwell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+10
99.8%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 I.Marshall rush right for 2 yards gain to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:07 PENALTY KU Holding (#85 C.Moses) 10 yards from LIU02 to LIU12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
99.8%
(09:05) Shotgun #28 M.Johnson rush left for 6 yards gain to the LIU06 (#32 F.Matos)Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.8%
(08:23) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass incomplete short right to #11 T.Nagy thrown to LIU08Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
(08:17) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short middle to #11 T.Nagy caught at LIU00, for 6 yards to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:13 #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #49 H.Moeller, LS: #39 R.Monteforte)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 15FUMBLE
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:490% → 0%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LIU28 (#13 Q.Davis)Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
99.9%
(07:32) Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani rush right for 11 yards gain to the LIU39 (#27 T.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
99.9%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass complete short right to #10 J.Simpson caught at LIU45, for 10 yards to the LIU49 (#1 J.Todd; #13 Q.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.9%
(06:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass complete short right to #10 J.Simpson caught at KU41, for 11 yards to the KU40 (#27 T.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
(05:36) Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani rush left for 6 yards gain to the KU34 (#13 Q.Davis), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+6
99.9%
(05:10) Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass complete short right to #7 J.Brown caught at KU40, for 6 yards to the KU28 (#3 C.Gordon), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
(04:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 S.Slade rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KU24 (#9 D.Brinkley)Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
99.9%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass incomplete deep left to #5 J.Young thrown to KU03Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+7
99.9%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 S.Slade rush middle for 2 yards loss to the KU26 fumbled by #21 S.Slade at KU26 forced by #44 D.Santiago recovered by KU #44 D.Santiago at KU26 #44 D.Santiago return 7 yards to the KU33 (#71 D.Richardson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:45100% → 100%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
(04:11) Shotgun #28 M.Johnson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KU35 (#20 R.Fasolino)Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
(03:35) Shotgun #28 M.Johnson rush right for 3 yards gain to the KU38 (#42 S.Ntambwe)Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
(02:56) Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass complete short left to #12 B.Hayes caught at KU42, for 8 yards to the KU46 (#3 B.Vincent), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.9%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KU47 (#44 Q.Wright)Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
(02:05) Shotgun #86 D.Collier rush left for 4 yards gain to the LIU49 (#32 F.Matos) PENALTY KU Holding (#85 C.Moses) 10 yards from KU47 to KU37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 19
OWN 37
0
99.9%
(01:45) Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass incomplete short left to #87 L.Cure thrown to LIU47Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 19
OWN 37
+20
99.9%
(01:41) Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass complete short right to #11 T.Nagy caught at KU45, for 20 yards to the LIU43 (#32 F.Matos), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
(00:54) Shotgun #28 M.Johnson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LIU38 (#42 S.Ntambwe) PENALTY LIU Personal Foul (#17 P.Baynes, Jr.) 15 yards from LIU38 to LIU23, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
99.9%
(00:32) Shotgun #15 C.Ballard rush middle for 14 yards gain to the LIU09 (#7 M.Durden, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #28 M.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIU08 (#20 R.Fasolino)Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
(14:23) Shotgun #28 M.Johnson rush left for 8 yards gain to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:19 #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #49 H.Moeller, LS: #39 R.Monteforte)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 17FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:030% → 0%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 N.Gray rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LIU27 (#9 D.Brinkley; #41 E.Vedral)Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
(13:40) Shotgun #31 N.Gray rush right for 1 yard gain to the LIU28 (#26 R.Reddick)Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+36
100.0%
(12:55) Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass complete deep middle to #7 J.Brown caught at KU36, for 36 yards to the KU36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
100.0%
(12:16) Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass complete short left to #10 J.Simpson caught at KU39, for 2 yards loss to the KU38 (#22 K.Cummings-Coleman) PENALTY KU Targeting (#22 K.Cummings-Coleman) 15 yards from KU36 to KU21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (12:16) Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass complete short left to #10 J.Simpson caught at KU39, for 2 yards loss to the KU38 (#22 K.Cummings-Coleman))Similar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
100.0%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani pass incomplete deep right to #84 S.Young thrown to KU00 broken up by #20 C.PritchettSimilar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
100.0%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 N.Gray rush left for 5 yards gain to the KU16 (#90 A.Holley)Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 5
OPP 16
-6
100.0%
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Stanzani rush middle for 6 yards loss to the KU22 (#45 G.Martin)Similar
Q4 10:09
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+39
100.0%
(10:09) #24 W.Johnson field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #47 C.Brent, LS: #44 J.Campisi), clock 10:09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
(10:06) Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass incomplete short left to #87 L.Cure thrown to KU45 broken up by #42 S.NtambweSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
(10:02) Shotgun #28 M.Johnson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KU32 (#23 K.Tyson)Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+14
99.9%
(09:28) Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass complete short left to #11 T.Nagy caught at KU35, for 14 yards to the KU46 (#42 S.Ntambwe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+48
100.0%
(08:56) Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass complete deep left to #12 B.Hayes caught at LIU14, for 48 yards to the LIU06 (#23 K.Tyson), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
100.0%
(08:03) Shotgun #86 D.Collier rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LIU03 (#33 J.Barry)Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
(07:23) Shotgun #86 D.Collier rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:22 #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #49 H.Moeller, LS: #39 R.Monteforte)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 N.Gray rush left for 4 yards gain to the LIU29 (#20 C.Pritchett)Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
100.0%
(06:45) Shotgun #31 N.Gray rush middle for 1 yard loss to the LIU28 (#45 G.Martin)Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
(06:02) Shotgun #16 M.Moore pass incomplete short right to #5 J.Young thrown to LIU39Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-9
100.0%
(05:57) #47 C.Brent punt 29 yards to the KU43 muffed by #16 B.Schmelzle at KU43 recovered by LIU #25 I.Spivey at KU34, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 13 yds · 3:440% → 0%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
100.0%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 N.Hennigan rush right for 2 yards gain to the KU32 (#14 J.Willis)Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+3
100.0%
(05:13) Shotgun #16 M.Moore rush right for 3 yards gain to the KU29 (#14 J.Willis)Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+3
100.0%
(04:31) Shotgun #25 N.Hennigan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KU26 (#97 H.Higgins; #50 W.Brungardt)Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+6
100.0%
(03:49) Shotgun #16 M.Moore rush right for 6 yards gain to the KU20 (#19 C.McCorkle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
100.0%
(03:12) Shotgun #31 N.Gray rush left for 1 yard gain to the KU19 (#40 C.McDaniel)Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-2
100.0%
(02:26) Shotgun #16 M.Moore sacked for loss of 2 yards to the KU21 (#18 J.Credit)Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
100.0%
(02:18) Shotgun #16 M.Moore rush middle for 0 yards to the KU21 (#18 J.Credit)Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+39
100.0%
(01:58) #24 W.Johnson field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #47 C.Brent, LS: #44 J.Campisi), clock 01:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
(01:52) Shotgun #86 D.Collier rush right for 12 yards gain to the KU37 (#23 K.Tyson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
(01:45) Shotgun #30 J.Reeves rush left for 3 yards gain to the KU40 (#90 A.James)Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
100.0%
(01:09) Shotgun #24 J.Kelly rush right for 1 yard gain to the KU41 (#41 J.Hayes Jr.)Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
(00:24) Shotgun #30 J.Reeves rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KU42 (#38 J.Person)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:10
(06:13) Shotgun #6 Y.Willis rush middle for 10 yards gain to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:10 #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #11 T.Nagy, LS: #49 H.Moeller)
+1.1
TD · Q2 3:50
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Dupree rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:50 #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #11 T.Nagy, LS: #49 H.Moeller)
+0.8
TD · Q2 0:57
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete short left to #5 N.McMillan caught at LIU00, for 19 yards to the LIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:57, 1ST DOWN #29 M.Connington kick attempt good (H: #49 H.Moeller, LS: #39 R.Monteforte)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com